Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
@flanagg21.bsky.social
The Quantum revolution is coming. The Bourgeoisie shall subsume the proletariat and bring utopia. Democrat, YIMBY, Jewish, Zionist, and unapologetic Globalist. Russia Delenda Est. I repost a lot.
Pinned
Friendly reminder Zionism is the Jewish civil rights movement. If it would be racist to say it about the black panthers, Malcom X, or MLK, it is racist to say it about Zionism.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
14% swing from 2024 when all is said and done? Pretty good considering just how high-profile the race became in the last week
Turnout is currently *93%* of 2022, and it's also a 14% swing from 2022 despite similar turnout levels
Turnout is currently *93%* of 2022, and it's also a 14% swing from 2022 despite similar turnout levels
December 3, 2025 at 2:46 AM
14% swing from 2024 when all is said and done? Pretty good considering just how high-profile the race became in the last week
Turnout is currently *93%* of 2022, and it's also a 14% swing from 2022 despite similar turnout levels
Turnout is currently *93%* of 2022, and it's also a 14% swing from 2022 despite similar turnout levels
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
14% national swing is the exact kind of shit that starts knocking over reach senate seats like dominoes
14% swing from 2024 when all is said and done? Pretty good considering just how high-profile the race became in the last week
Turnout is currently *93%* of 2022, and it's also a 14% swing from 2022 despite similar turnout levels
Turnout is currently *93%* of 2022, and it's also a 14% swing from 2022 despite similar turnout levels
December 3, 2025 at 2:48 AM
14% national swing is the exact kind of shit that starts knocking over reach senate seats like dominoes
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
Anyone who is dooming about this simply does not have the appropriate psychological disposition to safely use social media.
December 3, 2025 at 2:33 AM
Anyone who is dooming about this simply does not have the appropriate psychological disposition to safely use social media.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
If you're a Tennessee Republican looking at these results in #TN07, you gotta be scared for #TN05 next year.
Republican incumbent who's not really raising any money, Democratic opponent who's raised nearly $1 million already, AND it's a district that's 10% bluer than TN-07.
Republican incumbent who's not really raising any money, Democratic opponent who's raised nearly $1 million already, AND it's a district that's 10% bluer than TN-07.
December 3, 2025 at 1:40 AM
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
Buddy, I gotta tell you, if I was a GOP representative, my ass would not feel comfortable watching a 15-point swing in a deeply red district ahead of a midterm where the President has been behaving erratically while consistently growing more historically unpopular.
December 3, 2025 at 2:32 AM
Buddy, I gotta tell you, if I was a GOP representative, my ass would not feel comfortable watching a 15-point swing in a deeply red district ahead of a midterm where the President has been behaving erratically while consistently growing more historically unpopular.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
This sort of margin is the sound of the GOP majority dying, their political patrons running for cover, many of their minions becoming paralyzed with fear of what a future Dem government might do to them if they break the law for Dear Leader.
I swear to fucking god if I see any of you bummed at a single digit loss in a Trump +22 district
December 3, 2025 at 2:27 AM
This sort of margin is the sound of the GOP majority dying, their political patrons running for cover, many of their minions becoming paralyzed with fear of what a future Dem government might do to them if they break the law for Dear Leader.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
a) run candidates in every damned district.
b) districts that were Trump +25 are meaningfully in play and they won't be able to fight for all of them all at once.
c) they're diluting their OWN districts b/c of gerrymandering.
d) being aggressively liberal is not a downside even in R+25 districts.
b) districts that were Trump +25 are meaningfully in play and they won't be able to fight for all of them all at once.
c) they're diluting their OWN districts b/c of gerrymandering.
d) being aggressively liberal is not a downside even in R+25 districts.
December 3, 2025 at 2:21 AM
a) run candidates in every damned district.
b) districts that were Trump +25 are meaningfully in play and they won't be able to fight for all of them all at once.
c) they're diluting their OWN districts b/c of gerrymandering.
d) being aggressively liberal is not a downside even in R+25 districts.
b) districts that were Trump +25 are meaningfully in play and they won't be able to fight for all of them all at once.
c) they're diluting their OWN districts b/c of gerrymandering.
d) being aggressively liberal is not a downside even in R+25 districts.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
There is no money in the world to cover EVERY R+12 seat or less in a last minute resource dump in Nov 2026
December 3, 2025 at 2:20 AM
There is no money in the world to cover EVERY R+12 seat or less in a last minute resource dump in Nov 2026
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
And Dear Leader is nowhere near done making himself and his groupies unpopular.
ok so premature thoughts:
1. this turnout environment was more similar to a regular midterm just due to how nationalized this was
2. that type of turnout dynamic produces D+10-15 overperformances
3. while it is definitely not enough to win TN-07, there are 25-35 districts where that IS enough
1. this turnout environment was more similar to a regular midterm just due to how nationalized this was
2. that type of turnout dynamic produces D+10-15 overperformances
3. while it is definitely not enough to win TN-07, there are 25-35 districts where that IS enough
December 3, 2025 at 2:15 AM
And Dear Leader is nowhere near done making himself and his groupies unpopular.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
just ask yourself, as a democrat, how you would feel if AOC only managed to win by 5 points in an off-year election under a new democratic president
yeah if these are the kinds of political swings we're getting in Trump country the Republicans are beyond screwed for the midterms
December 3, 2025 at 2:18 AM
just ask yourself, as a democrat, how you would feel if AOC only managed to win by 5 points in an off-year election under a new democratic president
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
TN07 is a story about gerrymandering: the GOP cracked Nashville into 3 districts when it redrew the 2022 map, destroying the Dem seat there.
