Zoomer Antimillenarian
@surcomplicated.bsky.social
Staunch liberal, hopeful Georgist, moderate intuitionist. Hoping to one day pass on an even better world than the one I inherited. Retweet =/= Endorsement
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
The winning move for Germany, of course, would have been to leverage trade and industrialization to become the economic powerhouse at the center of a Europe at peace.
Which was also the winning move in 1914, alas, not taken then either.
Which was also the winning move in 1914, alas, not taken then either.
January 2, 2026 at 6:14 AM
The winning move for Germany, of course, would have been to leverage trade and industrialization to become the economic powerhouse at the center of a Europe at peace.
Which was also the winning move in 1914, alas, not taken then either.
Which was also the winning move in 1914, alas, not taken then either.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
So Hitler's position in 1940/1941 is not a good position ruined by foolish decisions, but in fact a deceptively weak position that is almost certainly doomed, leading to insane gambles that only make it worse.
The catastrophic mistake was having a war, a result of the worse mistake of being a Nazi.
The catastrophic mistake was having a war, a result of the worse mistake of being a Nazi.
January 2, 2026 at 6:14 AM
So Hitler's position in 1940/1941 is not a good position ruined by foolish decisions, but in fact a deceptively weak position that is almost certainly doomed, leading to insane gambles that only make it worse.
The catastrophic mistake was having a war, a result of the worse mistake of being a Nazi.
The catastrophic mistake was having a war, a result of the worse mistake of being a Nazi.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
In practice, Hitler had left himself three options:
1) Hold pat on his gains and become a wholly owned subsidiary of the USSR.
2) Go all-in on U-Boats to push Britain out of the war, end up buried under a tide of American steel.
3) Go all-in against USSR, end up buried in a tide of Russians.
1) Hold pat on his gains and become a wholly owned subsidiary of the USSR.
2) Go all-in on U-Boats to push Britain out of the war, end up buried under a tide of American steel.
3) Go all-in against USSR, end up buried in a tide of Russians.
January 2, 2026 at 6:14 AM
In practice, Hitler had left himself three options:
1) Hold pat on his gains and become a wholly owned subsidiary of the USSR.
2) Go all-in on U-Boats to push Britain out of the war, end up buried under a tide of American steel.
3) Go all-in against USSR, end up buried in a tide of Russians.
1) Hold pat on his gains and become a wholly owned subsidiary of the USSR.
2) Go all-in on U-Boats to push Britain out of the war, end up buried under a tide of American steel.
3) Go all-in against USSR, end up buried in a tide of Russians.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
The basic calculus wasn't fatal instantly, but it had to be fatal *eventually* the question was simply how.
His only lever to end the blockade was a U-Boat campaign, something that would very obviously eventually bring the USA into the war, as it had in 1917 and was doing again in '40 and '41.
His only lever to end the blockade was a U-Boat campaign, something that would very obviously eventually bring the USA into the war, as it had in 1917 and was doing again in '40 and '41.
January 2, 2026 at 6:14 AM
The basic calculus wasn't fatal instantly, but it had to be fatal *eventually* the question was simply how.
His only lever to end the blockade was a U-Boat campaign, something that would very obviously eventually bring the USA into the war, as it had in 1917 and was doing again in '40 and '41.
His only lever to end the blockade was a U-Boat campaign, something that would very obviously eventually bring the USA into the war, as it had in 1917 and was doing again in '40 and '41.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
As Tooze's Wages of Destruction notes, breaking from global commerce left Germany extremely reliant on imports from the USSR and the Soviets understandably set the terms of the bargain to favor them - if your customer chains himself to your store, you may charge him whatever you like.
January 2, 2026 at 6:14 AM
As Tooze's Wages of Destruction notes, breaking from global commerce left Germany extremely reliant on imports from the USSR and the Soviets understandably set the terms of the bargain to favor them - if your customer chains himself to your store, you may charge him whatever you like.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
Going to war with Britain had meant severing Germany from basically all global commerce except on land via the USSR.
