The SNP remain the most trusted political party when it comes to standing up for Scotland’s interests.
December 12, 2025 at 1:37 PM
The SNP remain the most trusted political party when it comes to standing up for Scotland’s interests.
SNP for me. And the rest of sane Scotland.
December 13, 2025 at 1:49 PM
SNP for me. And the rest of sane Scotland.
💯 I’m an SNP member and will be voting this way.
To all pro-Indy folk, I think this is worth reposting multiple times. It’s not disloyal to vote SNP 1 & Green 2, as the formula penalises parties who have more constituency MSPs.
Based on the table below, if Green gets those list votes, they gain 22 list MSPs!
#Scotland 🏴
#IndyRef2 🏴
#YouYesYet 🏴
Based on the table below, if Green gets those list votes, they gain 22 list MSPs!
#Scotland 🏴
#IndyRef2 🏴
#YouYesYet 🏴
This is what would happen if SNP votes switch their second vote to the Scottish Greens:
December 13, 2025 at 7:15 PM
💯 I’m an SNP member and will be voting this way.
Storm Brann fails to breach even one of Scotland’s flood defences after 18 years of SNP Government but 8 500 fail in England talkingupscotlandtwo.com/2025/12/10/9...
Storm Brann fails to breach even one of Scotland’s flood defences after 18 years of SNP Government but 8 500 fail in England
Professor John Robertson OBA Yesterday, Sepa forecast widespread and intensive flood risk across the most populous parts of Scotland. Today BBC England had Thousands of flood defences meant to prot…
talkingupscotlandtwo.com
December 10, 2025 at 10:58 AM
Storm Brann fails to breach even one of Scotland’s flood defences after 18 years of SNP Government but 8 500 fail in England talkingupscotlandtwo.com/2025/12/10/9...
Fort William and Ardnamurchan (Highland) council by-election result, first prefs:
LDEM: 40.4% (+3.0)
SNP: 29.1% (-4.4)
REF: 9.6% (+9.6)
GRN: 9.4% (-0.2)
CON: 7.6% (-2.4)
LAB: 3.8% (+3.8)
No Ind (-9.3) as prev.
+/- 2022
Seat change: LDem GAIN from SNP
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
LDEM: 40.4% (+3.0)
SNP: 29.1% (-4.4)
REF: 9.6% (+9.6)
GRN: 9.4% (-0.2)
CON: 7.6% (-2.4)
LAB: 3.8% (+3.8)
No Ind (-9.3) as prev.
+/- 2022
Seat change: LDem GAIN from SNP
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Fort William and Ardnamurchan (Highland) council by-election result, first prefs:
LDEM: 40.4% (+3.0)
SNP: 29.1% (-4.4)
REF: 9.6% (+9.6)
GRN: 9.4% (-0.2)
CON: 7.6% (-2.4)
LAB: 3.8% (+3.8)
No Ind (-9.3) as prev.
+/- 2022
Seat change: LDem GAIN from SNP
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
LDEM: 40.4% (+3.0)
SNP: 29.1% (-4.4)
REF: 9.6% (+9.6)
GRN: 9.4% (-0.2)
CON: 7.6% (-2.4)
LAB: 3.8% (+3.8)
No Ind (-9.3) as prev.
+/- 2022
Seat change: LDem GAIN from SNP
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
I think this shows how the "bloc" model we increasingly think of in relation to Westminster politics doesn't map onto Scotland - do Labour voters see themselves in a unionist anti-SNP bloc with Reform (no), or a left-wing anti-Reform bloc with the SNP (not exactly convincing)
Whitburn and Blackburn (West Lothian) by-election transfers, votes at final head-to-head stage:
Reform UK: 1411 (38.4%)
SNP: 1387 (37.7%)
Didn't Transfer: 877 (23.9%)
Just 24 votes in it after transfers!
Reform UK: 1411 (38.4%)
SNP: 1387 (37.7%)
Didn't Transfer: 877 (23.9%)
Just 24 votes in it after transfers!
