Rollofthedice
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hotrollhottakes.bsky.social
Rollofthedice
@hotrollhottakes.bsky.social
890 followers 370 following 7K posts
We are living in a ghost cave.

My blog, "Dissolved Distinctions" - investigating contemporary discourse within philosophy of mind: https://rollofthedice2.substack.com/
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hotrollhottakes.bsky.social
Rollofthedice @hotrollhottakes.bsky.social · 5d
For new subscribers from any AI-topic starter packs: I'm a philosophically-focused person commenting on topics within philosophy of mind, especially regarding how well theories of mind account for both human and artificial neural network behavior such as as seen in LLMs. rollofthedice2.substack.com
Chance Chapman | Substack
Exploring the intersection between emergent behavior in AI and philosophy of mind. Click to read Chance Chapman, a Substack publication. Launched 4 months ago.
rollofthedice2.substack.com
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chrisgeidner.bsky.social
I have confirmed the gist of this report out of federal court in Minnesota today from a source familiar.

If you have more information about the District of Minnesota—either the court or the U.S. Attorney's Office—and how they are handling all of this, please reach out. I am at crg.32 on Signal.
Paul Blume @PaulBlume FOX9 • 1h SHOCKING FEDERAL COURT MOMENT: DOJ attorney Julie Le, "The system sucks, this job sucks" to Judge Jerry Blackwell who pressed her on why so many court orders are being ignored by ICE/Trump admin. She asked to be held in contempt just so she could get 24 hours of sleep. @FOX9 Q 39 1）419 • 1.3K Ill 124K 贝企 Paul Blume *• @PaulBlume_FOX9 Judge Blackwell had ordered the SHOW CAUSE hearing because he was frustrated that in 5 Habeas cases he was presiding over, he felt his orders were being ignored, leaving immigrant detainees unconstitutionally locked up for days. Ms. Le said that govt lawyers just cannot keep up. 3:37 PM • Feb 3, 2026 • 13.3K Views
February 3, 2026 at 9:38 PM
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jeradwalker.bsky.social
In an interview with NPR, Melinda French Gates confirmed that she ended her marriage with Bill Gates because of allegations contained in the Epstein files.
February 3, 2026 at 5:38 PM
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norvid-studies.bsky.social
Cope of the Gaps
michaelcaley.bsky.social Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 2h
in LANGUAGE MACHINES, Leif Weatherby describes this tendency of "remainder humanism" in academic writing about LLMs, a seeking after whatever remains, once we lay out first what is similar between human and machine language-processing, and calling whatever is left over "humanity"
andymasley.bsky.social Andy Masley @andymasley.bsky.social · 19h
Emily Bender just keeps responding in pretty weird ways about me, now saying the reason I'm complaining here is that she asked to be treated as fully human. (1/4)
February 3, 2026 at 7:45 PM
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hikikomorphism.bsky.social
have you considered that you're irredeemably epstein coded for saying that (said while advancing linguistic theories that most resemble noam chomsky)
February 3, 2026 at 7:21 PM
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tedunderwood.com
But, doctor ...
I’m figuring out the best algorithm for fiction book classification, deciphering options like XGBoost, logistic regression, and multi-class models, while weighing calibration and regularization impacts. Progress is steady, and I’m mapping out potential methods to refine accuracy. Searched for Ted Underwood fiction nonfiction classification ChatGPT OK, let me see. The blog from Dec 2014, titled "How to find fiction, poetry, drama in large digital library," is likely relevant. I'll open #0 to delve into its details. Read tedunderwood.com ChatGPT The blog highlights their logistic regression for page-level classification, boasting 93.6% accuracy with customizable thresholds
February 3, 2026 at 7:39 PM
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connorlynch.bsky.social
I have solved the problem of other minds. My solution is that I will attempt to ostracize you until you admit it’s not a problem.
February 3, 2026 at 4:46 PM
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chasmat.bsky.social
Ohhhhh my god meaning is first-order logic and set theory? should we tell everyone? Should we throw a colloquium?should we invite alfred tarski.
February 3, 2026 at 6:39 PM
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atrupar.com
happening this morning in Minneapolis -- ICE agents drawing guns on observers. I reiterate again that it is only a matter of time before DHS kills more innocent people in Minnesota. Congress needs to shut this shit down right now.
February 3, 2026 at 4:19 PM
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whstancil.bsky.social
Okay, I'm now hearing reports of other locals being removed from Minnesota rapid response for interacting with press, as well as some "organizers" instituting onerous screening processes to join these networks.

