Israel's geostrategic position is TERRIBLE for its soul. And also for its long-term prospects.
January 29, 2026 at 10:21 PM
Israel's geostrategic position is TERRIBLE for its soul. And also for its long-term prospects.
Occurs to me that if international law is not particularly binding anymore, then Denmark has one very valuable geostrategic asset that it could use asymmetrically
January 26, 2026 at 11:31 AM
Occurs to me that if international law is not particularly binding anymore, then Denmark has one very valuable geostrategic asset that it could use asymmetrically
Yep. If Pine Gap was told to jog on, the US loses about 60% of their information on just under half of the world's population - including their primary geostrategic competitor. *Then* we talk about the basing for reach on top.
January 25, 2026 at 10:30 AM
Yep. If Pine Gap was told to jog on, the US loses about 60% of their information on just under half of the world's population - including their primary geostrategic competitor. *Then* we talk about the basing for reach on top.
Less depth to the India SDP than those signed with ROK and Japan, reflecting the less prominent geostrategic position of India
Note also the minimal meeting arrangements
Note also the minimal meeting arrangements
January 28, 2026 at 7:26 AM
Less depth to the India SDP than those signed with ROK and Japan, reflecting the less prominent geostrategic position of India
Note also the minimal meeting arrangements
Note also the minimal meeting arrangements
Burnham doesn’t convince for the gravity of the geostrategic moment. Rayner feels similarly slight on that score and her negative polling should concern the PLP. No-one knows what Streeting really thinks, other than “I’d be a great PM” and the risk of govt-by-TBI is surely high.
January 25, 2026 at 12:15 PM
Burnham doesn’t convince for the gravity of the geostrategic moment. Rayner feels similarly slight on that score and her negative polling should concern the PLP. No-one knows what Streeting really thinks, other than “I’d be a great PM” and the risk of govt-by-TBI is surely high.
Reason #324 why the clean energy transition is a HUGE geostrategic necessity. (And why Trump's quislings in Europe are opposed to it.)
Fears grow over Europe’s soaring dependence on US gas imports
American LNG was meant to be a safe alternative to Russian gas. That’s no longer a given, with transatlantic relations in crisis
American LNG was meant to be a safe alternative to Russian gas. That’s no longer a given, with transatlantic relations in crisis
Fears grow over Europe’s soaring dependence on US gas imports
American LNG was meant to be a safe alternative to Russian gas. That’s no longer a given, with transatlantic relations in crisis.
www.politico.eu
January 20, 2026 at 11:54 AM
Reason #324 why the clean energy transition is a HUGE geostrategic necessity. (And why Trump's quislings in Europe are opposed to it.)
Germany shutting down its nuclear fleet in the dozen years after Fukushima will go down as one of the worst geostrategic errors in history.
January 22, 2026 at 7:59 AM
Germany shutting down its nuclear fleet in the dozen years after Fukushima will go down as one of the worst geostrategic errors in history.
The first test on the Mercosur deal starts in the Parliament, with MEPs deciding to send it to the CJEU or not.
It will be on a knife-edge, the geopolitical context adding extra pressure.
We'll see if MEPs can walk the talk of EU as a geostrategic actor or if national politics is all that matters.
It will be on a knife-edge, the geopolitical context adding extra pressure.
We'll see if MEPs can walk the talk of EU as a geostrategic actor or if national politics is all that matters.
Undecided lawmakers in the European Parliament will make or break a deal to create the world’s largest free trade area, according to a POLITICO analysis of voting intentions.
By the numbers: Mercosur trade deal splits EU Parliament in half
POLITICO poll of European lawmakers puts landmark deal on knife-edge ahead of key vote on Wednesday.
www.politico.eu
January 21, 2026 at 11:04 AM
The first test on the Mercosur deal starts in the Parliament, with MEPs deciding to send it to the CJEU or not.
It will be on a knife-edge, the geopolitical context adding extra pressure.
We'll see if MEPs can walk the talk of EU as a geostrategic actor or if national politics is all that matters.
It will be on a knife-edge, the geopolitical context adding extra pressure.
We'll see if MEPs can walk the talk of EU as a geostrategic actor or if national politics is all that matters.
