Graham Caswell
@grahamcaswell.bsky.social
"All six of the NMME’s component models now show this trend. With this in mind, it’s worth keeping an eye out for a potential El Niño event in the latter part of 2026."
High risk of failed crops, car soup and pretty sunsets from burning boreal forests.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/11/octo...
High risk of failed crops, car soup and pretty sunsets from burning boreal forests.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/11/octo...
October 2025 was the planet's third-warmest October on record » Yale Climate Connections
Only October 2023 and October 2024 were warmer.
yaleclimateconnections.org
November 10, 2025 at 4:33 PM
"All six of the NMME’s component models now show this trend. With this in mind, it’s worth keeping an eye out for a potential El Niño event in the latter part of 2026."
High risk of failed crops, car soup and pretty sunsets from burning boreal forests.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/11/octo...
High risk of failed crops, car soup and pretty sunsets from burning boreal forests.
yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/11/octo...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
How screwed is the climate, how do we stop it screwing us, how do we unscrew it.
Three episodes of Global Warning has considered answers to all the above, and @aljazeera.com has made it free to watch on YouTube.
Ep 1: How Screwed Is It? 👉 youtu.be/F8vI5_gN90g?...
1/3
Three episodes of Global Warning has considered answers to all the above, and @aljazeera.com has made it free to watch on YouTube.
Ep 1: How Screwed Is It? 👉 youtu.be/F8vI5_gN90g?...
1/3
Inside the planet’s most urgent climate warning | Global Warning E1 | Featured Documentary
YouTube video by Al Jazeera English
youtu.be
November 9, 2025 at 5:44 PM
How screwed is the climate, how do we stop it screwing us, how do we unscrew it.
Three episodes of Global Warning has considered answers to all the above, and @aljazeera.com has made it free to watch on YouTube.
Ep 1: How Screwed Is It? 👉 youtu.be/F8vI5_gN90g?...
1/3
Three episodes of Global Warning has considered answers to all the above, and @aljazeera.com has made it free to watch on YouTube.
Ep 1: How Screwed Is It? 👉 youtu.be/F8vI5_gN90g?...
1/3
On political imagination and a politics of ideas over a politics of management...
"People are not voting for the Reform party because they're moderates."
Dr Parth Patel talks about the value of political imagination in today's world 👇
Dr Parth Patel talks about the value of political imagination in today's world 👇
November 8, 2025 at 8:42 PM
On political imagination and a politics of ideas over a politics of management...
"Beauty is truth, and truth beauty;
That is all ye know on earth, and all ye need to know."
Keats - Ode on a Grecian Urn
That is all ye know on earth, and all ye need to know."
Keats - Ode on a Grecian Urn
The annual SciPo workshop begins. 80 poets and scientists meet to talk and inspire and scheme. Such great fun.
November 8, 2025 at 8:38 PM
"Beauty is truth, and truth beauty;
That is all ye know on earth, and all ye need to know."
Keats - Ode on a Grecian Urn
That is all ye know on earth, and all ye need to know."
Keats - Ode on a Grecian Urn
Reposted by Graham Caswell
I dealt with a lot of fossil-fuel propaganda in my book, but the lie that “by doing what we’re already doing we’ve avoided the bad outcomes” has in the past two years turned out to be the most popular and the most pernicious of all the disinformation I discussed.
November 7, 2025 at 11:33 AM
I dealt with a lot of fossil-fuel propaganda in my book, but the lie that “by doing what we’re already doing we’ve avoided the bad outcomes” has in the past two years turned out to be the most popular and the most pernicious of all the disinformation I discussed.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
I helped make a film, out this week, called “Rovina’s Choice,” about the deaths this man without conscience or accountability has caused — already 600,000, ⅔ of them children.
November 6, 2025 at 10:34 PM
I helped make a film, out this week, called “Rovina’s Choice,” about the deaths this man without conscience or accountability has caused — already 600,000, ⅔ of them children.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
"To date no NDCs set targets to reduce oil and gas production or trim inefficient fossil fuel subsidies."
(Source: p16, www.unep.org/resources/em...)
(Source: p16, www.unep.org/resources/em...)
November 6, 2025 at 7:13 PM
"To date no NDCs set targets to reduce oil and gas production or trim inefficient fossil fuel subsidies."
(Source: p16, www.unep.org/resources/em...)
(Source: p16, www.unep.org/resources/em...)
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Imagine, if you will, this headline with the word “Jews” substituted for the word “women”:
“Did Jews Ruin the Workplace?”
Disgusting, right?
Well, it’s just as disgusting that this is an acceptable question to debate about women.
The misogyny is staggering — and so normal.
Still.
“Did Jews Ruin the Workplace?”
Disgusting, right?
Well, it’s just as disgusting that this is an acceptable question to debate about women.
The misogyny is staggering — and so normal.
Still.
November 6, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Imagine, if you will, this headline with the word “Jews” substituted for the word “women”:
“Did Jews Ruin the Workplace?”
