Michael D. McDonald

Michael McDonald

@electproject.bsky.social

130K followers 230 following 4.5K posts

Professor of Political Science at the University of Florida specializing in American elections

Videos

Michael P. McDonald is an American political scientist. He is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Florida where he focuses on the United States elections.

Source: Wikipedia

Political science 57%

Economics 20%

Posts Replies Media Videos

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 4h

No one who has ever been in one of these packed sardine cans would call it a lounge

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 4h

A mobile lounge carrying passengers crashed at Washington Dulles International Airport on Monday, injuring more than a dozen people and causing some damage to the terminal.

Mobile Lounge Crashes at Dulles Airport, Causing Injuries and Damage

More than a dozen people were hurt and will be evaluated at a hospital. Air travel has been hampered in recent days by the government shutdown.

nyti.ms

Reposted by Michael D. McDonald

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 4h

A mobile lounge carrying passengers crashed at Washington Dulles International Airport on Monday, injuring more than a dozen people and causing some damage to the terminal.

Mobile Lounge Crashes at Dulles Airport, Causing Injuries and Damage

More than a dozen people were hurt and will be evaluated at a hospital. Air travel has been hampered in recent days by the government shutdown.

nyti.ms

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 10h

At least someone understood my sarcasm and who it was directed at

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 10h

Why didn’t Senate Democrats keep the government shut down until January, 2027?

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 10h

Don’t you ever go changing, Nate Silver

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 12h

the hipsters, they’re ordering double frufru mocha soy frappuccino. doesn’t anybody order a black coffee anymore

Jarvis
@jarvis_best -14h
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On the Edge Nate
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They're too busy burning American Eagle jeans at socially distanced bonfires to have noticed that the shutdown ended.
6:43 PM • 11/9/25 • 402K Views

Reposted by Ben H. Ansell, Will Jennings, Steve Peers , and 5 more Ben H. Ansell, Will Jennings, Steve Peers, Anders Nilsson, Alan Richardson, Michael D. McDonald, Simon Lester, Peter Jacobs

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 12h

the hipsters, they’re ordering double frufru mocha soy frappuccino. doesn’t anybody order a black coffee anymore

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 16h

Trump and Republicans raised ACA health care premiums. They were unwilling to compromise despite a historically long shutdown and dismal public approval. Holding a vote after premiums go up, and enforcing the vote with another shutdown threat can force Republicans to own the issue

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Mark D. White, Rosemary A. Joyce , and 5 more Anna O. Law, Mark D. White, Rosemary A. Joyce, Guy Grossman, David R. Miller, Michael D. McDonald, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Elise Thomas

Kyle Cheney @kyledcheney.bsky.social · 23h

NEW: Donald Trump has pardoned a long list of allies in his bid to subvert the 2020 election including:

-Rudy Giuliani
-John Eastman
-Mark Meadows
-Sidney Powell
-Ken Chesebro
-Christina Bobb
-Kelli Ward
-Jenna Ellis

www.politico.com/news/2025/11...

Reposted by Michael E. Mann, Norbert Schwarz, Will Jennings , and 5 more Michael E. Mann, Norbert Schwarz, Will Jennings, W. Andy Knight, Scott A. Imberman, Michael D. McDonald, Nathan P. Kalmoe, David Darmofal

Brian Tyler Cohen @briantylercohen.bsky.social · 1d

Trump just got massively booed and flipped off by the crowd at the Commanders game.

(Video: Marisa Schultz)

Reposted by Scott A. Imberman, Rebecca M. Bratspies, Michael D. McDonald , and 1 more Scott A. Imberman, Rebecca M. Bratspies, Michael D. McDonald, James M. Thomas

Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 1d

Regular reminder that Axios stories saying Dems are about to cave are likely sourced from GOP staffers trying to make it happen.
Doesn't mean it definitely won't happen. But it's like those NYT stories that Harvard is considering caving (they haven't). The anonymous source was trying to manifest it.

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 1d

"We" means I will take credit for what Democrats do to fix the problem I created

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1d

WELKER: Should the 300,000 Oklahomas who rely on ACA subsidies be prepared for their costs to skyrocket?

LANKFORD: We're trying to find a way to be able to help

(That's a yes!)

