Kerr Avon ♨️
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kerravon.bsky.social
Kerr Avon ♨️
@kerravon.bsky.social
Freedom fighter.
#ActuallyAutistic.
Pain in the ass.

Lynchburg, Virginia, USA
Pinned
Threatening to vote third party again, in the Year of Our Lord 2025, is a signal that you've already given up.

You're basically stating that you looked into Nietzsche's abyss and blinked.

Miss me with that bullshit.
Reposted by Kerr Avon ♨️
February 5, 2026 at 7:47 PM
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And that, folks, is how leftists become Libertarians.
In the spirit of inquiry, I have done as requested and considered it. And in the spirit of good sense, I have rejected it!
February 5, 2026 at 7:44 PM
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probably not great that every natsec-adjacent reporter has spent the last 24 hours going "ron wyden expert here, this is not cute, ron wydens only do this when they're very distressed"
@wyden.senate.gov's record of warning that there is deep and constitutionally-serious dirt being done by the intelligence agencies in secret is unblemished. The vaguer he is, the filthier the dirt is. This is the vaguest I've ever seen him
Ron Wyden Only Talks Like This When The Spies Do Something *Real* Bad
No, I don't know what they did. But I have a lot of experience with the senator
www.forever-wars.com
February 5, 2026 at 6:44 PM
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Our Putin mythology gives him far too much credit for "dreaming up" or "planning" anything. Can Putin see opportunities and take them? Sure. Did he create Epstein to entrap mid-minded oligarchs in his web? No. The mid-minded criminally horny oligarchs trapped themselves without Putin's help.
February 5, 2026 at 7:32 PM
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Honestly I don’t care. Adding a Russian angle doesn’t change any of it for me. The evidence that a ton of powerful elites were pals with Epstein has done more to discredit the elite than whether Putin himself dreamed up the op
February 5, 2026 at 7:20 PM
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One thing that the Founding Fathers all shared in common - Franklin, Adams, Jefferson, Hamilton, Paine, Madison, Henry - is that they would have loved posting
February 5, 2026 at 7:31 PM
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Ukraine does not have nuclear weapon, unfortunately.
And Russia is not suicidal, even if they try to convince you otherwise.
February 5, 2026 at 7:08 PM
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🇫🇮🇺🇦 Finland to provide Ukraine with €43 million in military aid

This is the 32nd package of military aid. In total, Helsinki has provided AFU with weapons and military equipment worth €3.2 billion.

The current AFU needs were taken into account when forming new batch of aid.
February 5, 2026 at 7:20 PM
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Dictators actually need to be more popular than Trump currently is to ignore, rig or cancel elections.
February 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM
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What I think is funny is like obviously people are anxious to see what happens in November but he didn’t succeed in overturning 2020 and by all accounts he didn’t come that close either.

The military was not going to back him because he lost by 7 million votes.
COMMENTARY: We should believe President Trump
February 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM
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“He’s going to cancel the midterms.”

Brought to you by the people behind “winning the democratic primary is actually harder than winning the general election.”
February 5, 2026 at 7:31 PM
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I'm old enough to remember when columnists claimed that Bessent was the adult in the room
VAN HOLLEN: You suggested Alex Pretti was culpable for his own killing because he had a gun he was licensed to carry. Would you like to retract that statement?

BESSENT: I would not. Would you like to express remorse over the death of Ashli Babbitt here in the Capitol?
February 5, 2026 at 7:32 PM
Reposted by Kerr Avon ♨️
Now I reckon Trump declaring mid-term results to be illegitimate and sending in goons to violently disrupt Congress after mid-terms does not end well for him. But he is surrounded by courtiers who would be desperate and deluded enough to talk him into it unless the work is put in to head them off
February 5, 2026 at 7:28 PM
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This arcs back to points made by Jamelle Bouie about how Trump doesn't have resources to kill off mid-term elections in November 2026.

He does, however, have enough DHS goons and violent supporters to concentrate around Washington in January 2027 to disrupt swearing in of legislators in Congress.
I also tend toward this view based on past experience and the feds’ lack of manpower.

