Stats for Lefties ππ³οΈββ§οΈ
@leftiestats.bsky.social
www.statsforlefties.com
Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman π³οΈββ§οΈ
Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman π³οΈββ§οΈ
Pinned
Israel is a violently racist nation packed with bloodthirsty child killers, and by allying with them Labour is directly complicit in the mass murder of tens of thousands of innocents.
This is simply a fact. Free Palestine.
This is simply a fact. Free Palestine.
π¨ NEW | Brits OPPOSE Trump's invasion of Venezuela by a whopping 30pt margin, reveals new poll.
β Approve: 21%
β Disapprove: 51%
Via @yougov.co.uk, 5 January 2026
β Approve: 21%
β Disapprove: 51%
Via @yougov.co.uk, 5 January 2026
January 5, 2026 at 8:11 PM
π¨ NEW | Brits OPPOSE Trump's invasion of Venezuela by a whopping 30pt margin, reveals new poll.
β Approve: 21%
β Disapprove: 51%
Via @yougov.co.uk, 5 January 2026
β Approve: 21%
β Disapprove: 51%
Via @yougov.co.uk, 5 January 2026
π¨ NEW | Keir Starmer is less popular in Britain than Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.
π‘ Maduro -31
β« Trump -56
π΄ Starmer -56
π© Hamas -58
Net favourability ratings via @YouGov, 4-5 Jan
π‘ Maduro -31
β« Trump -56
π΄ Starmer -56
π© Hamas -58
Net favourability ratings via @YouGov, 4-5 Jan
January 5, 2026 at 7:38 PM
π¨ NEW | Keir Starmer is less popular in Britain than Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.
π‘ Maduro -31
β« Trump -56
π΄ Starmer -56
π© Hamas -58
Net favourability ratings via @YouGov, 4-5 Jan
π‘ Maduro -31
β« Trump -56
π΄ Starmer -56
π© Hamas -58
Net favourability ratings via @YouGov, 4-5 Jan
π¨ NEW | MRP suggests Reform landslide
β‘οΈ REF: 381 (+376)
π΄ LAB: 85 (-326)
π΅ CON: 70 (-51)
π‘ SNP: 40 (+31)
π LD: 35 (-37)
π’ GRN: 9 (+5)
Reform MAJORITY of 115 seats
Via @Moreincommon_, 27 Nov-16 Dec (+/- vs GE24)
β‘οΈ REF: 381 (+376)
π΄ LAB: 85 (-326)
π΅ CON: 70 (-51)
π‘ SNP: 40 (+31)
π LD: 35 (-37)
π’ GRN: 9 (+5)
Reform MAJORITY of 115 seats
Via @Moreincommon_, 27 Nov-16 Dec (+/- vs GE24)
January 5, 2026 at 12:07 PM
π¨ NEW | MRP suggests Reform landslide
β‘οΈ REF: 381 (+376)
π΄ LAB: 85 (-326)
π΅ CON: 70 (-51)
π‘ SNP: 40 (+31)
π LD: 35 (-37)
π’ GRN: 9 (+5)
Reform MAJORITY of 115 seats
Via @Moreincommon_, 27 Nov-16 Dec (+/- vs GE24)
β‘οΈ REF: 381 (+376)
π΄ LAB: 85 (-326)
π΅ CON: 70 (-51)
π‘ SNP: 40 (+31)
π LD: 35 (-37)
π’ GRN: 9 (+5)
Reform MAJORITY of 115 seats
Via @Moreincommon_, 27 Nov-16 Dec (+/- vs GE24)
I support the Venezuelan revolution without hesitation or conditions, and the handwringing libs and soft left cowards who demand that we engage in performative denunciation of a besieged people should be dismissed as pathetic quisling fools
January 3, 2026 at 7:28 PM
I support the Venezuelan revolution without hesitation or conditions, and the handwringing libs and soft left cowards who demand that we engage in performative denunciation of a besieged people should be dismissed as pathetic quisling fools
The American Empire is a death machine, capable of nothing except destruction and genocide. Millions upon millions of lives have been snuffed out by American imperialism in the past two decades alone. Opposing the USA and calling for its downfall is a moral obligation.
January 3, 2026 at 7:28 PM
The American Empire is a death machine, capable of nothing except destruction and genocide. Millions upon millions of lives have been snuffed out by American imperialism in the past two decades alone. Opposing the USA and calling for its downfall is a moral obligation.
Over the past 25 years the US and their client states have marched into Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya + Palestine in the name of "freedom" + naked imperialism. Every single time they have left behind a wasteland where a proud civilisation once stood. Now they're doing it to Venezuela.
