Corn Cob (Tariffed)
@corncobanalysis.bsky.social
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woke degree holder
woke degree holder
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Don’t worry: my preferred candidate will become Democratic AMLO
Reposted by Corn Cob (Tariffed)
NEW ARTICLE OUT: After the 2025 Elections in New Jersey and New York (City), we took a look at two Congressional Districts to watch for 2026, one where the incumbent is retiring (NJ-12), and one where the incumbent is getting a serious challenger (NY-10).
LINK: electioncord.com/a-snapshot-o...
LINK: electioncord.com/a-snapshot-o...
A Snapshot of New York and New Jersey Post-2025 – ELECTIONCORD
electioncord.com
November 11, 2025 at 3:58 AM
NEW ARTICLE OUT: After the 2025 Elections in New Jersey and New York (City), we took a look at two Congressional Districts to watch for 2026, one where the incumbent is retiring (NJ-12), and one where the incumbent is getting a serious challenger (NY-10).
LINK: electioncord.com/a-snapshot-o...
LINK: electioncord.com/a-snapshot-o...
In a broader context, clear that Republicans and conservatives voted for Harrell/Cuomo etc. Going forward, I see very little chance that Republicans and conservative indies will do any party raiding the way Democrats did with Dave Brat. They will pick the more conservative candidate tactically
King County turnout change from August primary to November by age, with almost everything counted:
Overall: 11.2%
18-24: 4.7%
25-34: 11.3%
35-44: 13.8%
45-54: 14.5%
55-64: 12.8%
65+: 8.3%
Minor miracle that Wilson survived this, younger voters did not appear for her.
Overall: 11.2%
18-24: 4.7%
25-34: 11.3%
35-44: 13.8%
45-54: 14.5%
55-64: 12.8%
65+: 8.3%
Minor miracle that Wilson survived this, younger voters did not appear for her.
November 11, 2025 at 1:24 AM
In a broader context, clear that Republicans and conservatives voted for Harrell/Cuomo etc. Going forward, I see very little chance that Republicans and conservative indies will do any party raiding the way Democrats did with Dave Brat. They will pick the more conservative candidate tactically
King County turnout change from August primary to November by age, with almost everything counted:
Overall: 11.2%
18-24: 4.7%
25-34: 11.3%
35-44: 13.8%
45-54: 14.5%
55-64: 12.8%
65+: 8.3%
Minor miracle that Wilson survived this, younger voters did not appear for her.
Overall: 11.2%
18-24: 4.7%
25-34: 11.3%
35-44: 13.8%
45-54: 14.5%
55-64: 12.8%
65+: 8.3%
Minor miracle that Wilson survived this, younger voters did not appear for her.
November 11, 2025 at 1:16 AM
King County turnout change from August primary to November by age, with almost everything counted:
Overall: 11.2%
18-24: 4.7%
25-34: 11.3%
35-44: 13.8%
45-54: 14.5%
55-64: 12.8%
65+: 8.3%
Minor miracle that Wilson survived this, younger voters did not appear for her.
Overall: 11.2%
18-24: 4.7%
25-34: 11.3%
35-44: 13.8%
45-54: 14.5%
55-64: 12.8%
65+: 8.3%
Minor miracle that Wilson survived this, younger voters did not appear for her.
Katie Wilson leads
November 11, 2025 at 12:00 AM
Katie Wilson leads
Why are people thinking there won’t be an ACA show vote? That show vote will totally happen, it’s a meaningless gesture
November 10, 2025 at 9:03 PM
Why are people thinking there won’t be an ACA show vote? That show vote will totally happen, it’s a meaningless gesture
Angus King III: Revenge of the Sith
November 10, 2025 at 5:03 PM
Angus King III: Revenge of the Sith
Need to get some rogue billionaire who want to fund vanity campaigns to get a Tea Party going, sadly none exist as of yet.
Warner still has no primary opponent despite being the best establishment target of the cycle. Who are they supposed to be afraid of?
November 10, 2025 at 7:42 AM
Need to get some rogue billionaire who want to fund vanity campaigns to get a Tea Party going, sadly none exist as of yet.
I have to imagine one reason Democrats don’t fear their voters or primary challenges is because the only successful primaries in 2024 removed Squad members instead of adding them😵💫😵💫
November 10, 2025 at 7:26 AM
I have to imagine one reason Democrats don’t fear their voters or primary challenges is because the only successful primaries in 2024 removed Squad members instead of adding them😵💫😵💫
Reposted by Corn Cob (Tariffed)
The "touch the stove" site all of a sudden forgetting what the thing theyve been braying for for months actually entails.
November 10, 2025 at 3:39 AM
The "touch the stove" site all of a sudden forgetting what the thing theyve been braying for for months actually entails.
It’s super funny that the only Dem Senator up in 2026 that has a credible challenger is Ed Markey, and it’s from the right
November 10, 2025 at 7:07 AM
It’s super funny that the only Dem Senator up in 2026 that has a credible challenger is Ed Markey, and it’s from the right
This has not distracted me from worrying about the Chilean election next Sunday
November 10, 2025 at 5:29 AM
This has not distracted me from worrying about the Chilean election next Sunday
would anyone like to discuss the upcoming budget vote for the Liberal Party of Canada?