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 1d

Ice goons + SNAP = misery for the poor

Gilded ballrooms and bathrooms, lavish parties, flying palaces, and billions in crypto schemes for Trump

Reposted by Michael D. McDonald, David Darmofal

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1d

WELKER: Should the 300,000 Oklahomas who rely on ACA subsidies be prepared for their costs to skyrocket?

LANKFORD: We're trying to find a way to be able to help

(That's a yes!)

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 1d

Trump take Thanksgiving family dinner

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 1d

The disruptions from federal restrictions on flying at the nation’s busiest airports were challenging, but relatively contained this weekend. But the cuts are expected to grow in the coming days, threatening to wreak havoc for airlines and travelers as Thanksgiving approaches.

Airport Disruptions May Get Worse This Week

The fact that planes are generally less full in early November helped airlines limit the impact. That will change as Thanksgiving nears.

nyti.ms

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 1d

Now time for another nappy nap after all that thumb exercise

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1d

the president is nutso

images of Trump's insane Truth Social posts just from Sunday morning

Reposted by Michael D. McDonald

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 1d

Airport Disruptions May Get Worse This Week

The fact that planes are generally less full in early November helped airlines limit the impact. That will change as Thanksgiving nears.

nyti.ms

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 1d

There’s also tariffs and ICE goons weighing down the economy. If it wasn’t for the AI bubble the size of the Death Star we’d been in recession right now

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1d

STEPHANOPOULOS: Are we starting to see a permanent impact on the economy from the shutdown?

BESSENT: It's getting worse and worse. We had a fantastic economy under Trump the last 2 Qs, and now there are estimates that growth this Q could be cut by as much as half. We could end up with shortages.

Reposted by Michael D. McDonald

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1d

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 1d

Heritage, of course

Reposted by David Rothschild, Michael D. McDonald, David Darmofal

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1d

the president is nutso

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 1d

Curious if they included length of all-time high streak in their model, because I see a pattern

Reposted by Anne Applebaum, Will Jennings, Steve Peers , and 9 more Anne Applebaum, Will Jennings, Steve Peers, Leigh Sparks, David Rothschild, David S. Cohen, Aaron Sojourner, Scott A. Imberman, Michael D. McDonald, Christina Pagel, Daxton R. Stewart, David Darmofal

Molly Jong-Fast @mollyjongfast.bsky.social · 1d

So the oldest person ever to become president keeps falling asleep in his office during public events and there’s no big public discussion on how this is a coverup or how republicans are lying to us about how this government is running?

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 1d

The Heritage Foundation, of course. It’s in the name of

ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 1d

1/ The US Government has quietly removed a memorial to Black soldiers who died in World War II from the Netherlands American Cemetery in Margraten, South Limburg. The move follows a complaint from the right-wing Heritage Foundation to the American Battle Monuments Commission. ⬇️

Reposted by Jonathan Portes, Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele , and 40 more Jonathan Portes, Anna O. Law, Kim L. Scheppele, Simon Hix, Norbert Schwarz, Jon Pierre, Steve Peers, David Feldman, Rosemary A. Joyce, Philip N. Cohen, Martin Paul Eve, Andrew Curry, Lesley A. Hall, Robert J. Spitzer, Juan Cole, Trevon D. Logan, Gerald Friedman, Alison Johnson, Victor Galaz, Will Lowe, Claudia Diehl, C. Kirabo Jackson, Michael H. Whitworth, Michael D. McDonald, Anne Norton, Brian Keegan, Jason Lyall, Mark Robinson, Tom Stoppard, Karen L. Cox, Julie Novkov, Brooke Harrington, Rebecca Zorach, David S. Tanenhaus, Nancy M. Wingfield, Magda Teter, Seth Frey, Aidan O’Sullivan, Virginia Sapiro, Dunlap, David Darmofal, Peter Jacobs, Kristina McElheran

ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 1d

Reposted by Michael D. McDonald, Olivier Mannoni, David Darmofal

PatriotTakes 🇺🇸 @patriottakes.bsky.social · 2d

A $64,000 Thailand beach vacation package being auctioned off at Mar-a-Lago as Americans continue to struggle with high grocery prices

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 2d

Add noticeable drooping on the right side of Trump's face when he loses focus

JM Rieger @riegerreport.bsky.social · 2d

During an event on Thursday, Donald Trump seemed to repeatedly struggle to keep his eyes open.

A Washington Post analysis of multiple video feeds found that Trump spent roughly 20 minutes battling to keep his eyes open.

