Jim Goldgeier
@jimgoldgeier.bsky.social
Prof/ex-dean, American University School of International Service; senior advisor, Bridging the Gap; Research Affiliate, Stanford; Non-resident fellow, Kennan Institute. Views are my own. www.jamesgoldgeier.com.
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
There are far, far cheaper ways to undermine NATO. @jimgoldgeier.bsky.social and I wrote about this during the election for @brookings.edu. www.brookings.edu/articles/nat...
NATO is on the ballot in 2024 | Brookings
The 2024 U.S. presidential election poses a unique threat to NATO with two candidates that hold different views about the alliance's future.
www.brookings.edu
January 6, 2026 at 1:39 PM
There are far, far cheaper ways to undermine NATO. @jimgoldgeier.bsky.social and I wrote about this during the election for @brookings.edu. www.brookings.edu/articles/nat...
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
Each day this continues is a signal to the rest of the world that we were okay with it
January 6, 2026 at 1:32 AM
Each day this continues is a signal to the rest of the world that we were okay with it
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
Cassidy should have thought about that before he voted to confirm the deadly menace known as RFK Jr.
January 6, 2026 at 12:36 AM
Cassidy should have thought about that before he voted to confirm the deadly menace known as RFK Jr.
The international order eroded gradually and then suddenly.
January 6, 2026 at 1:20 AM
The international order eroded gradually and then suddenly.
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
OUT: Helping you pay for health care.
IN: Helping oil companies pay for their infrastructure in a foreign country.
IN: Helping oil companies pay for their infrastructure in a foreign country.
January 6, 2026 at 12:14 AM
OUT: Helping you pay for health care.
IN: Helping oil companies pay for their infrastructure in a foreign country.
IN: Helping oil companies pay for their infrastructure in a foreign country.
Greenland isn’t part of the United States. We created a post-World War II order to try to prevent the powerful from taking territory militarily. We did it to avoid living in the kind of world folks at the time had been living in before. And don’t be so sure people will just accept being conquered.
TAPPER: Can you rule out the US is going to take Greenland by force?
MILLER: Greenland should be part of the US. By what right does Denmark assert control over Greenland? The US is the power of NATO
T: So force is on the table?
M: Nobody is gonna fight the US militarily over future of Greenland
MILLER: Greenland should be part of the US. By what right does Denmark assert control over Greenland? The US is the power of NATO
T: So force is on the table?
M: Nobody is gonna fight the US militarily over future of Greenland
January 5, 2026 at 11:43 PM
Greenland isn’t part of the United States. We created a post-World War II order to try to prevent the powerful from taking territory militarily. We did it to avoid living in the kind of world folks at the time had been living in before. And don’t be so sure people will just accept being conquered.
Putin’s thinking: it’s not fair, this is what I was trying to do!
Stephen Miller: "What the president said is true. The United States of America is running Venezuela ... by definition we are in charge because we have the US military stationed outside the country. We set the terms and conditions ... for them to do commerce, they need our permission."
January 5, 2026 at 11:35 PM
Putin’s thinking: it’s not fair, this is what I was trying to do!
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
News: A recent classified CIA assessment concluded Maduro loyalists were more likely to maintain near-term stability than opposition figures if Maduro was removed from power. Trump was briefed on the findings, which motivated posture against Machado. www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
www.wsj.com
January 5, 2026 at 10:24 PM
News: A recent classified CIA assessment concluded Maduro loyalists were more likely to maintain near-term stability than opposition figures if Maduro was removed from power. Trump was briefed on the findings, which motivated posture against Machado. www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
Just got this in the mail and eager to dig in. Jervis would have a lot to say right now! Delighted to have a piece in the volume with @profsaunders.bsky.social
January 5, 2026 at 10:28 PM
Just got this in the mail and eager to dig in. Jervis would have a lot to say right now! Delighted to have a piece in the volume with @profsaunders.bsky.social
Even if the US doesn’t attack, Trump is already killing the old international order. Why does that matter? @twqgw.bsky.social not only has my new piece up with @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social but my 2018 piece on “the Misunderstood Roots of International Order” twq.elliott.gwu.edu. Please check out both.