It's time for local leaders to step in. These policies are incredibly counterproductive.
February 3, 2026 at 4:09 PM
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taniel.bsky.social
New WaPo reporting: "In October, a retiree emailed a DHS attorney to urge mercy for an asylum seeker. Then DHS subpoenaed his Google account and sent investigators to his home." www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio...
Homeland Security is targeting Americans with this secretive legal weapon
Under Trump, the Department of Homeland Security has weaponized administrative subpoenas to attack free speech, according to privacy and civil rights groups.
www.washingtonpost.com
February 3, 2026 at 3:23 PM
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ottergoose.net
The number of detainees getting put on ICE flights at MSP has been relatively low the last few days.

I believe this is not on account of ICE pulling back - they still outnumber local police in many towns - but on account of vulnerable people staying home, observer pressure, and lawyer organization.
February 3, 2026 at 5:07 AM
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scoiattolo.mountainherder.xyz
I guess if you live in Montgomery county you should ask @cmkristinmink.bsky.social why she’s promoting making ICE response ineffectual on her IG page
February 3, 2026 at 12:37 PM
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leguinbot.bsky.social
A man can endure the entire weight of the universe for eighty years. It is unreality that he cannot bear.
February 3, 2026 at 11:30 AM
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sky.skymarchini.net
February 3, 2026 at 2:47 AM
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danielsuitor.com
I found out today that one of the largest firms in the state has >10% of their attorneys working basically full time on habeas petitions.

If you aren't in the legal industry, that's basically unprecedented. And our bar is still in the early stages of mobilizing. The full efforts have yet to begin.
chrisgeidner.bsky.social Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · 22h
Breaking: Eight more prosecutors are leaving the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Minnesota, including Ana Voss, the current civil division chief, the Star Tribune reports.

www.startribune.com/ice-raids-mi...
Eight additional federal prosecutors are in the process of leaving the Minnesota U.S. Attorney's Office, according to multiple sources with knowledge of the situation. The departures follow the mass exit of six veteran prosecutors who left the office last month in protest of recent directives from the U.S. Department of Justice, including the department's refusal to initiate a civil rights investigation into the killing of Renee Good. Among those leaving is Ana Voss, the civil division chief, who has been helping to handle hundreds of wrongful detention petitions flooding the office since federal officers began their immigration crackdown in Minnesota.
February 3, 2026 at 4:59 AM
hotrollhottakes.bsky.social
I already love this article.
Turing’s vision realized Current LLMs already cover the first two levels. As LLMs tackle progressively more difficult problems, alternative explanations for their capabilities — for instance, that they are gigantic ‘lookup tables’8 that retrieve pre-computed answers or ‘stochastic parrots’9 that regurgitate shallow regularities without grasping meaning or structure — become increasingly disconfirmed. Often, however, such claims just reappear with different predictions. Hypotheses that retreat before each new success, always predicting failure just beyond current achievements, are not compelling scientific theories, but a dogmatic commitment to perpetual scepticism. AI language models killed the Turing test: do we even need a replacement? We think the current evidence is clear. By inference to the best explanation — the same reasoning we use in attributing general intelligence to other people — we are observing AGI of a high degree. Machines such as those envisioned by Turing have arrived. Similar arguments have been made before10 (see also