Alex KG Ellis
@alexkgellis.bsky.social
Providence RI, Western MA, biking/walking/transit, climate/decarbonizing everything, maps
Here's when data since 1948 says PVD should expect snow:
1st flakes: Mean 11/29, trend 11/26 (50% in 11/12-12/11)
1st 1": Mean 12/8, trend 12/6 (11/17-12/25)
1st 3": Mean 1/1, trend 12/22 (11/25-1/18)
1st 5": Mean 1/11, trend 12/26 (11/29-1/22)
1st 10": Mean 1/24, trend 1/22 (12/27-2/17)
1st flakes: Mean 11/29, trend 11/26 (50% in 11/12-12/11)
1st 1": Mean 12/8, trend 12/6 (11/17-12/25)
1st 3": Mean 1/1, trend 12/22 (11/25-1/18)
1st 5": Mean 1/11, trend 12/26 (11/29-1/22)
1st 10": Mean 1/24, trend 1/22 (12/27-2/17)
November 22, 2025 at 2:53 AM
Here's when data since 1948 says PVD should expect snow:
1st flakes: Mean 11/29, trend 11/26 (50% in 11/12-12/11)
1st 1": Mean 12/8, trend 12/6 (11/17-12/25)
1st 3": Mean 1/1, trend 12/22 (11/25-1/18)
1st 5": Mean 1/11, trend 12/26 (11/29-1/22)
1st 10": Mean 1/24, trend 1/22 (12/27-2/17)
1st flakes: Mean 11/29, trend 11/26 (50% in 11/12-12/11)
1st 1": Mean 12/8, trend 12/6 (11/17-12/25)
1st 3": Mean 1/1, trend 12/22 (11/25-1/18)
1st 5": Mean 1/11, trend 12/26 (11/29-1/22)
1st 10": Mean 1/24, trend 1/22 (12/27-2/17)
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
Insane but true fact: making US roads as safe as Canadian, Australian, or European roads would save more lives than eliminating murder from the US.
November 21, 2025 at 3:01 AM
Insane but true fact: making US roads as safe as Canadian, Australian, or European roads would save more lives than eliminating murder from the US.
I've seen crowd estimates for #HandsOff2025 in #PVD from about 5k-20k. Using mapchecking.com, drone footage from IG, and the footprint of the crowd at 1:15pm when I left (people were still streaming into Burnside Park from Steeple St), I think 13,000 is the minimum actual number. 20k is plausible.
April 6, 2025 at 1:18 PM
I've seen crowd estimates for #HandsOff2025 in #PVD from about 5k-20k. Using mapchecking.com, drone footage from IG, and the footprint of the crowd at 1:15pm when I left (people were still streaming into Burnside Park from Steeple St), I think 13,000 is the minimum actual number. 20k is plausible.
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
This is how the hostile takeover of our government and armed robbery of our money is going. One month in and they're completed 1/3rd of the Project 2025 agenda.
www.project2025.observer?utm_source=w...
www.project2025.observer?utm_source=w...
Project 2025 Tracker
Track the progress on Project 2025
www.project2025.observer
February 20, 2025 at 12:40 AM
This is how the hostile takeover of our government and armed robbery of our money is going. One month in and they're completed 1/3rd of the Project 2025 agenda.
www.project2025.observer?utm_source=w...
www.project2025.observer?utm_source=w...
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
Exactly, what's always bugged me about this discourse is that if you compare the Most Online fringes of the left and the right, the right is far worse! Democrats are adding letters to "LGBT" while Republicans are planning a coup.
The narrative in the last election was that despite being normal and expressing the views of the average voter, people saw Democrats as the annoying, extremely online caricature in their heads. And voted for Republicans they saw as normal despite expressing views of extremely online caricatures.
It's a long (and very good!) piece but the core arguments are:
1. When Democrats were most "woke" (post-MeToo in 2018 and post-BLM in 2020) they won elections;
2. Harris's campaign was not particularly woke! She campaigned on "kitchen table" issues and deliberately tried to appeal to moderates.
