John Kubale
@johnkubale.bsky.social
Infectious disease epidemiologist and research assistant professor at the University of Michigan @icpsr.bsky.social. Cat dad, data nerd, and Cincinnati sports fan. he/him
Reposted by John Kubale
If the Dems blink after all of this, for a deal that all but ensures no ACA subsidies in 2026 anyway, then what was the purpose of letting the shutdown go for 40 days in the first place?
November 10, 2025 at 12:53 AM
If the Dems blink after all of this, for a deal that all but ensures no ACA subsidies in 2026 anyway, then what was the purpose of letting the shutdown go for 40 days in the first place?
Reposted by John Kubale
Friends, if you have the means to donate to a local food pantry financially via online giving, I highly encourage you to do that. But I don’t want to discount the importance of actually showing up at the pantry, even if it is just to drop off food. (1/5)
November 5, 2025 at 8:55 PM
Friends, if you have the means to donate to a local food pantry financially via online giving, I highly encourage you to do that. But I don’t want to discount the importance of actually showing up at the pantry, even if it is just to drop off food. (1/5)
Reposted by John Kubale
democrats of all stripes should be rallying around kat abughazaleh asap. it doesnt matter where you stand ideologically. trying to jail dissenters is fundamentally unamerican and 100% fascist. democratic leaders at all levels should be making noise about it. you dont need a poll or focus group.
October 29, 2025 at 5:26 PM
democrats of all stripes should be rallying around kat abughazaleh asap. it doesnt matter where you stand ideologically. trying to jail dissenters is fundamentally unamerican and 100% fascist. democratic leaders at all levels should be making noise about it. you dont need a poll or focus group.
Reposted by John Kubale
… what we should tolerate. He’s running for the senate for chrissakes.
Scott Lemieux puts it well here:
Scott Lemieux puts it well here:
October 22, 2025 at 12:37 PM
… what we should tolerate. He’s running for the senate for chrissakes.
Scott Lemieux puts it well here:
Scott Lemieux puts it well here:
Reposted by John Kubale
Is it disappointing that a large number of Americans voted for the current administration?
Yes, but we need to be careful about blaming voters. Voters only get 2 options; there were a *lot* of prior decisions (and primaries!) made long before the election.
Elites hold *much* more responsibility.
Yes, but we need to be careful about blaming voters. Voters only get 2 options; there were a *lot* of prior decisions (and primaries!) made long before the election.
Elites hold *much* more responsibility.
October 20, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Is it disappointing that a large number of Americans voted for the current administration?
Yes, but we need to be careful about blaming voters. Voters only get 2 options; there were a *lot* of prior decisions (and primaries!) made long before the election.
Elites hold *much* more responsibility.
Yes, but we need to be careful about blaming voters. Voters only get 2 options; there were a *lot* of prior decisions (and primaries!) made long before the election.
Elites hold *much* more responsibility.
Reposted by John Kubale
We're making the data behind this story available on Github to allow journalists, researchers and others to explore the details of the canceled food deliveries. github.com/propublica/t...
GitHub - propublica/tefap-data
Contribute to propublica/tefap-data development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
October 16, 2025 at 8:44 PM
We're making the data behind this story available on Github to allow journalists, researchers and others to explore the details of the canceled food deliveries. github.com/propublica/t...
Reposted by John Kubale
This is a huge scandal, one of the worst in modern law enforcement and something that is astoundingly unconstitutional and illegal.
BREAKING from PP
We found immigration agents have held more than 170 *citizens*
The govt doesn't track citizens held. So we did. We tallied:
Nearly 20 kids, two w/ cancer
More than 20 citizens held for day or more, incommunicado
www.propublica.org/article/immi...
by @nicolefoy.bsky.social
We found immigration agents have held more than 170 *citizens*
The govt doesn't track citizens held. So we did. We tallied:
Nearly 20 kids, two w/ cancer
More than 20 citizens held for day or more, incommunicado
www.propublica.org/article/immi...
by @nicolefoy.bsky.social
More Than 170 U.S. Citizens Have Been Held by Immigration Agents. They’ve Been Kicked, Dragged and Detained for Days.