January 5, 2026 at 10:14 PM
Even if the US doesn’t attack, Trump is already killing the old international order. Why does that matter? @twqgw.bsky.social not only has my new piece up with @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social but my 2018 piece on “the Misunderstood Roots of International Order” twq.elliott.gwu.edu. Please check out both.
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
I again wish to point out that it is utterly catastrophic that RFK Jr. has unilaterally ended CDC recommendations for many childhood vaccines.
It’s a betrayal of science, ethics, compassion, and the people of the United States.
And it was also a specific goal of Project 2025 (page 254).
It’s a betrayal of science, ethics, compassion, and the people of the United States.
And it was also a specific goal of Project 2025 (page 254).
January 5, 2026 at 7:40 PM
I again wish to point out that it is utterly catastrophic that RFK Jr. has unilaterally ended CDC recommendations for many childhood vaccines.
It’s a betrayal of science, ethics, compassion, and the people of the United States.
And it was also a specific goal of Project 2025 (page 254).
It’s a betrayal of science, ethics, compassion, and the people of the United States.
And it was also a specific goal of Project 2025 (page 254).
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
Since ousting Maduro, Trump has focused on getting "total access" to Venezuela's oil. That has been key to his thinking on Venezuela all along. Here's a gift link to the @nytimes.com story that @julianbarnes.bsky.social and I did last month on how it drove him: www.nytimes.com/2025/12/16/u...
Venezuela’s Oil Is a Focus of Trump’s Campaign Against Maduro
www.nytimes.com
January 5, 2026 at 6:18 PM
Since ousting Maduro, Trump has focused on getting "total access" to Venezuela's oil. That has been key to his thinking on Venezuela all along. Here's a gift link to the @nytimes.com story that @julianbarnes.bsky.social and I did last month on how it drove him: www.nytimes.com/2025/12/16/u...
Since Trump isn't interested in the Venezuelan opposition that won the 2024 elections, his choices seem to be cutting a "deal" with the interim president (for what purpose or what that would look like, I have no idea) or tiring of her and taking action that makes an even bigger mess or walking away.
January 5, 2026 at 6:32 PM
Since Trump isn't interested in the Venezuelan opposition that won the 2024 elections, his choices seem to be cutting a "deal" with the interim president (for what purpose or what that would look like, I have no idea) or tiring of her and taking action that makes an even bigger mess or walking away.
Jonathan Kirshner's piece on the administration's "decision" to rename the Department of Defense is well worth reading right now blueblaze.substack.com/p/whats-in-a...
What's in a Name?
The U.S.
blueblaze.substack.com
January 5, 2026 at 6:24 PM
Jonathan Kirshner's piece on the administration's "decision" to rename the Department of Defense is well worth reading right now blueblaze.substack.com/p/whats-in-a...
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
In competitive authoritarian regimes, the government deters and undermines opposition by using its powers to inflict costs on those who challenge it rather than recognizing their legitimacy as democratic opponents
The Pentagon will cut the military retirement pay of Sen. Mark Kelly for what Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth called the Arizona Democrat’s “seditious” statements on a video telling service members they have the right to refuse to execute illegal orders.
Read more: cnb.cx/495FHLo
Read more: cnb.cx/495FHLo
January 5, 2026 at 5:02 PM
In competitive authoritarian regimes, the government deters and undermines opposition by using its powers to inflict costs on those who challenge it rather than recognizing their legitimacy as democratic opponents
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
This fictional victimhood is a defining feature of our times.
January 5, 2026 at 6:14 PM
This fictional victimhood is a defining feature of our times.
