Patrick Präg

@ppraeg.bsky.social

2.7K followers 960 following 390 posts

I'm a sociologist working at the Center for Research in Economics and Statistics (CREST)

I also have a website: patrickpraeg.com

Videos

Political science 24%

Sociology 21%

Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Patrick Präg, Prokla Redaktion, Martin Winter

Linus Westheuser @lwestheuser.bsky.social · 20h

Auch an die anwesenden Soziolog:innen nochmal die Bitte, sich stärker an der Wertschöpfung, Produktion und Innovation in Deutschland zu beteiligen

Patrick Präg @ppraeg.bsky.social · 1d

Drop an album that was important to you when you were nineteen.

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Steven Durlauf @durlauf.bsky.social · 2d

1/ Delighted that this paper with my coauthors extraordinaire, @gtwodtke.bsky.social, Weiqi Wang, and Kristina Butaeva has been released. I want to highlight two of my coauthors. (Geoff Wodtke is a star sociologist and needs no introduction!)

NBER @nber.org · 5d

New Markov chain methods reveal how, for the US, the last half century is associated with decreased mobility for the upper and lower classes, and greater mobility for the middle, from Geoffrey Wodtke, Weiqi Wang, Kristina Butaeva, and @durlauf.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34800

Reposted by Ben Barr, Caroline Krafft, Patrick Präg

Sander Wagner @sanderwagner.bsky.social · 3d

New Pub 🚨📝🎓:

"Stratification of Post-Birth Labour Supply in a High- and Low- Maternal Employment Regime"

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Short version: Germany has much bigger motherhood penalties than France, but they are not more socially stratified.

That wasn’t what we expected.

🧵⬇️

Reposted by Stephen P. Jenkins, Rebecca Sear, Andrew K Przybylski , and 3 more Stephen P. Jenkins, Rebecca Sear, Andrew K Przybylski, Dean Eckles, Patrick Präg, Johannes Breuer

Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 3d

New blog post about the age-period-cohort identification problem!

In which, for the first time ever, I ask "What's the mechanism?" and also suggest that sometimes you may actually *not* be interested in causal inference.

www.the100.ci/2026/02/13/o...

One approach to the age-period-cohort problem: Just don’t.

Just to cause yourself more problems, you seek for something. But there is no need for you to seek anything. You have plenty, and you have just enough problems. Shunryū Suzuki in a 1971 talk A ...

www.the100.ci

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Bas Hofstra @bashofstra.bsky.social · 3d

Check out our new, open access paper in RSSM. Anne Maaike Mulders expertly led our author team (with Christoph Janietz Jochem Tolsma myself) to find an important piece of the gender inequity puzzle in academia.

🔬Paper: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

📰Press release: www.ru.nl/onderzoek/on...

Patrick Präg @ppraeg.bsky.social · 4d

And of course "psychological study"

Patrick Präg @ppraeg.bsky.social · 4d

This one's crazy, you don't just get to see Lubomyr Melnyk play live but you also have the chance to appear in a Werner Herzog movie?

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Peter Eibich @peibich.bsky.social · 4d

If you have used Claude Code or similar for research, I'd love to pick your brain on two issues I have been wondering about:
- Data confidentiality: what kind of data do you give it access to?

- Data security: how do you deal with the risk that the agent does something stupid with your data?

Reposted by Patrick Präg, Krzysztof Krakowski

Ozan Aksoy @aksoyundan.bsky.social · 4d

A new publication at www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

We find that religious markers (esp. beards) can reduce perceived trustworthiness in Turkey.

(That's why you often see me clean shaven ;-)

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Patrick Heuveline @patrickhvl.bsky.social · 4d

As "conflict-related mortality is on the rise and displacement has surpassed levels not seen since World War II", a timely editorial on Demography and War: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Introduction: Demography and War—Research on Population and Health in Contexts of Armed Conflict - Population Research and Policy Review

Population Research and Policy Review -

link.springer.com

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Kerstin Ostermann @kostermann.bsky.social · 4d

New preprint out with @wendering.bsky.social & Nan Zhang!

