Graham Caswell
@grahamcaswell.bsky.social
Reposted by Graham Caswell
frame: rich people get rich by being smart
Negation: rich people get rich by being evil
Kirby: money works like mass, it is drawn towards the largest accumulations, and most of our stories about it are rationalizations
Negation: rich people get rich by being evil
Kirby: money works like mass, it is drawn towards the largest accumulations, and most of our stories about it are rationalizations
this is why I keep repeating ad nauseum that money is mass and billionaires are black holes.
they are a structural feature caused by an attracting force. they occur when there isn't enough force pushing the money apart. it's not about the individuals
they are a structural feature caused by an attracting force. they occur when there isn't enough force pushing the money apart. it's not about the individuals
November 16, 2025 at 8:40 PM
frame: rich people get rich by being smart
Negation: rich people get rich by being evil
Kirby: money works like mass, it is drawn towards the largest accumulations, and most of our stories about it are rationalizations
Negation: rich people get rich by being evil
Kirby: money works like mass, it is drawn towards the largest accumulations, and most of our stories about it are rationalizations
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Do you strongly support the concept of universal basic income? Do you enjoy editing videos and especially enjoy making video essays? Would you like to have your own basic income that enables you to focus on such video work in advocacy of UBI? Please DM me and include a link to some of your work. TY!
November 16, 2025 at 6:46 PM
Do you strongly support the concept of universal basic income? Do you enjoy editing videos and especially enjoy making video essays? Would you like to have your own basic income that enables you to focus on such video work in advocacy of UBI? Please DM me and include a link to some of your work. TY!
Reposted by Graham Caswell
This is a post about non-linear climate damages.
a wave has such a great long start before it leaps, all round the world it runs, and then comes the spring!
November 16, 2025 at 7:30 PM
This is a post about non-linear climate damages.
To put this into perspective, in 2020, during the worst of the covid lockdowns, global CO2 emissions dropped by 5.4%.
My fear is scientists will just sit by & be complicit. Saying you are for 1.5C or net zero is not ambition.
If rich country GHG or CO2 emissions are not dropping at >5% per year, they are not remotely consistent with 1.5C, nor net zero in a reasonable time frame.
Scientists need to point this out.
If rich country GHG or CO2 emissions are not dropping at >5% per year, they are not remotely consistent with 1.5C, nor net zero in a reasonable time frame.
Scientists need to point this out.
Rich, historical polluter countries that had the highest legal responsibility to take climate action failed. And now some of these same countries are speaking about '1.5C ambition'. What a charade
November 15, 2025 at 6:14 PM
To put this into perspective, in 2020, during the worst of the covid lockdowns, global CO2 emissions dropped by 5.4%.
If you don't pay your subscription, granny dies again. Or you could use the free version, in which granny tries to sell you health supplements every five minutes.
November 15, 2025 at 6:05 PM
If you don't pay your subscription, granny dies again. Or you could use the free version, in which granny tries to sell you health supplements every five minutes.
It certainly looks like it accelerating. The next El Nino will be interesting. Unless, of course, your house burns down, or gets flooded, or your crops die, or you lose your insurance - then it'll just be horrible.
Now that the Sept and Oct data are (belatedly) in, it looks like 2025 will be the second warmest year in the record (~80% probability). The last three years are in a class of their own.
November 15, 2025 at 5:39 PM
It certainly looks like it accelerating. The next El Nino will be interesting. Unless, of course, your house burns down, or gets flooded, or your crops die, or you lose your insurance - then it'll just be horrible.
Who says there's never any good climate news? It may be weak soup, but its soup.
The most common question I was asked by journalists: "was there anything that surprised you"?
"Well, no, because I work on this everyday".
Now I have found the surprise... Carbonation, the uptake of CO2 in cement, has turned a corner because cement production is dropping!
"Well, no, because I work on this everyday".
Now I have found the surprise... Carbonation, the uptake of CO2 in cement, has turned a corner because cement production is dropping!
November 15, 2025 at 4:42 PM
Who says there's never any good climate news? It may be weak soup, but its soup.
Seems to me we've been rolling a lot of 6s lately - and there seems to be a big gap between policy and action. And with impacts worse than expected, 3C may be the new 4C.