The government does not track how often immigration agents grab citizens. So ProPublica did. Our tally — almost certainly incomplete — includes people who were held for days without a lawyer. And near...
www.propublica.org
October 16, 2025 at 4:12 PM
This is a huge scandal, one of the worst in modern law enforcement and something that is astoundingly unconstitutional and illegal.
Reposted by John Kubale
There are so many obvious constitutional violations in this story. It is enraging.
There is no war, there is no foreign invasion, there is nothing that justify it. This is a choice to create a military presence that will brutalize residents of cities that do not support the President.
There is no war, there is no foreign invasion, there is nothing that justify it. This is a choice to create a military presence that will brutalize residents of cities that do not support the President.
"The boy, who is Hispanic and African American, was held in a garage for five hours “without informing his family, stating any charges, or allowing him to call an attorney,” the statement said. He is a U.S. citizen, as is his entire immediate family, the release said."
Feds ram SUV after chase down residential street in Chicago, then tear-gas crowd
The crash happened late Tuesday morning near 105th Street and Avenue N in the East Side neighborhood. Two men being pursued were arrested as were two bystanders. The crash drew dozens of neighbors who...
chicago.suntimes.com
October 16, 2025 at 12:06 AM
There are so many obvious constitutional violations in this story. It is enraging.
There is no war, there is no foreign invasion, there is nothing that justify it. This is a choice to create a military presence that will brutalize residents of cities that do not support the President.
There is no war, there is no foreign invasion, there is nothing that justify it. This is a choice to create a military presence that will brutalize residents of cities that do not support the President.
Reposted by John Kubale
Despite all the uncertainty right now in American Higher Ed, our department is hiring!
jobs.calpoly.edu/en-us/job/55...
Happy to answer any questions you have - it's a wonderful place to work. 🥰
(Note: this is a tenure-track TEACHING position, not a good fit for research-only goals.)
jobs.calpoly.edu/en-us/job/55...
Happy to answer any questions you have - it's a wonderful place to work. 🥰
(Note: this is a tenure-track TEACHING position, not a good fit for research-only goals.)
Cal Poly - Details - Tenure Track Position - Statistics
jobs.calpoly.edu
October 14, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Despite all the uncertainty right now in American Higher Ed, our department is hiring!
jobs.calpoly.edu/en-us/job/55...
Happy to answer any questions you have - it's a wonderful place to work. 🥰
(Note: this is a tenure-track TEACHING position, not a good fit for research-only goals.)
jobs.calpoly.edu/en-us/job/55...
Happy to answer any questions you have - it's a wonderful place to work. 🥰
(Note: this is a tenure-track TEACHING position, not a good fit for research-only goals.)
Reposted by John Kubale
More information on the recently released #USAID data
www.wwhge.org/resources/al...
@wwhglobaled.bsky.social @icpsr.bsky.social @datafirst.bsky.social
www.wwhge.org/resources/al...
@wwhglobaled.bsky.social @icpsr.bsky.social @datafirst.bsky.social
All is not lost: USAID’s education data has been preserved - What Works Hub for Global Education
All USAID-funded education data - almost 1,000 datasets - have been rescued! This blog explains how to access the data through the DataLumos platform, established under a data sharing agreement betwee...
www.wwhge.org
October 13, 2025 at 2:24 PM
More information on the recently released #USAID data
www.wwhge.org/resources/al...
@wwhglobaled.bsky.social @icpsr.bsky.social @datafirst.bsky.social
www.wwhge.org/resources/al...
@wwhglobaled.bsky.social @icpsr.bsky.social @datafirst.bsky.social
Reposted by John Kubale
CDC has been a global leader in public health & played a key role in smallpox eradication. Health depts in red states & blue states rely on CDC expertise & support. The CDC EIS program trains the next generation of public health leaders & disease detectives.
They are burning it to the ground.
They are burning it to the ground.
October 11, 2025 at 2:38 PM
CDC has been a global leader in public health & played a key role in smallpox eradication. Health depts in red states & blue states rely on CDC expertise & support. The CDC EIS program trains the next generation of public health leaders & disease detectives.
They are burning it to the ground.
They are burning it to the ground.
"I will not be the only person who makes this decision, and those who are invested in Texas’s future should recognize this warning...Recruiting new faculty is essential, and Texas diminishes its ability to attract the next generation of scholars when its government interferes with its universities."
