Jacob Kaarsbo
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jkaarsbo.bsky.social
Jacob Kaarsbo
@jkaarsbo.bsky.social
Foreign, security and defence policy analysis. 15 yrs @ Danish Defence Intelligence Service. Sportsnerd.
🚨🚨🚨
Trump is accusing Democratic lawmakers of being seditious traitors for encouraging U.S. service members and intelligence professionals to honor their oaths to the Constitution. He says such behavior is punishable by death.

MAGA has been accusing the left of stoking political violence for months.
November 20, 2025 at 7:02 PM
1) Witkoff and Dimitriev conspire to carve up 🇺🇦
2) 🇺🇸 NATO ambassador announces that US wants 🇩🇪 to take over SACEUR.
3) 🇷🇺 blows up 🇵🇱 railway track and forces 🇷🇴 evacuation of villages.
4) Trump hosts MBS AKA Mohamed bin Sawman at the White House.
Catch my brief here👉 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
November 20, 2025 at 9:24 AM
According to Stephen Miller calls to uphold the constitution are tantamount to calls for insurrection 🙈
In an attempt to invert a core principle of American governance, Miller claims those who state military and intelligence professionals must refuse illegal orders are “openly calling for an insurrection.” The duty to refuse unlawful orders is a requirement, grounded in the Constitution and the UCMJ.
November 20, 2025 at 5:05 AM
1) Europe needs 🇺🇦 for European security
2) One of the Epstein files pulls the curtain on one of Epstein's Russian handlers, former and now deceased UN ambassador, Vitaly Churkin
Watch my briefing right here👉 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
November 17, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Reposted by Jacob Kaarsbo
'Survival-minded' ex-national security officials warn 'guardrails are collapsing' under Trump

www.alternet.org/news-politic...
'Survival-minded' ex-national security officials warn 'guardrails are collapsing' under Trump
Despite the Democrats' sweeping electoral victories, President Donald Trump and MAGA Republicans "are far from surrendering," and, according to a former national security official, they are moving at ...
www.alternet.org
November 13, 2025 at 3:42 PM
😂
Malcolm Nance said these sound like the titles of porn movies.
November 16, 2025 at 7:02 AM
Reposted by Jacob Kaarsbo
1. Yesterday, the State Department designated four Antifa-affiliated entities as global terrorist organizations. It’s part of the Trump regime’s effort to inflate the threat posed by “Antifa.” None of these supposed groups is even alleged to have attacked Americans.

www.state.gov/releases/202...
Designations of Antifa Ost and Three Other Violent Antifa Groups - United States Department of State
Today, the Department of State announces the designation of Antifa Ost, Informal Anarchist Federation/International Revolutionary Front, Armed Proletarian Justice, and Revolutionary Class Self-Defense...
www.state.gov
November 14, 2025 at 3:08 PM
Thanks for saying it out loud Commissioner @andriuskubilius.ec.europa.eu 🙏🏻
🇺🇦 needs to be integrated into European security and defence structures right now!
🇺🇸 continues to obstruct 🇺🇦 NATO membership. That means NATO is obsolete, unfortunately. That’s the reality!
Ukraine’s 🇪🇺 integration is needed not only for Ukraine itself — it is also in the EU’s vital interest.

On the European continent, there are only two battle-tested armies: Russia and Ukraine.

A defence-ready EU is only possible together with 🇺🇦. Now!
ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
Greeting message by Commissioner Kubilius at the Conference on Ukraine\'s European Future (pre-recorded)
Why Does the European Union Need Ukraine? \n \nI am very glad with the title you have chosen for this conference: “Why does the European Union need Ukraine?” Because far too often the discussion is on...
ec.europa.eu
November 14, 2025 at 7:02 PM
It’s quite rare that I applaud the Trump administration, but their 🇸🇾 policy actually makes sense!
#US Secretary of #State Marco Rubio on #Syria:

“We want to give these guys every chance to succeed… They don’t want #Syria to ever again be a base for #Iran or #ISIS.”
November 13, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Advarselslamperne for 🇺🇸 demokrati blinker blodrødt!
Tidligere kolleger fra CIA, NSA, FBI, State Department og Pentagon konkluderer i ny rapport, at 🇺🇸 med "moderat til høj sikkerhed" er på vej til at blive et "kompetitivt autokrati". Læs på @altingetdk.bsky.social www.altinget.dk/eu/artikel/a...
November 13, 2025 at 9:40 AM
That’s AfD for ya🥶
A leader of the far-right Alternative for Germany party said Russian President Vladimir Putin’s Russia doesn’t pose a threat to his country — but that Poland potentially does.
AfD leader says Putin poses no threat to Germany, warning instead of Poland
The comments come as mainstream German politicians increasingly portray the far-right party as a fifth column promoting the Kremlin’s interests.
www.politico.eu
November 12, 2025 at 8:32 PM
The Trump regime is working at 🇺🇳 to legitimise 🇷🇺 conquest in 🇺🇦. Can’t say I’m surprised🥶
www.kyivpost.com/post/63999
Trump Administration Pushes to Weaken Ukraine Resolution on Russian Occupation at UN, Sources Tell Kyiv Post
Western allies are warning that the White House push to strip references to “territorial integrity” and “aggression” will undermine the international consensus.
www.kyivpost.com
November 12, 2025 at 6:09 AM
Merchant of death🥶
Trump said the U.S. is no longer spending money on Ukraine, but earning from it, saying NATO allies are now footing the bill for weapons sent to Kyiv.
November 11, 2025 at 9:41 AM
Ukraine is fighting the fight for everyone who cares about freedom and democracy.
Catch my briefing from the beautiful St. Michaels Golden Domed Monastery downtown Kyiv right here 👉 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
November 10, 2025 at 2:42 PM
Reposted by Jacob Kaarsbo
[DK] "der kommer en lind strøm af data, der tyder på, at institutionerne [i USA] ikke vil holde. Det sker i et tempo, så forfatterne bag den omtalte rapport havde svært ved at få den offentliggjort."