And don't get me started on irreversible planet-changing tipping points or the other 6 planetary boundaries that we've crossed.
And don't get me started on irreversible planet-changing tipping points or the other 6 planetary boundaries that we've crossed.
These six studies show a central estimate of warming from 2.4C to 2.9C, with large climate system uncertainties due to climate sensitivity and carbon cycle feedbacks; its possible that current policy warming could be as high as 4C if we roll 6s on the proverbial climate dice.
November 14, 2025 at 7:23 PM
Seems to me we've been rolling a lot of 6s lately - and there seems to be a big gap between policy and action. And with impacts worse than expected, 3C may be the new 4C.
And don't get me started on irreversible planet-changing tipping points or the other 6 planetary boundaries that we've crossed.
And don't get me started on irreversible planet-changing tipping points or the other 6 planetary boundaries that we've crossed.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
"𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐬𝐭'𝐬 𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐛𝐥𝐞𝐦"
𝘈 𝘵𝘳𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘪𝘴 𝘳𝘶𝘯𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘥𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘬 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘢𝘣𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘬𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘢 𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘪𝘳𝘦, 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘪𝘧 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘱𝘶𝘭𝘭 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘤𝘩 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘢𝘥 𝘬𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘧𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘱𝘦𝘰𝘱𝘭𝘦 𝘭𝘪𝘷𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘢𝘣𝘫𝘦𝘤𝘵 𝘱𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘺.
𝘋𝘰 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘢𝘨𝘨𝘳𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘶𝘵𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘣𝘺 𝘱𝘶𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘤𝘩?
𝘈 𝘵𝘳𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘪𝘴 𝘳𝘶𝘯𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘥𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘬 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘢𝘣𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘬𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘢 𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘪𝘳𝘦, 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘪𝘧 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘱𝘶𝘭𝘭 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘤𝘩 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘢𝘥 𝘬𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘧𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘱𝘦𝘰𝘱𝘭𝘦 𝘭𝘪𝘷𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘢𝘣𝘫𝘦𝘤𝘵 𝘱𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘺.
𝘋𝘰 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘢𝘨𝘨𝘳𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘶𝘵𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘣𝘺 𝘱𝘶𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘤𝘩?
November 14, 2025 at 6:56 PM
"𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐬𝐭'𝐬 𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐛𝐥𝐞𝐦"
𝘈 𝘵𝘳𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘪𝘴 𝘳𝘶𝘯𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘥𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘬 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘢𝘣𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘬𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘢 𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘪𝘳𝘦, 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘪𝘧 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘱𝘶𝘭𝘭 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘤𝘩 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘢𝘥 𝘬𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘧𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘱𝘦𝘰𝘱𝘭𝘦 𝘭𝘪𝘷𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘢𝘣𝘫𝘦𝘤𝘵 𝘱𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘺.
𝘋𝘰 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘢𝘨𝘨𝘳𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘶𝘵𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘣𝘺 𝘱𝘶𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘤𝘩?
𝘈 𝘵𝘳𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘪𝘴 𝘳𝘶𝘯𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘥𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘬 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘢𝘣𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘬𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘢 𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘪𝘳𝘦, 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘪𝘧 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘱𝘶𝘭𝘭 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘤𝘩 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘢𝘥 𝘬𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘧𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘱𝘦𝘰𝘱𝘭𝘦 𝘭𝘪𝘷𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘢𝘣𝘫𝘦𝘤𝘵 𝘱𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘺.
𝘋𝘰 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘢𝘨𝘨𝘳𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘶𝘵𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘣𝘺 𝘱𝘶𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘤𝘩?
Reposted by Graham Caswell
"I would want to see emissions going down for several years before I would stand up on a building top and shout that emissions have peaked"
Please take note of my wise words...
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Please take note of my wise words...
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
November 14, 2025 at 12:48 PM
"I would want to see emissions going down for several years before I would stand up on a building top and shout that emissions have peaked"
Please take note of my wise words...
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Please take note of my wise words...
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
"Climate justice resists the disproportionate power of large multinational companies, & prioritises the needs of people & communities. It demands that decarbonisation and emissions reductions are linked to transformative public investments in basic services that every community needs and deserves."
November 13, 2025 at 7:41 PM
"Climate justice resists the disproportionate power of large multinational companies, & prioritises the needs of people & communities. It demands that decarbonisation and emissions reductions are linked to transformative public investments in basic services that every community needs and deserves."
"The message that jumps out above all others is that previous IPCC reports, going back to 1990, have not been heeded. Where is the report on that? Because that’s the one we really need."
