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made a similar point on the opinions podcast this week in response to the idea that epstein is a dead end. not only are actual voters interested in this but it divides the gop and puts pressure on the president. it would be political malpractice to treat it as a sideshow
The usual suspects are telling Dems that Epstein won’t win elections, get back to “affordability” and I think my head might explode. www.offmessage.net/p/force-a-re...
Force A Referendum On The Epstein Coverup
It divides Republicans much more than "affordability" or any other economic issue.
www.offmessage.net
November 15, 2025 at 7:17 PM
made a similar point on the opinions podcast this week in response to the idea that epstein is a dead end. not only are actual voters interested in this but it divides the gop and puts pressure on the president. it would be political malpractice to treat it as a sideshow
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I don’t care that, say, Pete Buttigieg worked for McKinsey. I care that he endorsed Harrell in the Seattle mayoral race.
November 10, 2025 at 4:56 AM
I don’t care that, say, Pete Buttigieg worked for McKinsey. I care that he endorsed Harrell in the Seattle mayoral race.
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Since the Democrats worked extra hard to hide who actually supported this, I think the No Kings/Resistance position should be to primary every Democrat unless they publicly call for Schumer's ouster this week
Either they go into total rebellion mode, which they won't, or the people will
Either they go into total rebellion mode, which they won't, or the people will
November 10, 2025 at 2:34 AM
Since the Democrats worked extra hard to hide who actually supported this, I think the No Kings/Resistance position should be to primary every Democrat unless they publicly call for Schumer's ouster this week
Either they go into total rebellion mode, which they won't, or the people will
Either they go into total rebellion mode, which they won't, or the people will
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Graham Platner could not possibly ask for a set of circumstances more advantageous to make his Totenkopf tattoo the *lesser* of the crippling issues affecting a Dem frontrunner in ME-Sen.
November 10, 2025 at 12:10 AM
Graham Platner could not possibly ask for a set of circumstances more advantageous to make his Totenkopf tattoo the *lesser* of the crippling issues affecting a Dem frontrunner in ME-Sen.
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Following up on this. This remains a ‘cave is minutes or hours away’ situation. If you want to impact how this plays out you need to contact senators literally now. I want to add additional points of context. What I’m relaying is what I’ve picked up from highly reliable sources.
Sounds like the squishes in the senate caucus are ready to pull the plug with no ACA changes. This is real. If you want to register your opinion you shld call yr senator in the next hour. They not only want to reopen w/nothing. They want cover from their colleagues who still want to hold out.
November 9, 2025 at 10:42 PM
Following up on this. This remains a ‘cave is minutes or hours away’ situation. If you want to impact how this plays out you need to contact senators literally now. I want to add additional points of context. What I’m relaying is what I’ve picked up from highly reliable sources.
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A big part of why VA last night is so damaging for the GOP there is that basically the entire statewide apparatus just got wiped out.
A big part of the reason why the Democratic Congressional delegation is so old is that so many Democratic state legislators got their careers nipped in the bud in 2010 and 2014. Focusing on winning as many state legislative seats as possible is the real way to fix the gerontocracy problem, too.
November 5, 2025 at 4:50 PM
A big part of why VA last night is so damaging for the GOP there is that basically the entire statewide apparatus just got wiped out.
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No, NO
All of their decisions in the movie suck and are bad!!! They talk themselves into striking before a single ICBM of unknown origin even hits!!!
All of their decisions in the movie suck and are bad!!! They talk themselves into striking before a single ICBM of unknown origin even hits!!!
November 2, 2025 at 12:38 AM
No, NO
All of their decisions in the movie suck and are bad!!! They talk themselves into striking before a single ICBM of unknown origin even hits!!!
All of their decisions in the movie suck and are bad!!! They talk themselves into striking before a single ICBM of unknown origin even hits!!!
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These sorts of polls get read as "Democrats should talk about inflation and not ICE" but I wonder if the correct reading is actually, "Democrats should talk about ICE in 'rule of law' rather than 'immigration' terms."
Stress masked, unaccountable armed agents of the state, etc.
Stress masked, unaccountable armed agents of the state, etc.
Trump is underwater on everything. And massively so on a lot things:
October 26, 2025 at 7:59 PM
These sorts of polls get read as "Democrats should talk about inflation and not ICE" but I wonder if the correct reading is actually, "Democrats should talk about ICE in 'rule of law' rather than 'immigration' terms."
Stress masked, unaccountable armed agents of the state, etc.
Stress masked, unaccountable armed agents of the state, etc.