We show that childhood exposure to ethnic outgroups increases the prob. of #interethnic marriage decades later, using historical linked US census data (1880–1910) and next-door neighbor comparisons 🏠🌃

Read more here:
shorturl.at/U0IHR

Results for CEM and neighborhood fixed effects regressions. We find robust and significant positive effects (blue coefficients) of childhood exposure to different ethnicities on the likelihood of interethnic marriage.

Left: georeferenced households in 1880. Right: Ethnic organic neighborhoods in Manhattan in 1880. Six ethnic groups are prevalent: first/second generation Americans, Asians, Germans, Irish and Others (residual category). We use these neighborhoods to account for segregation by applying organic neighborhood fixed effects.

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.bsky.social · 4d

For a change, something we made ourselves: Together with my colleagues Tobias Roth, Andreas Horr, and @nataliebackes.bsky.social, we examined ethnic rent penalties. Do migrants pay higher rents for comparable housing than natives with similar characteristics? direct.mit.edu/euso/article...

Migrant rent penalties in the German housing market

Abstract. We investigate whether migrants pay higher rents for comparable housing than natives with similar characteristics using nationally representative data from the 2018 German Microcensus. The d...

direct.mit.edu

Reposted by Stephen P. Jenkins, Étienne Ollion, Damian Trilling , and 2 more Stephen P. Jenkins, Étienne Ollion, Damian Trilling, Patrick Präg, Evan Roberts

Rense Corten 🟥 @rensec.bsky.social · 4d

📢WORK! At the Sociology department of @utrechtuniversity.bsky.social we are hiring a postdoc who will work on applications of AI in sociological research. Join our vibrant-yet-cohesive research community doing cutting-edge research. Please share or apply! www.uu.nl/en/organisat...

Postdoctoral researcher on applications of AI in sociological research

Are you able to lead sociological research into the AI age?

www.uu.nl

Reposted by Brian A. Nosek, Dan Goldhaber, Brendan Nyhan , and 32 more Brian A. Nosek, Dan Goldhaber, Brendan Nyhan, James P. Collins, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Ruth Dassonneville, Alistair Munro, Jörg Peters, Brian Schaffner, Caroline Krafft, Philip N. Cohen, Alexander Wuttke, John Holbein, Justin H. Kirkland, Chris Hanretty, Scott Clifford, Valerie Mueller, Ingo Rohlfing, Michael Kevane, Flávio Azevedo, Max Nathan, Veli‐Matti Karhulahti, Philip Cowley, Julia Lynch, Juan Moreno‐Cruz, Madeleine Pownall, Patrick Präg, Marcus Credé, Stuart J. Turnbull‐Dugarte, Tom Louwerse, Aleksandra Urman, Samuel Coavoux, Jake Anders, Roman Senninger, Joan Dudney

Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 5d

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

Reposted by Étienne Ollion, Patrick Präg

Annina Claesson @anninac.bsky.social · 6d

Qui est ciblé par l'hostilité en ligne dans la politique française ?

Très contente de partager enfin les résultats d'une longue enquête sur cette question dans la dernière Revue française de science politique :
shs.cairn.info/tap-t78ca45t...
🧵

shs.cairn.info

Reposted by Alexi Gugushvili, Patrick Präg

Arno Van Hootegem 🌱 @arnovanhootegem.bsky.social · 6d

How do people learn about equality of opportunity? 🤔

Through their own experiences, their family & friends and the media! 👯‍♂️

Individuals who experienced upward mobility and those who frequently watch reality TV perceive more equality. 📺

With @a-gugushvili.bsky.social as wonderful lead author!

What Are the Channels of Equality of Opportunity Perceptions in Germany, Sweden, and the United Kingdom? - Alexi Gugushvili, Arno Van Hootegem, 2026

Views on equality of opportunity influence perceptions of fairness and redistributive attitudes, and yet the sources associated with these views remain underexp...

journals.sagepub.com

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Kristian Bernt Karlson @kbkarlson.bsky.social · 7d

Check out this awesome preprint by @martinhallsten.bsky.social on the difficulties in interpreting sibling correlations by observed parental characteristics such as parental income - with an excellent application!