Fast-forward: a section of Nashville, which just 5 years ago had a Dem representative, is now voting Dem by huge margins but it's been designed to not matter.
Fast-forward: a section of Nashville, which just 5 years ago had a Dem representative, is now voting Dem by huge margins but it's been designed to not matter.
December 3, 2025 at 2:14 AM
TN07 is a story about gerrymandering: the GOP cracked Nashville into 3 districts when it redrew the 2022 map, destroying the Dem seat there.
Fast-forward: a section of Nashville, which just 5 years ago had a Dem representative, is now voting Dem by huge margins but it's been designed to not matter.
Fast-forward: a section of Nashville, which just 5 years ago had a Dem representative, is now voting Dem by huge margins but it's been designed to not matter.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
Do you believe in Amerimaidan now, my fellow Dem voters?
And this is a year out! GOP have all of 2026 for this to get even worse for them!
December 3, 2025 at 2:09 AM
Do you believe in Amerimaidan now, my fellow Dem voters?
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
An 18-point shift from 2024 would put every district on the newly proposed Indiana map into play.
December 3, 2025 at 1:28 AM
An 18-point shift from 2024 would put every district on the newly proposed Indiana map into play.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
longing once again for a world where more people are capable of grasping complex and inscrutable concepts like “it’s still really really good for Democrats if they *lose* by a much smaller margin than expected in Tennessee”
December 3, 2025 at 1:58 AM
longing once again for a world where more people are capable of grasping complex and inscrutable concepts like “it’s still really really good for Democrats if they *lose* by a much smaller margin than expected in Tennessee”
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
We're in "election day turnout dynamics will decide this" territory
Behn leads Davidson EV by 70(!)
December 3, 2025 at 1:34 AM
We're in "election day turnout dynamics will decide this" territory
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
First NYT estimate is R+3 lol
December 3, 2025 at 1:12 AM
First NYT estimate is R+3 lol
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
Here’s my #TN07 ‘margin take’ for tonight in this Trump+22 district as it relates to 2026.
I broke it down into 6 categories:
GOP+20 or ⬆️: Great for GOP
GOP+15-20: Decent for GOP
GOP+10-15: GOP will get very nervous
GOP+5-10: 🚨 🚨 🚨
GOP+0-5: EARTHQUAKE!
Dem win: ELE (Extinction-level event)
I broke it down into 6 categories:
GOP+20 or ⬆️: Great for GOP
GOP+15-20: Decent for GOP
GOP+10-15: GOP will get very nervous
GOP+5-10: 🚨 🚨 🚨
GOP+0-5: EARTHQUAKE!
Dem win: ELE (Extinction-level event)
December 2, 2025 at 8:48 PM
Here’s my #TN07 ‘margin take’ for tonight in this Trump+22 district as it relates to 2026.
I broke it down into 6 categories:
GOP+20 or ⬆️: Great for GOP
GOP+15-20: Decent for GOP
GOP+10-15: GOP will get very nervous
GOP+5-10: 🚨 🚨 🚨
GOP+0-5: EARTHQUAKE!
Dem win: ELE (Extinction-level event)
I broke it down into 6 categories:
GOP+20 or ⬆️: Great for GOP
GOP+15-20: Decent for GOP
GOP+10-15: GOP will get very nervous
GOP+5-10: 🚨 🚨 🚨
GOP+0-5: EARTHQUAKE!
Dem win: ELE (Extinction-level event)
Highly unpopular opinion but the list of countries that has put more effort into minimizing enemy civilian casualties than the USA is a list of names that is at most 1 name long.
The US gives a fuck about enemy or occupied civilians, much more than any other active great power in history.
It tries very hard not to kill them without damn good reason.
It tries very hard not to kill them without damn good reason.
One instructive comparison here is ironically the GWOT.
But even the most pessimistic estimates ("Costs of War", which has *huge* methodological issues) puts the toll over 22 years across the Middle East at 940,000. Compared to 2 million dead in 10 years of Soviet occupation of just Afghanistan.
But even the most pessimistic estimates ("Costs of War", which has *huge* methodological issues) puts the toll over 22 years across the Middle East at 940,000. Compared to 2 million dead in 10 years of Soviet occupation of just Afghanistan.
December 2, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Highly unpopular opinion but the list of countries that has put more effort into minimizing enemy civilian casualties than the USA is a list of names that is at most 1 name long.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
First this administration engages in all sorts of misdirection about the second strike on the boat.
