Andy Scollick
@andyscollick.bsky.social
Dystopia isn't in the future. Dystopia is now.
PhD complex adaptive systems, resilience | interactions between defence, security, climate, energy | former strategic defence planner, adviser to Ukraine's military | new project coming soon!
PhD complex adaptive systems, resilience | interactions between defence, security, climate, energy | former strategic defence planner, adviser to Ukraine's military | new project coming soon!
Pinned
I'm going to keep repeating this strategy until I'm either dead or this war has ended. Whichever comes first.
Western leaders (forget Trump) have the power to end Russia's war within months, even weeks, if they apply a shock to Russia's economy. Overnight. Sanctions and trade blocks on everything.
Western leaders (forget Trump) have the power to end Russia's war within months, even weeks, if they apply a shock to Russia's economy. Overnight. Sanctions and trade blocks on everything.
Starmer says Greenland and Denmark must decide future of Greenland, not Trump (Guardian)
"Yes. Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark are to decide the future of Greenland, and only Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark."
"Yes. Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark are to decide the future of Greenland, and only Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark."
Starmer backs Danish PM in saying Trump has no right to any claim over Greenland – UK politics live
Keir Starmer says he ‘stands’ with Denmark after Donald Trump threatened to annex Greenland
www.theguardian.com
January 5, 2026 at 12:08 PM
Starmer says Greenland and Denmark must decide future of Greenland, not Trump (Guardian)
"Yes. Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark are to decide the future of Greenland, and only Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark."
"Yes. Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark are to decide the future of Greenland, and only Greenland and the Kingdom of Denmark."
That would be the deal breaker: US attacks fellow NATO member, annexes its territory. Article 5 invoked against a NATO member. US blocks it. Result? End of Article 5. End of NATO in its current format.
Can we come up with an alternative NATO minus the US? Yes, of course we can.
Start planning.
Can we come up with an alternative NATO minus the US? Yes, of course we can.
Start planning.
An attack on Greenland would trigger Article 5 of the NATO treaty requiring them to respond to US aggression.
Trump in a single gaggle on Air Force One just threatened:
-- a second strike against Venezuela
-- Cuba
-- Mexico
-- Colombia
-- Iran
-- Greenland (which in turn would be an attack on the EU and Denmark)
-- a second strike against Venezuela
-- Cuba
-- Mexico
-- Colombia
-- Iran
-- Greenland (which in turn would be an attack on the EU and Denmark)
January 5, 2026 at 12:07 PM
That would be the deal breaker: US attacks fellow NATO member, annexes its territory. Article 5 invoked against a NATO member. US blocks it. Result? End of Article 5. End of NATO in its current format.
Can we come up with an alternative NATO minus the US? Yes, of course we can.
Start planning.
Can we come up with an alternative NATO minus the US? Yes, of course we can.
Start planning.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Ask Zelensky and the Ukrainian people if Europe should be burning its bridges with Trump at this exact moment.
Their answer tells you how Starmer should respond to the Venezuela crisis.
Their answer tells you how Starmer should respond to the Venezuela crisis.
January 5, 2026 at 11:51 AM
Ask Zelensky and the Ukrainian people if Europe should be burning its bridges with Trump at this exact moment.
Their answer tells you how Starmer should respond to the Venezuela crisis.
Their answer tells you how Starmer should respond to the Venezuela crisis.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Sure, take #Greenland by force. Short-term ego boost, mid-term chaos: the US dollar and financial markets lose trust, US arms sales drop, NATO on thin ice. Genius, right?
Katie Miller, wife of White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, posted an image of Greenland colored in the U.S. flag, captioned “Soon.” The provocative post has sparked speculation about renewed American interest in the island, part of the Council of Europe and NATO as part of Denmark.
January 5, 2026 at 11:51 AM
Sure, take #Greenland by force. Short-term ego boost, mid-term chaos: the US dollar and financial markets lose trust, US arms sales drop, NATO on thin ice. Genius, right?
Reposted by Andy Scollick
UK will not make any assessment on whether the US action in Venezuela is lawful. If the issue is pushed to a vote at the UN Sec Council, UK will abstain
The UK gov is concerned that doing otherwise would risk jeopardizing relations with the US at a critical time.
