@fabolange.bsky.social
Reposted
Happy Sept #JobsDay!
At 8:30 am ET, BLS delivers what’s usually one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing. This one for Sept is 7 weeks late due to govt shutdown
Forecasts’ center:
+50K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) steady at 4.3%
Also last week's UI claims released then too?
At 8:30 am ET, BLS delivers what’s usually one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing. This one for Sept is 7 weeks late due to govt shutdown
Forecasts’ center:
+50K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) steady at 4.3%
Also last week's UI claims released then too?
November 20, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Happy Sept #JobsDay!
At 8:30 am ET, BLS delivers what’s usually one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing. This one for Sept is 7 weeks late due to govt shutdown
Forecasts’ center:
+50K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) steady at 4.3%
Also last week's UI claims released then too?
At 8:30 am ET, BLS delivers what’s usually one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing. This one for Sept is 7 weeks late due to govt shutdown
Forecasts’ center:
+50K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) steady at 4.3%
Also last week's UI claims released then too?
Reposted
🆕 RFBerlin Discussion Paper!
Rui Castro, @fabolange.bsky.social & Markus Poschke review labor force transitions using Canadian data. They map flows across employment statuses, shedding light on individual labor-market dynamics. 🔗: www.rfberlin.com/network-pape...
Rui Castro, @fabolange.bsky.social & Markus Poschke review labor force transitions using Canadian data. They map flows across employment statuses, shedding light on individual labor-market dynamics. 🔗: www.rfberlin.com/network-pape...
November 18, 2025 at 10:24 AM
🆕 RFBerlin Discussion Paper!
Rui Castro, @fabolange.bsky.social & Markus Poschke review labor force transitions using Canadian data. They map flows across employment statuses, shedding light on individual labor-market dynamics. 🔗: www.rfberlin.com/network-pape...
Rui Castro, @fabolange.bsky.social & Markus Poschke review labor force transitions using Canadian data. They map flows across employment statuses, shedding light on individual labor-market dynamics. 🔗: www.rfberlin.com/network-pape...
Reposted
Breaking news: The SEPTEMBER JOBS REPORT comes out on THURSDAY., Nov. 20.
BLS will announce revised news release dates on this page as they become available.
#econsky @aaronsojourner.org
www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...
BLS will announce revised news release dates on this page as they become available.
#econsky @aaronsojourner.org
www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...
Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations
Revised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations
www.bls.gov
November 14, 2025 at 9:55 PM
Breaking news: The SEPTEMBER JOBS REPORT comes out on THURSDAY., Nov. 20.
BLS will announce revised news release dates on this page as they become available.
#econsky @aaronsojourner.org
www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...
BLS will announce revised news release dates on this page as they become available.
#econsky @aaronsojourner.org
www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...
Reposted
Every month for the last 77 years, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has estimated Americans' unemployment rate
This streak dies tomorrow
Govt staff could not survey Americans about whether they're working or looking for work in Oct, the 1st time in 934 months
This blind spot will remain forever
This streak dies tomorrow
Govt staff could not survey Americans about whether they're working or looking for work in Oct, the 1st time in 934 months
This blind spot will remain forever
Here's the planned BLS data release schedule for Nov 2025.
On Tues, it couldn't release Sept job openings, hires, layoffs and firings data.
This morning, it couldn't release 2025Q3 business Productivity and Costs data.
Tomorrow, it can't release Oct 2025 #JobsReport
www.bls.gov/schedule/202...
On Tues, it couldn't release Sept job openings, hires, layoffs and firings data.
This morning, it couldn't release 2025Q3 business Productivity and Costs data.
Tomorrow, it can't release Oct 2025 #JobsReport
www.bls.gov/schedule/202...