If I were a military superpower concerned my geostrategic adversaries might seize Greenland, I think what I'd do is enter into a military alliance with Denmark, and build a base on the island, so there would be no way for an enemy to take the place without starting a war with me they can't win.
January 18, 2026 at 9:50 AM
If I were a military superpower concerned my geostrategic adversaries might seize Greenland, I think what I'd do is enter into a military alliance with Denmark, and build a base on the island, so there would be no way for an enemy to take the place without starting a war with me they can't win.
An excellent demonstration of the enormous commercial and geostrategic advantages that China derives from Trump's decision to bully American allies and impose tariffs.
January 18, 2026 at 3:28 PM
An excellent demonstration of the enormous commercial and geostrategic advantages that China derives from Trump's decision to bully American allies and impose tariffs.
The FT's Janan Ganesh on Brexit:
"In essence, the nation staked its future on trade at the exact historical moment that it fell out of favour as an idea. It is the geostrategic equivalent of investing one’s life savings in a DVD manufacturer circa 2009."
www.ft.com/content/8f22...
"In essence, the nation staked its future on trade at the exact historical moment that it fell out of favour as an idea. It is the geostrategic equivalent of investing one’s life savings in a DVD manufacturer circa 2009."
www.ft.com/content/8f22...
The Tories’ disastrous misunderstanding of America
On trade, the right of British politics couldn’t see that the US is a foreign land
www.ft.com
January 18, 2026 at 8:39 AM
The FT's Janan Ganesh on Brexit:
"In essence, the nation staked its future on trade at the exact historical moment that it fell out of favour as an idea. It is the geostrategic equivalent of investing one’s life savings in a DVD manufacturer circa 2009."
www.ft.com/content/8f22...
"In essence, the nation staked its future on trade at the exact historical moment that it fell out of favour as an idea. It is the geostrategic equivalent of investing one’s life savings in a DVD manufacturer circa 2009."
www.ft.com/content/8f22...
And if the US administration did indeed have geostrategic concerns about Arctic security, why has it decided to deploy the Alaskan airborne division in Minnesota?
About 1,500 soldiers w/ 11th Airborne Division in Alaska have been placed on prepare-to-deploy orders with a mission in Minnesota in mind, defense officials tell me tonight. Unclear if some or all of them ultimately will go.
News reported tonight by ABC News, too.
News reported tonight by ABC News, too.
January 18, 2026 at 7:46 AM
And if the US administration did indeed have geostrategic concerns about Arctic security, why has it decided to deploy the Alaskan airborne division in Minnesota?
The USA alienating the best neighbor a country has ever had is right up there with ceding the future of energy and transportation to a geostrategic rival.
The futility of the GOP’s policy in 10 words.
The futility of the GOP’s policy in 10 words.
Carney opens Canada to Chinese EVs, China cuts canola tariffs
Carney opens Canada to Chinese EVs, China cuts canola tariffs
Xi Jinping and Mark Carney mark a new “strategic partnership.”
dlvr.it
January 16, 2026 at 3:34 PM
The USA alienating the best neighbor a country has ever had is right up there with ceding the future of energy and transportation to a geostrategic rival.
The futility of the GOP’s policy in 10 words.
The futility of the GOP’s policy in 10 words.
Here are a few more quotes from Karaganov, who is close to Putin, from an interview with Tucker Carlson:
◾️ "Europe will be taken away from the map of humanity. It should be pushed away from the geopolitical and geostrategic map because it is a nuisance."
◾️ "Europe will be taken away from the map of humanity. It should be pushed away from the geopolitical and geostrategic map because it is a nuisance."
January 15, 2026 at 7:04 PM
Here are a few more quotes from Karaganov, who is close to Putin, from an interview with Tucker Carlson:
◾️ "Europe will be taken away from the map of humanity. It should be pushed away from the geopolitical and geostrategic map because it is a nuisance."
◾️ "Europe will be taken away from the map of humanity. It should be pushed away from the geopolitical and geostrategic map because it is a nuisance."
Is this the geostrategic equivalent of tipping 2 cents on a meal?
January 14, 2026 at 9:35 PM
Is this the geostrategic equivalent of tipping 2 cents on a meal?