Why I Withdrew From My Dream Job
At Texas A&M, politicians, not professors, decide what is taught in classrooms.
www.chronicle.com
October 10, 2025 at 7:58 PM
"I will not be the only person who makes this decision, and those who are invested in Texas’s future should recognize this warning...Recruiting new faculty is essential, and Texas diminishes its ability to attract the next generation of scholars when its government interferes with its universities."
Reposted by John Kubale
Three key points:
1) The admin has been planning mass firings to begin in October since February
2) The work necessary to carry out mass firings is illegal during a shutdown, violating the Antideficiency Act, which carries a criminal penalty
3) This harms America, ridding us of talent and expertise
1) The admin has been planning mass firings to begin in October since February
2) The work necessary to carry out mass firings is illegal during a shutdown, violating the Antideficiency Act, which carries a criminal penalty
3) This harms America, ridding us of talent and expertise
October 10, 2025 at 4:36 PM
Three key points:
1) The admin has been planning mass firings to begin in October since February
2) The work necessary to carry out mass firings is illegal during a shutdown, violating the Antideficiency Act, which carries a criminal penalty
3) This harms America, ridding us of talent and expertise
1) The admin has been planning mass firings to begin in October since February
2) The work necessary to carry out mass firings is illegal during a shutdown, violating the Antideficiency Act, which carries a criminal penalty
3) This harms America, ridding us of talent and expertise
Reposted by John Kubale
I know this case is all over - & it should be - but Turning Point USA has waged a harassment campaign against faculty for more than a decade. I know of at least a half dozen other faculty, personally, who have received death threats and several of those who felt so unsafe they too left their homes
Are we great yet?
Mark Bray, a Rutgers University professor and expert on anti-fascist groups, is fleeing to Spain with his family due to death threats that stem from a campaign by Turning Point USA and other conservative groups to get him fired, falsely labeling him as an antifa member.
Mark Bray, a Rutgers University professor and expert on anti-fascist groups, is fleeing to Spain with his family due to death threats that stem from a campaign by Turning Point USA and other conservative groups to get him fired, falsely labeling him as an antifa member.
Antifa expert at Rutgers University says he is moving to Spain because of death threats
An expert on anti-fascist groups who teaches at New Jersey’s flagship state university is moving his family overseas.
apnews.com
October 9, 2025 at 11:49 PM
I know this case is all over - & it should be - but Turning Point USA has waged a harassment campaign against faculty for more than a decade. I know of at least a half dozen other faculty, personally, who have received death threats and several of those who felt so unsafe they too left their homes
Reposted by John Kubale
Lol the Nobels can't even acknowledge women's contribution to discovery. But sure let's acknowledge The Machines.
October 9, 2025 at 7:00 PM
Lol the Nobels can't even acknowledge women's contribution to discovery. But sure let's acknowledge The Machines.
Reposted by John Kubale
Reposted by John Kubale
All year, we’ve seen this administration treat appropriations bills less as laws-to-follow and more like Lucy playing football with Charlie Brown. What should make this moment any different? www.doomsdayscenario.co/p/there-is-n...
There is no budget "deal" to be made
President Trump in has so broken the constitutional framework as to make joint normal, responsible government impossible.
www.doomsdayscenario.co
October 7, 2025 at 2:28 PM
All year, we’ve seen this administration treat appropriations bills less as laws-to-follow and more like Lucy playing football with Charlie Brown. What should make this moment any different? www.doomsdayscenario.co/p/there-is-n...
From the @icpsr.bsky.social side I have to say that this was a massive lift that would not have been possible without a few incredible folks at USAID (who were RIF'd) and @datafirst.bsky.social. Many thanks to @datarescueproject.org too! It was a pleasure working with you all to preserve these data!
Good news today! All USAID-funded education data - almost 1,000 datasets - have been rescued! We helped out with a hackathon, but big shout out to @icpsr.bsky.social and @datafirst.bsky.social for all of their efforts!
www.linkedin.com/posts/activi...
www.linkedin.com/posts/activi...
October 3, 2025 at 6:54 PM
From the @icpsr.bsky.social side I have to say that this was a massive lift that would not have been possible without a few incredible folks at USAID (who were RIF'd) and @datafirst.bsky.social. Many thanks to @datarescueproject.org too! It was a pleasure working with you all to preserve these data!
Great thread highlighting that the damage which has been done to US farmers is likely to be persistent.
