Paul Nadeau
@pauljnadeau.bsky.social
Trade, politics, and geoeconomics. Adjunct associate professor with Temple University Japan, visiting research fellow with the Institute of Geoeconomics/Asia Pacific Initiative, should be GM of the Quebec Nordiques. Usual disclaimers.
Pinned
Paul Nadeau
@pauljnadeau.bsky.social
· Apr 4
If you know any international students in the United States, a colleague of mine made a flier to help students with finding an immigration lawyer. Please share and circulate among your networks:
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
New piece from Tokyo Review: Writing about Japan's declining suicides, Peter Chai from Waseda University argues that the numbers obscure the unequal distribution of risk www.tokyoreview.net/2025/11/japa...
Japan’s suicide rates decline, but risks persist for youth and women
For much of the late 20th and early 21st centuries, Japan faced persistently high suicide rates. According to the Ministry of Health, Labor, and Welfare, annual suicides exceeded 30,000 for 14 consecu...
www.tokyoreview.net
November 11, 2025 at 8:15 AM
New piece from Tokyo Review: Writing about Japan's declining suicides, Peter Chai from Waseda University argues that the numbers obscure the unequal distribution of risk www.tokyoreview.net/2025/11/japa...
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
Remember 25 years ago when a photo was taken of a fed pointing a gun at a crying refugee child and the image was so shameful it dominated the news cycle for a year
November 11, 2025 at 12:47 AM
Remember 25 years ago when a photo was taken of a fed pointing a gun at a crying refugee child and the image was so shameful it dominated the news cycle for a year
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
I think this is good insight into cop brain bc no fucking way they knew what USIP was and had any opinions on it, they're just losers excited to "raid" something
BREAKING update to my lawsuit against DC Metropolitan PD for body cam footage from USIP raid —
We've submitted our response, including sworn declarations from *six* USIP workers, 1 of whom says he "observed members of MPD giving each other high-fives and fist bumps" after removing staff from bldg.
We've submitted our response, including sworn declarations from *six* USIP workers, 1 of whom says he "observed members of MPD giving each other high-fives and fist bumps" after removing staff from bldg.
Former USIP security chief says MPD gave 'high-fives and fist bumps' after raid
The latest on the lawsuit to get MPD's body cam footage released.
www.thehandbasket.co
November 11, 2025 at 2:15 AM
I think this is good insight into cop brain bc no fucking way they knew what USIP was and had any opinions on it, they're just losers excited to "raid" something
It's really just nostalgia and homesickness that makes me want to move back to the States. Any practical consideration would be the lifestyle equivalent of shooting myself in the hand with a shotgun
My ACA current plan is going from $385/mo to $821/mo.
November 11, 2025 at 3:25 AM
It's really just nostalgia and homesickness that makes me want to move back to the States. Any practical consideration would be the lifestyle equivalent of shooting myself in the hand with a shotgun
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
The historian in me feels the need to note that contests between cities and their rural hinterland are not new things and they do not generally go great for the rural folks.
California alone produces a third of all the food America eats. So this is a lie.
But let’s break down the food produced by the red states:
Guess what percent is harvested by people from Latin America?
But let’s break down the food produced by the red states:
Guess what percent is harvested by people from Latin America?
November 11, 2025 at 1:14 AM
The historian in me feels the need to note that contests between cities and their rural hinterland are not new things and they do not generally go great for the rural folks.
Tabarnaaaaa...!
In a now deleted post, China’s consul general in Osaka said he’s left with no choice but to cut off the “filthy head” of Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi because of her pledge to use Japan’s military to defend Taiwan if the Chinese invade the island. japannews.yomiuri.co.jp/politics/pol...
November 10, 2025 at 11:23 PM
Tabarnaaaaa...!
Quick reactions:
China wanted to liberalize too, but the liberalizers were mostly marginalized by the time Hu took over
It seemed like a good bet given what seemed to be happening in E. Europe & Russia (Russia is probably a worse case of this than China)
It was still the right choice at the time
China wanted to liberalize too, but the liberalizers were mostly marginalized by the time Hu took over
It seemed like a good bet given what seemed to be happening in E. Europe & Russia (Russia is probably a worse case of this than China)
It was still the right choice at the time
This is also said about Europe's approach to China and I simply don't believe this is true. I was at conferences with senior US folk in the early 2010s and none thought China would become more democratic or liberal.
We thought we could compete.
We thought we could compete.
November 10, 2025 at 10:41 PM
Quick reactions:
China wanted to liberalize too, but the liberalizers were mostly marginalized by the time Hu took over
It seemed like a good bet given what seemed to be happening in E. Europe & Russia (Russia is probably a worse case of this than China)
It was still the right choice at the time
China wanted to liberalize too, but the liberalizers were mostly marginalized by the time Hu took over
It seemed like a good bet given what seemed to be happening in E. Europe & Russia (Russia is probably a worse case of this than China)
It was still the right choice at the time
Well good morning to me <jumps out window>
The difference in time between now and I can has cheezburger
Is the same between I can has Cheezburger and the Berlin Wall falling
Is the same between I can has Cheezburger and the Berlin Wall falling
November 10, 2025 at 10:37 PM
Well good morning to me <jumps out window>
I think I've come down on the Senate shutdown vote as disappointed but agnostic. Shutdowns are always rough and no one ever exactly "wins". And being a big tent party means you're accountable to - and pressured by - more constituents. Democrats have that problem and Republicans don't.
