Dmitry Grozoubinski
@explaintrade.com
Author of Why Politicians Lie About Trade | Trade and Negotiations Explainer. Forever D&D DM.
🇺🇦 Born. 🇦🇺 Raised. 🇨🇭 Based.
Media and training: explaintrade.com
Consultancy network: auroramacro.com
Speaking representation: cwgspeakers.com
🇺🇦 Born. 🇦🇺 Raised. 🇨🇭 Based.
Media and training: explaintrade.com
Consultancy network: auroramacro.com
Speaking representation: cwgspeakers.com
Pinned
Dmitry Grozoubinski
@explaintrade.com
· Apr 28
Why Politicians Lie About Trade: ...and What You Need to Know About It
Amazon.com: Why Politicians Lie About Trade: ...and What You Need to Know About It (Audible Audio Edition): Dmitry Grozoubinski, Christopher Tester, Canbury Press Ltd: Books
www.amazon.com
The audiobook version of Why Politicians Lie About Trade seems to be out in the wild!
Read by the excellent Christopher Tester (www.christophertester.co.uk), it is delivered with more gravitas than I could have ever managed.
www.amazon.com/Why-Politici...
Read by the excellent Christopher Tester (www.christophertester.co.uk), it is delivered with more gravitas than I could have ever managed.
www.amazon.com/Why-Politici...
I also wish people would spell out the alternative proposal here.
"We should have kept tariffs and capital restrictions on China skyhigh in the hopes it never became a competitive industrial producer, trapping hundreds of millions in subsistance poverty and raising the cost of everything."
"We should have kept tariffs and capital restrictions on China skyhigh in the hopes it never became a competitive industrial producer, trapping hundreds of millions in subsistance poverty and raising the cost of everything."
This is also said about Europe's approach to China and I simply don't believe this is true. I was at conferences with senior US folk in the early 2010s and none thought China would become more democratic or liberal.
We thought we could compete.
We thought we could compete.
November 10, 2025 at 9:53 PM
I also wish people would spell out the alternative proposal here.
"We should have kept tariffs and capital restrictions on China skyhigh in the hopes it never became a competitive industrial producer, trapping hundreds of millions in subsistance poverty and raising the cost of everything."
"We should have kept tariffs and capital restrictions on China skyhigh in the hopes it never became a competitive industrial producer, trapping hundreds of millions in subsistance poverty and raising the cost of everything."
We now go live to Isaac Chotiner as he reaches out to Elon Musk offering an interview to clear up this whole Joyce Carol Oates "doesn't read" thing.
three penguins peeking out of a hole with the words " come on take the bait "
Alt: Three penguins peeking out of a hole with the words "Come on, take the bait "
media.tenor.com
November 10, 2025 at 9:39 PM
We now go live to Isaac Chotiner as he reaches out to Elon Musk offering an interview to clear up this whole Joyce Carol Oates "doesn't read" thing.
1/ Unique typing style aside, the President raises an interesting question here:
Why do some like me think Congress and the Founders are comfortable with him banning or licensing an import during an economic emergency, but not applying a tariff on it?
Let's talk about it.
Why do some like me think Congress and the Founders are comfortable with him banning or licensing an import during an economic emergency, but not applying a tariff on it?
Let's talk about it.
November 9, 2025 at 4:52 PM
1/ Unique typing style aside, the President raises an interesting question here:
Why do some like me think Congress and the Founders are comfortable with him banning or licensing an import during an economic emergency, but not applying a tariff on it?
Let's talk about it.
Why do some like me think Congress and the Founders are comfortable with him banning or licensing an import during an economic emergency, but not applying a tariff on it?
Let's talk about it.
I grew up not watching sports and so lack a cognitive framework to explain why seeing Faker lifting another World's trophy has measurably improved my mental health today.
November 9, 2025 at 12:55 PM
I grew up not watching sports and so lack a cognitive framework to explain why seeing Faker lifting another World's trophy has measurably improved my mental health today.
Musk: "Mandani is a charismatic swindler."
Rogan, pulling off his mask to reveal @ichotiner.bsky.social: "What else has he done that makes him a swindler?"
Musk:
Rogan, pulling off his mask to reveal @ichotiner.bsky.social: "What else has he done that makes him a swindler?"
Musk:
November 8, 2025 at 11:46 AM
Musk: "Mandani is a charismatic swindler."
Rogan, pulling off his mask to reveal @ichotiner.bsky.social: "What else has he done that makes him a swindler?"
Musk:
Rogan, pulling off his mask to reveal @ichotiner.bsky.social: "What else has he done that makes him a swindler?"
