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Polling Canada
@canadianpolling.bsky.social
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Polling Canada | Curtis Fric | Substack
Substack for Canada's largest, independent polling aggregator. Click to read Polling Canada, by Curtis Fric, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
canadianpolling.substack.com
"How would you describe the performance of the current government?"

Good: 53% (+39)
Average: 18% (-)
Poor: 27% (-40)

Nanos / December 29, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With December 2024)
January 6, 2026 at 6:09 PM
"Would you say Canada as a country is moving in the right or wrong direction?"

Right Direction: 53% (+30)
Wrong Direction: 31% (-33)

Nanos / December 29, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With December 2024)
January 6, 2026 at 6:09 PM
Most Important Issue:

Jobs/Economy: 21% (-1)
Trump/US Relations: 10% (-)
Inflation: 9% (+1)
Healthcare: 8% (+1)
Immigration: 6% (-)
Environment: 6% (-)
Debt/Deficit: 3% ()
Housing: 3% (-)

Nanos / January 2, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With December 26, 2025)
January 6, 2026 at 6:05 PM
Preferred Prime Minister Polling:

Carney: 49% (+-)
Poilievre: 26% (-2)
Blanchet: 5% (-1)
Davies: 3% (-)
May: 3% (-)
Bernier: 1% (-)

Unsure: 12%

Nanos / January 2, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With December 26. 2025)
January 6, 2026 at 6:04 PM
Americans coming for our prime minister is so funny like bro, your president is a pedophile, pipe down
January 6, 2026 at 1:50 AM
Reposted by Polling Canada
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:

🔴 LPC: 162 (-7)
🔵 CPC: 134 (-10)
⚜️ BQ: 35 (+13)
🟠 NDP: 10 (+3)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)

(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)

- January 3, 2026 -

Full model article here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/quebec-tig...
Quebec Tightens as Bloc Surges and Conservatives Slide
Liberals and Conservatives take a hit in Quebec as the BQ hits a new high post-election
canadianpolling.substack.com
January 3, 2026 at 4:42 PM
Mark Carney Approval Polling:

Quebec:
🟢 Approve: 53%
⚫️ Disapprove: 38%

Alberta:
⚫️ Disapprove: 50%
🟢 Approve: 47%

Ontario:
🟢 Approve: 59%
⚫️ Disapprove: 36%

Liaison / Jan 3, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / IVR
January 5, 2026 at 11:51 PM
(Models Available For Subscribers)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 38% (-6)
CPC: 36% (-5)
NDP: 12% (+6)
BQ: 8% (+2)
GPC: 4% (+3)
PPC: 2% (+1)

Nanos / January 2, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
January 5, 2026 at 11:43 PM
Mark Carney Approval Polling:

🟢 Approve: 55%
⚫️ Disapprove: 39%

Liaison / Jan 3, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / IVR
January 5, 2026 at 9:51 PM
Mark Carney Approval Polling Among:

Men:
🟢 Approve: 54%
⚫️ Disapprove: 40%

Women:
🟢 Approve: 55%
⚫️ Disapprove: 38%

Liaison / Jan 3, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / IVR
January 5, 2026 at 9:50 PM
(Models Available For Subscribers)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 38% (-6)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 12% (+6)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 1% (-)

Liaison / Jan 3, 2026 / n=945 / MOE 3.1% / IVR

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
January 5, 2026 at 6:12 PM
Polling Canada Federal Model Update:

🔴 LPC: 162 (-7)
🔵 CPC: 134 (-10)
⚜️ BQ: 35 (+13)
🟠 NDP: 10 (+3)
🟢 GPC: 2 (+1)

(Seat Changes With 2025 Federal Election)

- January 3, 2026 -

Full model article here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/quebec-tig...
Quebec Tightens as Bloc Surges and Conservatives Slide
Liberals and Conservatives take a hit in Quebec as the BQ hits a new high post-election
canadianpolling.substack.com
January 3, 2026 at 4:42 PM
(Models Available For Subscribers)

Ontario Provincial Polling:

PCPO: 44% (+1)
OLP: 35% (+5)
ONDP: 16% (-3)
GPO: 3% (-2)
Others: 2%

Liaison / December 7, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / IVR

(% Change with 2025 Election)

Check out more ON details on @338canada.bsky.social at: 338canada.com/ontario/
January 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM
"Canadians have lost a shared sense of who we are"

🟢 Agree: 59%
🔴 Disagree: 19%
⚪️ Neutral: 17%

Read it here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/a-shared-d...
A Shared Distrust of Elites Unites Canadians
Canadians clash over history and identity but agree the system is rigged
canadianpolling.substack.com
January 1, 2026 at 9:32 PM
Year-end shoutout to the 137 MPs that follow Polling Canada! Overall, that's:

🍁 40% of Parliament (137)

🟠 100% of New Democrats (7)
🟢 100% of Greens (1)
⚜️ 45% of Bloc Québécois (10)
🔵 44% of Conservatives (63)
🔴 33% of Liberals (56)
December 31, 2025 at 9:28 PM
"Canada is heading down a road that will leave a mess for future generations"

Agree: 61%
Neutral: 18%
Disagree: 16%

Read it here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/a-shared-d...
A Shared Distrust of Elites Unites Canadians
Canadians clash over history and identity but agree the system is rigged
canadianpolling.substack.com
December 31, 2025 at 8:01 PM
A quick thank you to my Substack readers, and happy new years!

canadianpolling.substack.com/p/happy-new-...
Happy New Year & Thank You!
This is only possible because of readers like you
canadianpolling.substack.com
December 31, 2025 at 6:54 PM
"Canadian elites don't care about ordinary Canadians"

Agree: 71%
Neutral: 15%
Disagree: 8%

Read it here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/a-shared-d...
A Shared Distrust of Elites Unites Canadians
Canadians clash over history and identity but agree the system is rigged
canadianpolling.substack.com
December 30, 2025 at 10:08 PM
Most Important Issue:

Jobs/Economy: 22% (-1)
Trump/US Relations: 10% (+1)
Inflation: 8% (-)
Healthcare: 7% (-1)
Immigration: 6% (-1)
Environment: 6% (+1)
Debt/Deficit: 3% (-1)
Housing: 3% (-)

Nanos / December 26, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With December 19, 2025)
December 30, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Preferred Prime Minister Polling:

Carney: 49% (+3)
Poilievre: 28% (-1)
Blanchet: 6% (-)
Davies: 3% (-1)
May: 3% (+1)
Bernier: 1% (-)

Unsure: 12%

Nanos / December 26, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change With December 19, 2025)
December 30, 2025 at 6:58 PM
(Models Available For Subscribers)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 38% (-6)
CPC: 35% (-6)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 4% (+3)
PPC: 2% (+1)

Nanos / December 26, 2025 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
December 30, 2025 at 8:44 AM
"Who is best described by standing up to special interests?"

🔴 Carney: 27%
🔵 Poilievre: 27%

Read it here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/a-shared-d...
A Shared Distrust of Elites Unites Canadians
Canadians clash over history and identity but agree the system is rigged
canadianpolling.substack.com
December 29, 2025 at 11:03 PM
(Models Available For Subscribers)

Federal Polling:

LPC: 39% (-5)
CPC: 37% (-4)
NDP: 11% (+5)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 3% (+2)
PPC: 2% (+1)

Liaison / Dec 28, 2025 / n=925 / MOE 3.1% / IVR

(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)

Visit @338canada.bsky.social for polling details: 338canada.com
December 29, 2025 at 7:00 PM
"Who is best described by strong leadership?"

🔴 Carney: 38%
🔵 Poilievre: 29%

Read it here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/a-shared-d...
A Shared Distrust of Elites Unites Canadians
Canadians clash over history and identity but agree the system is rigged
canadianpolling.substack.com
December 28, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Saskatchewan/Manitoba Federal Polling:

🔵 CPC: 52.3%
🔴 LPC: 31.7%
🟠 NDP: 11.3%
🟢 GPC: 2.2%
🟣 PPC: 1.7%

Polls here: canadianpolling.ca/Canada-SKMB-...
December 28, 2025 at 5:53 PM