Per Nielsen
@perwagner.bsky.social
Economist and data scientist. Find my substack here: https://perwagner.substack.com/
The only sure way to have peace is surrender. Lets not do that.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpVvgNs8tqI
The only sure way to have peace is surrender. Lets not do that.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpVvgNs8tqI
Reposted by Per Nielsen
The same could happen later; suddenly, Polish soldiers could be stationed on the Oder River, forced to attack Germany, even though they may not want to. That's exactly what Russia is doing.
November 15, 2025 at 8:45 PM
The same could happen later; suddenly, Polish soldiers could be stationed on the Oder River, forced to attack Germany, even though they may not want to. That's exactly what Russia is doing.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
That's exactly what the future might look like. We think Russia is running out of tanks and money, and after a potential Ukrainian capitulation, the Russians will be able to force current Ukrainian soldiers into "meat attacks" on NATO countries.
November 15, 2025 at 8:44 PM
That's exactly what the future might look like. We think Russia is running out of tanks and money, and after a potential Ukrainian capitulation, the Russians will be able to force current Ukrainian soldiers into "meat attacks" on NATO countries.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Se, det er god journalistik. En journalist fra @jyllands-posten.dk tager ud og tjekker om DF video holder vand og bidrager således med et reelt svar i stedet for bare at rapportere fra kontoret at der er en kontrovers.
Påstanden i videoen var i øvrigt falsk.
Påstanden i videoen var i øvrigt falsk.
DF-profil påstår at »bønnekald« kan høres i Brøndby: Vi tog derud for at høre det selv
På den københavnske vestegn har et kryds i et parcelhuskvarter dannet rammen for en meget omdiskuteret video, hvor der ifølge et folketingsmedlem høres et bønnekald. Videoen har vakt opsigt, men hvad ...
jyllands-posten.dk
November 15, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Se, det er god journalistik. En journalist fra @jyllands-posten.dk tager ud og tjekker om DF video holder vand og bidrager således med et reelt svar i stedet for bare at rapportere fra kontoret at der er en kontrovers.
Påstanden i videoen var i øvrigt falsk.
Påstanden i videoen var i øvrigt falsk.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Italy has taken the lead on European transshipment of goods to Russia via Kyrgyzstan. Many Europeans have clamped down on the transshipment racket, foremost the UK, Scandinavia, the Baltics and Poland. The fact that this continues - at strength - is appalling. Putin and Xi obviously love this...
November 14, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Italy has taken the lead on European transshipment of goods to Russia via Kyrgyzstan. Many Europeans have clamped down on the transshipment racket, foremost the UK, Scandinavia, the Baltics and Poland. The fact that this continues - at strength - is appalling. Putin and Xi obviously love this...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
I have had another great talk with Jonathan from @siliconcurtain.bsky.social. You can listen to it here.
As Russia reduces Povrovsk to rubble, a transformation of battlefield tactics is taking place, forced by the rapid evolution of 'saturated' drone warfare. Drones favour the defender, but also mean that Russia is more of a threat. With @anderspucknielsen.dk - youtu.be/8p7oiuXe71g
Pokrovsk - Are Russian Logistics & Reserves 'Breaking' in Besieged City?
YouTube video by Silicon Curtain
youtu.be
November 13, 2025 at 10:04 PM
I have had another great talk with Jonathan from @siliconcurtain.bsky.social. You can listen to it here.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
"Sure, our plagiarism machine ingests enormous amounts of copyrighted material without anyone's permission, but it's the users of the machine who are the 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘭 criminals, your honor." 🙄🙄
Just unbelievable levels of chutzpah.
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
Just unbelievable levels of chutzpah.
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
November 14, 2025 at 2:39 AM
"Sure, our plagiarism machine ingests enormous amounts of copyrighted material without anyone's permission, but it's the users of the machine who are the 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘭 criminals, your honor." 🙄🙄
Just unbelievable levels of chutzpah.
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
Just unbelievable levels of chutzpah.
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Spot on! But Europe is moving too slowly.
I’m sure we will put a commitment to work on this in some European council statement.
Or better still: call for more analytical work on Europes dependencies:)
I’m sure we will put a commitment to work on this in some European council statement.
Or better still: call for more analytical work on Europes dependencies:)
This is Solvay locking in demand from US magnets plant & source material from Uk firm and huge howl towards the EU that if it doesn't do bankable contracts and more risk-sharing for separation to metal to magnet then future scale will also go to US.
There ARE many things EU can do to stave this off
There ARE many things EU can do to stave this off
November 13, 2025 at 8:08 PM
Spot on! But Europe is moving too slowly.
