@eridyn.bsky.social
International Relations
Applied Econ
Public Policy
Labor Econ
Applied Econ
Public Policy
Labor Econ
Pinned
Not my best day. Completely mis-remembered a few things from a conference six months ago; multiple (minor) typos in a panel discussion invite I sent - despite multiple proof reads; and a weird throbbing headache that's proven extremely distracting, ongoing since yesterday.
January 16, 2026 at 9:28 PM
Not my best day. Completely mis-remembered a few things from a conference six months ago; multiple (minor) typos in a panel discussion invite I sent - despite multiple proof reads; and a weird throbbing headache that's proven extremely distracting, ongoing since yesterday.
Reposted
Doomerist nonsense is just obeying in advance, but sniveling about it.
i don't even know why i'm raising this here because i know i'm going to get a hundred replies of "Trump has god powers that will let him do whatever he wants and thus we have no choice but to bend to his will," but for those of you capable of complex thought, these are questions to ask yourself.
January 15, 2026 at 5:57 PM
Doomerist nonsense is just obeying in advance, but sniveling about it.
Reposted
please disregard, r/RealTesla is alive and well, Reddit was simply doing a goof
woah, the r/RealTesla subreddit, once the unofficial home of online Tesla haters, has gone dark
things had been slowing down there for a while, as being a Tesla hater became increasingly mainstream, but no idea why it was finally put to bed
things had been slowing down there for a while, as being a Tesla hater became increasingly mainstream, but no idea why it was finally put to bed
January 13, 2026 at 5:06 PM
please disregard, r/RealTesla is alive and well, Reddit was simply doing a goof
Reposted
Hakeem Jeffries is afraid of a bad poll, meanwhile the observers and neighbors here on the ground in Minneapolis are afraid of being beaten senseless, dragged into a car, and raced out of their neighborhood. They’re not yielding but he is. Consider new leaders, Democrats
January 13, 2026 at 5:21 AM
Hakeem Jeffries is afraid of a bad poll, meanwhile the observers and neighbors here on the ground in Minneapolis are afraid of being beaten senseless, dragged into a car, and raced out of their neighborhood. They’re not yielding but he is. Consider new leaders, Democrats
Reposted
It sucks but organized labor was kind of on the fence about Trump vs Biden. Theres a reason churches and liberals are the big counter force right now— they’re against cruelty on principle not out of interest
January 13, 2026 at 5:45 AM
It sucks but organized labor was kind of on the fence about Trump vs Biden. Theres a reason churches and liberals are the big counter force right now— they’re against cruelty on principle not out of interest
I've been reprimanded as "political" for simply explaining tariffs. I've made coworkers visibly uncomfortable by carrying on honest discussions - even when started by clients - instead of sidestepping "politics." Don't think I can be so forthright as Justin, and greatly appreciate that he is so.
"It's a thing that tin pot dictators do right before starting a hyperinflation and destroying their own economies." youtu.be/XGYHbCJVQCg
Trump’s Threat to Indict Jerome Powell Is a ‘Dark and Dangerous’ Moment, Says Justin Wolfers
What does it signal when a president threatens criminal charges against an independent central banker?
Economist Justin Wolfers explains why the Trump administration’s investigation into Fed Chair…
youtu.be
January 12, 2026 at 4:36 AM
I've been reprimanded as "political" for simply explaining tariffs. I've made coworkers visibly uncomfortable by carrying on honest discussions - even when started by clients - instead of sidestepping "politics." Don't think I can be so forthright as Justin, and greatly appreciate that he is so.
Reposted
We’re touching stove, and frankly, we’re going to be touching a lot more than just stove very soon. We love burner, don’t we? Should I touch it? They don’t think I should touch it. I’m going to touch it folks.
January 12, 2026 at 1:15 AM
We’re touching stove, and frankly, we’re going to be touching a lot more than just stove very soon. We love burner, don’t we? Should I touch it? They don’t think I should touch it. I’m going to touch it folks.
Reposted
The end (or dramatic weakening) of both Federal Reserve Independence and NATO in 2026 would signal, beyond all doubt, the end of the American Century. And it would not be due to any external enemy— America would only have itself to blame…
I think it’s more likely than not that we see the end of Fed independence and NATO this year.
