turgut keskintürk
@tkeskinturk.bsky.social
sociology phd candidate @duke | https://tkeskinturk.github.io/
Pinned
a new working paper: osf.io/vsr5b
I propose a three-stage model of cohortization where dynamics of cohort learning and political sorting serve as complementary engines of aggregate political change.
I apply this to the case of the killing of George Floyd & the BLM.
it's also my job market paper!
I propose a three-stage model of cohortization where dynamics of cohort learning and political sorting serve as complementary engines of aggregate political change.
I apply this to the case of the killing of George Floyd & the BLM.
it's also my job market paper!
the real positivism was the friends we made along the way.
December 7, 2025 at 12:26 AM
the real positivism was the friends we made along the way.
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
Study after study shows campaign ads barely move the needle. So where does money’s real power come from? I ranked the five ways money corrupts politics—from least to most corrosive. What I’ve learned from 15 years of tracking political money:
Money Doesn't Buy Elections. It Does Something Worse.
Campaign ads barely move the needle. The real influence is hiding in plain sight.
open.substack.com
December 6, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Study after study shows campaign ads barely move the needle. So where does money’s real power come from? I ranked the five ways money corrupts politics—from least to most corrosive. What I’ve learned from 15 years of tracking political money:
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
It looks like some of the AI people (Ilya Sutskever) have heard Alison Gopnik pointing out that humans aren’t actually an AGI either, but this is the passage I think of every time I hear them say that.
the correct spirit for writing. everyone should propose their own Law.
December 4, 2025 at 4:39 PM
It looks like some of the AI people (Ilya Sutskever) have heard Alison Gopnik pointing out that humans aren’t actually an AGI either, but this is the passage I think of every time I hear them say that.
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
If Kaiser can get a Little Jiffy, you can too.
December 4, 2025 at 1:14 PM
If Kaiser can get a Little Jiffy, you can too.
the correct spirit for writing. everyone should propose their own Law.
December 4, 2025 at 1:00 PM
the correct spirit for writing. everyone should propose their own Law.
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
“Credibility revolution” is really about observational designs. The “experimental revolution” I think is related but distinct (see 2019 vs 2021 Econ nobels)
December 3, 2025 at 7:17 PM
“Credibility revolution” is really about observational designs. The “experimental revolution” I think is related but distinct (see 2019 vs 2021 Econ nobels)
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
Does "survey experiment" only mean a survey with randomized alternative wordings? My naive outsider perspective is that this severely limits what can be studied. I imagine there has been much discussion of that. Would love to read, seeking recommendations plz
December 3, 2025 at 7:32 AM
Does "survey experiment" only mean a survey with randomized alternative wordings? My naive outsider perspective is that this severely limits what can be studied. I imagine there has been much discussion of that. Would love to read, seeking recommendations plz
this one is interesting since it's observational equivalence at work.
you may define the *same* phenomenon as "returns to specialized division of labor" or "differential constraints in choice due to power imbalance." neither has complete explanatory payoff w/o fully specifying the choice setting.
you may define the *same* phenomenon as "returns to specialized division of labor" or "differential constraints in choice due to power imbalance." neither has complete explanatory payoff w/o fully specifying the choice setting.
Sociologists are trained to see everything through the lens of power imbalances. But what if it's simply that the marginal (expected) return from outside labor is greater than the marginal cost of the foregone domestic work?
We have to talk about how this glorification of overwork is driving care downstream.
To compete, men are incentivized to dump care onto women in their families. And women in privileged positions are then incentivized to push care onto others more vulnerable than them.
www.cnbc.com/2025/10/25/b...
To compete, men are incentivized to dump care onto women in their families. And women in privileged positions are then incentivized to push care onto others more vulnerable than them.
www.cnbc.com/2025/10/25/b...
December 3, 2025 at 2:25 PM
this one is interesting since it's observational equivalence at work.
you may define the *same* phenomenon as "returns to specialized division of labor" or "differential constraints in choice due to power imbalance." neither has complete explanatory payoff w/o fully specifying the choice setting.
you may define the *same* phenomenon as "returns to specialized division of labor" or "differential constraints in choice due to power imbalance." neither has complete explanatory payoff w/o fully specifying the choice setting.
the perfect balance of STEM and Humanities is Sociology.
this is why quantitative social scientists, the perfect balance of both worlds, should be in charge of everything.