Musk:
Performing desirable behaviour and "virtue signalling" is also absolutely core to human society.
It's why we tell kids that stealing is wrong, rather than just that it's illegal and punishable by law.
Living in a place where people only treat each other well when forced to by rules would be AWFUL.
It's why we tell kids that stealing is wrong, rather than just that it's illegal and punishable by law.
Living in a place where people only treat each other well when forced to by rules would be AWFUL.
Performative decency is actually *so* important for this reason.
It tricks the 10% of ghouls into thinking that there are only 1% of ghouls.
And it makes the 30% of people that don't care one way or another follow the mostly decent crowd
It tricks the 10% of ghouls into thinking that there are only 1% of ghouls.
And it makes the 30% of people that don't care one way or another follow the mostly decent crowd
November 8, 2025 at 10:32 AM
Performing desirable behaviour and "virtue signalling" is also absolutely core to human society.
It's why we tell kids that stealing is wrong, rather than just that it's illegal and punishable by law.
Living in a place where people only treat each other well when forced to by rules would be AWFUL.
It's why we tell kids that stealing is wrong, rather than just that it's illegal and punishable by law.
Living in a place where people only treat each other well when forced to by rules would be AWFUL.
Well yes, if you allow Fox News and Ezra Douthglesias (h/t @mcopelov.bsky.social) to define a 2% tax increase on the upper band as Maoist extrimism so left wing it's on the next plane, then you can indeed pretend that a platform that would have made Reagan blush is actually moderate progressivism.
Name the ‘moderate position’ on literally any issue. Quickly.
November 8, 2025 at 10:26 AM
Well yes, if you allow Fox News and Ezra Douthglesias (h/t @mcopelov.bsky.social) to define a 2% tax increase on the upper band as Maoist extrimism so left wing it's on the next plane, then you can indeed pretend that a platform that would have made Reagan blush is actually moderate progressivism.
"Seizing Brexit opportunities to deregulate."
November 8, 2025 at 9:16 AM
"Seizing Brexit opportunities to deregulate."
*Anakin and Padme meme*
TRUMP: WE AGREE THAT WAR IN UKRAINE WILL END IN NOT TOO DISTANT FUTURE
November 7, 2025 at 6:12 PM
*Anakin and Padme meme*
If you're surprised businesses passed a new cost onto consumers, don't worry you're one of the smart ones.
In fact, you're so smart you may have been targeted by criminals who tamper with the wallets of geniuses.
Quick, send me your wallet so I can inspect it for damage.
In fact, you're so smart you may have been targeted by criminals who tamper with the wallets of geniuses.
Quick, send me your wallet so I can inspect it for damage.
70.5% OF NEW TARIFFS WERE PASSED ONTO CONSUMERS — PER LENDINGTREE LENDINGTREE DATA SHOW THAT OVER TWO-THIRDS OF NEW TARIFF COSTS WERE DIRECTLY BORNE BY CONSUMERS, HIGHLIGHTING HOW TRADE BARRIERS ARE DRIVING UP RETAIL PRICES AND ADDING TO INFLATIONARY PRESSURES.
November 7, 2025 at 3:47 PM
If you're surprised businesses passed a new cost onto consumers, don't worry you're one of the smart ones.
In fact, you're so smart you may have been targeted by criminals who tamper with the wallets of geniuses.
Quick, send me your wallet so I can inspect it for damage.
In fact, you're so smart you may have been targeted by criminals who tamper with the wallets of geniuses.
Quick, send me your wallet so I can inspect it for damage.
The media, who give every Nazi that puts on a suit and speaks in complete sentences without the n word a glamorous cover story profile: "Why would the left do this?"
November 6, 2025 at 12:21 PM
The media, who give every Nazi that puts on a suit and speaks in complete sentences without the n word a glamorous cover story profile: "Why would the left do this?"
I would also add that the idea you have to be on there to have an accurate gauge of the zeitgeist no longer applies, if it ever did.
The vibe on Bluesky was far more representative of the blue wave on Tuesday than X was - which doesn't mean Bluesky is universally predictive but does say X isn't.
The vibe on Bluesky was far more representative of the blue wave on Tuesday than X was - which doesn't mean Bluesky is universally predictive but does say X isn't.
X is designed to radicalise people.
The algorithm promotes Elon Musk's agenda to promote racists and people who want violence bought - specifically - to the streets of Britain.
Members of Parliament, major institutions and the media should not be there.
news.sky.com/story/the-x-...
The algorithm promotes Elon Musk's agenda to promote racists and people who want violence bought - specifically - to the streets of Britain.
