World's Second-Biggest AtlasIntel Hater
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corncobanalysis.bsky.social
World's Second-Biggest AtlasIntel Hater
@corncobanalysis.bsky.social
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woke degree holder
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Don’t worry: my preferred candidate will become Democratic AMLO
Reposted by World's Second-Biggest AtlasIntel Hater
This is something kind of new I'm working on, dividing up our 100K district project into percentiles, to make charts like this. This shows that generally, turnout in Dem areas dropped pretty hard from 2020-2024, while Republican areas stayed the same or had increased turnout.
December 27, 2025 at 2:57 AM
Just to illustrate this, in 2021-22 the GOP spent a lot of money trying to win over Latinos by doing cookouts, hosting events, and opening “outreach centers”. Latinos didn’t move at all or even swung left.

In 2024 Trump blanketed airwaves and got the largest Latino swing in 20 years.
If you are spending $20 on cost per acquisition for a marginal voter w/targeted ads and specialized canvassing (e.g., in-person, which is insanely expensive relative to ads)

vs.

$5 on a super-voter who sees you on TV

The candidate who gets more $5 voters wins 9/10 times.
December 27, 2025 at 2:09 AM
Third Way (!): We recommend a strategy of prioritizing SNAP/Medicaid cuts bc the public has "a solidarity to help all Americans struggling to provide for their families."

Gen Z centrists: "Nothing in liberal states can ever be good. Source: polls from January."

www.thirdway.org/memo/food-me...
December 27, 2025 at 12:47 AM
From a campaign dollars perspective, this is objectively true.
Yeah I mean it’s not really PC to say this but extremely poor or marginalized people are usually a bad persuasion target in a primary! Sorry but that’s just reality!
December 27, 2025 at 12:26 AM
Ok it is going to snow a lot in NYC tonight. That is the corncob weather forecast
December 26, 2025 at 9:45 PM
2026 Dem campaigns should just copy this
December 26, 2025 at 4:37 PM
Some depressing stuff, but the Lib Dems are such a classic Anglo political tradition. They take “free trade, free people” so seriously. No one folds in new social liberal ideas faster than them🥲.
December 26, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Reposted by World's Second-Biggest AtlasIntel Hater
And an important kicker to that is those people you perceive to be much better off - you absolutely do not view them as "better educated" or "more moral" than you.

Social media surrounds you with the undeservedly successful!

www.ymrp.org/polling
December 23, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Reposted by World's Second-Biggest AtlasIntel Hater
One partial explanation for the vibecession may be that we're increasingly alone with a device in our pockets that disproportionately exposes us to people we believe to be much wealthier and more successful than us

open.substack.com/pub/youngmen...
December 23, 2025 at 4:14 PM
See this is a bipartisan populist issue we can get behind. Who tf cares about if someone is using a GLP-1, and now that it’s in pill form…
I cannot stand the repeated hit pieces on GLP-1s in mainstream media. NYT almost daily: GLP-1s wrecked this couple’s sex life! Or this woman’s emotional life! Or her cooking! NYMag today: Celebrities are so thin their bones are jutting out of their hips! Me: Anyone else remember the 90s?
December 26, 2025 at 3:52 PM
I interviewed someone living in San Francisco who wants to move out because her expenses are too high. What does Abundance do for her?
December 26, 2025 at 3:49 PM
My new favorite is “green flag: men who have sisters”. As if anyone can control that.

(I do have two sisters but it’s the Principle that makes no sense)
"ick" discourse is literally 100% this. It's people trying to tell themselves that if they raise their standards on some surface level thing, it means they can avoid a bad relationship later on. I don't think anyone even actually believes this is true
December 26, 2025 at 5:34 AM
Reposted by World's Second-Biggest AtlasIntel Hater
Dating discourse on here reads to me as mostly made of people self reinforcing their own depression and it’s weird that people who are married participate by thanking the universe that they’re not dating online.
December 25, 2025 at 7:20 PM
that “what does Abundance offer farmers” post stemmed from a plant closure from Tyson Foods in Lexington, NE. It was very bad, 3,200 laid off, big damage to local migrant community and small businesses.

But I struggle to see how this and urban housing policy are linked

apnews.com/article/tyso...
An American Dream at risk: What happens to a small Nebraska town when 3,200 workers lose their jobs
Tyson Foods is closing its beef plant in Lexington, Nebraska, laying off 3,200 workers next month in a town of just 11,000.
apnews.com
December 25, 2025 at 11:01 PM
Btw there’s pretty good evidence that the post-pandemic society was a boom time for exurban and “rural” areas.

The big rural immiseration is sorta in the previous generation (1970-2000), not ours. But as in many countries, their descendants are even more aggrieved!

eig.org/left-behind-...
December 25, 2025 at 10:39 PM
For what it’s worth, he did probably interview real people with these beliefs. And I don’t doubt that they have them.

But it’s a huge coalition and you do have to take into account that urban voters can get very mad over lack of services (like they potentially did in 2024!)
I don’t always agree with of the broader political takes from some “abundance”-coded pundits but man the abundance critics are just pure nonsense merchants

like, what’s this guy’s deal? literally making up a guy to dunk on the idea that cities should build more housing and transit.
December 25, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Feel like 2025 was the year of having vicious arguments online about policy, direction, and morals. and then everyone just lined up behind the guy with the best Instagram videos.
December 25, 2025 at 8:14 PM
WRONG
Zack Snyder has done more good for Americans than Pete Buttigieg. Full stop.
December 25, 2025 at 8:07 PM
I love how we lightly rigged Honduras’ election w/threats, except it made the center-right guy who loves Bukele lose and the drug-trafficking right win. Although that was probably the admin’s preferred outcome.

And the leftists…lol
December 25, 2025 at 7:55 PM
New horseshoe theory, but it’s pre-2020 left populists and Romney Republicans
December 25, 2025 at 5:52 PM
Realizing a lot of Francisco Goya’s post-1807 paintings were variations on “Fell For It Again Award”

(Yes I know this is Ilya Repin)
December 25, 2025 at 5:49 PM
We can increase usage of bluesky by just eliminating the Discover Page entirely
December 25, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Would be great to be one of those heterodox non-white thinkers, except all my heterodox opinions are about distance running instead of race wars. Dang.
December 25, 2025 at 5:40 AM
It's ironic how a bunch of Biden officials and related think tanks co-opted Abundance as their idea to wield against "the Left" as if the book isn't a broadside on how 2021-24 was a political and technocratic failure.
December 24, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Though I don’t necessarily believe and I don’t speak Portuguese, the fundamentals for PT in Brazil seem alright? At the very least they haven’t gone Biden Mode?

Not an ideal situation by any means, but Lula’s approvals have stuck around -2. Which is, all things considered, decent.
December 24, 2025 at 8:46 PM