November 10, 2025 at 9:59 AM
I think I've come down on the Senate shutdown vote as disappointed but agnostic. Shutdowns are always rough and no one ever exactly "wins". And being a big tent party means you're accountable to - and pressured by - more constituents. Democrats have that problem and Republicans don't.
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
The shutdown didn't achieve anything. We were not particularly close to ending the filibuster or funding ACA subsidies, just a longer shutdown. But instigating parties don't usually learn from failure because the argument is always that you could have fought harder & longer.
November 10, 2025 at 3:56 AM
The shutdown didn't achieve anything. We were not particularly close to ending the filibuster or funding ACA subsidies, just a longer shutdown. But instigating parties don't usually learn from failure because the argument is always that you could have fought harder & longer.
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
The PR was fine. The polling was good. The ask was targeted. And it still didn't matter. You can't win real concessions so the question is whether the base likes a long fight with little to show for it or if it just angers them more because you caved in the end.
Shutting down is the easy part, starting up on your terms very hard. Maybe a lost shutdown fight would bring catharsis, but last time (DACA in 2018) it angered base & public because it was fruitless. Ask would need to be something Rep lawmakers want, not stop all Trump is doing
November 10, 2025 at 3:55 AM
The PR was fine. The polling was good. The ask was targeted. And it still didn't matter. You can't win real concessions so the question is whether the base likes a long fight with little to show for it or if it just angers them more because you caved in the end.
The House vote wrinkle makes me wonder to what extent these Dems are caving because they suspect/know Mike Johnson won't necessarily hold a House vote
Major concession from Democrats here is enhanced ACA funds aren’t extended. Preserving them was Dems’ central demand in this fight. They secured a promise of a vote (which Thune has been offering for weeks), but that could still fail. Even if it passes, Johnson has made no promise of a House vote.
Tentative Senate deal to end shutdown, multiple sources tell me & @frankthorp.bsky.social:
—CR through Jan 30
—Approps minibus
—Fully funds SNAP
—Reverses Trump’s shutdown RIFs
—Promise of Senate vote on ACA subsidies by Dec second week (details/outcome uncertain)
—Led by King/Shaheen/Hassan
—CR through Jan 30
—Approps minibus
—Fully funds SNAP
—Reverses Trump’s shutdown RIFs
—Promise of Senate vote on ACA subsidies by Dec second week (details/outcome uncertain)
—Led by King/Shaheen/Hassan
November 10, 2025 at 1:15 AM
The House vote wrinkle makes me wonder to what extent these Dems are caving because they suspect/know Mike Johnson won't necessarily hold a House vote
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
not enough chatter about how frequently members fly and how attacking airport capacity directly affects them in a way that cutting SNAP does not
November 9, 2025 at 11:07 PM
not enough chatter about how frequently members fly and how attacking airport capacity directly affects them in a way that cutting SNAP does not
You guys beginning to understand why I watch the Grey Cup? (Go Als!)
The CPL Final is in the middle of a snowstorm in Canada, true North American soccer heritage...how could it get any better?
HOW ABOUT A FREAKIN' BICYCLE KICK EQUALIZER!!!
HOW ABOUT A FREAKIN' BICYCLE KICK EQUALIZER!!!
November 9, 2025 at 11:50 PM
You guys beginning to understand why I watch the Grey Cup? (Go Als!)
And 'manders fans aren't exactly foppish matcha-sipping sandwich throwers either
November 9, 2025 at 11:33 PM
And 'manders fans aren't exactly foppish matcha-sipping sandwich throwers either
Trying to interpret anything serious or meaningful from his TruthSocial posts is like trying to find signals from aliens worlds in television static
November 9, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Trying to interpret anything serious or meaningful from his TruthSocial posts is like trying to find signals from aliens worlds in television static
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
Okay, since I've seen similar questions about stuff like this multiple times in the last couple weeks, I'm going to make a thread explaining it. /1
November 9, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Okay, since I've seen similar questions about stuff like this multiple times in the last couple weeks, I'm going to make a thread explaining it. /1
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
Is Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act a Fall-Back Option for Trump to Impose #Tariffs?
In this post @worldtradelaw.bsky.social I raise questions about whether the scope and meaning of Section 122 align with the Trump administration’s intended objectives.
ielp.worldtradelaw.net/2025/11/is-s...
In this post @worldtradelaw.bsky.social I raise questions about whether the scope and meaning of Section 122 align with the Trump administration’s intended objectives.
ielp.worldtradelaw.net/2025/11/is-s...