Now they’ve just decided to try and pin it on an admiral to save Pete Hegseth’s job.
It’s repulsive to see tough-guy Hegseth scamper for cover. He should resign.
Now they’ve just decided to try and pin it on an admiral to save Pete Hegseth’s job.
It’s repulsive to see tough-guy Hegseth scamper for cover. He should resign.
December 2, 2025 at 6:02 PM
First this administration engages in all sorts of misdirection about the second strike on the boat.
Now they’ve just decided to try and pin it on an admiral to save Pete Hegseth’s job.
It’s repulsive to see tough-guy Hegseth scamper for cover. He should resign.
Now they’ve just decided to try and pin it on an admiral to save Pete Hegseth’s job.
It’s repulsive to see tough-guy Hegseth scamper for cover. He should resign.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
Tennessee: Today is the day!
If you live in TN-07, cast your vote for @aftynbehn.bsky.social now until 7PM. Go to IWillVote.com for more info.
If you live in TN-07, cast your vote for @aftynbehn.bsky.social now until 7PM. Go to IWillVote.com for more info.
December 2, 2025 at 3:15 PM
Tennessee: Today is the day!
If you live in TN-07, cast your vote for @aftynbehn.bsky.social now until 7PM. Go to IWillVote.com for more info.
If you live in TN-07, cast your vote for @aftynbehn.bsky.social now until 7PM. Go to IWillVote.com for more info.
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
i know sometimes i frame things in an overly geopolitical way. but these are, fundamentally, life and death issues, with a real human cost that should not be missed. trump is killing people. rfk is killing people. doge is killing people, and its mindless rampage will rack up casualties for years
"This is more than just an issue of American scientific dominance or the noble pursuit of knowledge; it is a matter of life and death for millions of people around the world, especially those with life-threatening genetic predispositions and disabilities." www.liberalcurrents.com/medical-rese...
Medical Research is a Life and Death Issue
The casualties of the war on research will mount for years.
www.liberalcurrents.com
December 2, 2025 at 1:36 PM
i know sometimes i frame things in an overly geopolitical way. but these are, fundamentally, life and death issues, with a real human cost that should not be missed. trump is killing people. rfk is killing people. doge is killing people, and its mindless rampage will rack up casualties for years
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
we should probably be calling our Democratic reps like we did during the shutdown to respectfully ask them to make sure to prosecute hegseth and other military officials, to show that the base wants and will reward threatening prosecution
December 2, 2025 at 1:15 AM
we should probably be calling our Democratic reps like we did during the shutdown to respectfully ask them to make sure to prosecute hegseth and other military officials, to show that the base wants and will reward threatening prosecution
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
the professional class, with good reason to think we are correct: Trump is coming for us as a class
trump: let's make sure that we also come for everyone else too
trump: let's make sure that we also come for everyone else too
The U.S. Transportation Department is threatening to shut down thousands of truck driving schools, part of the Trump administration's widening crackdown on industry.
Thousands of U.S. trucking schools could lose accreditation under DOT crackdown
The U.S. Transportation Department is threatening to shut down thousands of truck driving schools, part of the Trump administration's widening crackdown on industry.
n.pr
December 1, 2025 at 11:23 PM
the professional class, with good reason to think we are correct: Trump is coming for us as a class
trump: let's make sure that we also come for everyone else too
trump: let's make sure that we also come for everyone else too
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
Let’s cause a political earthquake tomorrow!! #TN07
We need to get everyone out.
The special election in Tennessee’s 7th District will come down to what groups are motivated to turnout on election day, and who stays home…
We need to get everyone out.
The special election in Tennessee’s 7th District will come down to what groups are motivated to turnout on election day, and who stays home…
December 1, 2025 at 8:53 PM
Let’s cause a political earthquake tomorrow!! #TN07
We need to get everyone out.
The special election in Tennessee’s 7th District will come down to what groups are motivated to turnout on election day, and who stays home…
We need to get everyone out.
The special election in Tennessee’s 7th District will come down to what groups are motivated to turnout on election day, and who stays home…
Reposted by Galen Flanagan 🎗️✡️ 🇺🇦 🇮🇱
I wondered why replies chastised me for calling the boat strikes war crimes, saying I'm helping Trump when I do, as if "war crime" is positive.
Then I remembered some use "war crime" to mean "foreign policy I don't like," rather than "use of military force in violation of the laws of armed combat."
Then I remembered some use "war crime" to mean "foreign policy I don't like," rather than "use of military force in violation of the laws of armed combat."
December 1, 2025 at 3:43 PM
I wondered why replies chastised me for calling the boat strikes war crimes, saying I'm helping Trump when I do, as if "war crime" is positive.
Then I remembered some use "war crime" to mean "foreign policy I don't like," rather than "use of military force in violation of the laws of armed combat."
Then I remembered some use "war crime" to mean "foreign policy I don't like," rather than "use of military force in violation of the laws of armed combat."