I’m sure we will put a commitment to work on this in some European council statement.
Or better still: call for more analytical work on Europes dependencies:)
I’m sure we will put a commitment to work on this in some European council statement.
Or better still: call for more analytical work on Europes dependencies:)
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Rather than protecting the rare earths capacity it already has, Europe is being extorted into sending the production process over to the US for *seemingly no reason*. So that it can be rare-earths-dependent on both China *and* US.
This continent is absolutely determined to dig its own grave.
This continent is absolutely determined to dig its own grave.
November 13, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Rather than protecting the rare earths capacity it already has, Europe is being extorted into sending the production process over to the US for *seemingly no reason*. So that it can be rare-earths-dependent on both China *and* US.
This continent is absolutely determined to dig its own grave.
This continent is absolutely determined to dig its own grave.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Woah.
On thing Europeans should worry about?
It is America first in rare earths - Europe last. Any G7 deal will work like that you.
Here we go - even more directly so.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/b...
On thing Europeans should worry about?
It is America first in rare earths - Europe last. Any G7 deal will work like that you.
Here we go - even more directly so.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/b...
Europe’s Biggest Rare Earths Producer Forges U.S. Deals
www.nytimes.com
November 13, 2025 at 7:38 PM
Woah.
On thing Europeans should worry about?
It is America first in rare earths - Europe last. Any G7 deal will work like that you.
Here we go - even more directly so.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/b...
On thing Europeans should worry about?
It is America first in rare earths - Europe last. Any G7 deal will work like that you.
Here we go - even more directly so.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/b...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
A strong new signal from Merz: “We have decided within the government that everywhere it’s possible we’ll replace components, for example in the 5G network, with components we have produced ourselves. And we won’t allow any components from China in the 6G network.”
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Germany to Ban Huawei From Future 6G Network in Sovereignty Push
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said Chinese suppliers such as Huawei Technologies Co. will be excluded from the country’s future telecommunication networks on security grounds as he pushes for more ...
www.bloomberg.com
November 13, 2025 at 5:53 PM
A strong new signal from Merz: “We have decided within the government that everywhere it’s possible we’ll replace components, for example in the 5G network, with components we have produced ourselves. And we won’t allow any components from China in the 6G network.”
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
How depressing is this?
Europe’s top processor of rare earths materials said Wednesday it had forged new partnerships to strengthen supply chains in the United States, deals that come as Europe lags in the race to break China’s chokehold on rare earths
Europe’s top processor of rare earths materials said Wednesday it had forged new partnerships to strengthen supply chains in the United States, deals that come as Europe lags in the race to break China’s chokehold on rare earths
Solvay of Belgium Creates Rare Earths Deals With U.S.
The contracts are the latest sign of how Europe is lagging the United States in the race to break China’s chokehold on rare earths.
www.nytimes.com
November 13, 2025 at 8:02 PM
How depressing is this?
Europe’s top processor of rare earths materials said Wednesday it had forged new partnerships to strengthen supply chains in the United States, deals that come as Europe lags in the race to break China’s chokehold on rare earths
Europe’s top processor of rare earths materials said Wednesday it had forged new partnerships to strengthen supply chains in the United States, deals that come as Europe lags in the race to break China’s chokehold on rare earths
Denmark buys Swedish. Smart.
Now we just need to get rid of those pesky overpriced F35s and buy Swedish Gripens with Rolls Royce engines instead.
With the increased focus on Actic defense, that makes perfect sense. The Gripen can operate there much easier than the F35.
Now we just need to get rid of those pesky overpriced F35s and buy Swedish Gripens with Rolls Royce engines instead.
With the increased focus on Actic defense, that makes perfect sense. The Gripen can operate there much easier than the F35.
November 13, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Denmark buys Swedish. Smart.
Now we just need to get rid of those pesky overpriced F35s and buy Swedish Gripens with Rolls Royce engines instead.
With the increased focus on Actic defense, that makes perfect sense. The Gripen can operate there much easier than the F35.
Now we just need to get rid of those pesky overpriced F35s and buy Swedish Gripens with Rolls Royce engines instead.
With the increased focus on Actic defense, that makes perfect sense. The Gripen can operate there much easier than the F35.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
'We have seen the US cut off satellite imagery to Ukraine and we cannot allow that to happen elsewhere in Europe. Real-time intelligence and global surveillance capacity have become essential to modern defence planning' writes Anders Fogh Rasmussen.
