Paul E. Johnson | Lightnews

Paul Johnson

@paulrjohnson.net

1.6K followers 800 following 860 posts

Data Scientist interested in causal inference, machine learning, and statistics | He/Him

Website: https://paulrjohnson.net
Github: https://github.com/paulj1989

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Paul E. Johnson is an American historian and professor emeritus at University of South Carolina.

Source: Wikipedia

Philosophy 17%

History 15%

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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · Nov 11

I recently wrote a blog post about the impact of clubs’ financial resources on football outcomes.

paulrjohnson.net/blog/2024-10...

The TL;DR is that the rich stay winning (shocking, I know), but I thought I’d put together a little thread of some of the findings because Always Be Posting.

Analysing Money’s Effect on Football Using Multilevel Regression – Paul Johnson

What if I told you that we can use statistics to laugh at the silly football teams too?

paulrjohnson.net

Reposted by Roger A. Pielke, John McLaren, Philip N. Cohen , and 11 more Roger A. Pielke, John McLaren, Philip N. Cohen, Paul E. Johnson, Juan Cole, Alan Richardson, David R. Miller, Els Torreele, Brian Keegan, Aurélien Mondon, Mark Rice, Richard M. Carpiano, Nathan P. Kalmoe, Dan Immergluck

Michael Hobbes @michaelhobbes.bsky.social · 2d

This is genuinely horrifying. Fact-free far-right agitprop given accolades by credible media across the political spectrum.

Princeton University Press @princetonupress.bsky.social · 4d

Congratulations to Stephen Macedo & Frances Lee, whose book In Covid's Wake has been recognized as:

⭐ A @newyorker.com Best Book of the Year
⭐ An @economist.com Book of the Year
⭐ A @wsj.com Best Book of the Year

Learn more about this eye-opening book: press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...

In Covid's Wake: How Our Politics Failed Us by Stephen Macedo and Frances Lee. A New Yorker Best Book of the Year; An Economist Best Book of the Year; A Wall Street Journal Best Book of the Year

Reposted by Scott L. Greer, Lesley A. Hall, Paul E. Johnson , and 3 more Scott L. Greer, Lesley A. Hall, Paul E. Johnson, Brian Keegan, Richard M. Carpiano, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Princeton University Press @princetonupress.bsky.social · 4d

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 5d

Me every time anyone that has ever used a computer disagrees with me

jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 5d

personally getting very irritated by the unbelievable arrogance of the data boys

Simpler Times Rememberer @reedonly.bsky.social · 5d

when we said “defer electoral strategy to the actual politicians running for actual offices” we meant “after calculating wins above replacement somehow”

Reposted by Rosemary A. Joyce, Paul E. Johnson

jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 5d

personally getting very irritated by the unbelievable arrogance of the data boys

Simpler Times Rememberer @reedonly.bsky.social · 5d

when we said “defer electoral strategy to the actual politicians running for actual offices” we meant “after calculating wins above replacement somehow”

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 5d

I'm a doppelbock guy now.

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 6d

My frustration with it is that he's actually not bad. He's raw. Clearly still a novice. But he has some tools. Instead of doing this shit he could drop down a weight and try fight for some domestic belts where he isn't embarrassing himself and the sport.

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 7d

I was going to pick up some fancy beers for Christmas Day and then drink some less fancy but still fancy beers for Thursday. But Borough Market hates me specifically so I can't.

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 7d

Borough Market closing at 5pm on a Thursday (it's the new Friday, haven't they heard?) this close to Christmas is a fucking travesty. Oh yeah I guess I can just go fuck myself huh Borough Market?

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 14d

How the fuck are you gonna drive the train then?!

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

Laurent Pech 🇺🇦 @profpech.bsky.social · 14d

"The fact that the United States has crossed the line into competitive authoritarianism does not mean that its democratic decline has reached a point of no return. Trump’s authoritarian offensive is now unmistakable, but it is reversible"

www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

The Price of American Authoritarianism

What can reverse democratic decline?

www.foreignaffairs.com

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 14d

Opening my Frozen Beer Emporium next door just to fuck with them

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 14d

Man, I bet that beer is SO cold.

