川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
@nkfinity.bsky.social
Japanese/Chinese ハーフ living in the USA
大田区🇯🇵 X 辽宁🇨🇳 X SF Bay Area🇺🇸
Has a Japanese soul, an American brain, and a Chinese stomach.
Born in Japan, roots for Japan in the Olympics🇯🇵🎌🇯🇵
Somewhat of an Japan Knower.
Loves history. Radical Qing monarchist?
大田区🇯🇵 X 辽宁🇨🇳 X SF Bay Area🇺🇸
Has a Japanese soul, an American brain, and a Chinese stomach.
Born in Japan, roots for Japan in the Olympics🇯🇵🎌🇯🇵
Somewhat of an Japan Knower.
Loves history. Radical Qing monarchist?
Pinned
My 2026 prediction: Dems win the House.
My 2026 hot take: Dems take the Senate through AK, NC, OH, ME.
My 2028 hit take: Ruben Gallego over Nikki Haley.
My 2026 hot take: Dems take the Senate through AK, NC, OH, ME.
My 2028 hit take: Ruben Gallego over Nikki Haley.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
say what you will about Joe Manchin, but he would at least admit that Trump did shit like this.
I feel like we can just about file Fetterman in the "worse than Manchin" category at this point. He is approaching Lieberman territory.
I feel like we can just about file Fetterman in the "worse than Manchin" category at this point. He is approaching Lieberman territory.
“Trump hasn’t defied a single court order” is a wild thing to say
February 16, 2026 at 4:02 AM
say what you will about Joe Manchin, but he would at least admit that Trump did shit like this.
I feel like we can just about file Fetterman in the "worse than Manchin" category at this point. He is approaching Lieberman territory.
I feel like we can just about file Fetterman in the "worse than Manchin" category at this point. He is approaching Lieberman territory.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
The reason people are concerned about lefties saying “I won’t vote for a moderate Dem” isn’t because they want Newsom. It’s because lefties keep not voting for moderate Dems!
I think all the scolding about it being years til the primary would hit a little harder if WE DIDN’T JUST GO THROUGH THIS
I think all the scolding about it being years til the primary would hit a little harder if WE DIDN’T JUST GO THROUGH THIS
February 16, 2026 at 6:24 AM
The reason people are concerned about lefties saying “I won’t vote for a moderate Dem” isn’t because they want Newsom. It’s because lefties keep not voting for moderate Dems!
I think all the scolding about it being years til the primary would hit a little harder if WE DIDN’T JUST GO THROUGH THIS
I think all the scolding about it being years til the primary would hit a little harder if WE DIDN’T JUST GO THROUGH THIS
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
so, if I’m understanding this correctly, the 4chan weirdos behind gamergate were sexist freaks but at the same time, one of the main targets of their harassment is… also a racist freak?
February 16, 2026 at 2:30 AM
so, if I’m understanding this correctly, the 4chan weirdos behind gamergate were sexist freaks but at the same time, one of the main targets of their harassment is… also a racist freak?
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
This is the sort of paragraph that convinces me a person is not just bad at voting but bad at picking romantic partners too.
February 16, 2026 at 2:33 AM
This is the sort of paragraph that convinces me a person is not just bad at voting but bad at picking romantic partners too.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
I will crawl through broken glass to vote against a a Republican bc my life depends on it.
February 16, 2026 at 2:25 AM
I will crawl through broken glass to vote against a a Republican bc my life depends on it.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
the american left has a consumerism problem, part the infinity
I will crawl through broken glass to vote against a a Republican bc my life depends on it.
February 16, 2026 at 3:02 AM
the american left has a consumerism problem, part the infinity
Love walking into a Thai restaurant in rural CA and witnessing a white dude eating the blandest looking Orange Chicken.