December 12, 2025 at 5:22 PM
I think this shows how the "bloc" model we increasingly think of in relation to Westminster politics doesn't map onto Scotland - do Labour voters see themselves in a unionist anti-SNP bloc with Reform (no), or a left-wing anti-Reform bloc with the SNP (not exactly convincing)
Fort William & Ardnamurchan (West Lothian) Council By-Election Result [1st Prefs]:
🔶 LDM: 40.4% (-18.5)
🎗️ SNP: 29.1% (+3.5)
➡️ RFM: 9.6% (New)
🌍 GRN: 9.4% (+3.4)
🌳 CON: 7.6% (+3.2)
🌹 LAB: 3.8% (-0.7)
🙋 Ind: 13.2% (+1.3)
No LBT (-0.6) as previous.
Lib Dem 'Gain' from SNP - Stage 5.
Changes w/ 2024.
🔶 LDM: 40.4% (-18.5)
🎗️ SNP: 29.1% (+3.5)
➡️ RFM: 9.6% (New)
🌍 GRN: 9.4% (+3.4)
🌳 CON: 7.6% (+3.2)
🌹 LAB: 3.8% (-0.7)
🙋 Ind: 13.2% (+1.3)
No LBT (-0.6) as previous.
Lib Dem 'Gain' from SNP - Stage 5.
Changes w/ 2024.
December 12, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Fort William & Ardnamurchan (West Lothian) Council By-Election Result [1st Prefs]:
🔶 LDM: 40.4% (-18.5)
🎗️ SNP: 29.1% (+3.5)
➡️ RFM: 9.6% (New)
🌍 GRN: 9.4% (+3.4)
🌳 CON: 7.6% (+3.2)
🌹 LAB: 3.8% (-0.7)
🙋 Ind: 13.2% (+1.3)
No LBT (-0.6) as previous.
Lib Dem 'Gain' from SNP - Stage 5.
Changes w/ 2024.
🔶 LDM: 40.4% (-18.5)
🎗️ SNP: 29.1% (+3.5)
➡️ RFM: 9.6% (New)
🌍 GRN: 9.4% (+3.4)
🌳 CON: 7.6% (+3.2)
🌹 LAB: 3.8% (-0.7)
🙋 Ind: 13.2% (+1.3)
No LBT (-0.6) as previous.
Lib Dem 'Gain' from SNP - Stage 5.
Changes w/ 2024.
So it was Labour voters that refused to use their transferable vote that let in Reform because they couldn't bear the SNP winning. They let in the fash 🙄
Fecking crazy
Fecking crazy
December 12, 2025 at 6:06 PM
So it was Labour voters that refused to use their transferable vote that let in Reform because they couldn't bear the SNP winning. They let in the fash 🙄
Fecking crazy
Fecking crazy
Yet another poll showing that the SNP are predicted to win ZERO Regional List seats
Meanwhile, Labour, Tories and Reform SS are predicted to ‘win’ 47 Regional List seats, despite only winning 4 Constituency seats
We can replace all those unionists with Indy MSPs :
(1) SNP
(2) Scottish Greens
Meanwhile, Labour, Tories and Reform SS are predicted to ‘win’ 47 Regional List seats, despite only winning 4 Constituency seats
We can replace all those unionists with Indy MSPs :
(1) SNP
(2) Scottish Greens
December 11, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Yet another poll showing that the SNP are predicted to win ZERO Regional List seats
Meanwhile, Labour, Tories and Reform SS are predicted to ‘win’ 47 Regional List seats, despite only winning 4 Constituency seats
We can replace all those unionists with Indy MSPs :
(1) SNP
(2) Scottish Greens
Meanwhile, Labour, Tories and Reform SS are predicted to ‘win’ 47 Regional List seats, despite only winning 4 Constituency seats
We can replace all those unionists with Indy MSPs :
(1) SNP
(2) Scottish Greens
SNP 1&2 is statistically absurd - it's been calculated that there's only a 0.5% chance of an overall majority. 1 in 200.