Disgusting, right?
Well, it’s just as disgusting that this is an acceptable question to debate about women.
The misogyny is staggering — and so normal.
Still.
“Did Jews Ruin the Workplace?”
Disgusting, right?
Well, it’s just as disgusting that this is an acceptable question to debate about women.
The misogyny is staggering — and so normal.
Still.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Advice from @katharinehayhoe.com: "Dismissives cannot click a link that may contain factual and accurate information about climate science, impacts, or solutions. They are incapable of doing so because they are so afraid of the threat that the truth represents to their identity and/or ideology."
On Dealing with Climate Dismissives
by Katherine Hayhoe
climatecafe.substack.com
November 6, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Advice from @katharinehayhoe.com: "Dismissives cannot click a link that may contain factual and accurate information about climate science, impacts, or solutions. They are incapable of doing so because they are so afraid of the threat that the truth represents to their identity and/or ideology."
It's amazing how much of our world (and of the most important parts of our world) that is obviously, clearly, unambiguously and transparently insane.
"It is preposterous that we put a price on carbon, at the same time as we spend literally billions of dollars subsidising the fossil fuel industry.
One is meant to make carbon more expensive, & one is meant to make them cheaper, so they are literally working at crosspurpuses"
One is meant to make carbon more expensive, & one is meant to make them cheaper, so they are literally working at crosspurpuses"
So fun to chat with @alimacewen.bsky.social at the Land and Climate Review about my new book Existential Politics! Listen to our convo here. #COP30 #carbonpricing
www.landclimate.org/what-if-clim...
www.landclimate.org/what-if-clim...
November 4, 2025 at 12:17 PM
It's amazing how much of our world (and of the most important parts of our world) that is obviously, clearly, unambiguously and transparently insane.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
"When history judges us, it won’t ask how “agile” we were.
It will ask who we housed, who we fed, who we sheltered, who we lifted up when the lift got stuck.
That’s the only kind of fast that matters."
www.irishexaminer.com/opinion/colu...
It will ask who we housed, who we fed, who we sheltered, who we lifted up when the lift got stuck.
That’s the only kind of fast that matters."
www.irishexaminer.com/opinion/colu...
November 1, 2025 at 7:56 AM
"When history judges us, it won’t ask how “agile” we were.
It will ask who we housed, who we fed, who we sheltered, who we lifted up when the lift got stuck.
That’s the only kind of fast that matters."
www.irishexaminer.com/opinion/colu...
It will ask who we housed, who we fed, who we sheltered, who we lifted up when the lift got stuck.
That’s the only kind of fast that matters."
www.irishexaminer.com/opinion/colu...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 32% (=)
GRN: 17% (+2)
CON: 16% (-1)
LAB: 16% (=)
LDM: 12% (=)
SNP: 2% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 29 Oct.
Changes w/ 22 Oct.
RFM: 32% (=)
GRN: 17% (+2)
CON: 16% (-1)
LAB: 16% (=)
LDM: 12% (=)
SNP: 2% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 29 Oct.
Changes w/ 22 Oct.
October 30, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 32% (=)
GRN: 17% (+2)
CON: 16% (-1)
LAB: 16% (=)
LDM: 12% (=)
SNP: 2% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 29 Oct.
Changes w/ 22 Oct.
RFM: 32% (=)
GRN: 17% (+2)
CON: 16% (-1)
LAB: 16% (=)
LDM: 12% (=)
SNP: 2% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 29 Oct.
Changes w/ 22 Oct.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
October 30, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Reposted by Graham Caswell
So either Labour need to ask candidates to step aside for the Greens to take on Reform....
Or actually bring in a fair democratic process where everyone's votes count equally.
It's time for Proportional Representation.
www.thenational.scot/news/2558507...
Or actually bring in a fair democratic process where everyone's votes count equally.
It's time for Proportional Representation.
www.thenational.scot/news/2558507...
'Just getting started': Zack Polanski reacts as Greens SECOND in new poll
ZACK Polanski has welcomed a new poll putting his party in second place at Westminster.
www.thenational.scot
October 30, 2025 at 5:50 PM
So either Labour need to ask candidates to step aside for the Greens to take on Reform....
Or actually bring in a fair democratic process where everyone's votes count equally.
It's time for Proportional Representation.
www.thenational.scot/news/2558507...
Or actually bring in a fair democratic process where everyone's votes count equally.
It's time for Proportional Representation.
www.thenational.scot/news/2558507...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Where are we on climate action?
The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments.
That is the progress 10 years after Paris...
unfccc.int/process-and-...
The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments.
That is the progress 10 years after Paris...
unfccc.int/process-and-...
October 30, 2025 at 8:11 AM
Where are we on climate action?
The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments.
That is the progress 10 years after Paris...
unfccc.int/process-and-...
The bottom black line is countries that submitted new commitments (on time), the dotted line is global emissions. Blue shading are the commitments.
