Federica Genovese
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fgenovese.bsky.social
Federica Genovese
@fgenovese.bsky.social

Political scientist at University of Oxford • Leverhulme Trust awardee • cross-national policy, political economy, politics of climate and crises • mom of 2 • she/her

https://www.federica-genovese.com/

Economics 37%
Political science 33%

The short run was pretty bleak too 😢

bsky.app/profile/fgen...
🚨 WP w/ @acalacino.bsky.social & @hayleypring.bsky.social

It’s been a turbulent decade of globalization backlash. Populist projects wanna take back control everywhere.

Focusing on the case of oil and Brexit, we offer a story of the danger of this narrative and concrete merits of multilateralism: 🧵

most bad things would expire at some point — or at least the irresponsible lending together with rising household debt and ineffective regulation of the 2008-09 years eventually expired and the country could make a turn.

Brexit, instead, unexpirable (sigh)

I often think about this paper of yours!

Reposted by Federica Genovese

Indeed! Let me add that Brexit has led to levelling up by levelling down and this has -- if anything -- benefitted right-wing populists.
brexitcost.org/brexitcost.pdf
During the Great Recession (2008-09) UK GDP fell by 6%. Thankfully, it mostly recovered after 5 years.

Since Brexit referendum (2016) UK GDP has fallen between 6% and 8%. Unclear whether and when it will fully recover.

www.nber.org/papers/w3445...
The Economic Impact of Brexit
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org

Me and @antvalentim.bsky.social today: 🤩

Us next week: 💀

yes. World leadership models come in many different flavours (some genuine leaderships do not work for many/the most/the world). Democratic countries should learn to distinguish which models work best for them without replicating blindly what they see around

bsky.app/profile/fgen...
It angers me that Europe was capable of very quickly replicating the Chinese lockdown and far from learning anything from the Chinese energy transition.

Crises come in different flavors; you should learn from them holistically.

the Chinese have unlocked incredible frontiers for the climate mitigation supply side of things (EVs, PVs), but they have also the most cynical “fashion” retailers, and now France wants to explore how to regulate them.

www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/....
Shein: France considers new tax on small packages as latest weapon against Chinese online retailers
The French government plans to introduce a €2 levy on every item arriving from a non-European country, with lawmakers set to debate the proposal from November 12. France would be the first country to ...
www.lemonde.fr

my best work on weekend mornings

My old pal Pete Coviello — one of the best writers and thinkers I've ever known — wrote the piece of the moment

lithub.com/maybe-dont-t...
Maybe Don’t Talk to the New York Times About Zohran Mamdani
It’s remarkable, the people you’ll hear from. Teach for even a little while at an expensive institution—the term they tend to prefer is “elite”—and odds are that eventually someone who was a studen…
lithub.com

“Whether he will succeed is hotly debated. The specter of a flight of the wealthy is just a right-wing blah-blah. The danger, I fear, lies elsewhere. One is that Trump will do everything possible to hurt NYC. The second is that Mamdani will fumble facing some unexpected crisis. But if he succeeds?”

exquisite takes, as usual

Reposted by Federica Genovese

Musings 3: on municipal socialism, on worldwide surveys on democracy. adamprzeworski.substack.com/p/musings-3
Musings 3
Municipal Socialism
adamprzeworski.substack.com

(for the record, I am too concerned with some versions of cheerleading I am seeing around China’s energy politics and worried about how people are connecting this to climate policy leadership)

so much subtext! 🔥😅
The righteous spirits of Kwame Nkrumah, Harriet Tubman, and Toussaint L'Ouverture surged through me as I sheepishly explained to the Italian border control bag search agents that it's a comb, for my hair <gestures hairwards>

… because Trump does not even believe his own narrative that the US needs no one else but itself in the world.

That said, it will be an interesting test to see if the world believes they can have a serious convo without the US in the room.

they certainly will…

Reposted by Fabrizio Coticchia

In case this got lost, reminder that at COP30 the United States is not sending any high level representatives, and apparently no technical staff either, for the first time in 30 years.

It is still the land that birthed Salvini.
If Musk meets all the benchmarks of his new $1 trillion pay package from Tesla he will be paid $274 MILLION EVERY DAY FOR THE NEXT 10 YEARS

This is his part-time job

Sure, in my mind that is what the “~minimal” stands for. yes you will have the potential for some cultural war, but it is far from being as stupid as in the US

flash memory of this guy (back then junior prof, now full prof in Europe) having coffee with my partner one day and pretty much going through each of the claims in this thread.

Fun and possibly good news: to this day, my partner is still more jarred by that convo than I was when he told me abt it.
A List of Things Said to Have Been Ruined by Women

🧵

This ofc does not mean BYD is going to produce cars anytime soon in Italy (these pieces will go to the factories in Hungary), but it means further meaningful penetration in Europe.

Btw in the Italian EV market, BYD right now has a market share of roughly 10%, up 4-5 percentage points from 2024…

You’ve got to really give it to the Chinese:

their negotiators in Italy have been a former senior executive at Fiat (now BYD's European advisor) and a former Stellantis executive (who is now responsible for BYD in Italy).

Italians have an emotional relationship with manufacturing and 💯 want to see the ex Stellantis labour and providers at work.

Energy cultural wars are also ~minimal; Italy loves automobiles but there‘s nothing emotional re ICE vs EV. EV = fashion.

This is all to say: easy ground for BYD to enter.

Reposted by Jonathan Hopkin

BYD, not fully invested in 🇪🇺, turns to Italy and is ready to ingest local component producers that used to supply ex-Fiat/Stellantis. 85 specialized firms in Turin alone have already signed contracts with BYD.

Clearly a transition that could have been home-made is happening via Chinese leadership.
BYD ha puntato le aziende mollate da Stellantis - Il Post
La società cinese ne ha trovate 85 nella zona di Torino disposte a fornire componenti per le sue auto elettriche
www.ilpost.it
A List of Things Said to Have Been Ruined by Women

🧵