Paul Nadeau
@pauljnadeau.bsky.social
Trade, politics, and geoeconomics. Adjunct associate professor with Temple University Japan, visiting research fellow with the Institute of Geoeconomics/Asia Pacific Initiative, should be GM of the Quebec Nordiques. Usual disclaimers.
Trying to interpret anything serious or meaningful from his TruthSocial posts is like trying to find signals from aliens worlds in television static
November 9, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Trying to interpret anything serious or meaningful from his TruthSocial posts is like trying to find signals from aliens worlds in television static
Yes, I've never been but it looks horrible. The old one wasn't "nice" but it had a lot of charm, a good crowd, and a view of the sunset over the Buda Hills depending on where you sat
November 4, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Yes, I've never been but it looks horrible. The old one wasn't "nice" but it had a lot of charm, a good crowd, and a view of the sunset over the Buda Hills depending on where you sat
We had to devote headspace to that time Obama wore a tan suit
November 1, 2025 at 12:28 PM
We had to devote headspace to that time Obama wore a tan suit
Huge if true, and seems to confirm that the semiconductor export control regime was indeed up as a bargaining chip in Trump's talks with Xi, which begs the question of what else might be up for negotiation
October 29, 2025 at 10:40 PM
Huge if true, and seems to confirm that the semiconductor export control regime was indeed up as a bargaining chip in Trump's talks with Xi, which begs the question of what else might be up for negotiation
Welcome to Japan I hope your jetlag sucks
October 27, 2025 at 10:03 AM
Welcome to Japan I hope your jetlag sucks
This is the people's ballroom
October 25, 2025 at 9:01 AM
This is the people's ballroom
(even if the discourse is getting uncomfortably close)
October 24, 2025 at 2:11 AM
(even if the discourse is getting uncomfortably close)
oooh ok this one is good
October 22, 2025 at 10:44 AM
oooh ok this one is good
Rush is my favorite band, no question
October 16, 2025 at 4:06 AM
Rush is my favorite band, no question
Approval ratings for Japan's parties Saneito polling about as well as CDPJ, just behind DPFP, and ahead of Komeito and pretty solidly Ishin, but all still far behind the LDP (as long as you don't count "no preference", who could blow them all out of the water if they finally settled on a candidate)
October 15, 2025 at 10:10 AM
Approval ratings for Japan's parties Saneito polling about as well as CDPJ, just behind DPFP, and ahead of Komeito and pretty solidly Ishin, but all still far behind the LDP (as long as you don't count "no preference", who could blow them all out of the water if they finally settled on a candidate)
Only took 400 hundred years, but maybe these guys got the last laugh
October 11, 2025 at 12:33 AM
Only took 400 hundred years, but maybe these guys got the last laugh
Illustrating my point - the loss of Komeito is a massive blow to the LDP's seat count in an upcoming election. Conservatives here might think they can make up those seats by becoming a more ideologically-coherent party, but Tamaki, Ishin, and the rest aren't terribly good at vote-getting
October 10, 2025 at 9:21 AM
Illustrating my point - the loss of Komeito is a massive blow to the LDP's seat count in an upcoming election. Conservatives here might think they can make up those seats by becoming a more ideologically-coherent party, but Tamaki, Ishin, and the rest aren't terribly good at vote-getting
Bad Place is still bad
October 10, 2025 at 9:11 AM
Bad Place is still bad
Here we go...Polymarket is ticking up the odds of a snap election
October 10, 2025 at 7:01 AM
Here we go...Polymarket is ticking up the odds of a snap election
Me, if I didn't live here and depend on political stability
October 10, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Me, if I didn't live here and depend on political stability
Tried it myself and got these results, so I'll catch you on the flip side of this wormhole
October 8, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Tried it myself and got these results, so I'll catch you on the flip side of this wormhole
Anyway here's the state of Japan politics discourse on the other site
October 7, 2025 at 4:07 AM
Anyway here's the state of Japan politics discourse on the other site
Japan finally avoiding catching strays for one
October 7, 2025 at 4:01 AM
Japan finally avoiding catching strays for one
Most consequential Expo since Vladimir Guerrero
October 5, 2025 at 12:14 AM
Most consequential Expo since Vladimir Guerrero
From Politico's Morning Trade newsletter...I'm not surprised there was industry lobby for tariffs, but strange that they're piggybacking on a national security investigation when Section 301 is there for unfair trading practices. Procedurally, I'm not sure Sec 232 is "easier" than Sec 301
September 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM
From Politico's Morning Trade newsletter...I'm not surprised there was industry lobby for tariffs, but strange that they're piggybacking on a national security investigation when Section 301 is there for unfair trading practices. Procedurally, I'm not sure Sec 232 is "easier" than Sec 301
You know who already has a fully-baked plan for an NHL team?
September 9, 2025 at 10:58 PM
You know who already has a fully-baked plan for an NHL team?
Rintaro's not on here so I'm copying from the Dead Bird site, but this is an interesting wrinkle...the PM is elected by the House of Representatives, not by the party, so the question is whether Ishiba wants to go full chaos muppet and try to solicit votes for PM from the other parties
September 8, 2025 at 2:45 AM
Rintaro's not on here so I'm copying from the Dead Bird site, but this is an interesting wrinkle...the PM is elected by the House of Representatives, not by the party, so the question is whether Ishiba wants to go full chaos muppet and try to solicit votes for PM from the other parties