February 16, 2026 at 3:02 AM
Love walking into a Thai restaurant in rural CA and witnessing a white dude eating the blandest looking Orange Chicken.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
Like I wonder if JK Rowling becomes transphobic without Twitter
February 16, 2026 at 1:20 AM
Like I wonder if JK Rowling becomes transphobic without Twitter
Every single time a progressive says this to try to justify their politics, they're actually harming the implementation of said progressive politics.
No but for instance the proposition that "the fascist backlash only exists because neoliberalism failed to address material conditions." There was legit reason to believe that in 2016. But it was wrong. Very wrong.
Continuing to assert it is to knowingly lie, and the lies are harmful.
Continuing to assert it is to knowingly lie, and the lies are harmful.
February 16, 2026 at 1:20 AM
Every single time a progressive says this to try to justify their politics, they're actually harming the implementation of said progressive politics.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
There are very few things I believe more strongly than this:
If you orient your politics around things that you know are not true, or don’t care if are true, whether because it sounds good, or you think it’ll impress people, or any other reason, you are planting the seeds of your own destruction.
If you orient your politics around things that you know are not true, or don’t care if are true, whether because it sounds good, or you think it’ll impress people, or any other reason, you are planting the seeds of your own destruction.
February 15, 2026 at 10:07 PM
There are very few things I believe more strongly than this:
If you orient your politics around things that you know are not true, or don’t care if are true, whether because it sounds good, or you think it’ll impress people, or any other reason, you are planting the seeds of your own destruction.
If you orient your politics around things that you know are not true, or don’t care if are true, whether because it sounds good, or you think it’ll impress people, or any other reason, you are planting the seeds of your own destruction.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
Very normal person
February 16, 2026 at 1:08 AM
Very normal person
Because people’s satisfaction fundamentally depends on the gap between the reality and expectations, and expectations change over time. The control isn’t fixed: it changes.
As things progress expectations get baked in so any mild pullback will have a big hit on satisfaction.
As things progress expectations get baked in so any mild pullback will have a big hit on satisfaction.
This is the thing that still bounces around my head.
I think there's a lot to be upset about. But mortgages aren't at 30% and unemployment isn't at 12% and inflation isn't at 10%. So why are we about as upset about that as we are right now?
I think there's a lot to be upset about. But mortgages aren't at 30% and unemployment isn't at 12% and inflation isn't at 10%. So why are we about as upset about that as we are right now?
Like I get people being dissatisfied in 2022 in hard-to-predict ways. But why is 2026 ~Volcker shock equivalent sentiment?
February 16, 2026 at 1:08 AM
Because people’s satisfaction fundamentally depends on the gap between the reality and expectations, and expectations change over time. The control isn’t fixed: it changes.
As things progress expectations get baked in so any mild pullback will have a big hit on satisfaction.
As things progress expectations get baked in so any mild pullback will have a big hit on satisfaction.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
"Nobody dies to defend a multicultural economic zone"
Tbh feels more worth dying for than a made up identity cooked up by some pervert in 1850. Much more real lmfao.
Tbh feels more worth dying for than a made up identity cooked up by some pervert in 1850. Much more real lmfao.
"American culture, with its English-Scotts-Irish origin, is great and worth fighting for."
Has he not heard any American popular music?
Has he not heard any American popular music?
February 16, 2026 at 12:49 AM
"Nobody dies to defend a multicultural economic zone"
Tbh feels more worth dying for than a made up identity cooked up by some pervert in 1850. Much more real lmfao.
Tbh feels more worth dying for than a made up identity cooked up by some pervert in 1850. Much more real lmfao.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
But we didn't have economic stagnation for the working class. We had a period of unusually *high* wage growth for low income workers.
February 15, 2026 at 8:38 PM
But we didn't have economic stagnation for the working class. We had a period of unusually *high* wage growth for low income workers.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
A lot of internet-based microindustries were, alongside the games industry, the hardest-hit sector of the economy by the end of ZIRP that made it easy to raise capital.
