@bockman.bsky.social
I retweet charts I want to come back to later.
Reposted
They’re definitely shorting the shit out of utilities…
November 24, 2025 at 6:03 PM
They’re definitely shorting the shit out of utilities…
Reposted
A chart from John Authers ahead of Nvidia’s quarterly earnings—a release that has arguably evolved from a corporate update to a full-blown “macro event”, illustrating how rapidly AI is becoming systemically for markets, companies and the economy.
#economy #ai #markets #nvidia
#economy #ai #markets #nvidia
November 19, 2025 at 7:48 AM
Reposted
China’s Deepening Malaise
China’s slowdown is accelerating and yet policymakers remain unconcerned bystanders, suggesting the weakening is less a story of endemic misfortune, but instead of political intent.
bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/chinas-dee...
China’s slowdown is accelerating and yet policymakers remain unconcerned bystanders, suggesting the weakening is less a story of endemic misfortune, but instead of political intent.
bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/chinas-dee...
November 14, 2025 at 11:16 AM
China’s Deepening Malaise
China’s slowdown is accelerating and yet policymakers remain unconcerned bystanders, suggesting the weakening is less a story of endemic misfortune, but instead of political intent.
bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/chinas-dee...
China’s slowdown is accelerating and yet policymakers remain unconcerned bystanders, suggesting the weakening is less a story of endemic misfortune, but instead of political intent.
bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/chinas-dee...
Reposted
How about Capital One $COF? They've cleaned up their balance sheet and exposure quite a bit in the last few years..
..shares +26% YTD
..shares +26% YTD
November 12, 2025 at 8:32 PM
How about Capital One $COF? They've cleaned up their balance sheet and exposure quite a bit in the last few years..
..shares +26% YTD
..shares +26% YTD
Reposted
There goes 90+ day credit-card delinquencies. New cycle high.
(via Kev Gordon)
(via Kev Gordon)
November 12, 2025 at 8:25 PM
There goes 90+ day credit-card delinquencies. New cycle high.
(via Kev Gordon)
(via Kev Gordon)
Reposted
“Where are the revenues”
Semianalysis expects azure revenue to accelerate to 50% YoY by end 2026
Semianalysis expects azure revenue to accelerate to 50% YoY by end 2026
November 12, 2025 at 8:44 PM
“Where are the revenues”
Semianalysis expects azure revenue to accelerate to 50% YoY by end 2026
Semianalysis expects azure revenue to accelerate to 50% YoY by end 2026
Reposted
The AI build-out is truly staggering.
Taiwanese exports of information & communication products (basically, semiconductors from TSMC) have risen from $10-11bn per month to $27bn in the space of a year. That's over $300bn annualised and roughly a fifth of total US equipment investment.
Taiwanese exports of information & communication products (basically, semiconductors from TSMC) have risen from $10-11bn per month to $27bn in the space of a year. That's over $300bn annualised and roughly a fifth of total US equipment investment.
November 7, 2025 at 8:37 AM
The AI build-out is truly staggering.
Taiwanese exports of information & communication products (basically, semiconductors from TSMC) have risen from $10-11bn per month to $27bn in the space of a year. That's over $300bn annualised and roughly a fifth of total US equipment investment.
Taiwanese exports of information & communication products (basically, semiconductors from TSMC) have risen from $10-11bn per month to $27bn in the space of a year. That's over $300bn annualised and roughly a fifth of total US equipment investment.
Reposted
📉This report is symptomatic of weakening employment growth with business leaders seeing reduced final demand growth, pervasive uncertainty, higher costs from tariffs & AI-productivity as a rationale to reduce their talent pool via strategic layoffs & lower hiring
⛔Year-to-date job cuts +65% y/y
⛔Year-to-date job cuts +65% y/y
November 6, 2025 at 2:32 PM
📉This report is symptomatic of weakening employment growth with business leaders seeing reduced final demand growth, pervasive uncertainty, higher costs from tariffs & AI-productivity as a rationale to reduce their talent pool via strategic layoffs & lower hiring
⛔Year-to-date job cuts +65% y/y
⛔Year-to-date job cuts +65% y/y
Reposted
We used to have colourful cars
November 2, 2025 at 5:21 AM
We used to have colourful cars
Reposted
The movie business changed dramatically starting in the late 1990s
November 2, 2025 at 5:20 AM
The movie business changed dramatically starting in the late 1990s
Reposted
Grape Harvest Dates in Beaune/Burgundy, 1659-2018.
Since the early 1980s, the moving 20-year avg of Burgundy grape harvest dates has dropped by 16 days. That is, harvest starts more than half a month earlier than 35 years ago. #climatechange #globalwarming
Since the early 1980s, the moving 20-year avg of Burgundy grape harvest dates has dropped by 16 days. That is, harvest starts more than half a month earlier than 35 years ago. #climatechange #globalwarming
November 1, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Grape Harvest Dates in Beaune/Burgundy, 1659-2018.