The UK gov is concerned that doing otherwise would risk jeopardizing relations with the US at a critical time.
January 5, 2026 at 11:52 AM
UK will not make any assessment on whether the US action in Venezuela is lawful. If the issue is pushed to a vote at the UN Sec Council, UK will abstain
The UK gov is concerned that doing otherwise would risk jeopardizing relations with the US at a critical time.
The UK gov is concerned that doing otherwise would risk jeopardizing relations with the US at a critical time.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Senior UK gov source: ‘This was a decision by the US. It is not for us make a judgment on whether it was lawful’
January 5, 2026 at 11:52 AM
Senior UK gov source: ‘This was a decision by the US. It is not for us make a judgment on whether it was lawful’
Reposted by Andy Scollick
“In the past years,Cyprus got very close to the US, forming lots of defence relationships with them. That is going to cause tension if we're trying to create an EU that's independent of the US.We have Cyprus leading the EU presidency, and the US is building bases here. This is going to be a tension”
Cyprus’s EU presidency: seeking resilience in a new world order
Cyprus has assumed the presidency of the European Council at a volatile time for Europe, as international peace efforts struggle to end the war in Ukraine, the United States shifts its loyalties and…
www.rfi.fr
January 5, 2026 at 11:53 AM
“In the past years,Cyprus got very close to the US, forming lots of defence relationships with them. That is going to cause tension if we're trying to create an EU that's independent of the US.We have Cyprus leading the EU presidency, and the US is building bases here. This is going to be a tension”
Business as usual.
#BREAKING | Israeli warplanes are carrying out airstrikes in the vicinity of the Indonesian Hospital in northern Gaza, in breach of the ceasefire agreement.
(Gaza Notifications)
(Gaza Notifications)
January 5, 2026 at 12:03 PM
Business as usual.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
In one weekend Trump has made a mockery of UK Grand Strategy & with it Britain’s defence policy.
Without an International Rules Based Order what does it now mean to defend UK global interests as a P5 member?
The UK can’t grow its economy, so it can’t build the hard power to defend its interests.
Without an International Rules Based Order what does it now mean to defend UK global interests as a P5 member?
The UK can’t grow its economy, so it can’t build the hard power to defend its interests.
January 5, 2026 at 11:39 AM
In one weekend Trump has made a mockery of UK Grand Strategy & with it Britain’s defence policy.
Without an International Rules Based Order what does it now mean to defend UK global interests as a P5 member?
The UK can’t grow its economy, so it can’t build the hard power to defend its interests.
Without an International Rules Based Order what does it now mean to defend UK global interests as a P5 member?
The UK can’t grow its economy, so it can’t build the hard power to defend its interests.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
The US has loads of military installations in Europe. It likes to pretend this is for Europe’s protection, but this is only partly true. Ramstein, as mentioned here by the Greens’FP expert is a good example. If the US decides to attack Greenland, throwing out US mil installations should be discussed
Deutschland muss jetzt schnell sagen, welchen Preis die USA zahlen werden, sollten sie wirklich versuchen Grönland einzunehmen.
(Selbstverständlich hinter den Kulissen.)
Konsequenzen müssen angedroht werden. Alles muss auf den Tisch. Ramstein gehört ganz oben auf den Stapel.
(Selbstverständlich hinter den Kulissen.)
Konsequenzen müssen angedroht werden. Alles muss auf den Tisch. Ramstein gehört ganz oben auf den Stapel.
January 5, 2026 at 10:54 AM
The US has loads of military installations in Europe. It likes to pretend this is for Europe’s protection, but this is only partly true. Ramstein, as mentioned here by the Greens’FP expert is a good example. If the US decides to attack Greenland, throwing out US mil installations should be discussed
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Fun Fact: If Maduro was in the Epstein files he'd be safe at home in his bed right now.
January 5, 2026 at 2:21 AM
Fun Fact: If Maduro was in the Epstein files he'd be safe at home in his bed right now.
