Noah Williams
@bellmanequation.bsky.social
Miami Herbert Centennial Endowed Chair, Professor of Economics,
University of Miami
https://www.noahwilliams.xyz
University of Miami
https://www.noahwilliams.xyz
The publication process in economics:
January 17, 2026 at 5:23 PM
The publication process in economics:
New paper: “Uncertain Network Dynamics”
I analyze the dynamic transmission across a network of shocks with uncertain dynamic properties, which can capture both exogenous stochastic shocks & uncertainty in the network structure.
Paper here: drive.google.com/file/d/12ogG...
I analyze the dynamic transmission across a network of shocks with uncertain dynamic properties, which can capture both exogenous stochastic shocks & uncertainty in the network structure.
Paper here: drive.google.com/file/d/12ogG...
January 16, 2026 at 3:46 PM
New paper: “Uncertain Network Dynamics”
I analyze the dynamic transmission across a network of shocks with uncertain dynamic properties, which can capture both exogenous stochastic shocks & uncertainty in the network structure.
Paper here: drive.google.com/file/d/12ogG...
I analyze the dynamic transmission across a network of shocks with uncertain dynamic properties, which can capture both exogenous stochastic shocks & uncertainty in the network structure.
Paper here: drive.google.com/file/d/12ogG...
“Bubble Watch: Miami”
This island off Miami is now America's most expensive ZIP code, with a median sale price of $9.5 million.
www.axios.com/2026/01/12/m...
This island off Miami is now America's most expensive ZIP code, with a median sale price of $9.5 million.
www.axios.com/2026/01/12/m...
January 12, 2026 at 11:44 AM
“Bubble Watch: Miami”
This island off Miami is now America's most expensive ZIP code, with a median sale price of $9.5 million.
www.axios.com/2026/01/12/m...
This island off Miami is now America's most expensive ZIP code, with a median sale price of $9.5 million.
www.axios.com/2026/01/12/m...
As a Packers owner*, I say that it is time to move on from this coaching staff
*(1 share, no resale value, limited voting rights, basically a donation)
*(1 share, no resale value, limited voting rights, basically a donation)
January 11, 2026 at 4:48 AM
As a Packers owner*, I say that it is time to move on from this coaching staff
*(1 share, no resale value, limited voting rights, basically a donation)
*(1 share, no resale value, limited voting rights, basically a donation)
ACC college basketball is still a lot of fun
January 10, 2026 at 9:31 PM
ACC college basketball is still a lot of fun
Seems we’re about here now.
Potential employment growth under low immigration: 0-40,000 per month.
Source: @wendyedelberg.bsky.social and @stanveuger.bsky.social www.aei.org/wp-content/u...
Potential employment growth under low immigration: 0-40,000 per month.
Source: @wendyedelberg.bsky.social and @stanveuger.bsky.social www.aei.org/wp-content/u...
January 9, 2026 at 2:03 PM
Seems we’re about here now.
Potential employment growth under low immigration: 0-40,000 per month.
Source: @wendyedelberg.bsky.social and @stanveuger.bsky.social www.aei.org/wp-content/u...
Potential employment growth under low immigration: 0-40,000 per month.
Source: @wendyedelberg.bsky.social and @stanveuger.bsky.social www.aei.org/wp-content/u...
Reposted by Noah Williams
Average payroll growth of 14.5k over the last 6 months and yet an unemployment rate that is barely moving and now at 4.4%, suggesting we are in the ballpark of full employment. How can that be? Immigration. Read my nytimes op-ed.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/23/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/23/o...
Opinion | We’re Seeing What a No-Immigration Economy Looks Like
www.nytimes.com
January 9, 2026 at 1:40 PM
Average payroll growth of 14.5k over the last 6 months and yet an unemployment rate that is barely moving and now at 4.4%, suggesting we are in the ballpark of full employment. How can that be? Immigration. Read my nytimes op-ed.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/23/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/23/o...
