Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️⚧️
@leftiestats.bsky.social
www.statsforlefties.com
Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman 🏳️⚧️
Stats and election analysis from a progressive, Marxist perspective. Run by Eleanora Folan (she/her). All opinions my own. Trans woman 🏳️⚧️
"Since 2024, Labour has lost almost 50% of its voters – representing 17pts in total. These defecting voters have split as follows:
➡️ REF – 4.7pts
🟢 GRN – 4.6pts
Labour is losing as many votes to the Greens as they are to Reform".
www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october
➡️ REF – 4.7pts
🟢 GRN – 4.6pts
Labour is losing as many votes to the Greens as they are to Reform".
www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october
November 7, 2025 at 7:54 PM
"Since 2024, Labour has lost almost 50% of its voters – representing 17pts in total. These defecting voters have split as follows:
➡️ REF – 4.7pts
🟢 GRN – 4.6pts
Labour is losing as many votes to the Greens as they are to Reform".
www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october
➡️ REF – 4.7pts
🟢 GRN – 4.6pts
Labour is losing as many votes to the Greens as they are to Reform".
www.statsforlefties.com/2025/11/07/poll-roundup-october
Projected seat totals:
➡️ REF – 357 seats (+352)
🟠 LD – 82 seats (+10)
🔴 LAB – 64 seats (-347)
🟡 SNP – 44 seats (+35)
🔵 CON – 41 seats (-80)
🟢 GRN – 20 seats (+16)
⚪️ IND – 16 seats (+11)
Based on @Moreincommon_ poll, 31 Oct-3 Nov
➡️ REF – 357 seats (+352)
🟠 LD – 82 seats (+10)
🔴 LAB – 64 seats (-347)
🟡 SNP – 44 seats (+35)
🔵 CON – 41 seats (-80)
🟢 GRN – 20 seats (+16)
⚪️ IND – 16 seats (+11)
Based on @Moreincommon_ poll, 31 Oct-3 Nov
November 5, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Projected seat totals:
➡️ REF – 357 seats (+352)
🟠 LD – 82 seats (+10)
🔴 LAB – 64 seats (-347)
🟡 SNP – 44 seats (+35)
🔵 CON – 41 seats (-80)
🟢 GRN – 20 seats (+16)
⚪️ IND – 16 seats (+11)
Based on @Moreincommon_ poll, 31 Oct-3 Nov
➡️ REF – 357 seats (+352)
🟠 LD – 82 seats (+10)
🔴 LAB – 64 seats (-347)
🟡 SNP – 44 seats (+35)
🔵 CON – 41 seats (-80)
🟢 GRN – 20 seats (+16)
⚪️ IND – 16 seats (+11)
Based on @Moreincommon_ poll, 31 Oct-3 Nov
Info on my seat model: statsforlefties.com/seatmodel
How my seat projection model works
Download the model here: Brand New SfL Model 1.0Download Under the first-past-the-post (FPTP) electoral system, the popular vote does not precisely translate into seats in Parliament. As a result, …
statsforlefties.wordpress.com
November 4, 2025 at 5:54 PM
Info on my seat model: statsforlefties.com/seatmodel
🚨 Estimated seat totals:
➡️ REF – 369 (+364)
🟠 LD – 81 (+9)
🔴 LAB – 50 (-361)
🟡 SNP – 46 (+37)
🔵 CON – 38 (-83)
🟢 GRN – 24 (+20)
🟢 PLAID – 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 16-20 Oct
➡️ REF – 369 (+364)
🟠 LD – 81 (+9)
🔴 LAB – 50 (-361)
🟡 SNP – 46 (+37)
🔵 CON – 38 (-83)
🟢 GRN – 24 (+20)
🟢 PLAID – 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 16-20 Oct
October 27, 2025 at 10:24 AM
🚨 Estimated seat totals:
➡️ REF – 369 (+364)
🟠 LD – 81 (+9)
🔴 LAB – 50 (-361)
🟡 SNP – 46 (+37)
🔵 CON – 38 (-83)
🟢 GRN – 24 (+20)
🟢 PLAID – 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 16-20 Oct
➡️ REF – 369 (+364)
🟠 LD – 81 (+9)
🔴 LAB – 50 (-361)
🟡 SNP – 46 (+37)
🔵 CON – 38 (-83)
🟢 GRN – 24 (+20)
🟢 PLAID – 7 (+3)
Based on @LordAPolls survey, 16-20 Oct
The party didn't exist when the poll was conducted
October 23, 2025 at 4:40 PM
The party didn't exist when the poll was conducted
🏳️⚧️ Who is the most trusted party on trans rights?
To nobody's surprise, it's The Green Party with a net trust rating of +52 amongst trans people. No other party has a positive rating (not even the LDs).
Via @YouGov / @GoodLawProject, 23 Jul-11 Aug
To nobody's surprise, it's The Green Party with a net trust rating of +52 amongst trans people. No other party has a positive rating (not even the LDs).
Via @YouGov / @GoodLawProject, 23 Jul-11 Aug
October 23, 2025 at 4:31 PM
🏳️⚧️ Who is the most trusted party on trans rights?
To nobody's surprise, it's The Green Party with a net trust rating of +52 amongst trans people. No other party has a positive rating (not even the LDs).
Via @YouGov / @GoodLawProject, 23 Jul-11 Aug
To nobody's surprise, it's The Green Party with a net trust rating of +52 amongst trans people. No other party has a positive rating (not even the LDs).
Via @YouGov / @GoodLawProject, 23 Jul-11 Aug