With COP 30 👮♂️ underway in Brazil, I thought I’d better write something about climate change.
open.substack.com/pub/perspect...
open.substack.com/pub/perspect...
Dancing with a Permanent Emergency
Why a proper understanding of climate change leads to metaphysics.*
open.substack.com
November 13, 2025 at 5:40 PM
"The message that jumps out above all others is that previous IPCC reports, going back to 1990, have not been heeded. Where is the report on that? Because that’s the one we really need."
This inequity is much bigger than COP access. The entire climate conversation seems dominated by the people (including professional 'campaigners') who use the most carbon. Those who use the least carbon (i.e. 'the poor') hardly get a word in. That's probably why so much 'action' is performative.
Huge COPs are an equity issue.
We don't hear marginalised voices above the din of who can afford the pavilions, flights, comms teams, or hosting.
theconversation.com/the-un-clima...
We don't hear marginalised voices above the din of who can afford the pavilions, flights, comms teams, or hosting.
theconversation.com/the-un-clima...
The UN climate talks have become too big for their own good
Cop30 will have 50,000 delegates. But bigger Cops are not better Cops.
theconversation.com
November 12, 2025 at 8:10 PM
This inequity is much bigger than COP access. The entire climate conversation seems dominated by the people (including professional 'campaigners') who use the most carbon. Those who use the least carbon (i.e. 'the poor') hardly get a word in. That's probably why so much 'action' is performative.
So. We have to invent a new technology, spend a Trillion $ a year on it and make it the world's biggest industry, all while cutting emissions at covid lockdown levels.
And we have to do it before Greenland, Thwaites, the Amazon or the AMOC tip.
Got it.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
And we have to do it before Greenland, Thwaites, the Amazon or the AMOC tip.
Got it.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Removing CO2 from atmosphere vital to avoid catastrophic tipping points, leading scientist says
10bn tonnes must be captured from the air every year to limit global heating to 1.7C, says Johan Rockström
www.theguardian.com
November 11, 2025 at 7:15 PM
So. We have to invent a new technology, spend a Trillion $ a year on it and make it the world's biggest industry, all while cutting emissions at covid lockdown levels.
And we have to do it before Greenland, Thwaites, the Amazon or the AMOC tip.
Got it.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
And we have to do it before Greenland, Thwaites, the Amazon or the AMOC tip.
Got it.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
An absolutely glorious twilight this morning, holy smokes.
November 11, 2025 at 3:10 PM
An absolutely glorious twilight this morning, holy smokes.
"A republic where everyone is valued and diversity is cherished, where sustainable solutions are urgently implemented, and where a home is a fundamental human right."
Very proud of our new president.
youtu.be/gEvltn0BmRQ?...
Very proud of our new president.
youtu.be/gEvltn0BmRQ?...
President Catherine Connolly's inauguration speech
YouTube video by Irish Independent
youtu.be
November 11, 2025 at 3:36 PM
"A republic where everyone is valued and diversity is cherished, where sustainable solutions are urgently implemented, and where a home is a fundamental human right."
Very proud of our new president.
youtu.be/gEvltn0BmRQ?...
Very proud of our new president.
youtu.be/gEvltn0BmRQ?...
"All six of the NMME’s component models now show this trend. With this in mind, it’s worth keeping an eye out for a potential El Niño event in the latter part of 2026."
High risk of failed crops, car soup and pretty sunsets from burning boreal forests.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/11/octo...
High risk of failed crops, car soup and pretty sunsets from burning boreal forests.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/11/octo...
October 2025 was the planet's third-warmest October on record » Yale Climate Connections
Only October 2023 and October 2024 were warmer.
yaleclimateconnections.org
November 10, 2025 at 4:33 PM
"All six of the NMME’s component models now show this trend. With this in mind, it’s worth keeping an eye out for a potential El Niño event in the latter part of 2026."
High risk of failed crops, car soup and pretty sunsets from burning boreal forests.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/11/octo...
High risk of failed crops, car soup and pretty sunsets from burning boreal forests.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/11/octo...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
How screwed is the climate, how do we stop it screwing us, how do we unscrew it.
Three episodes of Global Warning has considered answers to all the above, and @aljazeera.com has made it free to watch on YouTube.