#sociology #EconTwitter #socialmobility

osf.io/preprints/so...

OSF

osf.io

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Yang Hu @yanghu.co.uk · 7d

🚨 Thrilled to share my new paper with @yueqiansoc.bsky.social just out in @europeansocreview.bsky.social

Bringing economic & family sociology into the digital era, we examine how online banking shapes who holds the purse strings among UK couples: doi.org/10.1093/esr/...

@sriucl.bsky.social

Empowerment and individualization: online banking and household financial organization

Abstract. Bringing economic and family sociology into the digital era, this study examines and highlights the transformative potential of online banking in

doi.org

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.bsky.social · 7d

Interesting paper on the gendered heckling the German Bundestag www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Fig. 4. Regression results of heckles for female speakers and male interrupters. Note: The points show marginal effects from the triple-interaction model in Eq. (2), estimated relative to the first Bundestag period and displayed with 95% confidence intervals. Panel (a) reports the estimate for , capturing the effect of having a female speaker; Panel (b) presents the estimate for , representing the effect of a male MP as the potential interrupter; and Panel (c) shows the interaction between male interrupters and female speakers, measured by . Full regression results are provided in Appendix Table A1.

Title Decoding discourse: Gendered heckling in German Bundestag debates (1949–2021)
Author Teresa Hailer-Röthel
Abstract
This paper investigates the gendered dynamics of parliamentary interruptions in the German Bundestag across 19 legislative periods (1949–2021). Motivated by anecdotal and journalistic reports of sexist heckling, the study examines whether female politicians face more frequent interruptions and, if so, under which conditions. Using a newly constructed dyadic dataset that links over 200,000 interruptions to individual speeches, the analysis explores how gender, ideology, and institutional position shape patterns of adversarial behavior. The findings reveal that in earlier decades, female MPs were not primarily interrupted by men, while since the late 1980s such a gendered pattern has become observable. In addition, heckling of female MPs often originates from opposing ideological camps or parliamentary blocs. These results nuance existing theories of gender bias in political discourse by highlighting how ideological conflict and inter-gender competition shape communicative power in parliamentary settings.

Reposted by Steve Peers, Ben Harris‐Roxas, Patrick Präg

Tom Gauld @tomgauld.bsky.social · 8d

My cartoon for this week’s @newscientist.com

Panel 1: Some social scientists
(five stick figure portraits of scientists)
Economist
Archaeologist
Geographer
Psychologist
Anthropologist

Panel 2: Some antisocial scientists
(five stick figures scuttling out of the panel)
Introverted Astronomer
Solitary Mathematician
Reclusive Biologist
Misanthropic Chemist
Withdrawn Physicist

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Demography - the flagship journal of PAA @readdemography.bsky.social · 10d

In “The Demographic Potential of Polygyny,” Pesando evaluates “the suitability of a simple indicator—gamma—to measure the demographic potential of polygyny in the context of sub-Saharan Africa” & considers related applications & directions in demographic research. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

Reposted by Mark J. Brandt, Patrick Präg

turgut keskintürk @tkeskinturk.bsky.social · 11d

a new working paper: osf.io/3dq2x_v1!

we administered an original survey to a sample of 10-to-12-year olds, their parents, and a national sample to assess the extent to which values can provide a foundation for political ideology.

we find that values structure political preferences among children.

Values and Political Preferences in Childhood
Christopher Johnston, Martín Opertti, Turgut Keskintürk
February, 2026

Studies of youth political development focus primarily on political socialization and salient events, while paying relatively less attention to important individual differences among children themselves, such as values. We administer an original survey to a sample of 10-to-12-year-olds and show that the distribution of their values is similar to that of their parents and a diverse sample of adults; that children's value priorities strongly predict their political preferences; and that one dimension of value priorities continues to predict political preferences even after adjusting for parental values and political preferences. Taken together, our findings suggest that pre-teens already use their own value priorities to organize their political attitudes, which emphasizes the importance of children's independent attributes in their political development, and lends support to the idea that personal values provide a foundation for political ideology.

estimated value positions in Schwartz value space.

the effects of conservation and self-enhancement values on political evaluations and issues.