November 6, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Every month for the last 77 years, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has estimated Americans' unemployment rate
This streak dies tomorrow
Govt staff could not survey Americans about whether they're working or looking for work in Oct, the 1st time in 934 months
This blind spot will remain forever
This streak dies tomorrow
Govt staff could not survey Americans about whether they're working or looking for work in Oct, the 1st time in 934 months
This blind spot will remain forever
Reposted
He's on a mission from God
What's from Chicago, hates Illinois Nazis, and is holy as fuck?
It's the Pope in 1982.
It's the Pope in 1982.
November 13, 2025 at 2:31 AM
He's on a mission from God
Reposted
Sorry I refuse to entertain the complete non-existent world where white people don’t know that countless cultures, including some of their own but certainly diasporic racialized ones, call their mom’s cousin’s friend’s sister they grew up with “cousin” and call close women elders “aunt/auntie”
October 28, 2025 at 9:26 PM
Sorry I refuse to entertain the complete non-existent world where white people don’t know that countless cultures, including some of their own but certainly diasporic racialized ones, call their mom’s cousin’s friend’s sister they grew up with “cousin” and call close women elders “aunt/auntie”
Reposted
The Fed isn’t getting lots of data during the government shutdown, and the data it does have are confusing.
www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
Fed's data blackout deepens during shutdown
The lack of information is especially troubling now, with the central bank facing so many mixed signals on the economy.
www.politico.com
October 29, 2025 at 10:54 AM
The Fed isn’t getting lots of data during the government shutdown, and the data it does have are confusing.
www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
Reposted
1980:
NHS spending as a % of GDP: 5.1%
Defence spending as a % of GDP: 5%
2024:
NHS spending as a % of GDP: 10.9%
Defence spending as a % of GDP: 2.2%
This is such a common applause line, but it’s also total bullshit.
NHS spending as a % of GDP: 5.1%
Defence spending as a % of GDP: 5%
2024:
NHS spending as a % of GDP: 10.9%
Defence spending as a % of GDP: 2.2%
This is such a common applause line, but it’s also total bullshit.
There is always money for war, never for the poor.
Every penny spent on bombs, tanks and missiles is stolen from our homes, schools and hospitals.
We are not going to take it anymore.
Every penny spent on bombs, tanks and missiles is stolen from our homes, schools and hospitals.
We are not going to take it anymore.
October 28, 2025 at 10:38 AM
1980:
NHS spending as a % of GDP: 5.1%
Defence spending as a % of GDP: 5%
2024:
NHS spending as a % of GDP: 10.9%
Defence spending as a % of GDP: 2.2%
This is such a common applause line, but it’s also total bullshit.
NHS spending as a % of GDP: 5.1%
Defence spending as a % of GDP: 5%
2024:
NHS spending as a % of GDP: 10.9%
Defence spending as a % of GDP: 2.2%
This is such a common applause line, but it’s also total bullshit.
Reposted
Is there anything more than vibes to the idea that unemployment is up among the young, due to AI?
Yes, I am aware that there evidence of impacts in specific occupations like software development. I'm interested in the claim that there's been a change in aggregates.
#econsky
Yes, I am aware that there evidence of impacts in specific occupations like software development. I'm interested in the claim that there's been a change in aggregates.
#econsky
October 21, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Is there anything more than vibes to the idea that unemployment is up among the young, due to AI?
Yes, I am aware that there evidence of impacts in specific occupations like software development. I'm interested in the claim that there's been a change in aggregates.
#econsky
Yes, I am aware that there evidence of impacts in specific occupations like software development. I'm interested in the claim that there's been a change in aggregates.
#econsky
Reposted
Reposted
The people behind the inflated protests are performing a monumental service to democracy & peace in the US. The Regime wants riots, but these animal characters are not only an effective protest, grabbing attention & mocking ICE, they seem to reduce the risk of violent protests. It's perfect.
The Portland Frog army has now infiltrated Tulsa, OK and they’ve made an unlikely alliance with the T-Rex infantry and Sharks on Hoverboards mercenary forces.
This is truly terrifying.
This is truly terrifying.