January 3, 2026 at 7:28 PM
Over the past 25 years the US and their client states have marched into Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya + Palestine in the name of "freedom" + naked imperialism. Every single time they have left behind a wasteland where a proud civilisation once stood. Now they're doing it to Venezuela.
For 20 years, the US Empire has tried to break the back of the socialist revolution in Venezuela because they refused to hand over their natural resources. This is the latest move in a decades-long campaign to shatter the resolve of the Venezuelan people, and it will fail too
January 3, 2026 at 3:06 PM
For 20 years, the US Empire has tried to break the back of the socialist revolution in Venezuela because they refused to hand over their natural resources. This is the latest move in a decades-long campaign to shatter the resolve of the Venezuelan people, and it will fail too
I fully support the Venezuelan people and President Maduro in resisting this unprovoked imperialist invasion. The US must be defeated and cast out. Long live the Bolivarian revolution, victory to the PSUV and the people of Venezuela
January 3, 2026 at 3:06 PM
I fully support the Venezuelan people and President Maduro in resisting this unprovoked imperialist invasion. The US must be defeated and cast out. Long live the Bolivarian revolution, victory to the PSUV and the people of Venezuela
π³οΈ Estimated #GE2029 result in Walesπ
β‘οΈ REF: 21 seats (+21)
π’ PLAID: 7 seats (+3)
π’ GRN: 2 seats (+2)
π΅ CON: 1 seat (+1)
π LD: 1 seat (-)
π΄ LAB: 0 seats (-27)
+/- vs GE2024
β‘οΈ REF: 21 seats (+21)
π’ PLAID: 7 seats (+3)
π’ GRN: 2 seats (+2)
π΅ CON: 1 seat (+1)
π LD: 1 seat (-)
π΄ LAB: 0 seats (-27)
+/- vs GE2024
January 1, 2026 at 10:39 AM
π³οΈ Estimated #GE2029 result in Walesπ
β‘οΈ REF: 21 seats (+21)
π’ PLAID: 7 seats (+3)
π’ GRN: 2 seats (+2)
π΅ CON: 1 seat (+1)
π LD: 1 seat (-)
π΄ LAB: 0 seats (-27)
+/- vs GE2024
β‘οΈ REF: 21 seats (+21)
π’ PLAID: 7 seats (+3)
π’ GRN: 2 seats (+2)
π΅ CON: 1 seat (+1)
π LD: 1 seat (-)
π΄ LAB: 0 seats (-27)
+/- vs GE2024
Genuinely incredible that Starmer leapt to introduce ID cards because he thought it would make him popular, and he is so toxic that he ending up make ID cards **unpopular**.
December 30, 2025 at 2:05 PM
Genuinely incredible that Starmer leapt to introduce ID cards because he thought it would make him popular, and he is so toxic that he ending up make ID cards **unpopular**.
π¨ NEW | For the first time on record, British voters now **oppose** a national ID card system.
β Support: 38% (-19)
β Oppose: 47% (+22)
Via @YouGov, 8 Dec (+/- vs 16 Jun)
β Support: 38% (-19)
β Oppose: 47% (+22)
Via @YouGov, 8 Dec (+/- vs 16 Jun)
December 30, 2025 at 2:01 PM
π¨ NEW | For the first time on record, British voters now **oppose** a national ID card system.
β Support: 38% (-19)
β Oppose: 47% (+22)
Via @YouGov, 8 Dec (+/- vs 16 Jun)
β Support: 38% (-19)
β Oppose: 47% (+22)
Via @YouGov, 8 Dec (+/- vs 16 Jun)
This is the first #GE2029 poll of Scotland to include "Your Party", and it has them on 1% and zero seats.
π’ GRN: 10% (+4)
π₯ YRP: 1% (+1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 11-19 Dec (+/- vs 21 Sep)
π’ GRN: 10% (+4)
π₯ YRP: 1% (+1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 11-19 Dec (+/- vs 21 Sep)
December 29, 2025 at 10:45 PM
This is the first #GE2029 poll of Scotland to include "Your Party", and it has them on 1% and zero seats.