Ep 1: How Screwed Is It? 👉 youtu.be/F8vI5_gN90g?...
1/3
Three episodes of Global Warning has considered answers to all the above, and @aljazeera.com has made it free to watch on YouTube.
Ep 1: How Screwed Is It? 👉 youtu.be/F8vI5_gN90g?...
1/3
Inside the planet’s most urgent climate warning | Global Warning E1 | Featured Documentary
YouTube video by Al Jazeera English
youtu.be
November 9, 2025 at 5:44 PM
How screwed is the climate, how do we stop it screwing us, how do we unscrew it.
Three episodes of Global Warning has considered answers to all the above, and @aljazeera.com has made it free to watch on YouTube.
Ep 1: How Screwed Is It? 👉 youtu.be/F8vI5_gN90g?...
1/3
Three episodes of Global Warning has considered answers to all the above, and @aljazeera.com has made it free to watch on YouTube.
Ep 1: How Screwed Is It? 👉 youtu.be/F8vI5_gN90g?...
1/3
On political imagination and a politics of ideas over a politics of management...
"People are not voting for the Reform party because they're moderates."
Dr Parth Patel talks about the value of political imagination in today's world 👇
Dr Parth Patel talks about the value of political imagination in today's world 👇
November 8, 2025 at 8:42 PM
On political imagination and a politics of ideas over a politics of management...
"Beauty is truth, and truth beauty;
That is all ye know on earth, and all ye need to know."
Keats - Ode on a Grecian Urn
That is all ye know on earth, and all ye need to know."
Keats - Ode on a Grecian Urn
The annual SciPo workshop begins. 80 poets and scientists meet to talk and inspire and scheme. Such great fun.
November 8, 2025 at 8:38 PM
"Beauty is truth, and truth beauty;
That is all ye know on earth, and all ye need to know."
Keats - Ode on a Grecian Urn
That is all ye know on earth, and all ye need to know."
Keats - Ode on a Grecian Urn
Reposted by Graham Caswell
I dealt with a lot of fossil-fuel propaganda in my book, but the lie that “by doing what we’re already doing we’ve avoided the bad outcomes” has in the past two years turned out to be the most popular and the most pernicious of all the disinformation I discussed.
November 7, 2025 at 11:33 AM
I dealt with a lot of fossil-fuel propaganda in my book, but the lie that “by doing what we’re already doing we’ve avoided the bad outcomes” has in the past two years turned out to be the most popular and the most pernicious of all the disinformation I discussed.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
I helped make a film, out this week, called “Rovina’s Choice,” about the deaths this man without conscience or accountability has caused — already 600,000, ⅔ of them children.
November 6, 2025 at 10:34 PM
I helped make a film, out this week, called “Rovina’s Choice,” about the deaths this man without conscience or accountability has caused — already 600,000, ⅔ of them children.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
"To date no NDCs set targets to reduce oil and gas production or trim inefficient fossil fuel subsidies."
(Source: p16, www.unep.org/resources/em...)
(Source: p16, www.unep.org/resources/em...)
November 6, 2025 at 7:13 PM
"To date no NDCs set targets to reduce oil and gas production or trim inefficient fossil fuel subsidies."
(Source: p16, www.unep.org/resources/em...)
(Source: p16, www.unep.org/resources/em...)
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Imagine, if you will, this headline with the word “Jews” substituted for the word “women”:
“Did Jews Ruin the Workplace?”
Disgusting, right?
Well, it’s just as disgusting that this is an acceptable question to debate about women.
The misogyny is staggering — and so normal.
Still.
“Did Jews Ruin the Workplace?”
Disgusting, right?
Well, it’s just as disgusting that this is an acceptable question to debate about women.
The misogyny is staggering — and so normal.
Still.
November 6, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Imagine, if you will, this headline with the word “Jews” substituted for the word “women”:
“Did Jews Ruin the Workplace?”
Disgusting, right?
Well, it’s just as disgusting that this is an acceptable question to debate about women.
The misogyny is staggering — and so normal.
Still.
“Did Jews Ruin the Workplace?”
Disgusting, right?
Well, it’s just as disgusting that this is an acceptable question to debate about women.
The misogyny is staggering — and so normal.
Still.