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magentab.bsky.social
Magenta
@magentab.bsky.social
Progressive Democrat from Jersey City
Reposted by Magenta
Don't even have to google it to know its Gottheimer
February 13, 2026 at 5:26 AM
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Oh, also, carpetbagging penalties are still a real thing.
Daniel Biss just dropped a new internal poll in #IL09. Shows him at 31% and Laura Fine/Kat Abu slugging it out for second at 18%.
February 13, 2026 at 1:09 AM
one nation flip?
Ley to resign from Parliament in a few weeks. By-election coming for #Farrer
February 13, 2026 at 1:01 AM
im so excited to never hear about this race ever again
Daniel Biss just dropped a new internal poll in #IL09. Shows him at 31% and Laura Fine/Kat Abu slugging it out for second at 18%.
February 12, 2026 at 11:18 PM
oh boy
#BREAKING: Angus Taylor has defeated Sussan Ley in the Liberal leadership ballot 34-17 #auspol
February 12, 2026 at 10:39 PM
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Here is the promised sheet with partisan primary participation from 2018, 2022, and (soon) 2026

Date = 2026 primary election day, and the table is sorted by primary calendar

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
February 12, 2026 at 9:28 PM
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EV starts in Texas next week!

Primary turnout can, in aggregate, be a directional indicator of enthusiasm and midterm turnout

Open primary states (like TX) are most interesting, and the last time TX had competitive races on both sides was 2016, so pretty interested in turnout here
February 12, 2026 at 6:09 PM
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I’ve been seeing a lot of “Ossoff +4/+5” hypothetical scenarios

GA was R+2.2 vs R+1.5 nationally in 2024, almost in line with the national result. Ossoff’s a reasonably strong incumbent too

So I’m saying we need to think bigger 🙂‍↕️
February 12, 2026 at 4:12 PM
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I agree please primary RINO Brian Fitzpatrick
February 12, 2026 at 12:10 AM
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Man, being a “democratic strategist” must be the easiest goddamn thing. No real need to demonstrate credentials or even competency, just pick up the phone when the Times calls.
February 11, 2026 at 11:07 PM
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"weird how so many republicans from competitive seats feel compelled to vote against the party line, but democrats don't. makes you wonder if they are taking bad advice that has little to do with electoral performance, and dem pols know this"
February 11, 2026 at 10:46 PM
real quick question, what are the profits of the daily wire
February 11, 2026 at 10:49 PM
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Our movement is growing and we're proud to receive the endorsements of Gov. @mikiesherrill.bsky.social and Senators @corybooker.com @andykimnj.bsky.social. Unifying as Democrats is more critical than ever before to fight for our nation's futures and narrow the GOP margin in Congress. Let's win this!
February 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM
i kinda hate when data people just slip in their vibes takes in their analysis of a chart
This is a huge deal. After years of leading in fundraising, Dem small donors are (rightly) pissed off at the spam texts and emails, as well as at congressional leadership. Meanwhile, GOP billionaire money is hitting record levels. Perfect storm.

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/10/u...
February 11, 2026 at 6:18 PM
February 11, 2026 at 5:54 PM
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Klob leads Lindell 53-31 D+22
February 11, 2026 at 4:58 PM
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lol JOSH GOTTHEIMER called Analilia Mejia to congratulate her before Hakeem Jeffries?
February 11, 2026 at 5:34 AM
if soto becomes an average defender, he could genuinely win a NL gold glove at left field, because his competition is so ass
Puma reporting from Mets camp: Juan Soto is shifting to left field, according to David Stearns.
February 11, 2026 at 4:26 AM
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LGBTQIANJT
February 11, 2026 at 3:14 AM
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Live look of Sir Sherrod Brown
February 11, 2026 at 2:40 AM
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Mf’s when Dems are only gonna over-perform Kamala by 34pts in a R+58 seat
February 11, 2026 at 2:00 AM
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With a quarter of the precincts reporting in the Oklahoma #HD35 (Trump+58) special election:

Dillon Travis (R)- 61.1%
Luke Kruse (D)- 38.9%

Kruse is currently outperforming Harris's margins in the precincts reporting by 20-30 points. Oklahoma Dems are beasts in specials.
February 11, 2026 at 1:49 AM
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Looking at the precincts and comparing them to 2024, the Dem here it outperforming Harris by 44, 35, 23, and 18.

Not enough to flip the district, but defo a big overperformance
February 11, 2026 at 1:45 AM
Reposted by Magenta
Final results in the Virginia #SD39 (Harris+55) special election:

Elizabeth Bennett-Parker (D)- 82.8%
Julie Robben Linberry (R)- 17.2%

Not only do the Democrats outperform Harris by 10 points, they also nearly match Spanberger's 66 point win here from November!
February 11, 2026 at 1:34 AM