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The trend is real, but this NYT analysis at the Congressional district level has big ecological bias
Poor *areas* vote Republican, but it's often the richer *individuals* within those poorer areas that are most Republican
And many poor *individuals* rich blue urban *areas* vote Dem
Poor *areas* vote Republican, but it's often the richer *individuals* within those poorer areas that are most Republican
And many poor *individuals* rich blue urban *areas* vote Dem
October 24, 2025 at 2:17 PM
The trend is real, but this NYT analysis at the Congressional district level has big ecological bias
Poor *areas* vote Republican, but it's often the richer *individuals* within those poorer areas that are most Republican
And many poor *individuals* rich blue urban *areas* vote Dem
Poor *areas* vote Republican, but it's often the richer *individuals* within those poorer areas that are most Republican
And many poor *individuals* rich blue urban *areas* vote Dem
Reposted
Incredible numbers after the political media spent weeks hammering "the Dems are making a big mistake, the shutdown is their fault" as a main message, in contradiction to polling
Trump's deranged threat to fire federal workers and his killing of NY-NJ project are backfiring: Both are now big issues in VA-NJ gov races!
And new CNBC poll shows indys blaming Trump/GOP over Dems by 58-21.
On the pod, @simonwdc.bsky.social explains all this well:
newrepublic.com/article/2019...
And new CNBC poll shows indys blaming Trump/GOP over Dems by 58-21.
On the pod, @simonwdc.bsky.social explains all this well:
newrepublic.com/article/2019...
Trump’s Fury at Dems Goes Nuclear as Crushing New Shutdown Poll Hits
As Trump’s anger grows amid another poll slide, Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg explains why Trump’s deep unpopularity should give you solace—even if beating him long term will be a brutal slog.
newrepublic.com
October 20, 2025 at 1:51 PM
Incredible numbers after the political media spent weeks hammering "the Dems are making a big mistake, the shutdown is their fault" as a main message, in contradiction to polling
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I definitely prefer Platner to Mills but like if he can't beat her with Democrats that does not say good things about his odds in the general. So long as a primary doesn't devolve into a deathwar having it be a real contest is good!
I don't even care that much about the Maine race, but the whining from the "primary everyone" crowd about a contested primary is negatively polarizing me here. Just win the primary, man.
October 10, 2025 at 3:56 PM
I definitely prefer Platner to Mills but like if he can't beat her with Democrats that does not say good things about his odds in the general. So long as a primary doesn't devolve into a deathwar having it be a real contest is good!
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Republicans have the numbers and the mechanism to pass whatever they want whenever they want through Congress. Why are they bothering to talk about Democrats' role?
Didn’t Senate Republicans prove last month that this is actually their shutdown? www.nytimes.com/2025/09/17/u...
October 2, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Republicans have the numbers and the mechanism to pass whatever they want whenever they want through Congress. Why are they bothering to talk about Democrats' role?
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FWIW, state AGs can look into Nexstar-Tegna, too.
They can start by speaking out against the impending Paramount-Warner Brothers merger and demanding that state AGs challenge it
This is Hollywood's McCarthy Moment.
This is the litmus test.
Learn from history.
Who will step up and fight?
Who will bend the knee and be complicit?
History will remember.
This is the litmus test.
Learn from history.
Who will step up and fight?
Who will bend the knee and be complicit?
History will remember.
September 17, 2025 at 11:50 PM
FWIW, state AGs can look into Nexstar-Tegna, too.
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the DOJ, nationwide, files about seventy thousand criminal cases a year. if every single one of those cases were filed against a No Kings protester from just one of the protests this year, that would be 1.1% of all attendees.
September 18, 2025 at 2:27 PM
the DOJ, nationwide, files about seventy thousand criminal cases a year. if every single one of those cases were filed against a No Kings protester from just one of the protests this year, that would be 1.1% of all attendees.
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It is pretty clear that dooming about authoritarianism drives more clicks than just about anything else right now and it's really driving some unfortunate behavior and sloppy thinking.
thats the problem with the internet age where activism has become a business so like people like Pod Save (not activists as such) make more money when Democrats are angry, frustrated, and scared looking to do something, well thats out of power, Dems winning is against their own self interest
August 31, 2025 at 9:52 PM
It is pretty clear that dooming about authoritarianism drives more clicks than just about anything else right now and it's really driving some unfortunate behavior and sloppy thinking.
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Sure, the independent federal reserve is a lynchpin of the American economic system but I’ve heard the new Lego game has a Rainbow Batman so maybe we need to consider what’s really important.
August 26, 2025 at 1:55 AM
Sure, the independent federal reserve is a lynchpin of the American economic system but I’ve heard the new Lego game has a Rainbow Batman so maybe we need to consider what’s really important.
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I put a lot of work into this. I would be so happy if you would read and share:
Why moving to the center won't save democrats:
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/moderation...
Why moving to the center won't save democrats:
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/moderation...
Moderation is overrated
In 2024, moderate candidates for the U.S. House barely outperformed the average partisan
www.gelliottmorris.com
August 13, 2025 at 12:02 PM
I put a lot of work into this. I would be so happy if you would read and share:
Why moving to the center won't save democrats:
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/moderation...
Why moving to the center won't save democrats:
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/moderation...
