Date = 2026 primary election day, and the table is sorted by primary calendar
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Date = 2026 primary election day, and the table is sorted by primary calendar
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Primary turnout can, in aggregate, be a directional indicator of enthusiasm and midterm turnout
Open primary states (like TX) are most interesting, and the last time TX had competitive races on both sides was 2016, so pretty interested in turnout here
Primary turnout can, in aggregate, be a directional indicator of enthusiasm and midterm turnout
Open primary states (like TX) are most interesting, and the last time TX had competitive races on both sides was 2016, so pretty interested in turnout here
GA was R+2.2 vs R+1.5 nationally in 2024, almost in line with the national result. Ossoff’s a reasonably strong incumbent too
So I’m saying we need to think bigger 🙂↕️
GA was R+2.2 vs R+1.5 nationally in 2024, almost in line with the national result. Ossoff’s a reasonably strong incumbent too
So I’m saying we need to think bigger 🙂↕️
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/10/u...
Dillon Travis (R)- 61.1%
Luke Kruse (D)- 38.9%
Kruse is currently outperforming Harris's margins in the precincts reporting by 20-30 points. Oklahoma Dems are beasts in specials.
Dillon Travis (R)- 61.1%
Luke Kruse (D)- 38.9%
Kruse is currently outperforming Harris's margins in the precincts reporting by 20-30 points. Oklahoma Dems are beasts in specials.
Not enough to flip the district, but defo a big overperformance
Not enough to flip the district, but defo a big overperformance
Elizabeth Bennett-Parker (D)- 82.8%
Julie Robben Linberry (R)- 17.2%
Not only do the Democrats outperform Harris by 10 points, they also nearly match Spanberger's 66 point win here from November!
Elizabeth Bennett-Parker (D)- 82.8%
Julie Robben Linberry (R)- 17.2%
Not only do the Democrats outperform Harris by 10 points, they also nearly match Spanberger's 66 point win here from November!