Graham Caswell
@grahamcaswell.bsky.social
"I never want to see a child running from an armed government again."
Yesterday morning kids were sent running from their bus stop in panic because ICE showed up. This guy at today’s ICE Out of Lindenwold protest is a must watch 😭. @maddow.bsky.social
February 14, 2026 at 6:42 PM
"I never want to see a child running from an armed government again."
Reposted by Graham Caswell
WOW!
Just got the presentation for the new plans for College Green and Dame Street. Looks absolutely amazing.
The Greens have been pushing for this for nearly two decades: we'll keep on going until we get it over the line.
Just got the presentation for the new plans for College Green and Dame Street. Looks absolutely amazing.
The Greens have been pushing for this for nearly two decades: we'll keep on going until we get it over the line.
February 11, 2026 at 4:10 PM
WOW!
Just got the presentation for the new plans for College Green and Dame Street. Looks absolutely amazing.
The Greens have been pushing for this for nearly two decades: we'll keep on going until we get it over the line.
Just got the presentation for the new plans for College Green and Dame Street. Looks absolutely amazing.
The Greens have been pushing for this for nearly two decades: we'll keep on going until we get it over the line.
So there's something like a 1 in 13 chance your house will burn down before the mortgage is paid off (not that you'll get a mortgage, because you won't be able to get insurance).
A lot of people living near water are also going to learn this the hard way. Best to sell before the rush.
A lot of people living near water are also going to learn this the hard way. Best to sell before the rush.
Nice tool! I like how they give a 1-year, 15-year, and 30-year probability of a wildfire burning your property. There's just a 0.28% chance in 1 year for the sample property I show below, but a 7.56% chance over 30 years.
February 11, 2026 at 3:45 PM
So there's something like a 1 in 13 chance your house will burn down before the mortgage is paid off (not that you'll get a mortgage, because you won't be able to get insurance).
A lot of people living near water are also going to learn this the hard way. Best to sell before the rush.
A lot of people living near water are also going to learn this the hard way. Best to sell before the rush.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Read our open letter to the Taoiseach and Climate Minister, arguing that there is no legal or scientific justification for delaying Ireland's Climate Action Plan. It's urgently needed to close the carbon budget delivery gap this decade, and further delays will increase overall costs.
February 11, 2026 at 1:14 PM
Read our open letter to the Taoiseach and Climate Minister, arguing that there is no legal or scientific justification for delaying Ireland's Climate Action Plan. It's urgently needed to close the carbon budget delivery gap this decade, and further delays will increase overall costs.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
🎵
Did they get you to trade
Your heroes for ghosts
Hot ashes for trees
Hot air for a cool breeze
Cold comfort for change?
Did you exchange
A walk on part in the war
For a lead role in a cage?
🎵
Did they get you to trade
Your heroes for ghosts
Hot ashes for trees
Hot air for a cool breeze
Cold comfort for change?
Did you exchange
A walk on part in the war
For a lead role in a cage?
🎵
this is excellent, and broadly relevant well outside of environmentalism open.substack.com/pub/drlennec...
I Said Environmentalism Was Out of Ideas. I Was Wrong. It's Worse.
How the people fighting for the planet lost touch with the people living on it
open.substack.com
February 10, 2026 at 9:07 PM
🎵
Did they get you to trade
Your heroes for ghosts
Hot ashes for trees
Hot air for a cool breeze
Cold comfort for change?
Did you exchange
A walk on part in the war
For a lead role in a cage?
🎵
Did they get you to trade
Your heroes for ghosts
Hot ashes for trees
Hot air for a cool breeze
Cold comfort for change?
Did you exchange
A walk on part in the war
For a lead role in a cage?
🎵
Reposted by Graham Caswell
You are welcome to disagree but I personally want people with this level of empathy, compassion and kindness in charge our lives, welfare and country.
Great episode with Zack Polanski and Hannah Spencer.
youtube.com/shorts/afqQX...
Great episode with Zack Polanski and Hannah Spencer.
youtube.com/shorts/afqQX...
This is what politicians without vested interests look like
YouTube video by Bold Politics with Zack Polanski
youtube.com
February 10, 2026 at 11:01 PM
You are welcome to disagree but I personally want people with this level of empathy, compassion and kindness in charge our lives, welfare and country.
Great episode with Zack Polanski and Hannah Spencer.
youtube.com/shorts/afqQX...
Great episode with Zack Polanski and Hannah Spencer.
youtube.com/shorts/afqQX...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Recent talk recorded with slides.
Available at: climateuncensored.com/a-velvet-or-...
The presentation builds on and expands my short contribution to last November’s National Emergency Briefing. climateuncensored.com/national-eme...
Duration: 50-minute talk followed by a 30-minute Q&A.