Members of Parliament, major institutions and the media should not be there.
news.sky.com/story/the-x-...
Elon Musk is boosting the British right - and this shows how
Elon Musk is boosting the British right - and this shows how
news.sky.com
November 6, 2025 at 11:01 AM
I would also add that the idea you have to be on there to have an accurate gauge of the zeitgeist no longer applies, if it ever did.
The vibe on Bluesky was far more representative of the blue wave on Tuesday than X was - which doesn't mean Bluesky is universally predictive but does say X isn't.
The vibe on Bluesky was far more representative of the blue wave on Tuesday than X was - which doesn't mean Bluesky is universally predictive but does say X isn't.
Trump spent his campaign making wild promises.
The media its time talking about how he wouldn't fulfill the promises he could do (cruelty, oligopoly, vengeance) and pretending that the promises he couldn't fulfill (restore US manufacturing, lower prices) were laudable anyway.
The media its time talking about how he wouldn't fulfill the promises he could do (cruelty, oligopoly, vengeance) and pretending that the promises he couldn't fulfill (restore US manufacturing, lower prices) were laudable anyway.
I don’t know how many times I’ve watched this video.
I don’t know how we’ve gotten to the point where men in full balaclavas can abduct daycare teachers while they’re watching children.
But I do know that this isn’t sustainable. Abolish ICE. There is no way to reform this.
I don’t know how we’ve gotten to the point where men in full balaclavas can abduct daycare teachers while they’re watching children.
But I do know that this isn’t sustainable. Abolish ICE. There is no way to reform this.
Federal agents pulling a woman out of Rayito Del Sol, a daycare by Lane Tech high school
November 6, 2025 at 8:17 AM
Trump spent his campaign making wild promises.
The media its time talking about how he wouldn't fulfill the promises he could do (cruelty, oligopoly, vengeance) and pretending that the promises he couldn't fulfill (restore US manufacturing, lower prices) were laudable anyway.
The media its time talking about how he wouldn't fulfill the promises he could do (cruelty, oligopoly, vengeance) and pretending that the promises he couldn't fulfill (restore US manufacturing, lower prices) were laudable anyway.
Reposted by Dmitry Grozoubinski
I knew it would take less than a day for a tiktok dj to make something.
November 5, 2025 at 12:13 PM
I knew it would take less than a day for a tiktok dj to make something.
The Supreme Court is so funny.
Trump is flagrantly abusing a law passed to let a President shut down trade during an invasion to punish Brazil's courts for being mean to Balsanaro.
Supreme Court, 414,729 words later: "Help me understand the word 'Regulate' because it's used as a noun but..."
Trump is flagrantly abusing a law passed to let a President shut down trade during an invasion to punish Brazil's courts for being mean to Balsanaro.
Supreme Court, 414,729 words later: "Help me understand the word 'Regulate' because it's used as a noun but..."
November 5, 2025 at 6:00 PM
The Supreme Court is so funny.
Trump is flagrantly abusing a law passed to let a President shut down trade during an invasion to punish Brazil's courts for being mean to Balsanaro.
Supreme Court, 414,729 words later: "Help me understand the word 'Regulate' because it's used as a noun but..."
Trump is flagrantly abusing a law passed to let a President shut down trade during an invasion to punish Brazil's courts for being mean to Balsanaro.
Supreme Court, 414,729 words later: "Help me understand the word 'Regulate' because it's used as a noun but..."
Boy, sure doesn't SEEM like wall to wall coverage of Mamdani dragged down Democratic turn out or juiced opposition in other races... 🤔🤔
Maybe the reactionary pundit class are fucking idiots?
Maybe the reactionary pundit class are fucking idiots?
November 5, 2025 at 9:12 AM
Boy, sure doesn't SEEM like wall to wall coverage of Mamdani dragged down Democratic turn out or juiced opposition in other races... 🤔🤔
Maybe the reactionary pundit class are fucking idiots?
Maybe the reactionary pundit class are fucking idiots?
"Democrats are about to win an election. Here's why that's bad for Democrats."
Fuuuuuuck offffff.
Fuuuuuuck offffff.
November 5, 2025 at 12:02 AM
"Democrats are about to win an election. Here's why that's bad for Democrats."
Fuuuuuuck offffff.
Fuuuuuuck offffff.
Democrats should absolutely listen to this advice provided they believe they can consistently, universally, and eternally operate in a way that creates nothing Republican ad makers can use, believe Republican ad makers won't just make shit up, and believe such blandness will appeal to voters.