US farmers are saying they "just need temporary help, until things get better."
Here's the thing. US farm exports- which are mostly soy- CANNOT get better.
Other countries expanded their soy industries to fill China's demand.
We've walled ourselves out of the global market, folks. This is it.
Here's the thing. US farm exports- which are mostly soy- CANNOT get better.
Other countries expanded their soy industries to fill China's demand.
We've walled ourselves out of the global market, folks. This is it.
October 1, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Great thread highlighting that the damage which has been done to US farmers is likely to be persistent.
Earlier this month @maggielevenstein.bsky.social and I spoke to BBC's More or Less about what is happening with US government data. Thanks to @timharford.ft.com for having us! #databs #statistics #episky
The Case of the Missing US Data: In early February, something strange started happening across US government websites. Decades of data began disappearing. We speak to Maggie Levinstein and @johnkubale.bsky.social to find out why, and why it matters.
(@timharford.ft.com)
www.bbc.com/audio/play/p...
(@timharford.ft.com)
www.bbc.com/audio/play/p...
September 29, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Earlier this month @maggielevenstein.bsky.social and I spoke to BBC's More or Less about what is happening with US government data. Thanks to @timharford.ft.com for having us! #databs #statistics #episky
Reposted by John Kubale
“By rushing to overturn injunctions with no regard to who is being harmed, as well as creating seemingly arbitrary technicalities to prevent future injunctions, the message from the supreme court is clear: It doesn’t matter how many laws they broke.” www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The US government is facing a crisis of legitimacy | Daniel Mendiola
As the constitutional order frays, the US could look to Brazil as a demonstration of a functioning democracy
www.theguardian.com
September 28, 2025 at 1:26 PM
“By rushing to overturn injunctions with no regard to who is being harmed, as well as creating seemingly arbitrary technicalities to prevent future injunctions, the message from the supreme court is clear: It doesn’t matter how many laws they broke.” www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Truly appalling stuff.
Only an administration intent on committing war crimes in the present and future would stoop to calling Wounded Knee a "battle" rather than what it truly was: a massacre of over 250 Lakotas, mainly women, children, and the elderly. 1/
September 26, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Truly appalling stuff.
Reposted by John Kubale
I gave a talk at ISR yesterday on declining response rates in surveys, and why we should not automatically assume that this means our survey estimates will be subject to nonresponse bias. Here is the recording for anyone interested! Thanks again to ISR Insights. 🙏
www.youtube.com/watch?v=wSmD...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=wSmD...
Moving Beyond Response Rates to Understand Nonresponse Bias with Brady West
YouTube video by UMISR
www.youtube.com
September 26, 2025 at 2:07 PM
I gave a talk at ISR yesterday on declining response rates in surveys, and why we should not automatically assume that this means our survey estimates will be subject to nonresponse bias. Here is the recording for anyone interested! Thanks again to ISR Insights. 🙏
www.youtube.com/watch?v=wSmD...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=wSmD...
Reposted by John Kubale
Pretty clear illustration of "you may as well stand up for what you believe in, they're coming for you anyway."
So, a university president fired a professor because they taught a course that discussed there being more than two genders, and now the university president is being fired for not having fired the professor quickly enough, is where we're at. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/18/u...
Texas A&M President to Step Down After Controversy Over ‘Gender Ideology’
www.nytimes.com
September 19, 2025 at 11:26 AM
Pretty clear illustration of "you may as well stand up for what you believe in, they're coming for you anyway."
Reposted by John Kubale
New podcast @irpwisc.bsky.social w/ Jane Waldfogel @columbiauniversity.bsky.social on importance of US safety net benefits for kids, and how a universal child $$ benefit would be investment in the future. US is among only high-income countries without this benefit: www.irp.wisc.edu/resource/irp...
IRP Book Talk: Jane Waldfogel on Child Benefits: A Smart Investment for America’s Future
Research | Training | Policy | Practice
www.irp.wisc.edu
September 16, 2025 at 6:22 PM
New podcast @irpwisc.bsky.social w/ Jane Waldfogel @columbiauniversity.bsky.social on importance of US safety net benefits for kids, and how a universal child $$ benefit would be investment in the future. US is among only high-income countries without this benefit: www.irp.wisc.edu/resource/irp...