The 2011 result happened because proportionally *fewer* people voted SNP 1, therefore tipping the balance toward list votes.
I cannot understand why the SNP are proposing this.
The 2011 result happened because proportionally *fewer* people voted SNP 1, therefore tipping the balance toward list votes.
I cannot understand why the SNP are proposing this.
December 13, 2025 at 7:46 PM
SNP 1&2 is statistically absurd - it's been calculated that there's only a 0.5% chance of an overall majority. 1 in 200.
The 2011 result happened because proportionally *fewer* people voted SNP 1, therefore tipping the balance toward list votes.
I cannot understand why the SNP are proposing this.
The 2011 result happened because proportionally *fewer* people voted SNP 1, therefore tipping the balance toward list votes.
I cannot understand why the SNP are proposing this.
#GE2029 poll | SNP lead by 13pts
🟡 SNP: 33% (+2)
➡️ REF: 20% (+4)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-5)
🟢 GRN: 11% (+1)
🔵 CON: 11% (+1)
🟠 LD: 8% (-1)
Via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov-3 Dec (+/- vs 12-18 Jun)
🟡 SNP: 33% (+2)
➡️ REF: 20% (+4)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-5)
🟢 GRN: 11% (+1)
🔵 CON: 11% (+1)
🟠 LD: 8% (-1)
Via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov-3 Dec (+/- vs 12-18 Jun)
December 11, 2025 at 11:20 AM
#GE2029 poll | SNP lead by 13pts
🟡 SNP: 33% (+2)
➡️ REF: 20% (+4)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-5)
🟢 GRN: 11% (+1)
🔵 CON: 11% (+1)
🟠 LD: 8% (-1)
Via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov-3 Dec (+/- vs 12-18 Jun)
🟡 SNP: 33% (+2)
➡️ REF: 20% (+4)
🔴 LAB: 17% (-5)
🟢 GRN: 11% (+1)
🔵 CON: 11% (+1)
🟠 LD: 8% (-1)
Via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov-3 Dec (+/- vs 12-18 Jun)
So proud of my granddaughter being offered an unconditional place at Glasgow University for English and History only really possible by her hard work and free tuition fees offered by the SNP in Scotland 🏴🏴🏴
December 13, 2025 at 9:45 AM
So proud of my granddaughter being offered an unconditional place at Glasgow University for English and History only really possible by her hard work and free tuition fees offered by the SNP in Scotland 🏴🏴🏴
Mentioned a few times at other recent by-elections how now Reform UK voters are unwilling to transfer back to Labour. If we re-calc this as SNP vs Labour, we get (vs BE24 / LE 22):
SNP: 1356 (36.9%, +1.9 / -4.0)
Labour: 904 (24.6%, -15.6% / -20.9)
Didn't Transfer: 1415 (38.5%, +13.7 / +24.9)
SNP: 1356 (36.9%, +1.9 / -4.0)
Labour: 904 (24.6%, -15.6% / -20.9)
Didn't Transfer: 1415 (38.5%, +13.7 / +24.9)
December 13, 2025 at 2:58 PM
Mentioned a few times at other recent by-elections how now Reform UK voters are unwilling to transfer back to Labour. If we re-calc this as SNP vs Labour, we get (vs BE24 / LE 22):
SNP: 1356 (36.9%, +1.9 / -4.0)
Labour: 904 (24.6%, -15.6% / -20.9)
Didn't Transfer: 1415 (38.5%, +13.7 / +24.9)
SNP: 1356 (36.9%, +1.9 / -4.0)
Labour: 904 (24.6%, -15.6% / -20.9)
Didn't Transfer: 1415 (38.5%, +13.7 / +24.9)
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 30% (-1)
CON: 18% (-2)
GRN: 18% (=)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 10 Dec.
Changes w/ 3 Dec.
RFM: 30% (-1)
CON: 18% (-2)
GRN: 18% (=)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 10 Dec.
Changes w/ 3 Dec.
December 11, 2025 at 4:54 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 30% (-1)
CON: 18% (-2)
GRN: 18% (=)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 10 Dec.