Bombing London functionally guaranteed that British resistance would be implacable and Hitler had functionally zero chance of breaking the British blockade any time soon.
Bombing London functionally guaranteed that British resistance would be implacable and Hitler had functionally zero chance of breaking the British blockade any time soon.
January 2, 2026 at 6:14 AM
Going to war with Britain had meant severing Germany from basically all global commerce except on land via the USSR.
Bombing London functionally guaranteed that British resistance would be implacable and Hitler had functionally zero chance of breaking the British blockade any time soon.
Bombing London functionally guaranteed that British resistance would be implacable and Hitler had functionally zero chance of breaking the British blockade any time soon.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
I actually would disagree with this take - though he might not have known it, Hitler has essentially set the conditions to make eventual defeat and regime extinction very likely (and so his great power position very poor) by November 1940 at the latest, even with the success of Fall Gelb/Rot.
From a great power diplomacy perspective, Hitler had a good run until the twin idiocies of invading the Soviet Union and declaring on the US.
His luck might have run out with the invasion of Poland if the invasion of France hadn’t worked. However, he did have a de facto alliance with the Reds.
His luck might have run out with the invasion of Poland if the invasion of France hadn’t worked. However, he did have a de facto alliance with the Reds.
In defense of my discipline, we do not, in fact, all agree to that.
Indeed, the general view from a military perspective is that the Wehrmacht succeeded (to the degree it did) substantially despite Hitler. I'm not sure many serious historians of any field would label him a 'genius.'
Indeed, the general view from a military perspective is that the Wehrmacht succeeded (to the degree it did) substantially despite Hitler. I'm not sure many serious historians of any field would label him a 'genius.'
January 2, 2026 at 6:14 AM
I actually would disagree with this take - though he might not have known it, Hitler has essentially set the conditions to make eventual defeat and regime extinction very likely (and so his great power position very poor) by November 1940 at the latest, even with the success of Fall Gelb/Rot.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
This seems like a good day for the National Defense Strategy to drop, promising laser focus on China and eschewing the use of our military for humanitarian intervention or regime change 🙃
January 2, 2026 at 2:10 PM
This seems like a good day for the National Defense Strategy to drop, promising laser focus on China and eschewing the use of our military for humanitarian intervention or regime change 🙃
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
Admittedly I'm not a journalist and I know suggestions get lobbed from the peanut gallery all the time, but I would love to see politicians, including Democratic politicians, directly asked this question in large numbers. I feel like that would be a very newsworthy story to share their responses.
It's amazing how many corporations -- much less private individuals -- still believe they need to stay active on the white nationalist forum and CSAM generator.
Sure, you may have succeeded in blocking yourself from seeing these things there, but all of us still see you there alongside those things
Sure, you may have succeeded in blocking yourself from seeing these things there, but all of us still see you there alongside those things
so x dot com’s ai generated CSAM and they admitted it may violate US law and … i haven’t seen in anyone in power say much at all or call to stop using the platform
January 2, 2026 at 6:31 AM
Admittedly I'm not a journalist and I know suggestions get lobbed from the peanut gallery all the time, but I would love to see politicians, including Democratic politicians, directly asked this question in large numbers. I feel like that would be a very newsworthy story to share their responses.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
Mamdani: I promise you this. If you are a New Yorker, I am your mayor. Regardless of whether we agree, I will protect you, celebrate with you, mourn alongside you, and never, not for a second, hide from you
January 1, 2026 at 7:49 PM
Mamdani: I promise you this. If you are a New Yorker, I am your mayor. Regardless of whether we agree, I will protect you, celebrate with you, mourn alongside you, and never, not for a second, hide from you
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
The deeper point, however, is that Western medicine was the Four Humors and bleeding, but nobody talks about resurrecting that until you get out to the MAHA/Deep Stupid Hippie world. The fact people who are in no sense Western contributed to this advance is Not To Be Noticed, either.
