Andrew Tuck
@tuckdrw.bsky.social
Recovering attorney. Areas of interest/ expertise: political economy & development of Latin America; trade & investment law; history. Aspiring guitarist. Mini Schnauzer dad. Tennis fan. Go Dodgers!
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
People have no idea what a premium we have enjoyed and what losing it will cost us
This piece is a great illustration of how the long-term effect of Trump’s destruction of US institutions won’t be felt in a dramatic market collapse, but rather in permanently worse economic conditions, and lower prosperity.
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... So long, American exceptionalism
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... So long, American exceptionalism
So long, American exceptionalism
For the first time, investors are talking about ‘US risk’
giftarticle.ft.com
December 26, 2025 at 11:15 PM
People have no idea what a premium we have enjoyed and what losing it will cost us
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
“Like prime, but with human beings”
December 24, 2025 at 6:17 PM
“Like prime, but with human beings”
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
there is one and only one political strategy, and that is: “hang trump like an anchor around the neck of every single elected republican and the party itself.” no ‘friends across the aisle.’ no ‘the fever will break.’ anyone not on board with that has to go. no exceptions
![Gallup poll | 12/1-12/15
President Trump approval crosstabs (%)
🟥Overall (59/36 disapprove) [-23]
🟥Democratic (93/3 disapprove) [-90]
🟩Republican (89/8 approve) [+81]
🟥Independent (68/25 disapprove) [-43]
🟥18-34 (68/25 disapprove) [-43]
🟥35-54 (59/36 disapprove) [-23]
🟥55+ (53/43 disapprove) [-10]
🟥No college (55/37 disapprove) [-18]
🟥College graduate (59/37 disapprove) [-22]
🟥Male (53/42 disapprove) [-11]
🟥Female (64/30 disapprove) [-34]
🟥White (52/46 disapprove) [-6]
🟥Non-white (71/21 disapprove) [-50]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:hbpefio3f5csc44msmbgioxz/bafkreifnv6vxufu6icjvsd5toirz3lmqkzertdpdnlqh7q44momevhfjqq@jpeg)
December 23, 2025 at 2:42 AM
there is one and only one political strategy, and that is: “hang trump like an anchor around the neck of every single elected republican and the party itself.” no ‘friends across the aisle.’ no ‘the fever will break.’ anyone not on board with that has to go. no exceptions
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
The 2007-20 economy relied, to an unhealthy degree, on very low interest rates.
Whole industries made bank as long as they got virtually free money from the govt and could easily roll over debt, but now have trouble and appear out of ideas.
Also helps explain why Trump keeps demanding lower rates.
Whole industries made bank as long as they got virtually free money from the govt and could easily roll over debt, but now have trouble and appear out of ideas.
Also helps explain why Trump keeps demanding lower rates.
December 24, 2025 at 6:57 PM
The 2007-20 economy relied, to an unhealthy degree, on very low interest rates.
Whole industries made bank as long as they got virtually free money from the govt and could easily roll over debt, but now have trouble and appear out of ideas.
Also helps explain why Trump keeps demanding lower rates.
Whole industries made bank as long as they got virtually free money from the govt and could easily roll over debt, but now have trouble and appear out of ideas.
Also helps explain why Trump keeps demanding lower rates.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
On the one hand, we can have people being economically productive, contributing to their communities, and paying most taxes without receiving most government benefits.
On the other hand, the rest of us could pay to have less of that in exchange for seeing images of people getting hurt.
Trade-offs.
On the other hand, the rest of us could pay to have less of that in exchange for seeing images of people getting hurt.
Trade-offs.
Forgetting the whole inhumane thing, it's not even cost effective to imprison illegal immigrants. It makes no sense except as a message. And that message is invaluable to fascist racists.
December 24, 2025 at 5:07 PM
On the one hand, we can have people being economically productive, contributing to their communities, and paying most taxes without receiving most government benefits.
On the other hand, the rest of us could pay to have less of that in exchange for seeing images of people getting hurt.
Trade-offs.
On the other hand, the rest of us could pay to have less of that in exchange for seeing images of people getting hurt.
Trade-offs.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
Folks, you can’t have Christian Nationalism without the antisemitism. It’s a central tenet of the ideology. The fact some of these Jewish Heritage folks are just realizing this is wild to me.
December 22, 2025 at 7:00 PM
Folks, you can’t have Christian Nationalism without the antisemitism. It’s a central tenet of the ideology. The fact some of these Jewish Heritage folks are just realizing this is wild to me.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
Putin calling all the shots. Witkoff either doesn’t understand Putin’s goals or doesn’t want to and doesn’t care. Ukraine deserves better. And so do we. www.wsj.com/world/putin-...