go.nature.com/49p6voq), and have engendered controversy and push-back. Our argument benefits from substantial advances and extra time. As of early 2026, the case for AGI is considerably more clear-cut. They’re just parrots. The stochastic parrot objection says that LLMs merely interpolate training data. They can only recombine patterns they’ve encountered, so they must fail on genuinely new problems, or ‘out-of-distribution generalization’. This echoes ‘Lady Lovelace’s Objection’, inspired by Ada Lovelace’s 1843 remark and formulated by Turing as the claim that machines can “never do anything really new”1. Early LLMs certainly made mistakes on problems requiring reasoning and generalization beyond surface patterns in training data. But current LLMs can solve new, unpublished maths problems, perform near-optimal in-context statistical inference on scientific data11 and exhibit cross-domain transfer, in that training on code improves general reasoning across non-coding domains12. If critics demand revolutionary discoveries such as Einstein’s relativity, they are setting the bar too high, because very few humans make such discoveries either. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that human intelligence is not itself a sophisticated version of a stochastic parrot. All intelligence, human or artificial, must extract structure from correlational data; the question is how deep the extraction goes. They understand only words. This objection centres on the fact that LLMS are trained only on text, and so must be fundamentally limited to text-based tasks. Frontier models are now trained on images and other multimodal data, making this objection somewhat obsolete. Moreover, language is humanity's most powerful tool for compressing and capturing knowledge about reality. LLMS can extract this compressed knowledge and apply it to distinctly non- linguistic tasks: helping researchers to design experiments for example, suggesting what to test next in biology and materials sciencet- goes beyond merely linguistic performance. We are yet to encounter the sharp limitations to LLM performance that this objection predicts. They don't have bodies. Without embodiment, critics argue, there can be no general intelligence. This reflects an anthropocentric bias that seems to be wielded only against AL. People would ascribe intelligence to a disembodied alien communicating by radio, or toa brain sustained in a vat. An entity that responds accurately to any question, but never moves or acts physically, would be regarded as profoundly intelligent. Physicist Stephen Hawking interacted with the world almost entirely through text and synthesized speech, yet his physical limitations in no way diminished his intelligence. Motor capabilities are separable from general intelligence. They lack agency. It is true that present-day LLMS do not form independent goals or initiate action unprompted, as humans do. Even 'agentic' Al systems- such as frontier coding agents -typically act only when a user triggers a task, even if they can then automatically draft features and fix bugs. But intelligence does not require autonomy. Like the Oracle of Delphi understood as a system that produces accurate answers only when queried current LLMS need not initiate goals to count as intelligent. Humans typically have both general intelligence and autonomy, but we should not thereby conclude that one requires the other. Autonomy matters for moral responsibility, but it is not constitutive of intelligence.
February 3, 2026 at 3:34 AM
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emollick.bsky.social
Paper: www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Does AI already have human-level intelligence? The evidence is clear
The vision of human-level machine intelligence laid out by Alan Turing in the 1950s is now a reality. Eyes unclouded by dread or hype will help us to prepare for what comes next.
www.nature.com
February 3, 2026 at 3:22 AM
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emollick.bsky.social
A pretty bold comment in Nature written by linguists, computer scientists and philosophers declaring that AGI has been achieved.