Changes w/ 3 Dec.
RFM: 30% (-1)
CON: 18% (-2)
GRN: 18% (=)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 10 Dec.
Changes w/ 3 Dec.
An absolute impossibility to get a list seat. But if those SNP second votes went to the Scottish Greens, then they pick up 3 seats and the unionists lose 3 (Reform, LD and Tory). Thats a six seat indy supporting MSP swing.
SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 is the only sensible vote in your region.
SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 is the only sensible vote in your region.
December 14, 2025 at 4:18 PM
An absolute impossibility to get a list seat. But if those SNP second votes went to the Scottish Greens, then they pick up 3 seats and the unionists lose 3 (Reform, LD and Tory). Thats a six seat indy supporting MSP swing.
SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 is the only sensible vote in your region.
SNP 1 Scottish Greens 2 is the only sensible vote in your region.
Lifted in Scotland by our SNP government, as always Westminster following Scotlands lead.
December 11, 2025 at 9:29 PM
Lifted in Scotland by our SNP government, as always Westminster following Scotlands lead.
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 31% (=)
LAB: 20% (-1)
CON: 18% (+1)
LDM: 13% (+2)
GRN: 12% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 10-12 Dec.
Changes w/ 26-28 Nov.
RFM: 31% (=)
LAB: 20% (-1)
CON: 18% (+1)
LDM: 13% (+2)
GRN: 12% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 10-12 Dec.
Changes w/ 26-28 Nov.
December 13, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 31% (=)
LAB: 20% (-1)
CON: 18% (+1)
LDM: 13% (+2)
GRN: 12% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 10-12 Dec.
Changes w/ 26-28 Nov.
RFM: 31% (=)
LAB: 20% (-1)
CON: 18% (+1)
LDM: 13% (+2)
GRN: 12% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 10-12 Dec.
Changes w/ 26-28 Nov.
So pleased that the SNP are leading in the Scottish polls by a massive 17 points. This is what strong leadership looks like.
Stephen Flynn criticises Nigel Farage from attacking children who speak more than one language #BBCQT
"A man who aspires to be PM of these isle would pick a fight with school kids, would hold school kids up as an object to beat, absolutely repulses me and it should repulse all of you as well"
"A man who aspires to be PM of these isle would pick a fight with school kids, would hold school kids up as an object to beat, absolutely repulses me and it should repulse all of you as well"
December 12, 2025 at 8:38 AM
So pleased that the SNP are leading in the Scottish polls by a massive 17 points. This is what strong leadership looks like.
BBC Scotland output errors detrimental to the SNP
They don't apologise or correct errors and if they do the time-lapse nullifies the point of the correction/apology.
Why? because they're not errors, poor journalism, ineptness. It is editorial direction to manipulate public opinion.
archive.ph/TmFQb
They don't apologise or correct errors and if they do the time-lapse nullifies the point of the correction/apology.
Why? because they're not errors, poor journalism, ineptness. It is editorial direction to manipulate public opinion.
archive.ph/TmFQb
archive.ph
December 13, 2025 at 9:36 AM
BBC Scotland output errors detrimental to the SNP
They don't apologise or correct errors and if they do the time-lapse nullifies the point of the correction/apology.
Why? because they're not errors, poor journalism, ineptness. It is editorial direction to manipulate public opinion.
archive.ph/TmFQb
They don't apologise or correct errors and if they do the time-lapse nullifies the point of the correction/apology.
Why? because they're not errors, poor journalism, ineptness. It is editorial direction to manipulate public opinion.
archive.ph/TmFQb
They might not be perfect, But it beats the fuck out of me that so many in Scotland prefer Westminster parties than the SNP.
Westminster has had 300 years to get it right for us & they still make an arse of it & themselves. Mired in corruption, sleaze & sex scandals.
Surely we could do better?
Westminster has had 300 years to get it right for us & they still make an arse of it & themselves. Mired in corruption, sleaze & sex scandals.
Surely we could do better?