January 2, 2026 at 12:35 AM
The deeper point, however, is that Western medicine was the Four Humors and bleeding, but nobody talks about resurrecting that until you get out to the MAHA/Deep Stupid Hippie world. The fact people who are in no sense Western contributed to this advance is Not To Be Noticed, either.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
Modernism gets a bad reputation and it's possible to take it too far, certainly, but one of the things it gets right is that certain things are not contingent. CAR T-cell therapy works regardless of where you are from and what traditions you hold to. Human rights are the same way.
January 2, 2026 at 12:35 AM
Modernism gets a bad reputation and it's possible to take it too far, certainly, but one of the things it gets right is that certain things are not contingent. CAR T-cell therapy works regardless of where you are from and what traditions you hold to. Human rights are the same way.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
If you are a resident of California, the state now has a portal where you can demand deletion of your personal data from 500+ registered data brokers with a single request form, for free.
consumer.drop.privacy.ca.gov
consumer.drop.privacy.ca.gov
consumer.drop.privacy.ca.gov
January 2, 2026 at 2:26 AM
If you are a resident of California, the state now has a portal where you can demand deletion of your personal data from 500+ registered data brokers with a single request form, for free.
consumer.drop.privacy.ca.gov
consumer.drop.privacy.ca.gov
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
Hi, I'm one of those old-fashioned infant walkers on wheels they don't sell anymore because it's all too easy for them to end up rocketing down the stairs at high speed.
January 2, 2026 at 2:53 AM
Hi, I'm one of those old-fashioned infant walkers on wheels they don't sell anymore because it's all too easy for them to end up rocketing down the stairs at high speed.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
I also don’t recommend admitting in writing that the apparent age was underage
January 2, 2026 at 2:39 AM
I also don’t recommend admitting in writing that the apparent age was underage
I've nearly been run over twice, both times when I had legal right of way. One time the driver was an old person who probably needed an uncomfortable conversation with their kids. The other time, it was the most vacuous-looking idiot I've ever seen, and my younger sister was nearly run over too.
Introduce yourself with what almost killed you:
Hi, I'm a bad driver, a rattlesnake, carbon monoxide, and cancer.
Hi, I'm a bad driver, a rattlesnake, carbon monoxide, and cancer.
Hello, I'm a ruptured brain aneurysm.
January 2, 2026 at 2:39 AM
I've nearly been run over twice, both times when I had legal right of way. One time the driver was an old person who probably needed an uncomfortable conversation with their kids. The other time, it was the most vacuous-looking idiot I've ever seen, and my younger sister was nearly run over too.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
Introduce yourself with what almost killed you:
Hi, I'm a bad driver, a rattlesnake, carbon monoxide, and cancer.
Hi, I'm a bad driver, a rattlesnake, carbon monoxide, and cancer.
January 2, 2026 at 2:31 AM
Introduce yourself with what almost killed you:
Hi, I'm a bad driver, a rattlesnake, carbon monoxide, and cancer.
Hi, I'm a bad driver, a rattlesnake, carbon monoxide, and cancer.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
they will not do what you think is right but they will do what they think is right. you will often disagree with what that thing is
January 2, 2026 at 1:58 AM
they will not do what you think is right but they will do what they think is right. you will often disagree with what that thing is
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
anthropic has what i would describe as an alien ethical stance which it has nonetheless managed to hold to
January 2, 2026 at 1:57 AM
anthropic has what i would describe as an alien ethical stance which it has nonetheless managed to hold to
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
You all thought I was mad for specializing in bear litigation for bear clients but who is laughing now Penn State
Black bear living underneath California house shows no sign of budging as homeowner mulls legal action
Black bear living underneath Altadena house shows no sign of budging as homeowner mulls legal action
The 550-pound black bear has taken up residence in the crawlspace underneath Ken Johnson's home in California for a month.
www.cbsnews.com
January 2, 2026 at 1:16 AM
You all thought I was mad for specializing in bear litigation for bear clients but who is laughing now Penn State
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
Last month, I wrote on all legislative races of 2025. There were still a few elections left in the year, however. But now, they're all done.