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Alexi Gugushvili @a-gugushvili.bsky.social · 11d

Many thanks to Evelyn and Patrick @ppraeg.bsky.social for the great work, it was quite a ride🫶👋

Patrick Präg @ppraeg.bsky.social · 12d

An era has come to an end

As we write our final editorial for European Societies, we return to the spirit of our first editorial (Präg, Ersanilli and Gugushvili, 2022) and to the question that guided our tenure: did we deliver on what we promised? At the outset, we set out a twofold vision. We wanted to keep European Societies a genuinely general sociology journal with a focus on Europe and European sociology, open to all substantive areas and to authors worldwide. At the same time, we wanted to modernize the journal by lowering barriers to participation, moving toward open access and open science, and by running peer review as fairly, comprehensively, and efficiently as possible. Looking back, we believe the direction of travel has been consistent with that agenda, even if some constraints have become more pronounced as submissions have grown.

The most tangible step toward barrier reduction has been the shift in the journal's publishing model. The move to MIT Press and the adoption of a noncommercial, diamond open-access model have made the journal free to read and free to publish in. This has mattered not only as an institutional achievement by ESA, but also as a signal of what a flagship journal of the European Sociological Association can be: a truly public scholarly resource rather than a gated space shaped by the ability to pay. In parallel, we worked to reduce friction in submission and production by making procedures more predictable and less resource-intensive for authors, and by strengthening the journal's commitment to transparency, including the routine expectation of replication materials for quantitative work published in the journal (Präg, Ersanilli and Gugushvili, 2025). We have thought of these changes as working on “access” and “voice” simultaneously. By “access,” we mean making it easier for people to read the journal and to submit their work. By “voice,” we mean that a broader range of scholars, institutions, and regions appears on our pages and shapes the debates. Bot…

European societies in motion, and a commitment to voice

A general sociology journal should reflect the major currents shaping European societies, not by chasing headlines, but by publishing sociological work that helps explain how Europe is changing. Over the past years, the journal has continued to engage research on inequalities and social stratification, climate change and ecological transition, migration and shifting borders, transformations in work and welfare, population aging and health inequalities, and the reconfiguration of social trust and political contestation. The full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 further underlined how quickly the horizon of “normal” European development can rupture, and how urgent it becomes to understand societies that have too often been treated as peripheral in general sociological publishing. The Special Issue on understanding Ukrainian society before and after the invasion (Martsenyuk et al., 2024) was therefore an attempt to contribute to that understanding while also practicing what we had argued for from the start: that underrepresented parts of Europe should not appear only through external observation, but should be visible through scholarship that is locally grounded, rigorously theoretical, and fully integrated into European sociology.

Throughout our tenure, we also sought to ensure that the journal provided space for the plurality of sociological traditions across Europe. European sociology remains multi-paradigmatic and unevenly structured by regional and institutional inequalities. We therefore aimed to combine a high threshold for publication with broad openness to different intellectual styles, methods, and substantive agendas, and to keep ourselves accountable by paying attention to patterns in submissions and editorial outcomes across regions and approaches. This is unfinished work, but it is work that cannot be postponed if we want a journal that represents European sociology as it exists, rather th…

the structural reality remains that a general journal with finite capacity cannot publish all of the strong sociology it receives, even when that sociology deserves a wide readership.