How Putin Got His Preferred U.S. Envoy: Come Alone, No CIA
The Kremlin fueled the rise of Trump’s friend Steve Witkoff with a prisoner release, sidelining career diplomats.
www.wsj.com
December 20, 2025 at 8:09 PM
Putin calling all the shots. Witkoff either doesn’t understand Putin’s goals or doesn’t want to and doesn’t care. Ukraine deserves better. And so do we. www.wsj.com/world/putin-...
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
All this defiling of America, these symbolic shifts from "We the People" to a personalist regime, must be removed entirely as soon as the American people regain their democracy.
The gross bribe-funded ballroom, the illegal "Department of War," the illegal renaming of the Kennedy Center, all of it.
The gross bribe-funded ballroom, the illegal "Department of War," the illegal renaming of the Kennedy Center, all of it.
NEWS: They're adding Trump's name to the Kennedy Center building right now. www.washingtonpost.com/entertainmen...
Kennedy Center adds Trump’s name to building
The signage change follows a vote by the board of trustees to rename the performing arts complex the Trump Kennedy Center.
www.washingtonpost.com
December 19, 2025 at 4:16 PM
All this defiling of America, these symbolic shifts from "We the People" to a personalist regime, must be removed entirely as soon as the American people regain their democracy.
The gross bribe-funded ballroom, the illegal "Department of War," the illegal renaming of the Kennedy Center, all of it.
The gross bribe-funded ballroom, the illegal "Department of War," the illegal renaming of the Kennedy Center, all of it.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
NB: When I, a professor of law, profess that an act is unlawful, I am not doing it to inform the lawbreaker, but rather to inform you, the reader.
So the question “what, like you think he cares?” is inapposite. The question is whether *you* care. I think you should, which is why I bother.
So the question “what, like you think he cares?” is inapposite. The question is whether *you* care. I think you should, which is why I bother.
December 18, 2025 at 9:01 PM
NB: When I, a professor of law, profess that an act is unlawful, I am not doing it to inform the lawbreaker, but rather to inform you, the reader.
So the question “what, like you think he cares?” is inapposite. The question is whether *you* care. I think you should, which is why I bother.
So the question “what, like you think he cares?” is inapposite. The question is whether *you* care. I think you should, which is why I bother.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
I keep saying this but no one is connecting the dots. The war is to satisfy legal preconditions for mass removal *domestically* of Latinos (i.e., suddenly a lot of people are going to be “Venezuelan” for purposes of removal). This is 100% Stephen Miller…oil claim is to make grandpa go along
There is no national security logic that would impel the US to want to do regime change in Venezuela. It's simply not that important. I'm not even sure wag the dog is the right metaphor for what's happening here. Seems like an insane misallocation of US national security assets and attention.
Trump: "Venezuela is completely surrounded by the largest Armada ever assembled ... It will only get bigger, and the shock to them will be like nothing they have ever seen before — Until such time as they return to the USA all of the Oil, Land, and other Assets that they previously stole from us."
December 17, 2025 at 12:47 AM
I keep saying this but no one is connecting the dots. The war is to satisfy legal preconditions for mass removal *domestically* of Latinos (i.e., suddenly a lot of people are going to be “Venezuelan” for purposes of removal). This is 100% Stephen Miller…oil claim is to make grandpa go along
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
Trump is by far the most Latin American leader the US has ever had. Not only does he govern like a textbook caudillo, he’s the most cartoonish yanqui villain ever.
He’s like a character from a 1960s novel, by the most stereotypical bearded intellectual— a member of the Communist Party, naturally.
He’s like a character from a 1960s novel, by the most stereotypical bearded intellectual— a member of the Communist Party, naturally.
It sounds like the most deranged Latin American caricature of yankee imperialism come to life. It would be comical if it weren’t serious.
Trump: "Venezuela is completely surrounded by the largest Armada ever assembled ... It will only get bigger, and the shock to them will be like nothing they have ever seen before — Until such time as they return to the USA all of the Oil, Land, and other Assets that they previously stole from us."
December 17, 2025 at 12:52 AM
Trump is by far the most Latin American leader the US has ever had. Not only does he govern like a textbook caudillo, he’s the most cartoonish yanqui villain ever.
He’s like a character from a 1960s novel, by the most stereotypical bearded intellectual— a member of the Communist Party, naturally.
He’s like a character from a 1960s novel, by the most stereotypical bearded intellectual— a member of the Communist Party, naturally.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
I want to drive a dump truck of cow manure to the Microsoft headquarters and drop it off in the lobby as a thank you.