"No one can afford to buy games" is one explanation for what's going on in the games industry but it doesn't really explain the rapid contraction. I think more salient factors are:
1. dependency on external investment that has dried up
2. rapidly changing patterns of consumption post-covid
1. dependency on external investment that has dried up
2. rapidly changing patterns of consumption post-covid
February 15, 2026 at 11:04 PM
A lot of internet-based microindustries were, alongside the games industry, the hardest-hit sector of the economy by the end of ZIRP that made it easy to raise capital.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
I don't think I've ever seen gears shift this fast before.
February 15, 2026 at 9:50 PM
I don't think I've ever seen gears shift this fast before.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
So like, this is extremely close to explicitly saying Germans shouldn’t be ashamed of the Third Reich, right?
February 15, 2026 at 10:47 PM
So like, this is extremely close to explicitly saying Germans shouldn’t be ashamed of the Third Reich, right?
I mean Prop 187 is almost 30 years ago now?
It’s almost like Déjà vu.
It’s almost like Déjà vu.
“With…Latinos responding to ICE raids…the districts that Republicans thought were their future a year ago are likely to be their undoing. Hard to find another situation in the past 50 years where a political party has squandered a generational opportunity like this.”
www.politico.com/news/2026/02...
www.politico.com/news/2026/02...
In South Texas, the GOP immigration hard line is now political kryptonite
Texas Republicans bet on continuing to win over Latino voters. Then Trump began his aggressive deportation campaign.
www.politico.com
February 15, 2026 at 10:46 PM
I mean Prop 187 is almost 30 years ago now?
It’s almost like Déjà vu.
It’s almost like Déjà vu.
Absolutely hilarious timing to come out with this article when Dems are absolutely crushing election after election in 2025 and 2026 so far.
February 15, 2026 at 10:42 PM
Absolutely hilarious timing to come out with this article when Dems are absolutely crushing election after election in 2025 and 2026 so far.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
The vibecession was primarily driven by lower sentiment among the upper and middle classes, not the lower classes.
February 15, 2026 at 9:13 PM
The vibecession was primarily driven by lower sentiment among the upper and middle classes, not the lower classes.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
One of my black pill moments was that Biden actually focused on lifting the lowest quartiles up at the expense of the rich and the online left screamed at him about student loan forgiveness.
The vibecession was primarily driven by lower sentiment among the upper and middle classes, not the lower classes.
February 15, 2026 at 10:05 PM
One of my black pill moments was that Biden actually focused on lifting the lowest quartiles up at the expense of the rich and the online left screamed at him about student loan forgiveness.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
people need to understand that, unless you think shutting down DHS (but with ICE/CBP continuing to function through reconciliation funding) is a win, the only legislative wins on the table are ones where Republicans join Dems
Schumer on DHS reforms: "I believe Republicans will have no choice but to go along with us because it's so common sense"
February 15, 2026 at 2:20 PM
people need to understand that, unless you think shutting down DHS (but with ICE/CBP continuing to function through reconciliation funding) is a win, the only legislative wins on the table are ones where Republicans join Dems
I get why she’s saying this, but if you have aspiration for higher office and enacting progressive reforms that actually improve society, you have to do it through a positive, forward thinking messaging, not reactive and negative.
AOC on why Trump returned to office: "when you have economic stagnation, for the working class that, especially in an environment where GDP is growing, that is the stuff of populist movement. The choice is what direction those populist movements can go."
February 15, 2026 at 9:48 PM
I get why she’s saying this, but if you have aspiration for higher office and enacting progressive reforms that actually improve society, you have to do it through a positive, forward thinking messaging, not reactive and negative.
Reposted by 川上信 (Shin Kawakami)🇯🇵🇨🇳🇺🇸
I agree it would be interesting if any populist movement in history did this, and yet?????
"The alternative is a populist movement that tells the truth, a populist movement that says, this is an injustice. You are being screwed over, and that story is not a cultural one, but a class one," which gets a huge pop.
February 15, 2026 at 7:54 PM
I agree it would be interesting if any populist movement in history did this, and yet?????