This pressure is intertwined with another growing challenge: the difficulty of securing peer reviewers. Reviewing is the central infrastructure of scholarly publishing, but it rests on time and goodwill that are increasingly stretched. Across our term, it has become harder to find the right expertise quickly, particularly for more specialized topics or for underrepresented contexts where the pool of suitable reviewers is smaller. We therefore want to thank reviewers once more, not as a ritual, but as recognition that the journal's quality and fairness depend directly on their labor. We also hope that our community continues to treat reviewing as part of academic reciprocity, because without a sustainable reviewing culture, no editorial team can reliably balance speed, rigor, and equity.
Thanks, acknowledgments, and handover

We owe special thanks to Patrick Präg, who left his editorial role slightly earlier but contributed enormously to the journal's direction and to the everyday work that makes a journal function. His intellectual judgment, practical ambition, and commitment to fairness and transparency shaped many of the changes implemented during our tenure, and the journal is stronger because of his contributions. We also thank our associate editors, without whom our work would have been impossible: Plamen Akaliyski (Lingnan University), Çetin Çelik (Koç University), Roxanne Connelly (University of Edinburgh), Ivana Dobrotić (University of Zagreb), Marta Dominguez Folgueras (Sciences Po), Magne P. Flemmen (University of Oslo), Pablo Gracia (Autonomous University of Barcelona), Mobarak Hossain (London School of Economics and Political Science), Mathieu Ichou (INED), Katya Ivanova (Tilburg University), Cyril Jayet (Sorbonne University), Agnieszka Kubal (University of Oxford), Anna K…

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Maëlle Salmon @masalmon.eu · 12d

TIL that in English "outrage" is prononced "out-rage" (which makes sense I suppose)

en.wiktionary.org/wiki/outrage

outrage - Wiktionary, the free dictionary

en.wiktionary.org

Reposted by Patrick Präg

Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 12d

For no particular reason, I was just reminded of one of the greatest moments on German television. They don’t make them like that anymore.

youtu.be/tN1GEiO1vmI

Ton Steine Scherben - Nikel Pallat und der Tisch (1971)

YouTube video by BasicMasterReloaded

youtu.be

Reposted by Joe R. Feagin, Dave O’Brien, Trevon D. Logan , and 4 more Joe R. Feagin, Dave O’Brien, Trevon D. Logan, Karen Benjamin Guzzo, Patrick Präg, Olúfẹ́mi Táíwò, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Daniel Laurison @daniellaurison.bsky.social · 12d

Today I'm releasing probably the most important scholarly thing I've ever worked on - a report based on talking with 144 people about why they don't vote or only vote regularly, and on what needs to be done to build a democracy that can include everyone.
www.swarthmore.edu/u...
please share!

image of a report cover, with a US flag in the background, and the text "The Political Disconnect: Working-Class and Low-Income People on What Politics Means to Them and How They Might be Mobilized”

Reposted by Alexi Gugushvili, Andreas Haupt

Patrick Präg @ppraeg.bsky.social · 12d

An era has come to an end

Reposted by Ingmar Weber, Patrick Präg

Abhisek Dash @adash93.bsky.social · 13d

#BowlingAlone documented a quiet shift from collective to solitary practices.
In Bowling with ChatGPT ( #TheWebConference2026), we study whether a similar shift is unfolding in interactions with conversational AI.

arxiv link: arxiv.org/abs/2602.01114

Bowling with ChatGPT: On the Evolving User Interactions with Conversational AI Systems

Recent studies have discussed how users are increasingly using conversational AI systems, powered by LLMs, for information seeking, decision support, and even emotional support. However, these macro-l...

arxiv.org

Reposted by Scott L. Greer, Calvin K. Lai, Cameron Brick , and 12 more Scott L. Greer, Calvin K. Lai, Cameron Brick, Ian Hussey, Max Nathan, Lauren Hersch Nicholas, Nazita Lajevardi, Margot C. Finn, Sofia Stathi, Patrick Präg, Marko Lindroos, Adele Perry, Simon Wiederhold, Claudia Landwehr, Richard Moorhead

John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 13d

Are female economists treated differently than males in academic seminars?

These authors wanted to know whether gender shapes how scholars are treated when presenting research.

So they built a massive dataset of 2,000+ economics seminars, job talks, and conference presentations from 2019–2023...

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