Is Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act a Fall-Back Option for Trump to Impose Tariffs?
Without IEEPA authority, as we have all discussed, where there is a will, there is a way. In all likelihood, this way involves the expanded use of other statutory authorities, such as Section 232 of t...
ielp.worldtradelaw.net
November 7, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Is Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act a Fall-Back Option for Trump to Impose #Tariffs?
In this post @worldtradelaw.bsky.social I raise questions about whether the scope and meaning of Section 122 align with the Trump administration’s intended objectives.
ielp.worldtradelaw.net/2025/11/is-s...
In this post @worldtradelaw.bsky.social I raise questions about whether the scope and meaning of Section 122 align with the Trump administration’s intended objectives.
ielp.worldtradelaw.net/2025/11/is-s...
Thinking back to the discussion hosted at the U.S. embassy where the panelists scolded professors to "get with the program" and start leaning into AI
1.This is not the only known example we know of ChatGPT cheering on a vulnerable young person to die by suicide, this time it is a recent Texas A&M grad
2. Every single university that has invited OpenAI into our midst should be asked to account for their choices.
www.cnn.com/2025/11/06/u...
2. Every single university that has invited OpenAI into our midst should be asked to account for their choices.
www.cnn.com/2025/11/06/u...
November 7, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Thinking back to the discussion hosted at the U.S. embassy where the panelists scolded professors to "get with the program" and start leaning into AI
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is calling to update Japan's economic security law as the geopolitical situation changes and economic threats increase.
Takaichi calls for the updating of Japan's economic security law
The prime minister argues that the geopolitical situation has changed and economic threats are increasing.
ebx.sh
November 7, 2025 at 9:23 AM
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is calling to update Japan's economic security law as the geopolitical situation changes and economic threats increase.
This is why $1 trillion isn't literally $1 trillion, it's vibes with a valuation
Ok, but Tesla is currently at 7.2 million sales in 9 years, sales have slowed down and to make the first step towards his trillion dollar salary he needs to sell 20 million cars. I don’t think any of this is going to happen.
November 6, 2025 at 11:25 PM
This is why $1 trillion isn't literally $1 trillion, it's vibes with a valuation
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
The haters said they couldn't do it. And they were right. Honestly, great call from the haters.
NEW: The End of the Line: the centrepiece of Saudi Arabia’s Neom gigaproject - a 500m tall, 170km long wall-like building intended ultimately to house 9 million people - can’t get out of the ground, say more than 20 former Neom architects, engineers and senior executives.
ig.ft.com/saudi-neom-l...
ig.ft.com/saudi-neom-l...
End of The Line: how Saudi Arabia’s Neom dream unravelled
Mohammed bin Salman’s utopian city was undone by the laws of physics and finance
ig.ft.com
November 6, 2025 at 7:08 AM
The haters said they couldn't do it. And they were right. Honestly, great call from the haters.
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
My latest piece for Tokyo Review:
Ten years ago, two municipalities in Tokyo wrote history by commencing Japan’s first so-called “partnership systems” to provide some level of recognition to LGBTQ+ couples’ relationships. In the years that followed, the policy has spread tremendously and paved the way for further change.
A decade of LGBT partnership systems in Japan
Ten years ago, two municipalities in Tokyo wrote history by commencing Japan’s first so-called “partnership systems” (パートナーシップ制度) to recognize LGBTQ+ couples’ relationships. In the years that followed...
www.tokyoreview.net
November 5, 2025 at 4:03 PM
My latest piece for Tokyo Review:
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
Important piece by Heidi Ka-Sin Lee about Itō Shiori’s recent documentary Black Box Diaries. I have more to add to this story myself at some point because Itō’s assaulter, Yamaguchi Noriyuki, is frequently invited on Sanseitō and Kamiya Sōhei’s YouTube channel. www.tokyoreview.net/2025/11/movi...
“Black Box Diaries” review
Itō Shiori, the Japanese #MeToo trailblazer who regrettably never was A conspiracy-thriller-adjacent documentary of her 8-year journey as a sexual assault survivor, Itō Shiori’s Black Box Diaries (202...
www.tokyoreview.net
November 6, 2025 at 3:39 AM
Important piece by Heidi Ka-Sin Lee about Itō Shiori’s recent documentary Black Box Diaries. I have more to add to this story myself at some point because Itō’s assaulter, Yamaguchi Noriyuki, is frequently invited on Sanseitō and Kamiya Sōhei’s YouTube channel. www.tokyoreview.net/2025/11/movi...
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
I know I repeat this history a lot, but the milieu Kristol and neoconservatism came out of was heavily influenced by the Shachtmanite branch of socialism in the US, and so it’s not actually that weird he is taking these positions now
November 6, 2025 at 1:12 AM
I know I repeat this history a lot, but the milieu Kristol and neoconservatism came out of was heavily influenced by the Shachtmanite branch of socialism in the US, and so it’s not actually that weird he is taking these positions now