Latest edition of “Bubble Watch: Miami”
January 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM
Latest edition of “Bubble Watch: Miami”
When you drive a beater car but it passes inspection
January 7, 2026 at 2:37 PM
When you drive a beater car but it passes inspection
When I got tix for Nuggets-Sixers, seemed like a great matchup with Jokic vs Embiid. Unfortunately *all* Denver starters (& more) out with injury. Below is all we saw of Jokic. Biggest shock was Denver still won.
January 6, 2026 at 4:39 PM
When I got tix for Nuggets-Sixers, seemed like a great matchup with Jokic vs Embiid. Unfortunately *all* Denver starters (& more) out with injury. Below is all we saw of Jokic. Biggest shock was Denver still won.
House from 1703 for sale in Elfreth’s Alley, Philadelphia
139elfrethsalley.com
139elfrethsalley.com
January 5, 2026 at 7:19 PM
House from 1703 for sale in Elfreth’s Alley, Philadelphia
139elfrethsalley.com
139elfrethsalley.com
The AEA is not what it used to be
January 5, 2026 at 3:16 PM
The AEA is not what it used to be
Got soft. This would’ve been a warm January day a few years ago, now I’m frozen
January 3, 2026 at 12:42 AM
Got soft. This would’ve been a warm January day a few years ago, now I’m frozen
It’s here (and don’t worry the iguana is OK & will wake up when it warms)
December 31, 2025 at 3:19 PM
It’s here (and don’t worry the iguana is OK & will wake up when it warms)
Only snowman I saw this year
December 30, 2025 at 7:26 PM
Only snowman I saw this year
Gonna need to run an ultramarathon tomorrow to make my mileage goal for 2025
December 30, 2025 at 5:50 PM
Gonna need to run an ultramarathon tomorrow to make my mileage goal for 2025
D. Gale Johnson's initial appointment to the University of Chicago in 1944. He was running the undegrad honors thesis workshop 50 years latern when I was in undergrad.
December 28, 2025 at 5:47 PM
D. Gale Johnson's initial appointment to the University of Chicago in 1944. He was running the undegrad honors thesis workshop 50 years latern when I was in undergrad.
December 27, 2025 at 1:02 AM
Some places await the first snowfall of the year, in Miami we await the first iguana fall
December 26, 2025 at 7:57 PM
Some places await the first snowfall of the year, in Miami we await the first iguana fall
My first Christmas
December 26, 2025 at 5:58 PM
My first Christmas
Christmas parklife
December 25, 2025 at 6:52 PM
Christmas parklife
Network dynamics for the holidays: here a path network. It has local diffusion and reflection at the boundaries. It’s kind of an intermediate case between complete & star networks, as it can dissipate shocks, but only locally. The worst-case shock for disagreement pushes one end up, the other down.
December 24, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Network dynamics for the holidays: here a path network. It has local diffusion and reflection at the boundaries. It’s kind of an intermediate case between complete & star networks, as it can dissipate shocks, but only locally. The worst-case shock for disagreement pushes one end up, the other down.
This will never look right
December 23, 2025 at 2:52 AM
This will never look right
Wisconsin in the CFP:
President of U of Oregon, Karl Scholz, was my colleague in economics (and later dean & provost) at UW Madison. President of James Madison U, Jim Schmidt was Chancellor of UW-Eau Claire.
President of U of Oregon, Karl Scholz, was my colleague in economics (and later dean & provost) at UW Madison. President of James Madison U, Jim Schmidt was Chancellor of UW-Eau Claire.
December 21, 2025 at 12:42 AM
Wisconsin in the CFP:
President of U of Oregon, Karl Scholz, was my colleague in economics (and later dean & provost) at UW Madison. President of James Madison U, Jim Schmidt was Chancellor of UW-Eau Claire.
President of U of Oregon, Karl Scholz, was my colleague in economics (and later dean & provost) at UW Madison. President of James Madison U, Jim Schmidt was Chancellor of UW-Eau Claire.