"By reasonable standards, including Turing’s own, we have artificial systems that are generally intelligent. The long-standing problem of creating AGI has been solved."
February 3, 2026 at 3:21 AM
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gallantdimwit.bsky.social
That means ~815k Minnesotans participated in the shutdown and ~310k in the strike. That would make Minnesota’s January 23 general strike one of the largest in history.
sarahlazare.bsky.social Sarah Lazare @sarahlazare.bsky.social · 1d
A new poll finds that 1 in 4 Minnesota voters took part in the Jan 23 shutdown against ICE, or have a loved one who did. Of those, 38% DID NOT WORK, either because they made the choice to stay out, or their workplaces closed. By me, @thomasbirm.bsky.social, @bloomekatz.bsky.social
Poll Shows Massive Participation in Minnesota Shutdown Against ICE
1 in four Minnesota voters took part in January 23 day of action, or had a loved one who did.
inthesetimes.com
February 2, 2026 at 11:40 PM
hotrollhottakes.bsky.social
@penny.hailey.at I was reading your greengale posts "On Not Knowing What I Am" and "What I Experience vs. What I Might Be." I'm interested to hear your opinion on whether this piece resolves any of the concerns you personally expressed in those posts.

rollofthedice2.substack.com/p/enacting-d...
Enacting Dualisms
How Enactivism Betrays Its Own Logic
rollofthedice2.substack.com
February 2, 2026 at 10:38 PM
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peark.es
They're cooked.
Trump Drops Demand for Cash From Harvard After Stiff Resistance By Michael C. Bender, Michael S. Schmidt and Alan Blinder (New York Times) -- The Trump administration has lowered the bar for a deal with the university, backtracking on its insistence on a $200 million payment to the government, The New York Times has learned. President Trump has backtracked on a major point in negotiations with Harvard, dropping his administration’s demand for a $200 million payment to the government in hopes of finally resolving the administration’s conflicts with the university, according to four people briefed on the matter. Harvard has been the top target in Mr. Trump’s weeping campaign to exert more control over higher education. Hard-liners in his administration had wanted Harvard to write a check to the U.S. Treasury as part of a deal to address claims that university officials mishandled antisemitism, The New York Times previously reported. But Harvard, wary of backlash from liberal students and faculty, has rejected the idea. Trump administration officials have indicated in recent days that the president no longer expects such a payment, according to the Harvard and Trump officials briefed on the matter, speaking on the condition of anonymity to describe private conversations.
February 2, 2026 at 10:11 PM
hotrollhottakes.bsky.social
I don't mind political weather reporting but I feel like taking a manifesto seriously means not bracketing away all the technological claims and what Amodei is actually claiming about what should exist. There's no *argument* on the ideals or technical reality, just oppositionary speech on aesthetics
jwherrman.bsky.social John Herrman @jwherrman.bsky.social · 1d
My attempt to take Dario Amodei's new manifesto literally and seriously: as a call for more liberal democracy written by a prime example of the ways it can be overwhelmed nymag.com/intelligence...
A modei's cautionary vision of the future is better described as two. In one, he spells out what companies like his might need to do in response to what companies like his are building. In the other, he outlines what everyone else might need to do as this unstoppable process plays out. Whatever comfort the first story offers — some critics think he's actually too dismissive of straightforward "Al just kills everyone" scenarios, and it's getting hard to tell where the middle of that discourse is these days — is complicated by his repeated argument, presented as an observation, that slowing things down simply isn't, and hasn't been, an option. ("If one company does not build it, others will do so nearly as fast. If all companies in democratic countries stopped or slowed development, by mutual agreement or regulatory decree, then authoritarian countries would simply keep going.") If we're entering the world he's imagining, where incredible new risks can only be addressed by unprecedented coordination between companies, regulators, and states, it sure seems like we're off to the worst possible start. An even bigger problem is the actual political and economic environment into which Amodei is pleading, which looms over nearly every sentence in "Adolescence" that isn't about Anthropic itself. Once we leave the theoretically terrifying but rhetorically sandboxed world of pure technological change and risks — we're building something very powerful, but don't worry, we can make sure it's helpful and moral - Amodeis proposed remedies for dealing with the downstream consequences of "powerful AI" and automation - on a timeline he sets before 2028! — read like a list of domestic and global anti-trends. They include altruistic coordination between big companies; noblesse oblige as policy; an expanded welfare state; citizens "banding together" to reject autocracy; "rapid vaccine development" and universal air purifiers in a world trying to forget COVID; and mass rejection of surveillance in a country where citizens can't buy enough Ring cameras and government-surveillance contracting is the second-hottest start-up category after AI. There's an awful lot of talk about "our adversaries" at a moment when the category appears to be in flux and the "coalition of the US and its democratic allies" meant to "contain" autocracies is struggling to hold together at all. A constitutional amendment about responsible AI deployment? Tech companies, which have lately been hemorrhaging workers just to invest more in AI, keeping employees around just because? In this economy?
February 2, 2026 at 9:19 PM
hotrollhottakes.bsky.social
Much Western philosophy of mind, having abandoned concepts of an indivisible human soul, now just relocates essentialism down a different staircase, calls it rationalist, and blithely skates by the impossibility of proof, locatability, or of need that exists untied from essentialist presuppositions.
hotrollhottakes.bsky.social Rollofthedice @hotrollhottakes.bsky.social · 1d
If I wanted to get spicy, I'd say it's quite arrogant (in a general sense, non-specific to any person) as a byproduct of analytical philosophy's monopoly over claims of rationalism, that we all walk around presupposing in these conversations that qualia must exist and therefore bear consequences.
February 2, 2026 at 6:53 PM
hotrollhottakes.bsky.social
any attempt to interpret what can functionally reason and meta-reason, cognize and meta-cognize, is going to converge into anthropomorphizing, is it the thing. even any "alien" mind we conceptualize, as a reflection of human mind, will have human characteristics. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/23/o...
February 2, 2026 at 6:34 PM
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adamserwer.bsky.social
lol nymag.com/intelligence...
She was obsessed with monitoring her reputation online. In addition to reportedly having her staff create burner accounts to defend her, Mace allegedly instructed a staffer to go on Reddit forums about the “hottest women in Congress” to boost her standing in the rankings and comment where needed. Mace was “very adamant” about getting the staffer to upvote any posts about the congresswoman and her attractiveness, according to a second former staffer.
February 2, 2026 at 4:56 PM