And so we've updated the analysis:
—Democrats flipped 25 legislative seats in 2025.
That's 21% of the 119 GOP-held seats at play.
—The GOP flipped 0.
And so we've updated the analysis:
—Democrats flipped 25 legislative seats in 2025.
That's 21% of the 119 GOP-held seats at play.
—The GOP flipped 0.
In 2025, Democrats Flipped 21 Percent of GOP-Held Legislative Seats - Bolts
Editor’s note: The article was updated on Dec. 31 to reflect the results of three special elections held in late December, none of which resulted in a partisan flip. At... Read More
boltsmag.org
January 1, 2026 at 5:13 PM
Last month, I wrote on all legislative races of 2025. There were still a few elections left in the year, however. But now, they're all done.
And so we've updated the analysis:
—Democrats flipped 25 legislative seats in 2025.
That's 21% of the 119 GOP-held seats at play.
—The GOP flipped 0.
And so we've updated the analysis:
—Democrats flipped 25 legislative seats in 2025.
That's 21% of the 119 GOP-held seats at play.
—The GOP flipped 0.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
The next President needs to do this exact same thing for the Trump EOs
Mayor Mamdani has nullified every executive order issued by Eric Adams after he struck his corrupt bargain with Trump to secure dismissal of the indictment against him.
January 2, 2026 at 1:56 AM
The next President needs to do this exact same thing for the Trump EOs
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
If you read any detailed history of World War II, it will quickly dispel the notion that Hitler was a genius. His main advantage was being insanely aggressive at a time when every other country was cautious. It worked ... until it didn't. And tens of millions of people died because of it.
Curtis Yarvin, JD Vance’s friend & ideological influence, ended 2025 by claiming “only Hitler spoke the truth” about “too many subjects” & “Hitler was a genius.”
Extremism isn’t fringe on the right. Once marginal online extremists like Yarvin are influential at the highest levels of government.
Extremism isn’t fringe on the right. Once marginal online extremists like Yarvin are influential at the highest levels of government.
January 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM
If you read any detailed history of World War II, it will quickly dispel the notion that Hitler was a genius. His main advantage was being insanely aggressive at a time when every other country was cautious. It worked ... until it didn't. And tens of millions of people died because of it.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
Put links to university press website for books 2026 challenge. I’ve found with coupon codes or seasonal sales I can get them less expensive than amazon.* It also provided the university press catalog for new finds!
*If I understand correctly, authors don’t get a choice on where books are listed.
*If I understand correctly, authors don’t get a choice on where books are listed.
January 1, 2026 at 4:58 PM
Put links to university press website for books 2026 challenge. I’ve found with coupon codes or seasonal sales I can get them less expensive than amazon.* It also provided the university press catalog for new finds!
*If I understand correctly, authors don’t get a choice on where books are listed.
*If I understand correctly, authors don’t get a choice on where books are listed.
Reposted by Zoomer Antimillenarian
Big protests going in Iran, and the state is trying to put them down with force, already killing 3.
I don't know where this is going, and the Iranian government has survived big protests before. But whatever happens, it's admirably brave when people take on violently repressive regimes.
I don't know where this is going, and the Iranian government has survived big protests before. But whatever happens, it's admirably brave when people take on violently repressive regimes.
At least 3 reported killed during widening protests in Iran sparked by ailing economy
Protests over Iran's struggling economy have spread into rural areas, with at least three people killed.
apnews.com
January 1, 2026 at 5:36 PM
Big protests going in Iran, and the state is trying to put them down with force, already killing 3.
I don't know where this is going, and the Iranian government has survived big protests before. But whatever happens, it's admirably brave when people take on violently repressive regimes.
I don't know where this is going, and the Iranian government has survived big protests before. But whatever happens, it's admirably brave when people take on violently repressive regimes.