Paul Nadeau
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pauljnadeau.bsky.social
Paul Nadeau
@pauljnadeau.bsky.social
Trade, politics, and geoeconomics. Adjunct associate professor with Temple University Japan, visiting research fellow with the Institute of Geoeconomics/Asia Pacific Initiative, should be GM of the Quebec Nordiques. Usual disclaimers.
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If you know any international students in the United States, a colleague of mine made a flier to help students with finding an immigration lawyer. Please share and circulate among your networks:
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
I don’t know who needs to hear Jesse Jackson leading the kids on Sesame Street in this beautiful call-and-response reminding them that every child is somebody, but here it is
February 17, 2026 at 11:41 AM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
Around this time last year, I explained why the use of IEEPA was an attempt by the president to expand executive authority on trade. Today, Congress reminded him of Art. 1, Sec. 8.

The tariffs won't go away, but at least we know who supports them.

www.cfr.org/articles/tru...
Trump’s Tariffs Are an Unconstitutional Power Grab | Council on Foreign Relations
Declaring a national emergency to exact concessions is a ploy to seize authority. Originally published at Foreign Policy
www.cfr.org
February 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
A reminder that thanks to the no good terrible very bad Supreme Court decision in INS v. Chadha, this is subject to a veto. He'll be annoyed by having to veto it, that's what they were trying to avoid. But even if both houses pass it, that's what will happen.
PASSED: the House just passed the resolution to end Trump's tariffs on Canada.

Not many crosses from Republicans, a lot of vulnerable incumbents took a dumb vote here to stick with Trump and GOP leadership. Goes to the Senate, which is likely to pass it.

Will share the vote sheet when I have it!
February 11, 2026 at 11:27 PM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
Breaking MS NOW:

In a major defeat for Mike Johnson, 3 House Republicans bucked their leaders to block legislation that would have restricted Congress' ability to strike down Trump’s tariffs.

The final tally was 214-217, with 3 Republicans joining Democrats in opposition.
House Republicans revolt over GOP’s attempt to hand Trump Congress’ tariff authority
In a rare defeat, three House Republicans bucked their leaders to block legislation that would have restricted Congress’ ability to strike down Trump’s tariffs.
www.ms.now
February 11, 2026 at 3:00 AM
I know we like to make fun of Edo Naito, but he was right and I was wrong, so who's the ass hat here?
February 11, 2026 at 1:21 AM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
A billionaire family that owns a bridge crossing between Michigan and Canada has wanted Trump to stop a new bridge — and Trump is now threatening to block its opening (with authority he doesn’t have). www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/u...
Trump Threatens to Block Opening of New Bridge to Canada
www.nytimes.com
February 10, 2026 at 4:08 AM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
Once again asking literally anyone to think through the first-, second-, and third-order logistics of how midterm election stealing would supposedly happen
February 9, 2026 at 6:29 PM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
calls to return to “traditional indigenous agriculture” are calls for billions to die, it literally did lead to famine in Sri Lanka when it was tried, I’m firm believer that we should be bigger assholes to people hawking woo shit.
I have immense respect for indigenous cultures. However, it is deeply impractical to feed 8+ billion people sustainably and reliably without high-tech industrial agriculture.

Ultimately, this is just reactionary, conservative pastoralism wrapped in leftist framing.
February 10, 2026 at 12:54 AM
Remembering how Biden targeted IRA and CHIPS Act funds toward red states and red districts in the hope of flipping them blue and it mostly failed
This is part of a pattern that is impeachable: Trump cuts previously appropriated Congressional funds, but only to states led by Democrats (California, Colorado, Illinois and Minnesota).
The Trump administration plans to rescind $600 million in public health funds from four states led by Democrats because it finds the grants “inconsistent with agency priorities,” according to documents reviewed by the NYT

Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/h...
February 9, 2026 at 11:56 PM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
Céline Dion employee fired after arranging discreet showing of her Florida estate for Jeffrey Epstein montrealgazette.com/news/celine-...
February 9, 2026 at 11:00 PM
Not the takeaway, but it's pretty remarkable how Tyson can be said to be "most famous for eating Evander Holyfield's ear" when he was the most terrifying man in the sport during an incredible run.
Doocy: "The new face of RealFood .gov is Mike Tyson. How did you settle on someone who was most famous for eating Evander Holyfield's ear?"

RFK Jr.: "Brett Ratner who helped produce the ad had a lifelong friendship with him."
February 9, 2026 at 9:38 AM
There is nothing good in the world
February 9, 2026 at 2:48 AM
Forgot how much I miss the smell of snow and cold
February 9, 2026 at 1:56 AM
This might be when I officially retire from talking about Japanese politics
February 8, 2026 at 12:31 PM
Tonight needs to be the night when I finally stop thinking that I know more than the polls.
February 8, 2026 at 11:49 AM
My big question at this point is how the LDP interprets their win. Do they see this as a strategic vindication of Takaichi’s conservative vision and spike the football like they did after she won the LDP presidency? Do they see this as only a tactical win following the opposition collapse?
February 8, 2026 at 11:32 AM
Re-upping this because I think it still holds…Takaichi and her supporters might think they have a stronger hand on China after their election win, but the structural constraints of a tight budget, wobbly ally in DC, and voters demanding action on the economy are still very much in place
My piece in Nikkei Asia on how Takaichi's stance against China's coercion has made her popular, but her ability to push back will be constrained by a public that wants her to focus on the economy, a budget that's coming under greater pressure, and a security ally who may not be there to help:
If Takaichi's election gamble pays off, her China options could be limited
Economic concerns at home will curb Japan PM's choices when it comes to Beijing
asia.nikkei.com
February 8, 2026 at 11:22 AM
My quick reaction is that Takaichi’s win isn’t because of a conservative shift among the voters but a collapse of the opposition’s CRA effort
February 8, 2026 at 11:05 AM
The vibe shift has been real
Thinking about the friends and acquaintances with non-Japanese roots I've seen crying and expressing anxiety about the rise of xenophobic politics, as I wait impatiently for the exit polls.
February 8, 2026 at 10:53 AM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
My 2026 Japanese general election thread starts here. We're now less than a half hour to polls closing.
February 8, 2026 at 10:35 AM
Putting BlueSky back on the phone tonight to follow election results and share snow photos
February 8, 2026 at 8:54 AM
This - firms seeking exemptions from tariffs - has literally been the trend since April 2
February 7, 2026 at 12:24 PM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
And here's a secret of the past decade: a lot of the crucial organizing/resistance work is done by women who look like nice mom-type ladies, often suburban variety, sometimes through nice organizations like churches. Sorry if anyone needs it to look like Che Guevara.
February 7, 2026 at 12:40 AM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
While people who would probably qualify as liberals risk their lives in the frozen streets of Minneapolis (and do similar brilliantly organized solidarity work in New Orleans and Chicago and many other cities), not sure what this is supposed to mean.
February 7, 2026 at 12:37 AM
Reposted by Paul Nadeau
Chat how Carl Schmitt’s side do in World War II?
February 7, 2026 at 1:50 AM