Ssshhh! Don't mention "Gibraltar" 🤫
Keir Starmer has said he “stands” with Denmark after Donald Trump threatened to annex Greenland, adding that Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen was “right” to refuse the US president any claim to the territory, PA Media reports. (Guardian)
Starmer backs Danish PM in saying Trump has no right to any claim over Greenland – UK politics live
Keir Starmer says he ‘stands’ with Denmark after Donald Trump threatened to annex Greenland
www.theguardian.com
January 5, 2026 at 12:01 PM
Ssshhh! Don't mention "Gibraltar" 🤫
Keir Starmer has said he “stands” with Denmark after Donald Trump threatened to annex Greenland, adding that Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen was “right” to refuse the US president any claim to the territory, PA Media reports. (Guardian)
Starmer backs Danish PM in saying Trump has no right to any claim over Greenland – UK politics live
Keir Starmer says he ‘stands’ with Denmark after Donald Trump threatened to annex Greenland
www.theguardian.com
January 5, 2026 at 11:59 AM
Keir Starmer has said he “stands” with Denmark after Donald Trump threatened to annex Greenland, adding that Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen was “right” to refuse the US president any claim to the territory, PA Media reports. (Guardian)
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Yet again a minister is on the broadcast round having to wibble until the PM actually comes out and says the obvious. Why does this keep happening so much?
Starmer backs Danish PM in saying Trump has no right to any claim over Greenland - www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
January 5, 2026 at 11:54 AM
Yet again a minister is on the broadcast round having to wibble until the PM actually comes out and says the obvious. Why does this keep happening so much?
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Trump threatened India with new tariffs over the country’s government purchasing Russian oil.
January 5, 2026 at 11:55 AM
Trump threatened India with new tariffs over the country’s government purchasing Russian oil.
They are all as bad as each other. But China plays the long game and its government has intelligent people in it.
Foreign Ministry of China:
We urge the United States to stop using the so-called China threat as a pretext for selfish games.
We urge the United States to stop using the so-called China threat as a pretext for selfish games.
January 5, 2026 at 11:57 AM
They are all as bad as each other. But China plays the long game and its government has intelligent people in it.
#Greenland is not just some strategically well-placed lump of rock and ice in the Arctic. It has a huge amount of proven and unproven natural resources, both onshore and offshore, which are becoming more accessible as climate change alters Greenland's environment.
January 5, 2026 at 11:55 AM
#Greenland is not just some strategically well-placed lump of rock and ice in the Arctic. It has a huge amount of proven and unproven natural resources, both onshore and offshore, which are becoming more accessible as climate change alters Greenland's environment.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
There’s a reason DoD was renamed Department of War. Trump sounds like he runs his mouth, but generally the words chosen by his administration are very intentional.
January 5, 2026 at 11:36 AM
There’s a reason DoD was renamed Department of War. Trump sounds like he runs his mouth, but generally the words chosen by his administration are very intentional.
France (certainly not the UK) is not going to offer to cover #Greenland with a nuclear umbrella as insurance against US occupation and annexation.
The only course of action left for Denmark/EU, Canada, Japan would be reactive, after the fact: the application of sanctions against the United States.
The only course of action left for Denmark/EU, Canada, Japan would be reactive, after the fact: the application of sanctions against the United States.
If the US wanted to it could take #Greenland very easily. Even in the highly unlikely event that the Danish Armed Forces fought the US military, they would not prevail.
Also, in the real world of European politics, other EU members are incredibly unlikely to join the fight or go to war with the US.
Also, in the real world of European politics, other EU members are incredibly unlikely to join the fight or go to war with the US.
🔴Trump's Venezuela Invasion Has 'Opened Pandora's Box'
Could Greenland be the next target for the US President?
www.bylinesupplement.com/p/trumps-ven...
Could Greenland be the next target for the US President?
www.bylinesupplement.com/p/trumps-ven...
January 5, 2026 at 11:40 AM
France (certainly not the UK) is not going to offer to cover #Greenland with a nuclear umbrella as insurance against US occupation and annexation.
The only course of action left for Denmark/EU, Canada, Japan would be reactive, after the fact: the application of sanctions against the United States.