π’ GRN: 10% (+4)
π₯ YRP: 1% (+1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 11-19 Dec (+/- vs 21 Sep)
π’ GRN: 10% (+4)
π₯ YRP: 1% (+1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 11-19 Dec (+/- vs 21 Sep)
π¨ #GE2029 poll points to Scottish Labour WIPEOUT:
π‘ SNP: 32% (+2)
β‘οΈ REF: 24% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 13% (-2)
π’ GRN: 10% (+4)
π΅ CON: 10% (=)
π LD: 8% (-1)
π₯ YRP: 1% (+1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 11-19 Dec (+/- vs 21 Sep)
π‘ SNP: 32% (+2)
β‘οΈ REF: 24% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 13% (-2)
π’ GRN: 10% (+4)
π΅ CON: 10% (=)
π LD: 8% (-1)
π₯ YRP: 1% (+1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 11-19 Dec (+/- vs 21 Sep)
December 29, 2025 at 10:43 PM
π¨ #GE2029 poll points to Scottish Labour WIPEOUT:
π‘ SNP: 32% (+2)
β‘οΈ REF: 24% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 13% (-2)
π’ GRN: 10% (+4)
π΅ CON: 10% (=)
π LD: 8% (-1)
π₯ YRP: 1% (+1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 11-19 Dec (+/- vs 21 Sep)
π‘ SNP: 32% (+2)
β‘οΈ REF: 24% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 13% (-2)
π’ GRN: 10% (+4)
π΅ CON: 10% (=)
π LD: 8% (-1)
π₯ YRP: 1% (+1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 11-19 Dec (+/- vs 21 Sep)
π¨ NEW | As 2025 draws to a close, Keir Starmer's net approval rating plunges to -50
β Approve: 16%
β Disapprove: 66%
(Source: rolling average of polls)
β Approve: 16%
β Disapprove: 66%
(Source: rolling average of polls)
December 26, 2025 at 10:01 PM
π¨ NEW | As 2025 draws to a close, Keir Starmer's net approval rating plunges to -50
β Approve: 16%
β Disapprove: 66%
(Source: rolling average of polls)
β Approve: 16%
β Disapprove: 66%
(Source: rolling average of polls)
π³οΈ How polls changed over last 12 months:
β‘οΈ REF: 29.1% (+8.1)
π΄ LAB: 19.4% (-8.7)
π΅ CON: 19.3% (-5.5)
π’ GRN: 13.0% (+4.9)
π LD: 12.8% (+0.8)
+/- vs December 2024
β‘οΈ REF: 29.1% (+8.1)
π΄ LAB: 19.4% (-8.7)
π΅ CON: 19.3% (-5.5)
π’ GRN: 13.0% (+4.9)
π LD: 12.8% (+0.8)
+/- vs December 2024
December 26, 2025 at 11:18 AM
π³οΈ How polls changed over last 12 months:
β‘οΈ REF: 29.1% (+8.1)
π΄ LAB: 19.4% (-8.7)
π΅ CON: 19.3% (-5.5)
π’ GRN: 13.0% (+4.9)
π LD: 12.8% (+0.8)
+/- vs December 2024
β‘οΈ REF: 29.1% (+8.1)
π΄ LAB: 19.4% (-8.7)
π΅ CON: 19.3% (-5.5)
π’ GRN: 13.0% (+4.9)
π LD: 12.8% (+0.8)
+/- vs December 2024
π¨ POLL AVERAGE | Reform lead by 9.7pts
β‘οΈ REF: 29.1% (+14.4)
π΄ LAB: 19.4% (-15.3)
π΅ CON: 19.3% (-5.1)
π’ GRN: 13.0% (+6.3)
π LD: 12.8% (+0.3)
+/- vs GE2024
β‘οΈ REF: 29.1% (+14.4)
π΄ LAB: 19.4% (-15.3)
π΅ CON: 19.3% (-5.1)
π’ GRN: 13.0% (+6.3)
π LD: 12.8% (+0.3)
+/- vs GE2024
December 24, 2025 at 12:26 PM
π¨ POLL AVERAGE | Reform lead by 9.7pts
β‘οΈ REF: 29.1% (+14.4)
π΄ LAB: 19.4% (-15.3)
π΅ CON: 19.3% (-5.1)
π’ GRN: 13.0% (+6.3)
π LD: 12.8% (+0.3)
+/- vs GE2024
β‘οΈ REF: 29.1% (+14.4)
π΄ LAB: 19.4% (-15.3)
π΅ CON: 19.3% (-5.1)
π’ GRN: 13.0% (+6.3)
π LD: 12.8% (+0.3)
+/- vs GE2024
π¨ POLL | Reform lead by 5pts
β‘οΈ REF: 25% (-3)