New video w/ @ddiamond.bsky.social

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 2d

Health insurance CEOs are at this moment ordering a golden golf cart

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 2d

Pretty clear relationship between statewide VEP turnout rates and the shift in the Democratic margin of victory compared with 2024. NJ and VA experienced about half the average special election margin shift of 14.4 points.

Michael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 2d

A rule-of-thumb forecast that might be informative moving forward is to take the special election margin shifts over the next year and divide by half. I explain here michaelmcdonald.substack.com/p/turnout-an...

Turnout and Margin of Victory in the 2025 Statewide Partisan Races

Low Turnout Special Elections Do Have Useful Information

michaelmcdonald.substack.com

Reposted by Michael D. McDonald

Dave Byrnes @djbyrnes1.bsky.social · 2d

District Judge Sara Ellis' injunction order limits how and when feds can use gas in the Chicago area.

It restricts the use of gas in "residential or commercial areas" that could risk injury to a plaintiff class member "who is not causing an immediate threat of physical harm to another person"

Image text:

Preliminary Injunction Order
Plaintiffs filed a Motion for a Preliminary Injunction Order against Defendants.
Having held a hearing on November 5 and 6, 2025, the Court finds that Plaintiffs have met their
burden to support the issuance of a Preliminary Injunction. The Court orally issued its ruling,
containing findings of facts, conclusions of law, and stated reasons why the Court issued the
injunction pursuant to Federal Rules of Civil Procedure 52(a)(2) and 65(d), on November 6, 2025,
and indicated that a written opinion will follow further explaining the Court’s ruling and providing
supporting evidentiary and case citations within 14 days of the issuance of this Order. Accordingly,
the Court grants the motion and orders as follows:
1. It is hereby ORDERED that Defendants, their officers, agents, assigns, and all
persons acting in concert with them (hereafter referred to as “Federal Agents”), are ENJOINED in
this judicial district from:

Image text:
Dispersal of Others: Issuing a crowd dispersal order, meaning a lawful
command given by an authorized Federal Agent for all persons to leave a designated area,
that requires any Class member to leave a public place that they lawfully have a right to
be, unless dispersal is justified by exigent circumstances such that immediate action is
objectively necessary in order to preserve life or prevent catastrophic outcomes as defined
by Department of Homeland Security Use of Force Policy (updated Feb. 6, 2023), Section
XII.E;
c. Using riot control weapons––including kinetic impact projectiles (KIPs),
Compressed Air Launchers (e.g., PLS and FN303), Oleoresin Capsicum (OC) Spray, CS
gas, CN gas, or other chemical irritants, 40 mm Munitions Launchers, less-lethal shotguns,
Less-Lethal Specialty Impact-Chemical Munitions (LLSI-CM), Controlled Noise and
Light Distraction Devices (CNLDDs), Electronic Control Weapons (ECWs)––on any
Class member, unless such force is objectively necessary to stop the person from causing
an immediate threat of physical harm to another person;
d. Using riot control weapons (including those described above) at identified
targets if it is reasonably foreseeable that doing so could result in injury to any Class
member, unless such force is objectively necessary to stop the person from causing an
immediate threat of physical harm to another person

Image text:

e. Deploying CS or CN gas canisters, OC spray, or other chemical irritants
into a group of people or in residential or commercial areas in a manner that poses a
reasonably foreseeable risk of injuring any Class member who is not causing an immediate
threat of physical harm to another person;
f. Deploying CS or CN gas canisters, Controlled Noise and Light Distraction
Devices (CNLDD), or Less-Lethal Specialty Impact and Chemical Munitions (LLSI-CM)
so as to strike any Class member, unless such force is objectively necessary to stop an
immediate threat of the person causing serious bodily injury or death to another person;
g. Deploying CS or CN gas canisters, Controlled Noise and Light Distraction
Devices (CNLDD), or Less-Lethal Specialty Impact and Chemical Munitions (LLSI-CM)
above the head of any Class member, unless such force is objectively necessary to stop an
immediate threat of the person causing serious bodily injury or death to another person;
h. Firing Compressed Air Launchers (e.g., PLS and FN303), or Munitions
Launchers (e.g., 40mm), or KIPs so as to strike the head, neck, groin, spine, or female
breast of any Class member, unless such force is objectively necessary to stop an immediate
threat of the person causing serious bodily injury or death to another person

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