They didn't ask for it, they didn't want it, but maybe they can figure out how to get rid of it.
They didn't ask for it, they didn't want it, but maybe they can figure out how to get rid of it.
Is there a way to get this mind-numbing Co-Pilot shit off Microsoft Word?
December 15, 2025 at 10:18 PM
I want to drive a dump truck of cow manure to the Microsoft headquarters and drop it off in the lobby as a thank you.
They didn't ask for it, they didn't want it, but maybe they can figure out how to get rid of it.
They didn't ask for it, they didn't want it, but maybe they can figure out how to get rid of it.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
When Scalia rewrote the Second Amendment in Heller, I warned that he would have “blood on his hands” from the carnage he was enabling.
The Second Amendment protects a “militia” right, which was the understanding of the courts for 200 years. The “individual right” rewrite is a suicide pact.
The Second Amendment protects a “militia” right, which was the understanding of the courts for 200 years. The “individual right” rewrite is a suicide pact.
Brown University confirms two dead victims and eight others in critical but stable condition following a mass shooting on campus.
December 14, 2025 at 12:00 AM
When Scalia rewrote the Second Amendment in Heller, I warned that he would have “blood on his hands” from the carnage he was enabling.
The Second Amendment protects a “militia” right, which was the understanding of the courts for 200 years. The “individual right” rewrite is a suicide pact.
The Second Amendment protects a “militia” right, which was the understanding of the courts for 200 years. The “individual right” rewrite is a suicide pact.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
The leading scholars of democratic decline say the US "has descended into competitive authoritarianism" - we "ceased to be a full democracy in the way that Canada, Germany, or even Argentina are democracies" - but caution that it can be contested and reversed
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
December 12, 2025 at 9:25 PM
The leading scholars of democratic decline say the US "has descended into competitive authoritarianism" - we "ceased to be a full democracy in the way that Canada, Germany, or even Argentina are democracies" - but caution that it can be contested and reversed
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
I hope people understand that if Trump gets his way America will soon be part of the global axis of evil if we aren't already. You see it in the Caribbean, you see it in Ukraine, and you see it with Trump trying to buddy up to Xi. We are a malevolent force.
December 10, 2025 at 9:23 PM
I hope people understand that if Trump gets his way America will soon be part of the global axis of evil if we aren't already. You see it in the Caribbean, you see it in Ukraine, and you see it with Trump trying to buddy up to Xi. We are a malevolent force.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
Elite institutions: weak, decadent, fascist-curious
Grand and petit jurors: powerful, committed to civic duty, the shore upon which the authoritarian tide shall break
Grand and petit jurors: powerful, committed to civic duty, the shore upon which the authoritarian tide shall break
December 10, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Elite institutions: weak, decadent, fascist-curious
Grand and petit jurors: powerful, committed to civic duty, the shore upon which the authoritarian tide shall break
Grand and petit jurors: powerful, committed to civic duty, the shore upon which the authoritarian tide shall break
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
"I'm not in denial about [AI]. I'm in open rebellion."
Amen.
Amen.
“I am so bored by AI. One of the things I love about the theatre is AI can’t do it.”
Ethan Hawke is a dude 👌🏻
Ethan Hawke is a dude 👌🏻
December 10, 2025 at 12:11 AM
"I'm not in denial about [AI]. I'm in open rebellion."
Amen.
Amen.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
Misogyny and racism put people's safety at risk and don't lower the cost of living for anyone.
Every Trump rally is a Klan rally.
Every Trump rally is a Klan rally.
Trump: "Ilhan Omar, whatever the hell her name is. With her little turban. I love her. She comes in, does nothing but bitch ... we ought to get her the hell out ... she's here illegally."
The crowd in Pennsylvania then starts chanting "send her back!"
The crowd in Pennsylvania then starts chanting "send her back!"
December 10, 2025 at 12:50 AM
Misogyny and racism put people's safety at risk and don't lower the cost of living for anyone.
Every Trump rally is a Klan rally.
Every Trump rally is a Klan rally.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
Birthright citizenship is a policy choice so central to our values and identity as a nation that we chose to amend the Constitution to protect it against the passions and prejudices of temporary majorities.
December 9, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Birthright citizenship is a policy choice so central to our values and identity as a nation that we chose to amend the Constitution to protect it against the passions and prejudices of temporary majorities.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
The President of the United States unilaterally levied a tax on all of us and is redistributing our taxes to a core segment of his supporters.