January 12, 2026 at 1:26 AM
The end (or dramatic weakening) of both Federal Reserve Independence and NATO in 2026 would signal, beyond all doubt, the end of the American Century. And it would not be due to any external enemy— America would only have itself to blame…
Reposted
Trump says he’s mandating cc int rates capped at 10%, J POW says DOJ is threatening criminal charges to intimate the Fed into changing policy, Trump posted he’s the King of Venezuela, the list goes on… futures are *checks notes* -43 bps off ATH
January 12, 2026 at 1:41 AM
Trump says he’s mandating cc int rates capped at 10%, J POW says DOJ is threatening criminal charges to intimate the Fed into changing policy, Trump posted he’s the King of Venezuela, the list goes on… futures are *checks notes* -43 bps off ATH
Reposted
hi, political philosopher here! this is not funny, central banks only do this when they're in extreme distress
Video message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG...
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG...
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
Statement by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell
YouTube video by Federal Reserve
www.youtube.com
January 12, 2026 at 1:04 AM
hi, political philosopher here! this is not funny, central banks only do this when they're in extreme distress
Reposted
so market open tomorrow is gonna be interesting
January 12, 2026 at 1:35 AM
so market open tomorrow is gonna be interesting
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At least my mortgage will get paid off with inflation
If you wreck the Fed I don’t think you’re going to like what it looks like on the other side.
January 12, 2026 at 1:37 AM
At least my mortgage will get paid off with inflation
Well, I successfully found the long slack thread where I explained the effects of politization of monetary policy....
January 12, 2026 at 1:38 AM
Well, I successfully found the long slack thread where I explained the effects of politization of monetary policy....
Reposted
Jerome Powell is a huge asset to monetary policymaking.
I hope he remains at the Federal Reserve not only through his term as Chair (May 2026) but through his term as Governor (January 2028)
I hope he remains at the Federal Reserve not only through his term as Chair (May 2026) but through his term as Governor (January 2028)
January 12, 2026 at 1:20 AM
Jerome Powell is a huge asset to monetary policymaking.
I hope he remains at the Federal Reserve not only through his term as Chair (May 2026) but through his term as Governor (January 2028)
I hope he remains at the Federal Reserve not only through his term as Chair (May 2026) but through his term as Governor (January 2028)
Me: *gets home from a quick grocery run*
Spouse: "I sent you something."
Me: 😏
Spouse: *plays the Powell video*
Me: 😰
Spouse: "I sent you something."
Me: 😏
Spouse: *plays the Powell video*
Me: 😰
January 12, 2026 at 1:21 AM
Me: *gets home from a quick grocery run*
Spouse: "I sent you something."
Me: 😏
Spouse: *plays the Powell video*
Me: 😰
Spouse: "I sent you something."
Me: 😏
Spouse: *plays the Powell video*
Me: 😰
Reposted
If a new president unilaterally does a huge DHS reduction in force in Jan 2029, none will collect & it will create a lot of budget capacity for better uses.
I just found out last night that the $50k enrollment bonus only pays out after 5 years of service, and reader, the laugh I let out when I read that woke the dog from across the house. These absolute fucking grapes aren't seeing a dime of that money. No way they can ride out 5 years of this job.
ICE recruitment is going well.
January 11, 2026 at 10:06 PM
If a new president unilaterally does a huge DHS reduction in force in Jan 2029, none will collect & it will create a lot of budget capacity for better uses.
Reposted
Destroying X would be an important blow against the current rightwing white nationalist insanity
BREAKING: The UK Government is working with Canada and Australia to launch a coordinated ban on X, per the Telegraph
January 11, 2026 at 3:08 PM
Destroying X would be an important blow against the current rightwing white nationalist insanity
Reposted
Note that the sudden rise in "nudification" is not an advance in the tech itself, it's a design choice by Musk / xAI.
LMMs trained with nude images have been able to do this for years; Grok is the first time a major company has chosen to enhance this functionality for users rather than restrict it.
LMMs trained with nude images have been able to do this for years; Grok is the first time a major company has chosen to enhance this functionality for users rather than restrict it.
The “put her in a bikini” trend began quietly at the end of last year before exploding at the start of 2026. Within days, hundreds of thousands of requests were being made to the Grok chatbot, asking it to strip the clothes from photographs of women.
‘Add blood, forced smile’: how Grok’s nudification tool went viral
The ‘put her in a bikini’ trend rapidly evolved into hundreds of thousands of requests to strip clothes from photos of women, horrifying those targeted
www.theguardian.com
January 11, 2026 at 7:08 PM
Note that the sudden rise in "nudification" is not an advance in the tech itself, it's a design choice by Musk / xAI.
LMMs trained with nude images have been able to do this for years; Grok is the first time a major company has chosen to enhance this functionality for users rather than restrict it.
LMMs trained with nude images have been able to do this for years; Grok is the first time a major company has chosen to enhance this functionality for users rather than restrict it.