Available at: climateuncensored.com/a-velvet-or-...
The presentation builds on and expands my short contribution to last November’s National Emergency Briefing. climateuncensored.com/national-eme...
Duration: 50-minute talk followed by a 30-minute Q&A.
February 10, 2026 at 10:53 AM
Recent talk recorded with slides.
Available at: climateuncensored.com/a-velvet-or-...
The presentation builds on and expands my short contribution to last November’s National Emergency Briefing. climateuncensored.com/national-eme...
Duration: 50-minute talk followed by a 30-minute Q&A.
Available at: climateuncensored.com/a-velvet-or-...
The presentation builds on and expands my short contribution to last November’s National Emergency Briefing. climateuncensored.com/national-eme...
Duration: 50-minute talk followed by a 30-minute Q&A.
🎵
Did they get you to trade
Your heroes for ghosts
Hot ashes for trees
Hot air for a cool breeze
Cold comfort for change?
Did you exchange
A walk on part in the war
For a lead role in a cage?
🎵
Did they get you to trade
Your heroes for ghosts
Hot ashes for trees
Hot air for a cool breeze
Cold comfort for change?
Did you exchange
A walk on part in the war
For a lead role in a cage?
🎵
this is excellent, and broadly relevant well outside of environmentalism open.substack.com/pub/drlennec...
I Said Environmentalism Was Out of Ideas. I Was Wrong. It's Worse.
How the people fighting for the planet lost touch with the people living on it
open.substack.com
February 10, 2026 at 9:07 PM
🎵
Did they get you to trade
Your heroes for ghosts
Hot ashes for trees
Hot air for a cool breeze
Cold comfort for change?
Did you exchange
A walk on part in the war
For a lead role in a cage?
🎵
Did they get you to trade
Your heroes for ghosts
Hot ashes for trees
Hot air for a cool breeze
Cold comfort for change?
Did you exchange
A walk on part in the war
For a lead role in a cage?
🎵
"Over time, the [environmental] movement reorganized itself around professional legitimacy, institutional survival, and elite comfort. Risk became something to manage away. Process replaced power. Consensus replaced urgency."
drlennecefer.substack.com/p/i-said-env...
drlennecefer.substack.com/p/i-said-env...
I Said Environmentalism Was Out of Ideas. I Was Wrong. It's Worse.
How the people fighting for the planet lost touch with the people living on it
drlennecefer.substack.com
February 10, 2026 at 8:48 PM
"Over time, the [environmental] movement reorganized itself around professional legitimacy, institutional survival, and elite comfort. Risk became something to manage away. Process replaced power. Consensus replaced urgency."
drlennecefer.substack.com/p/i-said-env...
drlennecefer.substack.com/p/i-said-env...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
China — China! — has signed off on a report that warns focusing on unchecked economic growth is contributing to the destruction of global biodiversity.
subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene...
subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene...
E&E News: Obsession with growth is destroying nature, 150 countries warn
China, India and EU countries were among the signatories of a report that criticized the prevailing measures of economic success.
subscriber.politicopro.com
February 9, 2026 at 10:34 PM
China — China! — has signed off on a report that warns focusing on unchecked economic growth is contributing to the destruction of global biodiversity.
subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene...
subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene...
Something like a million euros per house. Not to save them, but to postpone their destruction for a few decades. The seas will rise up to 2m over the next 75 years, so this is just the beginning of the beginning.
www.irishtimes.com/environment/...
www.irishtimes.com/environment/...
New form of sea defence set to save dozens of family homes on Dublin coast
‘I was here a few years ago with a woman who was crying because her house was gone,’ says Fingal Mayor
www.irishtimes.com
February 9, 2026 at 8:58 PM
Something like a million euros per house. Not to save them, but to postpone their destruction for a few decades. The seas will rise up to 2m over the next 75 years, so this is just the beginning of the beginning.
www.irishtimes.com/environment/...
www.irishtimes.com/environment/...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
And here ist IAE photovoltaic scenario vs historical development.
Wikipedia -> IAE -> critics
Wikipedia -> IAE -> critics
February 8, 2026 at 9:14 PM
And here ist IAE photovoltaic scenario vs historical development.
Wikipedia -> IAE -> critics
Wikipedia -> IAE -> critics
Reposted by Graham Caswell
"We're for the jobs the comet will bring..." #DontLookUp
February 8, 2026 at 9:54 AM
"We're for the jobs the comet will bring..." #DontLookUp
Reposted by Graham Caswell
There are still many millions of Russians who are heart-broken at what their country has become and at what it is doing.
And there are many more millions in the west (including Finland) who are incurious, ignorant, apathetic and apolitical, and who would docilely accept warmongering nationalism.