Trump: "I'm delighted to announce this afternoon that the US will be taking a small portion of the hundreds of billions of dollars we receive in tariffs ... and we're going to be giving and providing it to the farmers in economic assistance. We love our farmers. The farmers like me ... $12 billion"
December 8, 2025 at 7:48 PM
The President of the United States unilaterally levied a tax on all of us and is redistributing our taxes to a core segment of his supporters.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
the irony of course is that ‘longstanding governing practices and civic understandings should give way to esoteric abstractions professed by a handful of intellectuals’ is a profoundly un-conservative view in the context of the history of political and legal thinking
the idea that a handful of conservative legal scholars have an understanding that should supersede a settlement affirmed my generations of american is astoundingly arrogant, and the idea that trump — or any president — can unilaterally overturn that settlement is just despotism
December 7, 2025 at 8:37 PM
the irony of course is that ‘longstanding governing practices and civic understandings should give way to esoteric abstractions professed by a handful of intellectuals’ is a profoundly un-conservative view in the context of the history of political and legal thinking
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
the idea that a handful of conservative legal scholars have an understanding that should supersede a settlement affirmed my generations of american is astoundingly arrogant, and the idea that trump — or any president — can unilaterally overturn that settlement is just despotism
December 7, 2025 at 7:18 PM
the idea that a handful of conservative legal scholars have an understanding that should supersede a settlement affirmed my generations of american is astoundingly arrogant, and the idea that trump — or any president — can unilaterally overturn that settlement is just despotism
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
🇺🇸 trifectas get shot at doing something
Obama chose policy (ACA). It didn’t fix the authoritarian problem
Biden chose policy (ARP/IRA). It didn’t fix the authoritarian problem
The platform must be institutional reform next time. Right from the start, as @dhnexon.bsky.social said
Obama chose policy (ACA). It didn’t fix the authoritarian problem
Biden chose policy (ARP/IRA). It didn’t fix the authoritarian problem
The platform must be
If we want to actually be a representative democracy, then the platform needs to be institutional reform. All the Popularism and all the policies follow from that, not the other way around.
- DC/PR/USVI statehood
- Enlarging the House
- MMDs
- New VRA
- Totally revamping SCOTUS: bsky.app/profile/mcop...
- Automatic universal voter registration
- Rewriting the "national emergency" laws: bsky.app/profile/mcop...
- Subordinating the Senate: bsky.app/profile/mcop...
Etc.
- Enlarging the House
- MMDs
- New VRA
- Totally revamping SCOTUS: bsky.app/profile/mcop...
- Automatic universal voter registration
- Rewriting
- Subordinating the Senate: bsky.app/profile/mcop...
Etc.
December 7, 2025 at 4:16 PM
🇺🇸 trifectas get shot at doing something
Obama chose policy (ACA). It didn’t fix the authoritarian problem
Biden chose policy (ARP/IRA). It didn’t fix the authoritarian problem
The platform must be institutional reform next time. Right from the start, as @dhnexon.bsky.social said
Obama chose policy (ACA). It didn’t fix the authoritarian problem
Biden chose policy (ARP/IRA). It didn’t fix the authoritarian problem
The platform must be
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
A court with a normal-ish conservative majority would have been tolerable. I'm not eager for court packing, impeaching justices, and other such options. But this court sticking around post-Trump is untenable. They've already torched their own legitimacy, the only question is what do we do about it.
Democrats need to lay the groundwork for reform by attacking the villains on the Supreme Court - loudly, angrily, personally, relentlessly. And they should start now.
paulwaldman.substack.com/p/democrats-...
paulwaldman.substack.com/p/democrats-...
Democrats Need to Treat the Supreme Court Like the Villain It Is
The Court is out of control, and we'll never see reform unless we build the case for it. Starting now.
paulwaldman.substack.com
December 5, 2025 at 9:11 PM
A court with a normal-ish conservative majority would have been tolerable. I'm not eager for court packing, impeaching justices, and other such options. But this court sticking around post-Trump is untenable. They've already torched their own legitimacy, the only question is what do we do about it.
Reposted by Andrew Tuck
Trump's hateful rant and violently repressive action targeting Somali-Americans, ending free national park admissions on MLK day and Juneteenth, and an NSS calling for Europe to be whiter—all this week.
No doubt it's extremely racist. The only question is whether Americans think that's good or bad.
No doubt it's extremely racist. The only question is whether Americans think that's good or bad.
December 5, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Trump's hateful rant and violently repressive action targeting Somali-Americans, ending free national park admissions on MLK day and Juneteenth, and an NSS calling for Europe to be whiter—all this week.
No doubt it's extremely racist. The only question is whether Americans think that's good or bad.
No doubt it's extremely racist. The only question is whether Americans think that's good or bad.