A lot of voter suppression tactics are met with counter-mobilization and also suppress some R-leaning groups, reducing their impact. They remain illegal and immoral but thankfully they are also often ineffective.
My expectation for this is they'll make a big show of rolling out the goon squad outside a handful of locations, the states will seek and likely get emergency injunctions, and meanwhile the whole spectacle will only motivate way more people to show up and vote in defiance than are scared away.
February 5, 2026 at 7:24 PM
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And as a side note, I bristle at the term “voter suppression” being overused. Persuading someone to opt out of voting, even based on propaganda, is distinct from preventing them from doing so, legally and morally. (With the exception of misinfo about eg how and when to vote.)
February 5, 2026 at 1:08 PM
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On top of that we have the wasted material and psychological resources that go into combatting suppression — no one should have to do this. It’s all time and money and energy that could be going to other forms of activism and community support.
February 5, 2026 at 1:05 PM
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There’s also something harder to measure which is the insult to people’s dignity. Often think of a stranger, a middle aged Black man, who was chatting with me about my old job doing voter registration work who started crying telling me why he left SC because he got blocked from registering to vote.
February 5, 2026 at 1:04 PM
Reposted by Kerr Avon ♨️
I also tend toward this view based on past experience and the feds’ lack of manpower.

A lot of voter suppression tactics are met with counter-mobilization and also suppress some R-leaning groups, reducing their impact. They remain illegal and immoral but thankfully they are also often ineffective.
My expectation for this is they'll make a big show of rolling out the goon squad outside a handful of locations, the states will seek and likely get emergency injunctions, and meanwhile the whole spectacle will only motivate way more people to show up and vote in defiance than are scared away.
I understand folks are scared but I want you to think about the mechanics of this.

There are more polling places (>100k) than ICE and CBP agents combined, so they can only pick a few districts to try to intimidate.

Now what happens when cell phone footage of that goes online in the early morning?
February 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM
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JUST IN: Chicago's Marimar Martinez is expected to attend President Donald Trump's State of the Union address:
February 5, 2026 at 6:54 PM
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this cannot be correct; i have been reliably informed that Mitch McConnell could effortlessly use the power of the minority to impose his will upon the world
February 5, 2026 at 2:28 PM
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The legislative equivalent of Dems getting any of this would be Republicans getting Dem majorities to agree to roll back ACA provisions in 2012 and Barack Obama signing the bill

That is something Mitch McConnell was unable to do with majorities in both chambers and a Republican president
Schumer & Jeffries lay out the Democratic demands for a DHS funding deal in a letter to the top Republican leaders
February 5, 2026 at 2:14 PM
Reposted by Kerr Avon ♨️
🚨HOLY CRAP. The Trump admin just took a SLEDGEHAMMER to due process, largely eliminating the Board of Immigration Appeals process and MANDATING DISMISSAL of ALL appeals (which cost $1,000 thanks to OBBBA) filed after tomorrow unless a majority of the BIA votes to hear the case.
February 5, 2026 at 2:37 PM
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This didn’t happen. But it’s bad enough that he wishes it did.
Trump at the Natl Prayer Breakfast on National Guard troops in DC: "They took Tren de Aragua, & honestly I don't want to say this, but they beat the crap out of them. They beat the crap out of them. They found they were doing bad things and Tren de Aragua didn't want anything to do with these guys."
February 5, 2026 at 7:21 PM
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February 5, 2026 at 7:16 PM
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My expectation for this is they'll make a big show of rolling out the goon squad outside a handful of locations, the states will seek and likely get emergency injunctions, and meanwhile the whole spectacle will only motivate way more people to show up and vote in defiance than are scared away.
I understand folks are scared but I want you to think about the mechanics of this.

There are more polling places (>100k) than ICE and CBP agents combined, so they can only pick a few districts to try to intimidate.

Now what happens when cell phone footage of that goes online in the early morning?
i think people should consider the extent to which bannon, a known bullshit artist, knows that you will see this and panic. www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/...
February 5, 2026 at 5:04 AM