💯
💯
![Screenshot of article that reads: “A Mamdani victory is a serious political problem for those in the party who believe, as we do, that our primary focus must be on flipping red and purple seats blue, expanding the map for Democrats, and creating a path back to Congress and the White House,” Matt Bennett, executive vice president of center-left think tank Third Way, told MSNBC. “The [Democratic Socialists of America] platform — which Mamdani has not repudiated — hands a potent set of weapons to Republican ad makers eager to tie Mamdani-style politics to Democrats running in much tougher places than deep blue New York.”](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ozma3timm5c32fa7bimb4zaj/bafkreidedpbe5cweyx6x5pz66ypn74fumifyvinjjr4prysjpvopaqi4vi@jpeg)
November 4, 2025 at 11:49 PM
Democrats should absolutely listen to this advice provided they believe they can consistently, universally, and eternally operate in a way that creates nothing Republican ad makers can use, believe Republican ad makers won't just make shit up, and believe such blandness will appeal to voters.
💯
💯
Not the main point here but if President Trump were as popular as President Trump keeps saying he is, his endorsement in the mayoral race of his home city wouldn't need the threat of troops and funding freezes to back it up.
This isn't a closing election argument, it's Vidkun Quisling explaining why surrender is better than resistance.
November 4, 2025 at 10:50 AM
Not the main point here but if President Trump were as popular as President Trump keeps saying he is, his endorsement in the mayoral race of his home city wouldn't need the threat of troops and funding freezes to back it up.
"I wish my field were a bigger part of the national conversation!"
November 3, 2025 at 10:19 PM
"I wish my field were a bigger part of the national conversation!"
The same people who called you cringe overreacting panicmongers for warning Trump might actually do the things he campaigned on (and subsequently did), are now imagining a version of Mamdani that plans to end capitalism and freaking out about it.
November 3, 2025 at 4:54 PM
The same people who called you cringe overreacting panicmongers for warning Trump might actually do the things he campaigned on (and subsequently did), are now imagining a version of Mamdani that plans to end capitalism and freaking out about it.
It takes significantly less effort to tell a pollster you're going to do something than upending your entire life.
A child could understand this, and it is perhaps unsurprising that newspaper editors pretend not to for the purposes of running headlines about ""millions"" intending to flee.
A child could understand this, and it is perhaps unsurprising that newspaper editors pretend not to for the purposes of running headlines about ""millions"" intending to flee.
This goes for all the lefties who said they'd move to Canada if Trump won too: People moving after an election is *far* rarer than people saying they'll move before an election.
November 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM
It takes significantly less effort to tell a pollster you're going to do something than upending your entire life.
A child could understand this, and it is perhaps unsurprising that newspaper editors pretend not to for the purposes of running headlines about ""millions"" intending to flee.
A child could understand this, and it is perhaps unsurprising that newspaper editors pretend not to for the purposes of running headlines about ""millions"" intending to flee.
Something a lot of the conversation seems to skip past is that Goodwin/Farage's point wouldn't hold even if the two train stabbing perpetrators had been recently arrived immigrants with luggage tags still on their suitcases.
November 3, 2025 at 12:50 PM
Something a lot of the conversation seems to skip past is that Goodwin/Farage's point wouldn't hold even if the two train stabbing perpetrators had been recently arrived immigrants with luggage tags still on their suitcases.
It's scarier than that, for is it not written in Revelation 6:12:
"I saw the Lamb open the sixth seal, there was a great earthquake, and the sun became black like sackcloth of goat hair, and the US executive branch was inconvenienced in its ability to tax American purchases from abroad on a whim."
"I saw the Lamb open the sixth seal, there was a great earthquake, and the sun became black like sackcloth of goat hair, and the US executive branch was inconvenienced in its ability to tax American purchases from abroad on a whim."
TRUMP: IF WE LOSE TARIFF CASE, OUR COUNTRY COULD BE REDUCED TO ALMOST THIRD WORLD STATUS
November 3, 2025 at 9:52 AM
It's scarier than that, for is it not written in Revelation 6:12:
"I saw the Lamb open the sixth seal, there was a great earthquake, and the sun became black like sackcloth of goat hair, and the US executive branch was inconvenienced in its ability to tax American purchases from abroad on a whim."
"I saw the Lamb open the sixth seal, there was a great earthquake, and the sun became black like sackcloth of goat hair, and the US executive branch was inconvenienced in its ability to tax American purchases from abroad on a whim."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
November 2, 2025 at 12:15 PM
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."
"It was immigrants/trans/DEI!"
"... well, nevertheless."