Chris Cantwell @ifyoucantwell.bsky.social · 14d

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 14d

I don't think you are, but I would warn against looking for answers on a work device…

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 15d

How much of it is just a national reluctance to relitigate this shit because it was such a mess the first time round?

lastpositivist.bsky.social @lastpositivist.bsky.social · 15d

Ok so this seems in line with basically all the polling at this point so I am now genuinely unsure - why doesn't Labour think there is political hay to be made out of declaring for Rejoin?

www.thelondoneconomic.com/politics/201...

2016 Leave majority 'has literally died out', polling expert reveals

The pro-Brexit majority from 2016 has disappeared, thanks in large part to millions of Leave voters dying, according to a polling expert.

www.thelondoneconomic.com

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 15d

Do we have any indication on who Beavo will be supporting in the next general election?

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 15d

They are coming in their thousands. I heard.

James Heale @jaheale.bsky.social · 15d

New - Bonnie Blue nails her colours to the mast, writing in The Spectator:

“Reform has sensible positions on immigration and inheritance tax, so I stand with Nigel Farage.”

Reposted by Steven French, Paul E. Johnson

lastpositivist.bsky.social @lastpositivist.bsky.social · 15d

2016 Leave majority 'has literally died out', polling expert reveals

The pro-Brexit majority from 2016 has disappeared, thanks in large part to millions of Leave voters dying, according to a polling expert.

www.thelondoneconomic.com

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson

James Heale @jaheale.bsky.social · 15d

New - Bonnie Blue nails her colours to the mast, writing in The Spectator:

“Reform has sensible positions on immigration and inheritance tax, so I stand with Nigel Farage.”

Reposted by Paul E. Johnson, Patrick Stokes

Mark Cuban @mcuban.bsky.social · 15d

For all Universal HC/Single Payer/M4A advocates.

What do the biggest, expensive hospital chains do. Do they opt out and only serve the rich ?

Who in the USA gov runs the program?

R U ok with having to see a primary care doc before you can see a specialist ?

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 15d

Is now a good time to mention that I updated my model and Dortmund are closing in on being the second best team in the Bundesliga? Shame I didn't include a feature for being dumb as fucking rocks.

predicting-ball.co.uk

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 15d

He always looks like he's on the verge of a medical incident.

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 15d

You might think you are better than butter chicken, but let me tell you, you are not better than butter chicken.

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 15d

A melted candle with VISION

Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 15d

Is Julian Brandt the ugliest football player that is pretty handsome off-the-pitch? Turns into a melted candle after a couple sprints.

Reposted by Cas Mudde, Anna O. Law, Ian Hall , and 7 more Cas Mudde, Anna O. Law, Ian Hall, John Holbein, Paul E. Johnson, Daniel W. Drezner, Jacob T. Levy, Scott A. Imberman, Sebastian Karcher, Umut Özkırımlı

Reposted by Dorothy Bishop, John Kennedy, James P. Collins , and 26 more Dorothy Bishop, John Kennedy, James P. Collins, Ken Caldeira, Hugo Mercier, Johannes Haushofer, Philip N. Cohen, Martin Paul Eve, Pierre Bataille, Rebecca Sear, Paul E. Johnson, Ian Hussey, Karen Benjamin Guzzo, Climent Quintana‐Domeque, Aaron Sojourner, Andrew Livingstone, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Dominik Vogel, Barrett, Bruce Bradbury, Zen Faulkes, Richard Pettigrew, Johannes Breuer, Marcus Credé, Richard M. Carpiano, Hisham Zerriffi, Juan Ramón, Michael Scharkow, Fiona Spooner

Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 16d

Big new blogpost!

My guide to data visualization, which includes a very long table of contents, tons of charts, and more.

--> Why data visualization matters and how to make charts more effective, clear, transparent, and sometimes, beautiful.
www.scientificdiscovery.dev/p/salonis-gu...