Prisværdigt nøgtern analyse af @jkaarsbo.bsky.social (som altid).

www.altinget.dk/artikel/adva...
Advarselslamperne for det amerikanske demokrati blinker blodrødt - Altinget
Mange iagttagere analyserer fortsat Donald Trump ud fra et almindeligt demokratisk tankesæt. Men det fører ofte til fejlvurderinger, skriver Jacob Kaarsbo.
www.altinget.dk
November 10, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Reposted by Jacob Kaarsbo
Zelenskyy: "Europe fears the word ‘escalation.’ They believe any response is escalation - but Russia sees non-forceful, intellectual responses as weakness."

This is exactly right. We are at war a thug, or a school bully. Give them something and they will demand more!
November 9, 2025 at 9:20 PM
Like I said a million times: a Lukoil exemption for 🇭🇺, the fourth largest importer of 🇷🇺 oil! “Victor is my friend”…and you can add Vladimir to the list.

www.reuters.com/world/trump-...
November 8, 2025 at 5:56 AM
The new 🇺🇸 ambassador who handed over his credentials to our King today has a personal stake in President Trump's effort to wrestle 🇬🇱 away from 🇩🇰! Watch my briefing right here👉 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
November 5, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Trump removes sanctions against Belarus national carrier, Belavia. Trump removing sanctions against Putin’s proselyte Luka and his family is another indication Trump won’t enforce oil sanctions against Russia!
U.S. Treasury lifts sanctions on Belarusian state-owned airline Belavia and government jet used by Lukashenko’s sons

The move was first announced on Sept. 11 during U.S. envoy John Coale’s visit to Minsk, after which Belarus freed 52 political prisoners.
U.S. Treasury lifts sanctions on Belarusian state-owned airline Belavia and government jet used by Lukashenko’s sons
The U.S. Department of the Treasury has lifted sanctions on Belarus’s state airline Belavia, along with a government-owned Bombardier CRJ-200ER jet with tail number EW-301PJ, according to a Nov. 4 not...
theins.press
November 4, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Yep, Viktor helps Vladimir!
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has harshly criticised Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban for blocking his country's ambitions to join the European Union, describing his unwavering veto as "specific support" for Russian President Vladimir Putin.

#EnlargementSummit
November 4, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Good 💥
Another sleepless night for Russia, as Ukrainian forces continue their deep-strike campaign, now a new element of daily life in the country. Ukraine successfully hit multiple important targets tonight

🧵Thread:

1. Video showing the aftermath of the attack on the refinery in Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod:
November 4, 2025 at 5:07 AM
So it’s the non-state solution, the Trump Gaza Riviera🤡
Question: [Saudi Crown Prince] MbS has said they won't join the Abraham Accords without a two state solution. Do you believe that?

Trump: No. I think he is going to join. I think we are going to have a solution but I don't know if it's going to be two states.
November 3, 2025 at 7:15 AM
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out what the answer will be? 🤡
[Q]:
Mr. President, your response to Victor Orban saying he'll ask for an exemption from U.S. sanctions on Russian oil?

[President Trump]:
He has asked for an exemption. We haven't granted one, but he has asked.
Victor is a friend of mine. He's asked for an exemption.
October 31, 2025 at 6:23 PM
The results of the Trump Xi Summit were modest and neither 🇺🇦 nor 🇹🇼 was discussed.
🇨🇳 oil imports from 🇷🇺 wasn't on the table. It tells us that Trump is unlikely to do much about sanctions enforcement.
Watch my 5 min brief right here 👇
open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
October 31, 2025 at 9:26 AM
Sanctions always depend on enforcement. It’s essentially a game of whack-a-mole. I’m sceptical we’ll see the Trump administration do what’s necessary. Most likely the Rosneft Lukoil sanctions were performative. 🇨🇳 imports weren’t raised at the Trump-Xi summit either
www.reuters.com/business/ene...
October 31, 2025 at 5:59 AM