October 14, 2025 at 10:21 AM
The people behind the inflated protests are performing a monumental service to democracy & peace in the US. The Regime wants riots, but these animal characters are not only an effective protest, grabbing attention & mocking ICE, they seem to reduce the risk of violent protests. It's perfect.
Reposted
I learnt a lot reading these 750 easy-to-digest expertly-written words on why these guys won their Nobel prize.
Thing by me on today's Econ nobel in @alphaville.ft.com : www.ft.com/content/b8aa...
Idealist and/or materialist theories of economic growth
[FREE TO READ] Nobel committee: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
www.ft.com
October 13, 2025 at 3:37 PM
I learnt a lot reading these 750 easy-to-digest expertly-written words on why these guys won their Nobel prize.
Come and join us! Our search focuses on econometrics or IO!
Montreal, imo, best city in North America and 🇨🇦 is a welcoming, awesome country.
Montreal, imo, best city in North America and 🇨🇦 is a welcoming, awesome country.
🍁🍁Hello! We hiring in the junior market! 🍁🍁
Apply to work with us at McGill's Econ department!
Full ad: econjobmarket.org/positions/11...
Apply to work with us at McGill's Econ department!
Full ad: econjobmarket.org/positions/11...
EJM - Econ Job Market
econjobmarket.org
October 13, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Come and join us! Our search focuses on econometrics or IO!
Montreal, imo, best city in North America and 🇨🇦 is a welcoming, awesome country.
Montreal, imo, best city in North America and 🇨🇦 is a welcoming, awesome country.
This is not a good year to go on the academic job market.
Total # of job listings on JOE. This year is tracking very similarly to 2020 (worst COVID year). In other words, we're seeing considerably less demand for Econ PhDs than in other post-COVID years; e.g. it's roughly one-third lower than last year.
October 10, 2025 at 10:11 AM
This is not a good year to go on the academic job market.
Reposted
Three big announcements concerning new data from the AEA on the #EconJobMarket
First, there are now live dashboards on AEA JOE that show the # of jobs listed on JOE each week, with comparisons to recent years. These will be updated weekly.
www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co...
#EconSky
1/many
First, there are now live dashboards on AEA JOE that show the # of jobs listed on JOE each week, with comparisons to recent years. These will be updated weekly.
www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co...
#EconSky
1/many
JOE Openings by Week - Pre-ASSA
www.aeaweb.org
October 9, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Three big announcements concerning new data from the AEA on the #EconJobMarket
First, there are now live dashboards on AEA JOE that show the # of jobs listed on JOE each week, with comparisons to recent years. These will be updated weekly.
www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co...
#EconSky
1/many
First, there are now live dashboards on AEA JOE that show the # of jobs listed on JOE each week, with comparisons to recent years. These will be updated weekly.
www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co...
#EconSky
1/many
Reposted
SCOOP: The Bureau of Labor Statistics is preparing to release the September C.P.I. report despite the shutdown. (Exact date still unclear -- almost certainly not the original Oct. 15 date.) #EconSky #NumbersDay
October 9, 2025 at 9:16 PM
SCOOP: The Bureau of Labor Statistics is preparing to release the September C.P.I. report despite the shutdown. (Exact date still unclear -- almost certainly not the original Oct. 15 date.) #EconSky #NumbersDay
Reposted
Bajillionaires of the world, we don't need more employment growth nowcasts during the government shutdown.
But we do need a very-large-sample monthly survey of US households to determine employment / unemployment status.
macromostly.substack.com/p/we-dont-ne...
But we do need a very-large-sample monthly survey of US households to determine employment / unemployment status.
macromostly.substack.com/p/we-dont-ne...
We Don't Need More Employment Growth Nowcasts!
Slack Nowcasts Are the Missing Piece
macromostly.substack.com
October 7, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Bajillionaires of the world, we don't need more employment growth nowcasts during the government shutdown.
But we do need a very-large-sample monthly survey of US households to determine employment / unemployment status.
macromostly.substack.com/p/we-dont-ne...
