Steven V. Miller
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svmiller.com
Steven V. Miller
@svmiller.com

Political scientist in an EH/IR department. Cat lady. Does parlor tricks in #rstats. Both over-caffeinated and under-caffeinated. Speaks terrible Swedish.

Political science 78%
Engineering 6%
i’m kind of amazed at how this is just the crudest, most obvious n****rbaiting you can imagine. “the people you don’t like, yeah, they are responsible for everything bad.” and it works!

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lol, and who the fuck is this?

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This excuse didn't work in Nuremberg.
We only know this man is in Gitmo because Noem tweeted a propaganda photo that included him and his sister saw it. He has no criminal record. He entered the US in January and immediately made an appointment with CBP to claim asylum. They sent him to a concentration camp bc of his basketball tattoo.
Venezuelan Migrant Sent to Guantánamo Bay Is ‘Not a Criminal,’ Family Pleads (Gift Article)
Luis Alberto Castillo arrived in the United States so that he could “give everything to his son,” said his sister. Then, while scrolling on TikTok, she found out he was headed to Guantánamo.
www.nytimes.com

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Here's the acting head of FEMA just unliterally deciding that Article I is fake earlier today. The Constitution is not in effect.

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WSJ, last 48 hours:
Impact of NIH cut starting to sink in

Here's Sen. Katie Britt urging "a smart, targeted approach" in order to protect important research at UA-Birmingham, a top NIH recipient

Also, as article notes, the state's largest employer

www.al.com/news/2025/02...
Katie Britt vows to work with RFK Jr. after NIH funding cuts cause concern in Alabama
UAB and UAH are among Alabama institutions that could be affected by cuts.
www.al.com
DOGE plans to slash about as much ($4B) from NIH, and hence from universities and medical centers, as the government gave SpaceX ($3.8B) last year.

It's not about the money and government "waste."

It's never been about the money or government "waste."

www.usatoday.com/story/money/...
Elon Musk wants to cut government spending. Tesla and SpaceX benefit from it
Over the last 16 years, Musk's business deals with the government total nearly $20 billion, according to federal contracting data.
www.usatoday.com

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If Sullivan goes, every billionaire with a bruised ego gets a legal kill switch for journalism. Hope you like your news pre-approved by the people it’s supposed to hold accountable.

Trying to get my groove back :/

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The latest from Hegseth.

In my experience, the students at our service academies are perfectly capable of loving their country without being fed a syrupy, agitprop version of their nation’s history. Let’s give them that much credit. Are we seriously afraid they’ll secretly go Commie?

The only group for whom this is sustainable is the news media establishment who can’t see an emperor BF-naked in front of them.

Bears repeating that this isn’t sustainable. Not for the Canadian/Mexican publics infused with anti-American sentiment or the MAGA faithful who will want Dear Leader to put up or shut up with his signature policy and the manna it rains down from heaven. This equilibrium has a short shelf life.

Trudeau saw what Mexico did and sold Trump the optics of what Canada was already doing.
🚨Trudeau announces Trump agreed to a one month pause on tariffs

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🚨Trudeau announces Trump agreed to a one month pause on tariffs

Don’t worry; they got some teenagers and ChatGPT for the job.
I do not have a source specifically to confirm this, but I’m 100% confident that DOGE does not have a COBOL programmer, let alone someone who could remotely understand these systems.

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I think this is true, but there's an important extension here: Trump doesn't care what Elon is doing.

On some level, that's more troubling than if Trump DID know and was signing off on it.
He has no idea what Elon is doing. He let loose Elon to go wild.
REPORTER: Why is it important for Elon Musk to have access to the payments systems at Treasury?

TRUMP: Well, he's got access only to letting people go that he thinks are no good, and it's only if we agree with him

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why is Elon Musk obsessed with gaining access directly to the systems which approve Treasury payments? and why are they trying so hard to shutter USAID? it's because they think it's the machine that pays the protesters, and they're trying to turn it off.

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Trump signs an executive order to create to start the process of creating an American sovereign wealth fund

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If a U.S. attorney is talking to Musk like this, then he really is the president. “I ask that you utilize me and my staff…”

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Caveats being:

1) we know in the IR literature that leaders horny for a deal are likely prone to take bad deals. That could be a problem for the U.S. for something important.

2) who’s to say target publics in places like Mexico don’t punish their leaders for the optics as this repeats.

I’m sure Trump will eventually figure this out, but world leaders have seen his shtick before and know he’s prone to bite on the optics over the substance.
So, Mexico has agreed to do what it is already doing?
www.reuters.com/article/worl...

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So, Mexico has agreed to do what it is already doing?
www.reuters.com/article/worl...

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The FP of this administration exists to fuck itself over.

>think that spending money on these countries is bad/waste.

>other sources of investment are sought (China)

>complain that this is unacceptable but also refuse to counter with investments.

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49% of Britons support introducing proportional representation, with just 26% backing first past the post

PR: 49%
FPTP: 26%

By party voted for in 2024
Green: 72% PR vs 15% FPTP
Reform UK: 67% vs 20%
Lib Dem: 61% vs 20%
Labour: 53% vs 27%
Conservative: 39% vs 42%

yougov.co.uk/politics/art...

I'm teaching a seven-class seminar on challenges to European security cooperation. Any recommendations you'd add? It is kind of a public opinion-forward seminar, but that's because I also want them looking at quantitative stuff.
if I understand American politics correctly, progressivism is something that requires 60 senate votes to work, while national conservatism doesn’t require any votes at all