December 2, 2025 at 11:54 PM
the perfect balance of STEM and Humanities is Sociology.
if we keep forcing people to weasel out & say "x is associated with y" rather than "x causes y," we don't really police identification but 1) foster boring writing (a serious offense), and 2) let people be ambiguous about x and y, rather than being clear about why and how x affects y.
December 2, 2025 at 7:33 PM
if we keep forcing people to weasel out & say "x is associated with y" rather than "x causes y," we don't really police identification but 1) foster boring writing (a serious offense), and 2) let people be ambiguous about x and y, rather than being clear about why and how x affects y.
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
In light of record submission rates and a large volume of AI-generated slop, SocArXiv recently implemented a policy requiring ORCIDs linked in the OSF profile of submitting authors, and narrowing our focus to social science subjects. Today we are taking two more steps:
/1
/1
November 27, 2025 at 2:54 PM
In light of record submission rates and a large volume of AI-generated slop, SocArXiv recently implemented a policy requiring ORCIDs linked in the OSF profile of submitting authors, and narrowing our focus to social science subjects. Today we are taking two more steps:
/1
/1
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
Protestants after the Guttenberg Bible
Who’s got the full text, I ain’t paying for this shit lol
November 26, 2025 at 11:14 PM
Protestants after the Guttenberg Bible
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
well, id like to see ol Zohlo Mamdani charm his way out of THIS trap!
*Mamdani charms his way out of the trap effortlessly*
ah. well. nevertheless,
*Mamdani charms his way out of the trap effortlessly*
ah. well. nevertheless,
November 21, 2025 at 10:20 PM
well, id like to see ol Zohlo Mamdani charm his way out of THIS trap!
*Mamdani charms his way out of the trap effortlessly*
ah. well. nevertheless,
*Mamdani charms his way out of the trap effortlessly*
ah. well. nevertheless,
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
new paper by Sean Westwood:
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
November 18, 2025 at 7:16 PM
new paper by Sean Westwood:
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
a remarkable exegesis on the contemporary film form:
Why Movies Just Don't Feel "Real" Anymore
YouTube video by Like Stories of Old
www.youtube.com
November 18, 2025 at 3:37 PM
a remarkable exegesis on the contemporary film form:
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
Sociologist here can confirm
“social reproduction” is so cool bc it could just mean whatever you want it to mean
November 17, 2025 at 12:51 PM
Sociologist here can confirm
two job market candidates in an abysmal market competing for the same job at Heidelberg: Walter Benjamin and Karl Mannheim.
November 15, 2025 at 12:13 AM
two job market candidates in an abysmal market competing for the same job at Heidelberg: Walter Benjamin and Karl Mannheim.
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
All, I am organizing an @asanews.bsky.social paper session for NYC '26 on neuroscience and cognition in #sociology. Please spread the word.
November 11, 2025 at 3:40 PM
All, I am organizing an @asanews.bsky.social paper session for NYC '26 on neuroscience and cognition in #sociology. Please spread the word.
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
bluesky branding refresh unveiled
November 8, 2025 at 9:18 PM
bluesky branding refresh unveiled
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
since everyone is thinking about returns to ideological moderation and the Vibe, I just came up with a toy theoretical exercise to think about how we may bring ideology and Good Vibes together.
I'm vehemently in favor of someone building A Theory of Political Vibe:
tkeskinturk.github.io/blog/vibes
I'm vehemently in favor of someone building A Theory of Political Vibe:
tkeskinturk.github.io/blog/vibes
October 31, 2025 at 5:28 PM
since everyone is thinking about returns to ideological moderation and the Vibe, I just came up with a toy theoretical exercise to think about how we may bring ideology and Good Vibes together.
I'm vehemently in favor of someone building A Theory of Political Vibe:
tkeskinturk.github.io/blog/vibes
I'm vehemently in favor of someone building A Theory of Political Vibe:
tkeskinturk.github.io/blog/vibes
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
A very clever way to test for pollster herding .... doesn't really find any
October 29, 2025 at 7:17 PM
A very clever way to test for pollster herding .... doesn't really find any
Reposted by turgut keskintürk
The New York Post is giving these vibes.
October 29, 2025 at 6:07 PM
The New York Post is giving these vibes.