And there are many more millions in the west (including Finland) who are incurious, ignorant, apathetic and apolitical, and who would docilely accept warmongering nationalism.
February 6, 2026 at 9:55 AM
There are still many millions of Russians who are heart-broken at what their country has become and at what it is doing.
And there are many more millions in the west (including Finland) who are incurious, ignorant, apathetic and apolitical, and who would docilely accept warmongering nationalism.
And there are many more millions in the west (including Finland) who are incurious, ignorant, apathetic and apolitical, and who would docilely accept warmongering nationalism.
The most important climate work is the hardest to fund - and not just in the US.
Oil industry lobbyists and communicators, on the other hand, are very well funded.
Oil industry lobbyists and communicators, on the other hand, are very well funded.
This is incredibly sad news, @climategenorg.bsky.social 😰
My own small outreach budget ran dry six months ago, and I’ve had to radically rethink how I keep doing this work myself.
While many issues factor into funding, there’s no question it’s a hard, hard moment for climate action in the U.S. 💔
My own small outreach budget ran dry six months ago, and I’ve had to radically rethink how I keep doing this work myself.
While many issues factor into funding, there’s no question it’s a hard, hard moment for climate action in the U.S. 💔
We know this news may bring disappointment, sadness, or questions. Climate Generation has always been about collective action and shared responsibility. That spirit continues now, even as this chapter comes to a close.
prod.cdn.everyaction.com
February 5, 2026 at 8:47 PM
The most important climate work is the hardest to fund - and not just in the US.
Oil industry lobbyists and communicators, on the other hand, are very well funded.
Oil industry lobbyists and communicators, on the other hand, are very well funded.
Reposted by Graham Caswell
- Climate damage is structural, not marginal
- Extremes – not averages – define the future
- GDP hides climate costs
- Climate damage is cumulative, interactive and reinforcing
- Uncertainty is increasing
- Economic modelling can't handle tipping points
greenfuturessolutions.com/news/recalib...
- Extremes – not averages – define the future
- GDP hides climate costs
- Climate damage is cumulative, interactive and reinforcing
- Uncertainty is increasing
- Economic modelling can't handle tipping points
greenfuturessolutions.com/news/recalib...
Recalibrating Climate Risk: New report urges governments and investors to fix 'faulty radar' in climate damage models | Green Futures Solutions
The Recalibrating Climate Risk report explains why economic models are increasingly understating climate risks as the world moves towards 2°C.
greenfuturessolutions.com
February 5, 2026 at 11:11 AM
- Climate damage is structural, not marginal
- Extremes – not averages – define the future
- GDP hides climate costs
- Climate damage is cumulative, interactive and reinforcing
- Uncertainty is increasing
- Economic modelling can't handle tipping points
greenfuturessolutions.com/news/recalib...
- Extremes – not averages – define the future
- GDP hides climate costs
- Climate damage is cumulative, interactive and reinforcing
- Uncertainty is increasing
- Economic modelling can't handle tipping points
greenfuturessolutions.com/news/recalib...
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Sir Ian McKellen performing a monologue from Shakespeare’s Sir Thomas More on the Stephen Colbert show. Never have I heard this monologue performed with such a keen sense of prescience. Nor have I ever been in this exact historical moment.TY Sir Ian, for reaching us once again.
#Pinks #ProudBlue
#Pinks #ProudBlue
February 5, 2026 at 11:50 AM
Sir Ian McKellen performing a monologue from Shakespeare’s Sir Thomas More on the Stephen Colbert show. Never have I heard this monologue performed with such a keen sense of prescience. Nor have I ever been in this exact historical moment.TY Sir Ian, for reaching us once again.
#Pinks #ProudBlue
#Pinks #ProudBlue
Reposted by Graham Caswell
For my take on where we are headed, based upon looking back at a changing climate across the 4.6 billion-year geological record, you might like to take a look at my forthcoming book
Out May 21st
Out May 21st
February 5, 2026 at 9:44 AM
For my take on where we are headed, based upon looking back at a changing climate across the 4.6 billion-year geological record, you might like to take a look at my forthcoming book
Out May 21st
Out May 21st
- Climate damage is structural, not marginal
- Extremes – not averages – define the future
- GDP hides climate costs
- Climate damage is cumulative, interactive and reinforcing
- Uncertainty is increasing
- Economic modelling can't handle tipping points
greenfuturessolutions.com/news/recalib...
- Extremes – not averages – define the future
- GDP hides climate costs
- Climate damage is cumulative, interactive and reinforcing
- Uncertainty is increasing
- Economic modelling can't handle tipping points
greenfuturessolutions.com/news/recalib...