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I actually kind of do think this is your grandpa's republican party, considering that they nominated people like Goldwater and Reagan and whomever else and had wonderful things like the John Birch society.
Maybe they weren't as stupid as Trump (though with Reagan..)
Maybe they weren't as stupid as Trump (though with Reagan..)
Trump is a bigoted fascist operating at a third-grade reading level whose policies are completely incoherent. He believes in absolutely nothing but attention, wealth and power.
the closest the NYT can get to explaining this to readers is to proclaim "this isn't your grandpa's republican party"
the closest the NYT can get to explaining this to readers is to proclaim "this isn't your grandpa's republican party"
Trump Has Made Himself Commander in Chief of the Chip Industry
www.nytimes.com
August 13, 2025 at 2:21 PM
I actually kind of do think this is your grandpa's republican party, considering that they nominated people like Goldwater and Reagan and whomever else and had wonderful things like the John Birch society.
Maybe they weren't as stupid as Trump (though with Reagan..)
Maybe they weren't as stupid as Trump (though with Reagan..)
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if you donate to the Democratic Party in response to one of its many scam text, you are participating in a "fundraising" ecosystem with an efficiency of 1.8%.
data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-mother...
data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-mother...
The Mothership Vortex: An Investigation Into the Firm at the Heart of the Democratic Spam Machine
How a single consulting firm extracted $282 million from a network of spam PACs while delivering just $11 million to actual campaigns.
data4democracy.substack.com
August 3, 2025 at 5:26 PM
if you donate to the Democratic Party in response to one of its many scam text, you are participating in a "fundraising" ecosystem with an efficiency of 1.8%.
data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-mother...
data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-mother...
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The fact that he had to do so publicly probably means that private pressure from the WH has not led anywhere.
And there it is — Trump calls for the end of the Senate blue slip process for both judges and attorneys. Often viewed as one of the last vestiges of bipartisanship in the chamber.
Trump is calling it a “hoax.”
Trump is calling it a “hoax.”
July 29, 2025 at 10:50 PM
The fact that he had to do so publicly probably means that private pressure from the WH has not led anywhere.
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This is a data guy becoming a pundit and prognisticator problem. They never cam accept the idea that coalitions are malleable, because then you can't assume total accuracy in your data takes.
Basically the literal opposite of everything you say to the point of calling any reference to dummymandering a cope.
July 28, 2025 at 2:59 AM
This is a data guy becoming a pundit and prognisticator problem. They never cam accept the idea that coalitions are malleable, because then you can't assume total accuracy in your data takes.
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A note that there is actually bipartisan distrust of the media primarily because most major news sources, in an attempt to salvage conservative viewership, tacked more and more to the eight and away from anything even resembling the truth.
HTH and all that.
HTH and all that.
Last week, President Trump ramped up pressure on wavering GOP lawmakers, posting, "Any Republican that votes to allow this monstrosity to continue broadcasting will not have my support or Endorsement."
How bipartisan support for public media unraveled in the Trump era
"It will test every single shred of creativity we have to continue to try to serve our mission," says one public media executive, as Congress ends federal funding for public broadcasting.
n.pr
July 19, 2025 at 6:05 PM
A note that there is actually bipartisan distrust of the media primarily because most major news sources, in an attempt to salvage conservative viewership, tacked more and more to the eight and away from anything even resembling the truth.
HTH and all that.
HTH and all that.
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I think it was @pwnallthethings.bsky.social who said that the problem with our current immigration system is that it creates a tiered system of citizens, where there are capital classes and an imported labor class to keep the capital class fat and happy, etc.
This seems.. very much like that.
This seems.. very much like that.
I had to read this twice to believe it...Meloni, who ran for office on an anti-immigration platform, has now announced plans to let in hundreds of thousands of immigrants, in order to deal with the Italian labor shortage
www.reuters.com/world/italy-...
www.reuters.com/world/italy-...
Italy to issue half million non-EU work visas over next three years
The move is part of a strategy to expand legal immigration channels in response to labor shortages.
www.reuters.com
July 3, 2025 at 3:27 PM
I think it was @pwnallthethings.bsky.social who said that the problem with our current immigration system is that it creates a tiered system of citizens, where there are capital classes and an imported labor class to keep the capital class fat and happy, etc.
This seems.. very much like that.
This seems.. very much like that.
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Climate austerity from the left is an ideological undercurrent that must be destroyed at nearly any cost because it is one of the most regressive and inegalitarian positions you can take. The social and health returns on adequate AC alone are gigantic relative to the environmental footprint.
The fact that Le Pen(!) of all people is calling for AC is not a good look for the political future of France
Le Monde is calling it hell but they're still saying air conditioning is not a solution
July 2, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Climate austerity from the left is an ideological undercurrent that must be destroyed at nearly any cost because it is one of the most regressive and inegalitarian positions you can take. The social and health returns on adequate AC alone are gigantic relative to the environmental footprint.