An exercise I must recommend to everyone, is to pause and consider the individual events - whether obviously significant in some way or innocuous and irrelevant in their moment - that come to determine the course of our lives, who we are and who we are yet becoming.
Such small things sculpt us.
Such small things sculpt us.
January 10, 2026 at 5:22 PM
An exercise I must recommend to everyone, is to pause and consider the individual events - whether obviously significant in some way or innocuous and irrelevant in their moment - that come to determine the course of our lives, who we are and who we are yet becoming.
Such small things sculpt us.
Such small things sculpt us.
Reposted
Sorry, but it’s time to depress the already dismal science some more.
Economists are facing a recession
(My column this week)
1st 300 clicks free to read...
as.ft.com/r/6d67877e-4...
(My column this week)
1st 300 clicks free to read...
as.ft.com/r/6d67877e-4...
Economists are facing a recession
[FREE TO READ] Demand for their work is down as a hiring crunch hits
as.ft.com
January 9, 2026 at 3:55 PM
Sorry, but it’s time to depress the already dismal science some more.
Reposted
I know this is bad, but of all the “Holy Cow” things Trump and his people have done this week, this is like #10 on the list - which shows you just how insane this week was, because this is *really* bad.
Holy cow: TRUMP LEAKED THIS MORNING'S PAYROLL NUMBERS.
At 8:20pm last night he posted a photo of a briefing he received from his CEA. It reveals market-moving numbers that were officially released at 8:30am this morning.
(Note: CEA receives the data—confidentially—on Thursday evening.)
At 8:20pm last night he posted a photo of a briefing he received from his CEA. It reveals market-moving numbers that were officially released at 8:30am this morning.
(Note: CEA receives the data—confidentially—on Thursday evening.)
January 9, 2026 at 3:49 PM
I know this is bad, but of all the “Holy Cow” things Trump and his people have done this week, this is like #10 on the list - which shows you just how insane this week was, because this is *really* bad.
Okay, first general meeting as local president over. Seems a good reaction and that we're likely to have at least two new members joining. Likewise, getting three new potential board members on means we're on track for a full board for the first time in at least 3 but probably closer to 10 years.
January 9, 2026 at 4:20 AM
Okay, first general meeting as local president over. Seems a good reaction and that we're likely to have at least two new members joining. Likewise, getting three new potential board members on means we're on track for a full board for the first time in at least 3 but probably closer to 10 years.
Reposted
Most people -- including "experts"! -- still don't understand how despicably ghoulish many Americans are in their support for authoritarian political violence. Same goes for the depth & breadth of supremacist views by race, religion, & gender. (Marginalized ppl understand too well.)
![A Gallup poll taken the day after the shootings reportedly showed that 58 percent of respondents blamed the students, 11 percent blamed the National Guard, and 31 percent expressed no opinion.[89] However, there was wide discussion as to whether these were legally justified shootings of American citizens, and whether the protests or the decisions to ban them were constitutional. These debates further galvanized uncommitted opinions through the terms of the discourse. The term "massacre" was applied to the shootings by some individuals and media sources, as it had been used for the Boston Massacre of 1770, in which five were killed and several more wounded.[3][5]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:4q6ctl7imutpx4wxfzub554r/bafkreih6q773s4co7hu4bone34bz5cjidx26qbd7hv3t5izfqgnkuopzqi@jpeg)
January 8, 2026 at 2:25 PM
Most people -- including "experts"! -- still don't understand how despicably ghoulish many Americans are in their support for authoritarian political violence. Same goes for the depth & breadth of supremacist views by race, religion, & gender. (Marginalized ppl understand too well.)
Reposted
*Which* dumbfuck ideas in particular Trump would crash the entire ship of state in the thrall of were always up to chance.
The only thing of which we could be certain was that he'd sooner or later pick one to go full senile despot Leeroy Jenkins with.
But it's hard for ppl to accept that reality.
The only thing of which we could be certain was that he'd sooner or later pick one to go full senile despot Leeroy Jenkins with.
But it's hard for ppl to accept that reality.
January 6, 2026 at 9:35 PM
*Which* dumbfuck ideas in particular Trump would crash the entire ship of state in the thrall of were always up to chance.
The only thing of which we could be certain was that he'd sooner or later pick one to go full senile despot Leeroy Jenkins with.
But it's hard for ppl to accept that reality.
The only thing of which we could be certain was that he'd sooner or later pick one to go full senile despot Leeroy Jenkins with.
But it's hard for ppl to accept that reality.