Europe Must Close the Space Gap
Russia's invasion of Ukraine showed Europeans that they cannot take their security for granted or rely on others for critical functions. Yet the European Union is doing exactly that by allowing itself to fall behind in the new space race.
www.rusi.org
November 13, 2025 at 1:55 PM
'We have seen the US cut off satellite imagery to Ukraine and we cannot allow that to happen elsewhere in Europe. Real-time intelligence and global surveillance capacity have become essential to modern defence planning' writes Anders Fogh Rasmussen.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Advarselslamperne for 🇺🇸 demokrati blinker blodrødt!
Tidligere kolleger fra CIA, NSA, FBI, State Department og Pentagon konkluderer i ny rapport, at 🇺🇸 med "moderat til høj sikkerhed" er på vej til at blive et "kompetitivt autokrati". Læs på @altingetdk.bsky.social www.altinget.dk/eu/artikel/a...
Tidligere kolleger fra CIA, NSA, FBI, State Department og Pentagon konkluderer i ny rapport, at 🇺🇸 med "moderat til høj sikkerhed" er på vej til at blive et "kompetitivt autokrati". Læs på @altingetdk.bsky.social www.altinget.dk/eu/artikel/a...
November 13, 2025 at 9:40 AM
Advarselslamperne for 🇺🇸 demokrati blinker blodrødt!
Tidligere kolleger fra CIA, NSA, FBI, State Department og Pentagon konkluderer i ny rapport, at 🇺🇸 med "moderat til høj sikkerhed" er på vej til at blive et "kompetitivt autokrati". Læs på @altingetdk.bsky.social www.altinget.dk/eu/artikel/a...
Tidligere kolleger fra CIA, NSA, FBI, State Department og Pentagon konkluderer i ny rapport, at 🇺🇸 med "moderat til høj sikkerhed" er på vej til at blive et "kompetitivt autokrati". Læs på @altingetdk.bsky.social www.altinget.dk/eu/artikel/a...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
A Commission official has admitted to Euractiv that President von der Leyen's office "softened" the #DemocracyShield text published today "so as not to upset the US".
Our leaders only want to talk about Russia. When it comes to disinformation, the EU's biggest threat is the one who cannot be named.
Our leaders only want to talk about Russia. When it comes to disinformation, the EU's biggest threat is the one who cannot be named.
Can the EU's new Democracy Shield protect Europe from America?
It appears MAGA has successfully intimidated the Commission into defanging its new anti-disinformation tool proposed today.
davekeating.substack.com
November 12, 2025 at 6:11 PM
A Commission official has admitted to Euractiv that President von der Leyen's office "softened" the #DemocracyShield text published today "so as not to upset the US".
Our leaders only want to talk about Russia. When it comes to disinformation, the EU's biggest threat is the one who cannot be named.
Our leaders only want to talk about Russia. When it comes to disinformation, the EU's biggest threat is the one who cannot be named.
"the Commission has already concluded that Russian authorities have committed crimes against humanity of torture" and "Russian authorities committed crimes against humanity of enforced disappearances", and
www.ohchr.org/en/statement...
www.ohchr.org/en/statement...
Statement by Erik Møse, Chair of the Independent International Commission of Inquiry on Ukraine, at the 58th session of the Human Rights Council
Distinguished President,Excellencies,I am pleased to brief this Council, together with my colleagues Pablo de Greiff and Vrinda Grover, on the findings of the Independent International Commission of I...
www.ohchr.org
November 12, 2025 at 9:57 AM
"the Commission has already concluded that Russian authorities have committed crimes against humanity of torture" and "Russian authorities committed crimes against humanity of enforced disappearances", and
www.ohchr.org/en/statement...
www.ohchr.org/en/statement...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
The Trump regime is working at 🇺🇳 to legitimise 🇷🇺 conquest in 🇺🇦. Can’t say I’m surprised🥶
www.kyivpost.com/post/63999
www.kyivpost.com/post/63999
Trump Administration Pushes to Weaken Ukraine Resolution on Russian Occupation at UN, Sources Tell Kyiv Post
Western allies are warning that the White House push to strip references to “territorial integrity” and “aggression” will undermine the international consensus.
www.kyivpost.com
November 12, 2025 at 6:09 AM
The Trump regime is working at 🇺🇳 to legitimise 🇷🇺 conquest in 🇺🇦. Can’t say I’m surprised🥶
www.kyivpost.com/post/63999
www.kyivpost.com/post/63999
open.substack.com/pub/janisklu...
Russian recruitment remains high. Some regions have lowered recruitment bonuses, but this is likely because they have "over recruited" until now and thus focus on balance on the budget. Not indicative of excess financial strain.