π΄ LAB: 20% (+2)
π΅ CON: 19% (+2)
π’ GRN: 15% (-2)
π LD: 15% (+1)
Via @YouGov, 21-22 Dec (+/- vs 14-15 Dec)
β‘οΈ REF: 25% (-3)
π΄ LAB: 20% (+2)
π΅ CON: 19% (+2)
π’ GRN: 15% (-2)
π LD: 15% (+1)
Via @YouGov, 21-22 Dec (+/- vs 14-15 Dec)
December 23, 2025 at 12:36 PM
π¨ POLL | Reform lead by 5pts
β‘οΈ REF: 25% (-3)
π΄ LAB: 20% (+2)
π΅ CON: 19% (+2)
π’ GRN: 15% (-2)
π LD: 15% (+1)
Via @YouGov, 21-22 Dec (+/- vs 14-15 Dec)
β‘οΈ REF: 25% (-3)
π΄ LAB: 20% (+2)
π΅ CON: 19% (+2)
π’ GRN: 15% (-2)
π LD: 15% (+1)
Via @YouGov, 21-22 Dec (+/- vs 14-15 Dec)
π¨ #GE2029 | Seat projection:
β‘οΈ REF: 238 (+233)
π΅ CON: 139 (+18)
π’ GRN: 83 (+79)
π LD: 68 (-4)
π‘ SNP: 46 (+37)
π΄ LAB: 38 (-373)
π’ PLAID: 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 11-15 Dec
β‘οΈ REF: 238 (+233)
π΅ CON: 139 (+18)
π’ GRN: 83 (+79)
π LD: 68 (-4)
π‘ SNP: 46 (+37)
π΄ LAB: 38 (-373)
π’ PLAID: 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 11-15 Dec
December 21, 2025 at 9:32 AM
π¨ #GE2029 | Seat projection:
β‘οΈ REF: 238 (+233)
π΅ CON: 139 (+18)
π’ GRN: 83 (+79)
π LD: 68 (-4)
π‘ SNP: 46 (+37)
π΄ LAB: 38 (-373)
π’ PLAID: 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 11-15 Dec
β‘οΈ REF: 238 (+233)
π΅ CON: 139 (+18)
π’ GRN: 83 (+79)
π LD: 68 (-4)
π‘ SNP: 46 (+37)
π΄ LAB: 38 (-373)
π’ PLAID: 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 11-15 Dec
π¨ NEW | Poll shows Greens ahead of Labour
β‘οΈ REF: 25% (-1)
π΅ CON: 22% (+2)
π’ GRN: 19% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 18% (=)
π LD: 10% (-1)
Via @LordAPolls, 11-15 Dec (+/- vs 17 Nov)
β‘οΈ REF: 25% (-1)
π΅ CON: 22% (+2)
π’ GRN: 19% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 18% (=)
π LD: 10% (-1)
Via @LordAPolls, 11-15 Dec (+/- vs 17 Nov)
December 21, 2025 at 9:31 AM
π¨ NEW | Poll shows Greens ahead of Labour
β‘οΈ REF: 25% (-1)
π΅ CON: 22% (+2)
π’ GRN: 19% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 18% (=)
π LD: 10% (-1)
Via @LordAPolls, 11-15 Dec (+/- vs 17 Nov)
β‘οΈ REF: 25% (-1)
π΅ CON: 22% (+2)
π’ GRN: 19% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 18% (=)
π LD: 10% (-1)
Via @LordAPolls, 11-15 Dec (+/- vs 17 Nov)
π¨ #GE2029 | Reform lead by 15pts
β‘οΈ REF: 33% (+3)
π΅ CON: 18% (=)
π’ GRN: 17% (-1)
π΄ LAB: 14% (=)
π LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 18 Dec (+/- vs 10 Dec)
β‘οΈ REF: 33% (+3)
π΅ CON: 18% (=)
π’ GRN: 17% (-1)
π΄ LAB: 14% (=)
π LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 18 Dec (+/- vs 10 Dec)
December 19, 2025 at 10:37 AM
π¨ #GE2029 | Reform lead by 15pts
β‘οΈ REF: 33% (+3)
π΅ CON: 18% (=)
π’ GRN: 17% (-1)
π΄ LAB: 14% (=)
π LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 18 Dec (+/- vs 10 Dec)
β‘οΈ REF: 33% (+3)
π΅ CON: 18% (=)
π’ GRN: 17% (-1)
π΄ LAB: 14% (=)
π LD: 11% (-1)
Via @FindoutnowUK, 18 Dec (+/- vs 10 Dec)
π¨ Seat estimate | Senedd poll (YouGov)
π’ PLAID: 40 (+18)
β‘οΈ REF: 37 (+37)
π΄ LAB: 7 (-37)
π΅ CON: 6 (-24)
π’ GRN: 4 (+4)
π LD: 2 (+2)
+/- vs notional 2021 result with new system
π’ PLAID: 40 (+18)
β‘οΈ REF: 37 (+37)
π΄ LAB: 7 (-37)
