Grumpy D. Kelson
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grumpykelson.myatproto.social
Grumpy D. Kelson
@grumpykelson.myatproto.social
In 2012 we measured the hierarchical growth of structure using galaxy groups.
In 2020 we analytically solved for the nonlinear growth of structure & it matched the Carnegie-Spitzer-IMACS Survey data.

But there’re more important things to worry about now.
Pinned
“BOTH PARTIES ARE THE SAME”
a young boy is laughing with his mouth open in a striped shirt .
ALT: a young boy is laughing with his mouth open in a striped shirt .
media.tenor.com
I'm old enough to remember 30 fucking years of prominent American politicians saying "BUT WHAT ABOUT CHINA?!?!" whenever we dared talk about climate policy.
"Oil demand and emissions in the transport sector fell by 5% in the third quarter, but grew elsewhere by 10%, as the production of plastics and other chemicals surged."

#China is cutting oil demand in transport. Has that ever happened in Western countries?

www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chi...
Analysis: China’s CO2 emissions have now been flat or falling for 18 months - Carbon Brief
China’s carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions were unchanged from a year earlier in the third quarter of 2025, extending a flat or falling trend that started in March 2024.
www.carbonbrief.org
November 11, 2025 at 6:01 AM
Reposted by Grumpy D. Kelson
In a rare case of Substack notes usefulness, I just learned that Sarah Kendzior (author of They Knew and a brilliant writer) got bounced from Bluesky. What the hell? new @sarahkendzior.bsky.social
November 11, 2025 at 4:09 AM
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So much you can say about his legendary performance in RAN but one thing I'll always think of is how he managed to nail his performance in one of the riskiest shots in film history - a huge character moment as he walks away from the castle set that they are literally burning down behind him
November 11, 2025 at 4:47 AM
Rest in peace, big guy. You were amazing.
November 11, 2025 at 5:13 AM
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RIP Tatsuya Nakadai - one of the all time greats of world cinema variety.com/2025/film/ob...
Tatsuya Nakadai, Japanese Film Legend That Starred in ‘Ran,’ ‘Harakiri’ and ‘The Human Condition’ Trilogy, Dies at 92
Tatsuya Nakadai, one of Japan's most celebrated actors who was a frequent collaborator of Akira Kurosawa and Masaki Kobayashi, died. He was 92.
variety.com
November 11, 2025 at 4:41 AM
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Dan knows more about how Congress works than anyone I know, so this is an interesting thread.
Some thoughts on the CR/minibus.

1 The Dems negotiating with Rs were not freelancing. They coordinated with Sen Schumer. A few were ready to give in on day one, others worked to maximize appropriations wins.

Those voting for the 'deal' are the ones furthest away from electoral consequences.
November 11, 2025 at 3:51 AM
Around these parts we call that “That’s actually not a plan; that’s just going back to where people don’t have any health care coverage.”
Rick Scott told me his plan would be to take all of the remaining ACA subsidies and redistribute them to HSA accounts and people can then buy whatever insurance a state certifies. Basically a repeal/replace.
He denied when I asked wouldn’t that create two-tiered system where sick pay much more…
November 11, 2025 at 4:02 AM
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Rick fucking Scott does indeed have extensive healthcare experience
November 11, 2025 at 3:52 AM
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omfg the number of people who think smoking rules don't apply to them because "it's a vape" are just fucking mind-boggling.

But yes, all the manufacturers etc are the ones who should be strung up by their toes. The "inhalable" oils nobody has actually studied the long-term impacts of???
humbly proposing that vape pens are quietly one of the most evil inventions in the past 25 years and that everyone involved should be tried at the hague
November 11, 2025 at 3:48 AM
Reposted by Grumpy D. Kelson
Everything I will say and more is in this blog post. Great use of early generation satellite images and reanalysis data, showing how and why wind direction, fetch, and speed changed as the ship crossed the lake, with the worst near the end. cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/satellite-bl...
November 11, 2025 at 3:12 AM
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Your man couldn’t even find an image of the cover of the book he was pretending to listen to
*maximum alpha at 1.25x speed* continuously lives on in my head, unfortunately.
November 11, 2025 at 2:39 AM
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If you’re seeing this viral claim that Trump is working on 15-year car loans, it’s fake.
November 10, 2025 at 11:38 PM
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Also, I had no idea?! "Hospitals are notorious for their greenhouse gas emissions, accounting for around 5% of emissions globally."
November 10, 2025 at 10:41 PM
Oh so NOW he knows about something?
In the most predictable development ever, Mike Johnson is not committing to hold a House vote on ACA subsidies
November 10, 2025 at 10:44 PM
Good thing nobody‘s loved ones will be flying in the next two weeks!
TRUMP: US TO LAUNCH NEW AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEM WITHIN 2–3 WEEKS
November 10, 2025 at 10:36 PM
And by launch, do you mean,… launch into space?
TRUMP: US TO LAUNCH NEW AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEM WITHIN 2–3 WEEKS
November 10, 2025 at 10:36 PM
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Good thing I'm not flying to DC in two we-

Oh. Oh dear.
TRUMP: US TO LAUNCH NEW AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEM WITHIN 2–3 WEEKS
November 10, 2025 at 10:34 PM
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i’m excited to announce that i am hiring (again)!

i am looking for a postdoc in computational astrophysics that’s excited about models of stellar transients and multi-messenger astronomy to join my group (star stuff @ steward) at @uarizona.bsky.social!

apply here ✨💥: aas.org/jobregister/...
Postdoctoral Research Associate I Computational Stellar Astrophysics (Steward Observatory) | American Astronomical Society
The University of Arizona (U of A) Department of Astronomy and Steward Observatory (SO) invites applications for a Postdoctoral Research Associate. The successful candidate will work with Professor Ca...
aas.org
November 10, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Real alphas want their books read by Ving Rhames and not at 1.25X speed like an impatient child would want.
Definitely the two fattest, baldest, most physically laughable fucking nerds on the planet know alpha
November 10, 2025 at 8:07 PM
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“A plainclothes ICE agent pointed his gun at a female driver in Santa Ana…The incident is one of many nationwide raising concerns about plainclothes agents being mistaken for criminals and visa versa, prompting the FBI to urge proper identification.” www.latimes.com/california/s...
Fullerton police stop man pointing gun at female driver, only to learn he is ICE agent
A Fullerton police officer told the agent he couldn't help 'with someone following or recording him if no crime had occurred.' Under state law, local police cannot enforce federal immigration law.
www.latimes.com
November 10, 2025 at 7:49 PM
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I watched the piece John Oliver did on Medicare Advantage and I was horrified by those poor people’s stories. 💔
Every one of our friends complain about their Medicare.

We have original Medicare and we don't have any of the problems they regale.

When we dig further, it's an Advantage plan.

Those plans are private insurance companies in Medicare clothing.

You've heard of a wolf in sheep's clothing?
November 10, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Reposted by Grumpy D. Kelson
My wife and I pay for life insurance even though we have never died. I pay for fire insurance even though my house has never burned down. That's not because we want to throw money at insurance companies. It's because THAT'S HOW INSURANCE WORKS.
November 10, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Reposted by Grumpy D. Kelson
Solar’s price drop is astonishing: panels are now 98% cheaper than when I first analyzed them in 2004.

Today, building a fence with solar can be cheaper than using wood.
November 10, 2025 at 8:10 AM
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Elon's "Rosebud" moment will be him dropping a kindle on the ground and muttering "I do read books"
history will ultimately decide this but i think joyce carol oates might have just landed the most devastating burn in human history. like the death star trench run of posting
November 10, 2025 at 7:19 PM