If #Greenland falls, what is to stop the United States of #Trump from targeting #Iceland? It doesn't have the oil or wealth of minerals like Greenland does, but it has huge geostrategic importance regarding the North Atlantic Greenland-Iceland-UK (GIUK) Gap. #NATO
U.S. Relations With Iceland - United States Department of State
More information about Iceland is available on the Iceland Page and from other Department of State publications and other sources listed at the end of this fact sheet. U.S.-ICELAND RELATIONS The Unite...
2021-2025.state.gov
January 11, 2026 at 1:51 PM
If #Greenland falls, what is to stop the United States of #Trump from targeting #Iceland? It doesn't have the oil or wealth of minerals like Greenland does, but it has huge geostrategic importance regarding the North Atlantic Greenland-Iceland-UK (GIUK) Gap. #NATO
This agreement is about more than trade volumes. It is a geostrategic choice for Europe and marks the beginning of a new era in EU–Latin America cooperation. (2/2)
January 9, 2026 at 5:45 PM
This agreement is about more than trade volumes. It is a geostrategic choice for Europe and marks the beginning of a new era in EU–Latin America cooperation. (2/2)
There are dollar costs. Opportunity costs. Readiness costs. Political costs. Geostrategic costs.
The tab would be a generational debt.
The tab would be a generational debt.
What does the deployment of 150 military aircraft & various navy vessels cost? What might be the estimated financial cost of aggressing a NATO ally be? We know the political cost. If one wanted to bring about the demise of the US and NATO, coaxing the US into these actions might be an obvious plan.
January 9, 2026 at 3:32 PM
There are dollar costs. Opportunity costs. Readiness costs. Political costs. Geostrategic costs.
The tab would be a generational debt.
The tab would be a generational debt.
And you’re doing that in the context of outside experts who have to take a balanced approach because they don’t want to bite the hand that feeds them.
And a geostrategic context that has basically destroyed all the assumptions on which UK power was based.
And a geostrategic context that has basically destroyed all the assumptions on which UK power was based.
January 9, 2026 at 11:36 AM
And you’re doing that in the context of outside experts who have to take a balanced approach because they don’t want to bite the hand that feeds them.
And a geostrategic context that has basically destroyed all the assumptions on which UK power was based.
And a geostrategic context that has basically destroyed all the assumptions on which UK power was based.
For many years -- especially since February 2022 -- I've written a lot about Ukraine. But not enough. It is an issue that cries for attention: human and geostrategic attention. Here is a little essay, somewhat personal. See what you think. www.thenextmove.org/p/hung-up-on...
Hung Up on Ukraine
The tremendous importance of the war over there.
www.thenextmove.org
January 8, 2026 at 8:02 PM
For many years -- especially since February 2022 -- I've written a lot about Ukraine. But not enough. It is an issue that cries for attention: human and geostrategic attention. Here is a little essay, somewhat personal. See what you think. www.thenextmove.org/p/hung-up-on...
January 8, 2026 at 10:18 AM
The status of Greenland being the geostrategic question that blows up the post-WWII global order is pretty nuts. But then so was the aftermath of the assassination of an archduke in 1914.
F— It: Let’s Do Greenland
Strategic ambiguity and the case for accelerationism.
lnk.thebulwark.com
January 7, 2026 at 9:00 PM
The status of Greenland being the geostrategic question that blows up the post-WWII global order is pretty nuts. But then so was the aftermath of the assassination of an archduke in 1914.
Considering the US only paid $25m in Gold to the Danes for the now US Virgin Islands in this deal, I'd say they made out okay. Now they know the geostrategic and resource value of Greenland and think crying foul like Putin over Alaska's sale is going to change things. Hegemonic psychopaths.
January 7, 2026 at 6:03 PM
Considering the US only paid $25m in Gold to the Danes for the now US Virgin Islands in this deal, I'd say they made out okay. Now they know the geostrategic and resource value of Greenland and think crying foul like Putin over Alaska's sale is going to change things. Hegemonic psychopaths.
We are through the looking glass where the US government believes alliances and diplomacy are gay, and the only way to appear Strong is by doing the geostrategic equivalent of drunk driving without a seatbelt.
January 6, 2026 at 12:53 PM
We are through the looking glass where the US government believes alliances and diplomacy are gay, and the only way to appear Strong is by doing the geostrategic equivalent of drunk driving without a seatbelt.