That is the progress 10 years after Paris...
unfccc.int/process-and-...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
What's happening in Sudan is horrific
October 29, 2025 at 7:41 PM
What's happening in Sudan is horrific
Reposted by Graham Caswell
The window to act on climate is rapidly closing. Our new 2025 State of the Climate report is just out. Read the full report here: doi.org/10.1093/bios... @michaelemann.bsky.social @dwallacewells.bsky.social @georgemonbiot.bsky.social @ecowarriorss.bsky.social
October 29, 2025 at 7:30 PM
The window to act on climate is rapidly closing. Our new 2025 State of the Climate report is just out. Read the full report here: doi.org/10.1093/bios... @michaelemann.bsky.social @dwallacewells.bsky.social @georgemonbiot.bsky.social @ecowarriorss.bsky.social
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Care for some carbon credits?
October 6, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Care for some carbon credits?
CO₂ and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Data Explorer
Explore data on greenhouse gas emissions.
ourworldindata.org
October 28, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Reposted by Graham Caswell
How little CO2 Jamaica has produced over time compared to the major polluters
October 28, 2025 at 2:37 PM
How little CO2 Jamaica has produced over time compared to the major polluters
Derailment:
When climate impacts create anger and confusion, which is exploited to delay climate action. Impacts also crowd out resources that would otherwise be used for climate action.
When climate impacts create anger and confusion, which is exploited to delay climate action. Impacts also crowd out resources that would otherwise be used for climate action.
A year ago, Spain was hit by deadly floods
They were supercharged by climate change
Yet in their wake, climate-denying politicians gained influence - which risks undermining climate action, making people less safe
Today we publish new research on this troubling dynamic🧵
www.scri.org.uk/derailment
They were supercharged by climate change
Yet in their wake, climate-denying politicians gained influence - which risks undermining climate action, making people less safe
Today we publish new research on this troubling dynamic🧵
www.scri.org.uk/derailment
Welcome to the Strategic Climate Risk Initiative
How can we stop the consequences of climate change from undermining climate action?
www.scri.org.uk
October 28, 2025 at 9:44 AM
Derailment:
When climate impacts create anger and confusion, which is exploited to delay climate action. Impacts also crowd out resources that would otherwise be used for climate action.
When climate impacts create anger and confusion, which is exploited to delay climate action. Impacts also crowd out resources that would otherwise be used for climate action.
No price is too high for the avoidance of real change. Especially if it's paid by others.
“Communities in Jamaica will need to prepare for potentially unimaginable impacts, and with #climate change fuelling stronger storms with higher rainfall totals, this is a stark example for other countries as to what may be in store for them,”
www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...
www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...
Hurricane Melissa strengthens to category 5 as communities in Jamaica warned of ‘potentially unimaginable impact’ – live
Jamaicans urged to seek shelter immediately, and Cuba, Haiti and Dominican Republic also threatened
www.theguardian.com
October 27, 2025 at 3:19 PM
No price is too high for the avoidance of real change. Especially if it's paid by others.
An excellent summary of current Thwaites Glacier science and the growing chances of it adding 3m to sea levels.
However I can summarise it even more succinctly:
STOP BURNING FOSSIL FUELS!!
However I can summarise it even more succinctly:
STOP BURNING FOSSIL FUELS!!
🧪🧵 Future change to #ThwaitesGlacier, Antarctica constitutes the largest uncertainty in #sea-level rise forecasts. The Science Coordination Office of the International Thwaites Glacier Collaboration recently issued a briefing document summarising some key findings - thwaitesglacier.org/findings
October 27, 2025 at 12:59 AM
An excellent summary of current Thwaites Glacier science and the growing chances of it adding 3m to sea levels.
However I can summarise it even more succinctly:
STOP BURNING FOSSIL FUELS!!
However I can summarise it even more succinctly:
STOP BURNING FOSSIL FUELS!!
Reposted by Graham Caswell
A joint study by European Space Agency & NOAA concludes we have gravely underestimated ocean acidification.
We’ve already crossed the planetary boundary, shattered it for the Arctic, & eliminated 43% of coral habitat.
Stopping emissions cannot reverse this.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
We’ve already crossed the planetary boundary, shattered it for the Arctic, & eliminated 43% of coral habitat.
Stopping emissions cannot reverse this.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Ocean Acidification: Another Planetary Boundary Crossed
In this study, employing a detailed analysis of ocean carbonate system observations, models and biological assessments, we demonstrate that by year 2020, the average global ocean conditions had alrea...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
October 26, 2025 at 1:52 PM
A joint study by European Space Agency & NOAA concludes we have gravely underestimated ocean acidification.
We’ve already crossed the planetary boundary, shattered it for the Arctic, & eliminated 43% of coral habitat.
Stopping emissions cannot reverse this.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
We’ve already crossed the planetary boundary, shattered it for the Arctic, & eliminated 43% of coral habitat.
Stopping emissions cannot reverse this.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...