The only course of action left for Denmark/EU, Canada, Japan would be reactive, after the fact: the application of sanctions against the United States.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
About a dozen loaded oil tankers left Venezuela in dark mode, Tankertrackers.com says reut.rs/4jqlPpD
About a dozen loaded oil tankers left Venezuela in dark mode, Tankertrackers.com says
About a dozen tankers loaded with Venezuelan crude and fuel departed in recent days from the country's waters in dark mode, seemingly breaking a strict blockade imposed by the U.S. amid intense pressure that mounted until the capture of deposed President Nicolas Maduro, monitoring service TankerTrackers.com said.
reut.rs
January 5, 2026 at 11:10 AM
About a dozen loaded oil tankers left Venezuela in dark mode, Tankertrackers.com says reut.rs/4jqlPpD
Reposted by Andy Scollick
You'll be amazed to hear that on the stock market
Chevron ⬆️9%
Halliburton ⬆️10%
Exxon ⬆️4%
ConocoPhillips ⬆️8%
Chevron ⬆️9%
Halliburton ⬆️10%
Exxon ⬆️4%
ConocoPhillips ⬆️8%
January 5, 2026 at 10:33 AM
You'll be amazed to hear that on the stock market
Chevron ⬆️9%
Halliburton ⬆️10%
Exxon ⬆️4%
ConocoPhillips ⬆️8%
Chevron ⬆️9%
Halliburton ⬆️10%
Exxon ⬆️4%
ConocoPhillips ⬆️8%
If the US wanted to it could take #Greenland very easily. Even in the highly unlikely event that the Danish Armed Forces fought the US military, they would not prevail.
Also, in the real world of European politics, other EU members are incredibly unlikely to join the fight or go to war with the US.
Also, in the real world of European politics, other EU members are incredibly unlikely to join the fight or go to war with the US.
🔴Trump's Venezuela Invasion Has 'Opened Pandora's Box'
Could Greenland be the next target for the US President?
www.bylinesupplement.com/p/trumps-ven...
Could Greenland be the next target for the US President?
www.bylinesupplement.com/p/trumps-ven...
Trump's Venezuela Invasion Has 'Opened Pandora's Box'
Could Greenland be the next target for the US President?
www.bylinesupplement.com
January 5, 2026 at 11:33 AM
If the US wanted to it could take #Greenland very easily. Even in the highly unlikely event that the Danish Armed Forces fought the US military, they would not prevail.
Also, in the real world of European politics, other EU members are incredibly unlikely to join the fight or go to war with the US.
Also, in the real world of European politics, other EU members are incredibly unlikely to join the fight or go to war with the US.
The ethnic cleansing continues.
Israel is moving the so called 'yellow line', seizing more land in the Gaza strip and squeezing Palestinians into a smaller and smaller area.
Hani Mahmood reporting.
Hani Mahmood reporting.
January 5, 2026 at 11:23 AM
The ethnic cleansing continues.
Reposted by Andy Scollick
Venezuela, Cuba, Colombia, Iran, Greenland... all under threat from the Orange Maniac and his cohort
US president says a military operation focused on Colombia's government 'sounds good' to him.
Trump threatens Colombia's Petro, says Cuba ‘looks like its ready to fall'
US president says a military operation focused on Colombia's government 'sounds good' to him.
www.aljazeera.com
January 5, 2026 at 11:15 AM
Venezuela, Cuba, Colombia, Iran, Greenland... all under threat from the Orange Maniac and his cohort
Whenever the United States is attempting to topple a regime, the CIA puts around the same rumour: the regime leadership has a plan to escape to sanctuary.
Maybe he does have a plan. Maybe he doesn't. But it suits the US for the rumour to spread.
Maybe he does have a plan. Maybe he doesn't. But it suits the US for the rumour to spread.
⚡️Iran’s supreme leader is reportedly preparing a Moscow escape if mass protests threaten his rule.
Iran’s Supreme Leader Has a Moscow Escape Plan if Protests Topple the Regime
Iran's leader Ali Khamenei has a plan to escape to Moscow if protests threaten the regime's stability, taking a small group of trusted aides with him.
united24media.com
January 5, 2026 at 11:21 AM
Whenever the United States is attempting to topple a regime, the CIA puts around the same rumour: the regime leadership has a plan to escape to sanctuary.
Maybe he does have a plan. Maybe he doesn't. But it suits the US for the rumour to spread.
Maybe he does have a plan. Maybe he doesn't. But it suits the US for the rumour to spread.