1. When Democrats were most "woke" (post-MeToo in 2018 and post-BLM in 2020) they won elections;
2. Harris's campaign was not particularly woke! She campaigned on "kitchen table" issues and deliberately tried to appeal to moderates.
February 18, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Exactly, what's always bugged me about this discourse is that if you compare the Most Online fringes of the left and the right, the right is far worse! Democrats are adding letters to "LGBT" while Republicans are planning a coup.
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
This needs to be required reading for all democrats and lefties. We need a shared language for our time.
“To that end, I’m going to list the potential resolutions from best to worst:”
www.liberalcurrents.com/is-it-a-coup/
“To that end, I’m going to list the potential resolutions from best to worst:”
www.liberalcurrents.com/is-it-a-coup/
Is It a Coup?
It is bad, it is illegal, and it is a self-coup.
www.liberalcurrents.com
February 16, 2025 at 5:25 PM
This needs to be required reading for all democrats and lefties. We need a shared language for our time.
“To that end, I’m going to list the potential resolutions from best to worst:”
www.liberalcurrents.com/is-it-a-coup/
“To that end, I’m going to list the potential resolutions from best to worst:”
www.liberalcurrents.com/is-it-a-coup/
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
A lot of folks asked why I through this January's record global temperatures were so unexpected.
I think this graph shows it pretty clearly: pretty much every other January with La Nina conditions has been a cooler than the surrounding years.
I think this graph shows it pretty clearly: pretty much every other January with La Nina conditions has been a cooler than the surrounding years.
February 3, 2025 at 10:15 PM
A lot of folks asked why I through this January's record global temperatures were so unexpected.
I think this graph shows it pretty clearly: pretty much every other January with La Nina conditions has been a cooler than the surrounding years.
I think this graph shows it pretty clearly: pretty much every other January with La Nina conditions has been a cooler than the surrounding years.
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
As an organizer,
1) it’s important to change people’s minds so they agree with you
2) most people don’t follow politics as closely as anyone reading this post
3) Some Trump voters were lied to about his positions by right wing media. If they see the light, welcome it
1) it’s important to change people’s minds so they agree with you
2) most people don’t follow politics as closely as anyone reading this post
3) Some Trump voters were lied to about his positions by right wing media. If they see the light, welcome it
friendly reminder that the best case scenario over the coming years is that a lot of people say "I supported Trump but this isn't what I wanted at all" and when they do that it's gonna be really, really important that we say "welcome in," not "fuck you, we told you so"
February 3, 2025 at 12:40 AM
As an organizer,
1) it’s important to change people’s minds so they agree with you
2) most people don’t follow politics as closely as anyone reading this post
3) Some Trump voters were lied to about his positions by right wing media. If they see the light, welcome it
1) it’s important to change people’s minds so they agree with you
2) most people don’t follow politics as closely as anyone reading this post
3) Some Trump voters were lied to about his positions by right wing media. If they see the light, welcome it
"Wow, should I worry about New England earthquakes?" you might ask. Probably not? There was a big one in 1755 in Newbury MA & there are small quakes like this every few years apparently & might someday be a bigger one. They've tended to be between Newburyport, Portsmouth, Winnepesaukee, and Concord.
yep, there was another earthquake off the coast of Maine today -- actually the third in a week, in almost the same exact spot www.heraldnews.com/story/news/2...
Did you feel it? Third earthquake in a week recorded in same spot off the Maine coast
Just under a week after a brief earthquake gave the SouthCoast a jolt, another quake has hit — actually the third to hit in almost the same location.
www.heraldnews.com
February 2, 2025 at 10:59 PM
"Wow, should I worry about New England earthquakes?" you might ask. Probably not? There was a big one in 1755 in Newbury MA & there are small quakes like this every few years apparently & might someday be a bigger one. They've tended to be between Newburyport, Portsmouth, Winnepesaukee, and Concord.