Recalibrating Climate Risk: New report urges governments and investors to fix 'faulty radar' in climate damage models | Green Futures Solutions
The Recalibrating Climate Risk report explains why economic models are increasingly understating climate risks as the world moves towards 2°C.
greenfuturessolutions.com
February 5, 2026 at 11:11 AM
- Climate damage is structural, not marginal
- Extremes – not averages – define the future
- GDP hides climate costs
- Climate damage is cumulative, interactive and reinforcing
- Uncertainty is increasing
- Economic modelling can't handle tipping points
greenfuturessolutions.com/news/recalib...
- Extremes – not averages – define the future
- GDP hides climate costs
- Climate damage is cumulative, interactive and reinforcing
- Uncertainty is increasing
- Economic modelling can't handle tipping points
greenfuturessolutions.com/news/recalib...
Excellent so-called 'debate' between science and evidence on one hand, and ignorant, reactionary gobshitery on the other. Also a masterclass in patience and composure!
In and around Deputy Fitzmaurice blowing a gasket live on-air, I did manage to squeeze in a few points relating to #flooding and nature-based solutions last night.
February 4, 2026 at 3:39 PM
Excellent so-called 'debate' between science and evidence on one hand, and ignorant, reactionary gobshitery on the other. Also a masterclass in patience and composure!
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Since Zuckerberg used the phrase "destroys the planet," here's a great snippet of George Marshall talking about his friend Mayer Hillman.
Hillman wrote a book called "How to Save the Planet," and he once brought climate change up at a dinner party of well-educated ppl: youtu.be/b-eC6adEYNE
Hillman wrote a book called "How to Save the Planet," and he once brought climate change up at a dinner party of well-educated ppl: youtu.be/b-eC6adEYNE
George Marshall
YouTube video by City Atlas
youtu.be
February 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM
Since Zuckerberg used the phrase "destroys the planet," here's a great snippet of George Marshall talking about his friend Mayer Hillman.
Hillman wrote a book called "How to Save the Planet," and he once brought climate change up at a dinner party of well-educated ppl: youtu.be/b-eC6adEYNE
Hillman wrote a book called "How to Save the Planet," and he once brought climate change up at a dinner party of well-educated ppl: youtu.be/b-eC6adEYNE
Reposted by Graham Caswell
"Long-term warming... up to and including 2024 stands at
1.40°C, and underlying human-caused warming at 1.34°C."
"In IPCC language this means it was 'very unlikely' that human-induced warming had exceeded 1.5°C."
1.40°C, and underlying human-caused warming at 1.34°C."
"In IPCC language this means it was 'very unlikely' that human-induced warming had exceeded 1.5°C."
New discussion paper just dropped that’s taken shall we say a little work to get this far … essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es... please be kind. Not on an at all sensitive topic in the slightest.
How well can we quantify when 1.5 °C of global warming has been exceeded?
Abstract. Parties to the 2015 Paris Agreement agreed to limit the long-term increase in global average temperature to well below 2 °C and pursue efforts to keep temperatures below 1.5 °C relative to p...
essd.copernicus.org
January 28, 2026 at 12:49 PM
"Long-term warming... up to and including 2024 stands at
1.40°C, and underlying human-caused warming at 1.34°C."
"In IPCC language this means it was 'very unlikely' that human-induced warming had exceeded 1.5°C."
1.40°C, and underlying human-caused warming at 1.34°C."
"In IPCC language this means it was 'very unlikely' that human-induced warming had exceeded 1.5°C."
Reposted by Graham Caswell
Whilst US attacks on Greenland's sovereignty are creating dangerous geopolitical instability, the island's ice is rewriting the rules of global climate. New evidence shows it is no longer just a victim of warming, but an active participant in it.
drtomharris.substack.com/p/the-unstab...
#Greenland
drtomharris.substack.com/p/the-unstab...
#Greenland
The Unstable Giant: New Evidence of Greenland’s Fragile Future
Whilst US attacks on Greenland’s sovereignty create geopolitical instability, the island’s ice is rewriting the rules of global climate. No longer just a victim of warming, its an active participant.
drtomharris.substack.com
January 28, 2026 at 9:22 AM
Whilst US attacks on Greenland's sovereignty are creating dangerous geopolitical instability, the island's ice is rewriting the rules of global climate. New evidence shows it is no longer just a victim of warming, but an active participant in it.
drtomharris.substack.com/p/the-unstab...
#Greenland
drtomharris.substack.com/p/the-unstab...
#Greenland
Reposted by Graham Caswell
There's a predictable approach to denial that we're already seeing, which I call the Four Pillars of Disordered Doubt, which allows actors to constantly question evidence that don't fit their preferred narratives.
January 27, 2026 at 12:10 PM
There's a predictable approach to denial that we're already seeing, which I call the Four Pillars of Disordered Doubt, which allows actors to constantly question evidence that don't fit their preferred narratives.