December 13, 2025 at 4:59 AM
They might not be perfect, But it beats the fuck out of me that so many in Scotland prefer Westminster parties than the SNP.
Westminster has had 300 years to get it right for us & they still make an arse of it & themselves. Mired in corruption, sleaze & sex scandals.
Surely we could do better?
Westminster has had 300 years to get it right for us & they still make an arse of it & themselves. Mired in corruption, sleaze & sex scandals.
Surely we could do better?
if i were the thought leaders of scottish unionism over the last decade i would personally contemplate whether i contributed to this at all by swearing oaths to all available gods that farage and the SNP are equally bad
Whitburn and Blackburn (West Lothian) by-election transfers, votes at final head-to-head stage:
Reform UK: 1411 (38.4%)
SNP: 1387 (37.7%)
Didn't Transfer: 877 (23.9%)
Just 24 votes in it after transfers!
Reform UK: 1411 (38.4%)
SNP: 1387 (37.7%)
Didn't Transfer: 877 (23.9%)
Just 24 votes in it after transfers!
December 12, 2025 at 5:44 PM
if i were the thought leaders of scottish unionism over the last decade i would personally contemplate whether i contributed to this at all by swearing oaths to all available gods that farage and the SNP are equally bad
Ipsos 27 Nov - 3 Dec seat projection (vs last poll / vs 2021 on new boundaries); AMS Ideal seats:
SNP ~ 60 (+1 / -3); 40
Lab ~ 19 (-4 / -2); 23
RUK ~ 17 (nc / +17); 23
Grn ~ 17 (+1 / +7); 21
Con ~ 11 (+4 / -20); 14
LD ~ 5 (-2 / +1); 8
(Projection caveats: ballotbox.scot/projections)
SNP ~ 60 (+1 / -3); 40
Lab ~ 19 (-4 / -2); 23
RUK ~ 17 (nc / +17); 23
Grn ~ 17 (+1 / +7); 21
Con ~ 11 (+4 / -20); 14
LD ~ 5 (-2 / +1); 8
(Projection caveats: ballotbox.scot/projections)
December 10, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Ipsos 27 Nov - 3 Dec seat projection (vs last poll / vs 2021 on new boundaries); AMS Ideal seats:
SNP ~ 60 (+1 / -3); 40
Lab ~ 19 (-4 / -2); 23
RUK ~ 17 (nc / +17); 23
Grn ~ 17 (+1 / +7); 21
Con ~ 11 (+4 / -20); 14
LD ~ 5 (-2 / +1); 8
(Projection caveats: ballotbox.scot/projections)
SNP ~ 60 (+1 / -3); 40
Lab ~ 19 (-4 / -2); 23
RUK ~ 17 (nc / +17); 23
Grn ~ 17 (+1 / +7); 21
Con ~ 11 (+4 / -20); 14
LD ~ 5 (-2 / +1); 8
(Projection caveats: ballotbox.scot/projections)
To all pro-Indy folk, I think this is worth reposting multiple times. It’s not disloyal to vote SNP 1 & Green 2, as the formula penalises parties who have more constituency MSPs.
Based on the table below, if Green gets those list votes, they gain 22 list MSPs!
#Scotland 🏴
#IndyRef2 🏴
#YouYesYet 🏴
Based on the table below, if Green gets those list votes, they gain 22 list MSPs!
#Scotland 🏴
#IndyRef2 🏴
#YouYesYet 🏴
This is what would happen if SNP votes switch their second vote to the Scottish Greens:
December 13, 2025 at 1:44 PM
To all pro-Indy folk, I think this is worth reposting multiple times. It’s not disloyal to vote SNP 1 & Green 2, as the formula penalises parties who have more constituency MSPs.
Based on the table below, if Green gets those list votes, they gain 22 list MSPs!
#Scotland 🏴
#IndyRef2 🏴
#YouYesYet 🏴
Based on the table below, if Green gets those list votes, they gain 22 list MSPs!
#Scotland 🏴
#IndyRef2 🏴
#YouYesYet 🏴