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
"Govt is important. We need it to regulate a whole range of things. When it fails in those functions, people die. That Trump is indifferent to his responsibilities & incompetent means we can expect more deadly accidents in every aspect of society regulated by the federal govt — which is all of them"
DCA crash puts Trump's appalling unfitness on full display
When crisis hits, he makes it worse.
www.publicnotice.co
February 1, 2025 at 3:05 AM
"Govt is important. We need it to regulate a whole range of things. When it fails in those functions, people die. That Trump is indifferent to his responsibilities & incompetent means we can expect more deadly accidents in every aspect of society regulated by the federal govt — which is all of them"
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
Sen Chris Murphy (D-CT) just now:
“You could literally walk
down the street and the first 100 people you’d find would be less dangerous as the head of HHS than Robert F Kennedy Jr. He will get people killed”
“You could literally walk
down the street and the first 100 people you’d find would be less dangerous as the head of HHS than Robert F Kennedy Jr. He will get people killed”
January 29, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Sen Chris Murphy (D-CT) just now:
“You could literally walk
down the street and the first 100 people you’d find would be less dangerous as the head of HHS than Robert F Kennedy Jr. He will get people killed”
“You could literally walk
down the street and the first 100 people you’d find would be less dangerous as the head of HHS than Robert F Kennedy Jr. He will get people killed”
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
Pritzker: "They are either lying to us or they are critically incompetent. This is what happens when you staff the federal government full of project 2025 contributors that don't have any experience governing and don't think that the laws apply to them."
Pritzker: "Donald Trump's administration is lying to you. The White House's attempt to walk back what they did today does not match what we saw on the ground."
The governor just said the state was able to access the Medicaid system as of about an hour ago
January 28, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Pritzker: "They are either lying to us or they are critically incompetent. This is what happens when you staff the federal government full of project 2025 contributors that don't have any experience governing and don't think that the laws apply to them."
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
It's sort of difficult putting in a solid day at the law factory when you get a push alert every 10 minutes that makes you wonder if law is a real thing anymore
January 28, 2025 at 10:41 PM
It's sort of difficult putting in a solid day at the law factory when you get a push alert every 10 minutes that makes you wonder if law is a real thing anymore
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
I'm exhausted by all the people out there who are trying to prove they're each the most cynical world-weary disillusioned person who's not gonna ever do a fucking thing ever except dump on everything and expect to be admired for that. Wrote about that in 2016:
January 28, 2025 at 5:09 PM
I'm exhausted by all the people out there who are trying to prove they're each the most cynical world-weary disillusioned person who's not gonna ever do a fucking thing ever except dump on everything and expect to be admired for that. Wrote about that in 2016:
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
The climate justice screening tool, saved and online: edgi-govdata-archiving.github.io/j40-cejst-2/...
Climate and Economic Justice Screening Tool
This screening tool identifies disadvantaged communities that are underserved &overburdened by pollution. It provides socioeconomic, environmental, health and climate info to inform decisions.
edgi-govdata-archiving.github.io
January 28, 2025 at 5:20 PM
The climate justice screening tool, saved and online: edgi-govdata-archiving.github.io/j40-cejst-2/...
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
Being a person with deadly, incurable cancer who is nonetheless still alive for an indefinite timeframe gives me an interesting metaphor that helps me deal with things like large-scale corruption in government or commerce.
Bear with me for a second while I try to explain.
Bear with me for a second while I try to explain.
January 21, 2025 at 2:26 AM
Being a person with deadly, incurable cancer who is nonetheless still alive for an indefinite timeframe gives me an interesting metaphor that helps me deal with things like large-scale corruption in government or commerce.
Bear with me for a second while I try to explain.
Bear with me for a second while I try to explain.
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
I mean, this isn't a mystery, we know it doesn't do that at all. Two year cycles means the endless campaign and constant fundraising, campaign donors are a relatively wealthy slice of the electorate. It's also why we get so many lawyers, who can draw on the resources to afford to campaign.
January 18, 2025 at 4:14 AM
I mean, this isn't a mystery, we know it doesn't do that at all. Two year cycles means the endless campaign and constant fundraising, campaign donors are a relatively wealthy slice of the electorate. It's also why we get so many lawyers, who can draw on the resources to afford to campaign.