Russian recruitment remains high. Some regions have lowered recruitment bonuses, but this is likely because they have "over recruited" until now and thus focus on balance on the budget. Not indicative of excess financial strain.
Russian recruitment and casualties in Q3 / 2025
According to regional data, Russian recruitment is still stable. Several regions lowered their bonuses. Payouts to families of killed soldiers indicate a high rate of Russian losses.
open.substack.com
November 11, 2025 at 12:02 PM
open.substack.com/pub/janisklu...
Russian recruitment remains high. Some regions have lowered recruitment bonuses, but this is likely because they have "over recruited" until now and thus focus on balance on the budget. Not indicative of excess financial strain.
Russian recruitment remains high. Some regions have lowered recruitment bonuses, but this is likely because they have "over recruited" until now and thus focus on balance on the budget. Not indicative of excess financial strain.
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Interesting new study shows what I would argue is one of the biggest changes of the last year:
Over 70% of Germans say “What happens on the world stage has (rather) a major impact on my life and my everyday routine.”
Study by @moreincommonde.bsky.social
www.moreincommon.de/wp-content/u...
Over 70% of Germans say “What happens on the world stage has (rather) a major impact on my life and my everyday routine.”
Study by @moreincommonde.bsky.social
www.moreincommon.de/wp-content/u...
November 11, 2025 at 6:36 AM
Interesting new study shows what I would argue is one of the biggest changes of the last year:
Over 70% of Germans say “What happens on the world stage has (rather) a major impact on my life and my everyday routine.”
Study by @moreincommonde.bsky.social
www.moreincommon.de/wp-content/u...
Over 70% of Germans say “What happens on the world stage has (rather) a major impact on my life and my everyday routine.”
Study by @moreincommonde.bsky.social
www.moreincommon.de/wp-content/u...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
It's been a rough year for European trade policy. The deal with the US, disputes with China and an overall sense of a worsening economic climate. My latest piece tries to draw out some lessons for Europe www.cer.eu/insights/thr...
Three hard lessons for European trade
Global trade policy is now dominated by great power politics, putting Europe under pressure. The EU will have to accommodate the US, confront China and derisk from both.
www.cer.eu
November 10, 2025 at 2:22 PM
It's been a rough year for European trade policy. The deal with the US, disputes with China and an overall sense of a worsening economic climate. My latest piece tries to draw out some lessons for Europe www.cer.eu/insights/thr...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
A very interesting article by Volyamedia about the personnel losses of both sides and, most importantly, the information comes directly from both fighting armies: teletype.in/@volyamedia/...
Потери меньше, но общая численность ВС РФ прежняя. Список мясника — военные потери сторон на 1 ноября 2025 года
В 2025 году обе стороны несут меньшие потери, чем в 2024-м. При этом количество войск, участвующих в боевых действиях не изменилось...
teletype.in
November 10, 2025 at 8:06 AM
A very interesting article by Volyamedia about the personnel losses of both sides and, most importantly, the information comes directly from both fighting armies: teletype.in/@volyamedia/...
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Zelenskyy: "Europe fears the word ‘escalation.’ They believe any response is escalation - but Russia sees non-forceful, intellectual responses as weakness."
This is exactly right. We are at war a thug, or a school bully. Give them something and they will demand more!
This is exactly right. We are at war a thug, or a school bully. Give them something and they will demand more!
November 9, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Zelenskyy: "Europe fears the word ‘escalation.’ They believe any response is escalation - but Russia sees non-forceful, intellectual responses as weakness."
This is exactly right. We are at war a thug, or a school bully. Give them something and they will demand more!
This is exactly right. We are at war a thug, or a school bully. Give them something and they will demand more!
Reposted by Per Nielsen
"A Washington Post analysis of multiple video feeds found that Trump spent nearly 20 minutes apparently battling to keep his eyes open at the Thursday event." wapo.st/4oTia5k
A closer look at Trump’s apparent struggles to fight off sleep in the Oval Office
A Washington Post analysis of multiple video feeds found that Trump spent nearly 20 minutes battling to keep his eyes open at a recent Oval Office event.
wapo.st
November 8, 2025 at 7:02 PM
"A Washington Post analysis of multiple video feeds found that Trump spent nearly 20 minutes apparently battling to keep his eyes open at the Thursday event." wapo.st/4oTia5k
Reposted by Per Nielsen
Well said. 100% agree!
The reason the EU gets pushed around by the US and China is this: Russian shadow fleet oil tankers operate with impunity in the Baltic, keeping Putin's war machine running. If you want to be feared and respected, you have to confront the challenge right in front of you. Nothing else really matters.
November 7, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Well said. 100% agree!