But we do need a very-large-sample monthly survey of US households to determine employment / unemployment status.
macromostly.substack.com/p/we-dont-ne...
Reposted
Um, ICE just coldly shot an unarmed PRIEST in the head w a pepper ball when he (and everyone around him) clearly posed no threat.
For the crime of … complaining about government policy.
Core 1A speech.
With cameras rolling, they’re sniping priests for sport.
For the crime of … complaining about government policy.
Core 1A speech.
With cameras rolling, they’re sniping priests for sport.
October 8, 2025 at 2:14 AM
Um, ICE just coldly shot an unarmed PRIEST in the head w a pepper ball when he (and everyone around him) clearly posed no threat.
For the crime of … complaining about government policy.
Core 1A speech.
With cameras rolling, they’re sniping priests for sport.
For the crime of … complaining about government policy.
Core 1A speech.
With cameras rolling, they’re sniping priests for sport.
Reposted
Meet the Vancouver School of Economics’ 2025/26 PhD job market candidates! View their profiles here: economics.ubc.ca/people/phd-j... @plbeauregard.bsky.social
October 3, 2025 at 11:33 PM
Meet the Vancouver School of Economics’ 2025/26 PhD job market candidates! View their profiles here: economics.ubc.ca/people/phd-j... @plbeauregard.bsky.social
Reposted
Hi all, just sent out this free post to explain what matters (and what does not) in the Ukrainian campaign against Russian oil refineries. It discusses why the campaign now seems more successful, but also what else needs to happen to have a greater strategic effect. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Attacking An Oil Production System
Some Of The Nuts And Bolts--Starting With Refineries
open.substack.com
October 3, 2025 at 9:23 AM
Hi all, just sent out this free post to explain what matters (and what does not) in the Ukrainian campaign against Russian oil refineries. It discusses why the campaign now seems more successful, but also what else needs to happen to have a greater strategic effect. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Reposted
We’re hiring @ LSE
We have *multiple* economist positions—assistant and associate professor—here at LSE International Development.
Our economics group is expanding and we have exciting stuff planned.
We’re keen on big picture economists.
Feel free to DM me questions.
We have *multiple* economist positions—assistant and associate professor—here at LSE International Development.
Our economics group is expanding and we have exciting stuff planned.
We’re keen on big picture economists.
Feel free to DM me questions.
American Economic Association: JOE Listings - August 1, 2025 - January 31, 2026
www.aeaweb.org
October 3, 2025 at 9:53 AM
We’re hiring @ LSE
We have *multiple* economist positions—assistant and associate professor—here at LSE International Development.
Our economics group is expanding and we have exciting stuff planned.
We’re keen on big picture economists.
Feel free to DM me questions.
We have *multiple* economist positions—assistant and associate professor—here at LSE International Development.
Our economics group is expanding and we have exciting stuff planned.
We’re keen on big picture economists.
Feel free to DM me questions.
Reposted
🚨 Hiring Tenure-Track Assistant Professors in Econ at the University of Copenhagen! 🚨
Join a great group in an exciting (and friendly) city 😀! Details will follow.
Pls repost and get in touch to hear more. All fields, and I’m esp. interested in hearing from DEV candidates 😀!
#EconSky
Join a great group in an exciting (and friendly) city 😀! Details will follow.
Pls repost and get in touch to hear more. All fields, and I’m esp. interested in hearing from DEV candidates 😀!
#EconSky
September 30, 2025 at 7:21 AM
🚨 Hiring Tenure-Track Assistant Professors in Econ at the University of Copenhagen! 🚨
Join a great group in an exciting (and friendly) city 😀! Details will follow.
Pls repost and get in touch to hear more. All fields, and I’m esp. interested in hearing from DEV candidates 😀!
#EconSky
Join a great group in an exciting (and friendly) city 😀! Details will follow.
Pls repost and get in touch to hear more. All fields, and I’m esp. interested in hearing from DEV candidates 😀!
#EconSky