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
this is incredible stuff. most state DOTs would spend tens of billions on highway expansions to try and see numbers like this (that wouldn’t even pan out anyway thanks to induced demand lol)
January 14, 2025 at 12:31 AM
this is incredible stuff. most state DOTs would spend tens of billions on highway expansions to try and see numbers like this (that wouldn’t even pan out anyway thanks to induced demand lol)
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
In 2020, we mapped out the danger zones that will close in on Americans over the next 30 years — combining climate data with wildfire projections by US Forest Service researchers.
See what changes are in store for your county.
By @shaw.al , @abrahm.bsky.social & Jeremy W. Goldsmith
See what changes are in store for your county.
By @shaw.al , @abrahm.bsky.social & Jeremy W. Goldsmith
New Climate Maps Show a Transformed United States
According to new data analyzed by ProPublica and The New York Times Magazine, warming temperatures, rising seas and changing rainfall will profoundly reshape the way people have lived in North…
propub.li
January 12, 2025 at 4:00 AM
In 2020, we mapped out the danger zones that will close in on Americans over the next 30 years — combining climate data with wildfire projections by US Forest Service researchers.
See what changes are in store for your county.
By @shaw.al , @abrahm.bsky.social & Jeremy W. Goldsmith
See what changes are in store for your county.
By @shaw.al , @abrahm.bsky.social & Jeremy W. Goldsmith
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
Research from Australia on 30 km/h zones (20 mph)
Findings show decreases in vehicle speeds and decreases in serious injuries
Didn't find that people will actually go the lower speed limit, but that seems okay to me
Safety is the goal, not compliance
Findings show decreases in vehicle speeds and decreases in serious injuries
Didn't find that people will actually go the lower speed limit, but that seems okay to me
Safety is the goal, not compliance
January 6, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Research from Australia on 30 km/h zones (20 mph)
Findings show decreases in vehicle speeds and decreases in serious injuries
Didn't find that people will actually go the lower speed limit, but that seems okay to me
Safety is the goal, not compliance
Findings show decreases in vehicle speeds and decreases in serious injuries
Didn't find that people will actually go the lower speed limit, but that seems okay to me
Safety is the goal, not compliance
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
This is my New Year's Eve.
It’s happening! Tonight, MTA Chair & CEO Janno Lieber unveiled one of the signs at the entrance to the Congestion Relief Zone. Tolling begins at midnight.
Learn more: congestionreliefzone.mta.info
Learn more: congestionreliefzone.mta.info
January 4, 2025 at 11:10 PM
This is my New Year's Eve.
An even better strategy is to not play Monopoly. I also heard that it's a less painful experience (b/c it's half as long) if you don't get free money on the "free parking" space, which is not in the rules but many people do anyway.
This lovely sketchplanation shows you how to win at Monopoly. Better yet, don’t pay to keep the holidays peaceful 😉 https://buff.ly/3DxfJ6h
December 29, 2024 at 2:47 PM
An even better strategy is to not play Monopoly. I also heard that it's a less painful experience (b/c it's half as long) if you don't get free money on the "free parking" space, which is not in the rules but many people do anyway.
Reposted by Alex KG Ellis
The history of urban snow removal is really fascinating; the obligation for property owners to shovel predates plowing (and autos) and so until cars snow removal was a civic obligation FOR PEDESTRIANS; now that has flipped and snow gets plowed ON TO sidewalks and sidewalks are impassable
I don't have it handy but a while back one of the cycling/pedestrian loving folks I follow was talking about how snow removal is a perfect illustration of snow removal priorities, and it's really, really true.
December 21, 2024 at 4:51 PM
The history of urban snow removal is really fascinating; the obligation for property owners to shovel predates plowing (and autos) and so until cars snow removal was a civic obligation FOR PEDESTRIANS; now that has flipped and snow gets plowed ON TO sidewalks and sidewalks are impassable