π΅ CON: 6 (-24)
π’ GRN: 4 (+4)
π LD: 2 (+2)
+/- vs notional 2021 result with new system
December 17, 2025 at 11:14 AM
π¨ Seat estimate | Senedd poll (YouGov)
π’ PLAID: 40 (+18)
β‘οΈ REF: 37 (+37)
π΄ LAB: 7 (-37)
π΅ CON: 6 (-24)
π’ GRN: 4 (+4)
π LD: 2 (+2)
+/- vs notional 2021 result with new system
π’ PLAID: 40 (+18)
β‘οΈ REF: 37 (+37)
π΄ LAB: 7 (-37)
π΅ CON: 6 (-24)
π’ GRN: 4 (+4)
π LD: 2 (+2)
+/- vs notional 2021 result with new system
π¨ NEW | Labour drop to 10% in Senedd poll:
π’ PLAID: 33% (+3)
β‘οΈ REF: 30% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 10% (-4)
π΅ CON: 10% (-1)
π’ GRN: 9% (+3)
π LD: 6% (=)
Via @YouGov, 28 Nov-10 Dec (+/- vs 4-10 Sep)
π’ PLAID: 33% (+3)
β‘οΈ REF: 30% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 10% (-4)
π΅ CON: 10% (-1)
π’ GRN: 9% (+3)
π LD: 6% (=)
Via @YouGov, 28 Nov-10 Dec (+/- vs 4-10 Sep)
December 17, 2025 at 11:13 AM
π¨ NEW | Labour drop to 10% in Senedd poll:
π’ PLAID: 33% (+3)
β‘οΈ REF: 30% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 10% (-4)
π΅ CON: 10% (-1)
π’ GRN: 9% (+3)
π LD: 6% (=)
Via @YouGov, 28 Nov-10 Dec (+/- vs 4-10 Sep)
π’ PLAID: 33% (+3)
β‘οΈ REF: 30% (+1)
π΄ LAB: 10% (-4)
π΅ CON: 10% (-1)
π’ GRN: 9% (+3)
π LD: 6% (=)
Via @YouGov, 28 Nov-10 Dec (+/- vs 4-10 Sep)
π¨ BREAKING | Former Labour Mayor and Your Party founder Jamie Driscoll has defected to Greens.
Driscoll said: "Iβm joining the Green Party because I see an organisation thatβs serious about running our country in the long-term interests of all our people.β
(Source: Greens)
Driscoll said: "Iβm joining the Green Party because I see an organisation thatβs serious about running our country in the long-term interests of all our people.β
(Source: Greens)
December 17, 2025 at 10:34 AM
π¨ BREAKING | Former Labour Mayor and Your Party founder Jamie Driscoll has defected to Greens.
Driscoll said: "Iβm joining the Green Party because I see an organisation thatβs serious about running our country in the long-term interests of all our people.β
(Source: Greens)
Driscoll said: "Iβm joining the Green Party because I see an organisation thatβs serious about running our country in the long-term interests of all our people.β
(Source: Greens)
URGENT: If you can make it to HMP Bronzefield PLEASE go, the state is trying to kill her
December 17, 2025 at 8:37 AM
URGENT: If you can make it to HMP Bronzefield PLEASE go, the state is trying to kill her
π¨ NEW | Zack Polanski has overtaken Jeremy Corbyn in favourability, according to the latest survey.
π’ Zack Polanski: 23% (+3)
π΄ Jeremy Corbyn: 21% (-2)
Via @YouGov, 14-15 Dec (+/- vs 16-17 Nov)
π’ Zack Polanski: 23% (+3)
π΄ Jeremy Corbyn: 21% (-2)
Via @YouGov, 14-15 Dec (+/- vs 16-17 Nov)
December 16, 2025 at 1:53 PM
π¨ NEW | Zack Polanski has overtaken Jeremy Corbyn in favourability, according to the latest survey.
π’ Zack Polanski: 23% (+3)
π΄ Jeremy Corbyn: 21% (-2)
Via @YouGov, 14-15 Dec (+/- vs 16-17 Nov)
π’ Zack Polanski: 23% (+3)
π΄ Jeremy Corbyn: 21% (-2)
Via @YouGov, 14-15 Dec (+/- vs 16-17 Nov)