November 10, 2025 at 5:15 AM
would anyone like to discuss the upcoming budget vote for the Liberal Party of Canada?
Reposted by Corn Cob (Tariffed)
As for the deal, I’d say the Dems lucked into a good hand on the flop, but won a small pot instead of capitalizing
November 10, 2025 at 4:51 AM
As for the deal, I’d say the Dems lucked into a good hand on the flop, but won a small pot instead of capitalizing
This is also true but, honestly, who cares
Not very long ago at all, conventional wisdom on here was that pushing for ACA subsidies to be extended was stupid on Democrats’ part because it was just saving Republicans from themselves.
November 10, 2025 at 4:36 AM
This is also true but, honestly, who cares
btw, I highly doubt the elections played much of a role in the cave, there's no way Jeanne Shaheen and Maggie Hassan are thinking more than -2 steps ahead
November 10, 2025 at 4:14 AM
btw, I highly doubt the elections played much of a role in the cave, there's no way Jeanne Shaheen and Maggie Hassan are thinking more than -2 steps ahead
Gavin Newsom is going to get >50% of the Dem primary vote at this rate
November 10, 2025 at 4:12 AM
Gavin Newsom is going to get >50% of the Dem primary vote at this rate
The reason I believe this is they clearly threw out Schumer to make that DOA "one-year ACA credit extension" offer as cover during the negotiations. But then he decided "well, Angus King told me to do it, so I have to do it".
this is kinda true, but also kinda not true, King and CCM were anti-shutdown from Day 1 and they probably got enough support to roll Schumer (now, is being weak enough to be rolled over by Angus King a tenable political position? no.)
The coordinated nature of this—none are facing voters in 2026—means that either Schumer approved it or failed in his job as Senate Majority Leader to stop it.
Dems voting "no" get zero credit until they demand a change in leadership. Schumer out as Leader, Durbin out as Whip.
Dems voting "no" get zero credit until they demand a change in leadership. Schumer out as Leader, Durbin out as Whip.
November 10, 2025 at 3:59 AM
The reason I believe this is they clearly threw out Schumer to make that DOA "one-year ACA credit extension" offer as cover during the negotiations. But then he decided "well, Angus King told me to do it, so I have to do it".
Now would be a really great time for the Dems to flip TN-07, tbh
November 10, 2025 at 3:49 AM
Now would be a really great time for the Dems to flip TN-07, tbh
Bluesky needs to get further above Truth Social as a favorite social media if we want to have them stop saying this
November 10, 2025 at 3:24 AM
Bluesky needs to get further above Truth Social as a favorite social media if we want to have them stop saying this
this is kinda true, but also kinda not true, King and CCM were anti-shutdown from Day 1 and they probably got enough support to roll Schumer (now, is being weak enough to be rolled over by Angus King a tenable political position? no.)
The coordinated nature of this—none are facing voters in 2026—means that either Schumer approved it or failed in his job as Senate Majority Leader to stop it.
Dems voting "no" get zero credit until they demand a change in leadership. Schumer out as Leader, Durbin out as Whip.
Dems voting "no" get zero credit until they demand a change in leadership. Schumer out as Leader, Durbin out as Whip.
so currently defectors are:
Kaine (2030)
Shaheen (Retiring)
Hasan (2028)
Fetterman (2028)
Durbin (Retiring)
CCM (2028)
Rosen (2030)
King (2030)
Kaine (2030)
Shaheen (Retiring)
Hasan (2028)
Fetterman (2028)
Durbin (Retiring)
CCM (2028)
Rosen (2030)
King (2030)
November 10, 2025 at 3:08 AM
this is kinda true, but also kinda not true, King and CCM were anti-shutdown from Day 1 and they probably got enough support to roll Schumer (now, is being weak enough to be rolled over by Angus King a tenable political position? no.)
Reposted by Corn Cob (Tariffed)
Yes if you want to doom this is the reason to me more than the cave. We should have been begging them to kill the filibuster and had a bunch of Dems willing to say if they want to kill your healthcare with 50 votes it’s their prerogative.
i suspect there’s some truth to this and also why we should be EXTREMELY skeptical that senate dems as currently constituted would ditch the filibuster should they ever have a trifecta again
November 10, 2025 at 2:55 AM
Yes if you want to doom this is the reason to me more than the cave. We should have been begging them to kill the filibuster and had a bunch of Dems willing to say if they want to kill your healthcare with 50 votes it’s their prerogative.
The worst part of all this is John Fetterman ended up being correct. "Everyone in Congress is stupid, cruel or cowardly, so we should just leave the government open," was the correct assessment...🫠
November 10, 2025 at 2:55 AM
The worst part of all this is John Fetterman ended up being correct. "Everyone in Congress is stupid, cruel or cowardly, so we should just leave the government open," was the correct assessment...🫠
You know someone in the room for negotiations was like “can we time the announcement right as Sunday Night Football starts to avoid blowback?”
November 10, 2025 at 2:10 AM
You know someone in the room for negotiations was like “can we time the announcement right as Sunday Night Football starts to avoid blowback?”
Unfortunately, all 1,682 people who understand how the budget process works are Democrats
November 10, 2025 at 2:01 AM
Unfortunately, all 1,682 people who understand how the budget process works are Democrats