Since the early 1980s, the moving 20-year avg of Burgundy grape harvest dates has dropped by 16 days. That is, harvest starts more than half a month earlier than 35 years ago. #climatechange #globalwarming
Since the early 1980s, the moving 20-year avg of Burgundy grape harvest dates has dropped by 16 days. That is, harvest starts more than half a month earlier than 35 years ago. #climatechange #globalwarming
Reposted
U.S. Dollar Break Out 🚨 50-Day moving average just crossed the 100-Day moving average as well 📈✅👀
November 1, 2025 at 10:17 PM
U.S. Dollar Break Out 🚨 50-Day moving average just crossed the 100-Day moving average as well 📈✅👀
Reposted
Official data is in today, and American solar power remained near a record high in August, with generation up 25% compared to last year!
October 24, 2025 at 10:47 PM
Official data is in today, and American solar power remained near a record high in August, with generation up 25% compared to last year!
Reposted
fam is it a good sign that NFLX has zero bounce today ans is back under its 200 day?
October 23, 2025 at 2:01 PM
fam is it a good sign that NFLX has zero bounce today ans is back under its 200 day?
Reposted
Canada's lost decade in a single chart.
October 22, 2025 at 5:13 PM
Canada's lost decade in a single chart.
Reposted
“The Effect of Doping on Sprint Performance: An Eyeball RDD Analysis.” Graphic by The New York Times, line & label by me.
October 22, 2025 at 5:15 PM
“The Effect of Doping on Sprint Performance: An Eyeball RDD Analysis.” Graphic by The New York Times, line & label by me.
Reposted
Poised for our biggest five-day drop in UBS L/S Quant Momentum index since Feb 2023
Update: it’s not fine because the computers are shitting themselves
October 22, 2025 at 5:25 PM
Poised for our biggest five-day drop in UBS L/S Quant Momentum index since Feb 2023
Reposted
These should give little surprise behind goods level payrolls in Q3.
September may look a little better, but I'm on a hold for any optimism within the next 3-5 months for freight.
September may look a little better, but I'm on a hold for any optimism within the next 3-5 months for freight.
October 1, 2025 at 4:42 PM
These should give little surprise behind goods level payrolls in Q3.
September may look a little better, but I'm on a hold for any optimism within the next 3-5 months for freight.
September may look a little better, but I'm on a hold for any optimism within the next 3-5 months for freight.
Reposted
The S&P 500 index futures tick to four sixes..
The generational low in the cash index in March of 2009 was 666.
The generational low in the cash index in March of 2009 was 666.
September 15, 2025 at 1:11 PM
The S&P 500 index futures tick to four sixes..
The generational low in the cash index in March of 2009 was 666.
The generational low in the cash index in March of 2009 was 666.
Reposted
🫸 one way that credit spreads are not as eye-wateringly expensive
1. Bad news: spreads near 20yr lows (orange diamonds)
2. But duration also near 20yr lows in many areas
3. Can absorb bigger rise in spread before spread wiped out/before underperf gov bonds (blue diamonds) = margin of safety
1. Bad news: spreads near 20yr lows (orange diamonds)
2. But duration also near 20yr lows in many areas
3. Can absorb bigger rise in spread before spread wiped out/before underperf gov bonds (blue diamonds) = margin of safety
September 18, 2025 at 10:16 AM
🫸 one way that credit spreads are not as eye-wateringly expensive
1. Bad news: spreads near 20yr lows (orange diamonds)
2. But duration also near 20yr lows in many areas
3. Can absorb bigger rise in spread before spread wiped out/before underperf gov bonds (blue diamonds) = margin of safety
1. Bad news: spreads near 20yr lows (orange diamonds)
2. But duration also near 20yr lows in many areas
3. Can absorb bigger rise in spread before spread wiped out/before underperf gov bonds (blue diamonds) = margin of safety
Reposted
Fingers crossed the first jobs to go are for people charting who’s at risk from AI
September 17, 2025 at 8:51 PM
Fingers crossed the first jobs to go are for people charting who’s at risk from AI
Reposted
U.S. Dollar now testing 14-Year Support 🚨 It's now or never
September 16, 2025 at 10:32 PM
U.S. Dollar now testing 14-Year Support 🚨 It's now or never
Reposted
PANTHEON: “.. Households have become more worried again about the risk of losing their jobs. .. the average respondent saw a 23% chance that their spouse will lose their job over the next five years, up from 21% in August and the highest since March ..”
#UMich
#UMich
September 12, 2025 at 2:54 PM
PANTHEON: “.. Households have become more worried again about the risk of losing their jobs. .. the average respondent saw a 23% chance that their spouse will lose their job over the next five years, up from 21% in August and the highest since March ..”
#UMich
#UMich
Reposted
There’s a fair amount of money to be made IMO in successfully timing mean-reverting shifts in narratives of relative regional hubris.
September 12, 2025 at 3:22 PM
There’s a fair amount of money to be made IMO in successfully timing mean-reverting shifts in narratives of relative regional hubris.
Reposted
If you’re wondering why real incomes are collapsing, here’s one reason:
“.. almost 14% of workers are getting no raises.”
(via MetLife)
“.. almost 14% of workers are getting no raises.”
(via MetLife)
September 12, 2025 at 12:04 PM
If you’re wondering why real incomes are collapsing, here’s one reason:
“.. almost 14% of workers are getting no raises.”
(via MetLife)
“.. almost 14% of workers are getting no raises.”
(via MetLife)