Newest book in the @oxfordunipress.bsky.social @bridgingthegap.bsky.social series available for pre-order: @mmgarrity.bsky.social Mass Expulsion: The Politics of Forced Population Removal global.oup.com/academic/pro...
global.oup.com
January 5, 2026 at 5:48 PM
Newest book in the @oxfordunipress.bsky.social @bridgingthegap.bsky.social series available for pre-order: @mmgarrity.bsky.social Mass Expulsion: The Politics of Forced Population Removal global.oup.com/academic/pro...
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
Article with @jimgoldgeier.bsky.social "NATO Did Not Cause Putin’s Imperial War” is now available for free @twqgw.bsky.social website:
twq.elliott.gwu.edu
See 🧵below for preview.
twq.elliott.gwu.edu
See 🧵below for preview.
January 5, 2026 at 5:36 PM
Article with @jimgoldgeier.bsky.social "NATO Did Not Cause Putin’s Imperial War” is now available for free @twqgw.bsky.social website:
twq.elliott.gwu.edu
See 🧵below for preview.
twq.elliott.gwu.edu
See 🧵below for preview.
Almost unbelievable and yet.
The level of pettiness here is almost unbelievable. According to sources close to The White House who spoke to WaPo, Donald Trump reportedly soured on supporting Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado after she accepted a Nobel Peace Prize instead of insisting it be awarded to him.
January 5, 2026 at 4:23 PM
Almost unbelievable and yet.
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
One of the most lopsided results you'll ever see in a poll, from our weekend Washington Post poll www.washingtonpost.com/politics/int...
January 5, 2026 at 3:39 PM
One of the most lopsided results you'll ever see in a poll, from our weekend Washington Post poll www.washingtonpost.com/politics/int...
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
🧵Day 3 and we have a new meaning for "running Venezuela," courtesy of Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, who is in charge of Venezuela as well as the National Archives. We're going to insist they do what's in the US national interest. Time for some principal-agent theory. 1/
January 5, 2026 at 1:50 PM
🧵Day 3 and we have a new meaning for "running Venezuela," courtesy of Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, who is in charge of Venezuela as well as the National Archives. We're going to insist they do what's in the US national interest. Time for some principal-agent theory. 1/
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
Wow, they must have a lot of indictments.
Trump in a single gaggle on Air Force One just threatened:
-- a second strike against Venezuela
-- Cuba
-- Mexico
-- Colombia
-- Iran
-- Greenland (which in turn would be an attack on the EU and Denmark)
-- a second strike against Venezuela
-- Cuba
-- Mexico
-- Colombia
-- Iran
-- Greenland (which in turn would be an attack on the EU and Denmark)
January 5, 2026 at 2:17 AM
Wow, they must have a lot of indictments.
Ironic that our celebration of the 250th anniversary of our Declaration of Independence will be led by a mad king.
The foreign policy of a personalist dictatorship. There are no constraints.
Trump in a single gaggle on Air Force One just threatened:
-- a second strike against Venezuela
-- Cuba
-- Mexico
-- Colombia
-- Iran
-- Greenland (which in turn would be an attack on the EU and Denmark)
-- a second strike against Venezuela
-- Cuba
-- Mexico
-- Colombia
-- Iran
-- Greenland (which in turn would be an attack on the EU and Denmark)
January 5, 2026 at 2:14 AM
Ironic that our celebration of the 250th anniversary of our Declaration of Independence will be led by a mad king.
Reposted by Jim Goldgeier
“The democratic will of the Venezuelan people” is not even remotely a consideration of the Trump Admin. It is completely irrelevant to Trump.
January 5, 2026 at 1:26 AM
“The democratic will of the Venezuelan people” is not even remotely a consideration of the Trump Admin. It is completely irrelevant to Trump.
And a valued ally that has shed blood on our behalf. It’s disgusting.
We cannot become numb to the outrage of this. The wife of the President’s Senior Advisor threatens a sovereign nation.
January 5, 2026 at 12:13 AM
And a valued ally that has shed blood on our behalf. It’s disgusting.