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Election Maps UK
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🗳️ Mapping UK Elections & Collating Polling Data

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🗺️ Nowcast Model: electionmaps.uk/nowcast
🧮 Custom Nowcast: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/custom
🗳️ Council By-Election Results: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
📈 Voting Intention Dashboard: electionmaps.uk/polling/vi
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 28% (-1)
CON: 22% (+2)
LAB: 21% (=)
LDM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-2)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 19-23 Dec.
Changes w/ 12-16 Dec.
December 24, 2025 at 11:57 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 25% (-3)
LAB: 20% (+2)
CON: 19% (+2)
LDM: 15% (+1)
GRN: 15% (-2)
SNP: 3% (-1)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 21-22 Dec.
Changes w/ 14-15 Dec.
December 23, 2025 at 9:38 AM
The Liberal Democrats held 82% of seats they defended in Council By-Elections in 2025 #ByElectionsWrapped

1) LDM (82%)
2) GRN (67%)
3) RFM (60%)
4) CON (32%)
5) LAB (28%)
December 23, 2025 at 9:35 AM
More seats were GAINED (56%) than HELD (44%) in Council By-Elections in 2025 #ByElectionsWrapped.
December 23, 2025 at 9:30 AM
The largest winning margin in a council by-election in 2025 was Reform over the Conservatives in Paulsgrove (Portsmouth). #ByElectionsWrapped
December 23, 2025 at 9:25 AM
Two council by-elections in 2025 were won by 1 vote - both times in favour of Labour #ByElectionsWrapped.
December 23, 2025 at 9:20 AM
The average turnout in council by-elections in 2025 was 30.0% #ByElectionsWrapped.

Lowest: Whalebone (Barking & Dagenham) - 12.3%
Highest: West Chesterton (Cambridge) - 50.7%
December 23, 2025 at 9:15 AM
Reform UK made a net gain of 94 seats in 2025, the most of any party (next closest was the Lib Dems on +21). #ByElectionsWrapped
December 23, 2025 at 9:10 AM
The Liberal Democrats won 106 Council By-Elections in 2025, more than any other party #ByElectionsWrapped

1) LDM 106
2) RFM 104
3) CON 45
4) LAB 36
5) GRN 24
December 23, 2025 at 9:05 AM
2025 Saw 652,475 votes cast across 347 Council By-Elections #ByElectionsWrapped
December 23, 2025 at 9:00 AM
Seats & Votes won in Council By-Elections in 2025:

🔶 LDM: 106 (+21), 20.2%
➡️ RFM: 104 (+94), 24.2%
🌳 CON: 45 (-24), 18.2%
🌹 LAB: 36 (-89), 16.3%
🌍 GRN: 24 (+6), 9.9%
⚫ Oth: 39 (-8), 11.3%
December 23, 2025 at 8:55 AM
Nowcast Update - Tories & Greens up as Labour hit post-election lows:

RFM: 330 (+325), 28.2% (10 Maj.)
LAB: 82 (-329), 17.8%
LDM: 77 (+5), 13.7%
CON: 55 (-66), 19.5%
SNP: 46 (+37), 2.7%
GRN: 26 (+22), 13.8%
PLC: 6 (+2), 1.0%
Oth: 9 (+4), 3.4%

electionmaps.uk/nowcast
December 21, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 27% (+12)
CON: 21% (-3)
LAB: 18% (-17)
LDM: 15% (+3)
GRN: 13% (+6)

Via @veriangroup.com, 12-15 Dec.
Changes w/ GE2024.
December 19, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Aggregate Result of the 190 Council By-Elections (for 193 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

RFM: 68 (+58)
LDM: 56 (+19)
CON: 21 (-23)
LAB: 14 (-44)
GRN: 14 (+2)
Ind: 9 (-6)
Local: 5 (-5)
SNP: 3 (-1)
PLC: 3 (=)

Explore: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
December 19, 2025 at 12:25 PM
Pakefield (Suffolk) Council By-Election Result:

➡️ RFM: 49.2% (New)
🌍 GRN: 19.4% (New)
🌳 CON: 13.6% (-20.6)
🌹 LAB: 12.5% (-27.4)
🔶 LDM: 5.2% (-9.1)

No Ind (-11.4) as previous.

Reform GAIN from Conservative.
Changes w/ 2024.
December 19, 2025 at 12:23 PM
Columb Minor & Colan (Cornwall) Council By-Election Result:

➡️ RFM: 31.7% (-4.2)
🙋 Ind: 25.3% (-4.1)
🔶 LDM: 23.0% (+14.6)
🌍 GRN: 13.4% (New)
🌳 CON: 5.7% (-11.2)
🌹 LAB: 0.7% (-7.8)
🙋 Ind: 0.2% (-0.8)

Reform HOLD.
Changes w/ 2025.
December 19, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Greenlands (Blackpool) Council By-Election Result:

➡️ RFM: 44.4% (+38.4)
🌳 CON: 22.6% (-17.2)
🌹 LAB: 21.9% (-22.7)
🌍 GRN: 6.0% (-3.5)
🔶 LDM: 3.4% (New)
🙋 Ind: 1.7% (New)

Reform GAIN from Labour.
Changes w/ 2023.
December 19, 2025 at 12:37 AM
Broad Oak (South Ribble) Council By-Election Result:

🔶 LDM: 65.9% (+0.4)
➡️ RFM: 21.4% (New)
🌳 CON: 7.7% (-9.5)
🌹 LAB: 5.0% (-12.2)

Liberal Democrat HOLD.
Changes w/ 2023.
December 19, 2025 at 12:35 AM
Market Harborough Logan (Harborough) Council By-Election Result:

🌳 CON: 34.7% (+3.3)
🌍 GRN: 26.9% (+4.8)
🔶 LDM: 20.2% (-7.0)
➡️ RFM: 14.7% (+0.1)
🌹 LAB: 3.2% (-0.1)
🔴 SDP: 0.3% (New)

No Ind (-0.7) or COM (-0.7) as previous.

Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat.
Changes w/ 2025.
December 19, 2025 at 12:33 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 33% (+3)
CON: 18% (=)
GRN: 17% (-1)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 11% (-1)
SNP: 2% (-1)

Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 17 Dec.
Changes w/ 10 Dec.
December 18, 2025 at 2:02 PM
Welsh Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 30% (+1)
PLC: 19% (-4)
LAB: 15% (-3)
GRN: 14% (+7)
CON: 13% (+2)
LDM: 8% (-1)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 28 Nov - 10 Dec.
Changes w/ 4-10 Sep.
December 18, 2025 at 12:29 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 29% (-1)
LAB: 21% (+1)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDM: 12% (-2)
GRN: 11% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 12-16 Dec.
Changes w/ 4-8 Dec.
December 17, 2025 at 9:34 AM
Senedd Voting Intention:

PLC: 33% (+3)
RFM: 30% (+1)
LAB: 10% (-4)
CON: 10% (-1)
GRN: 9% (+3)
LDM: 6% (=)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 28 Nov - 10 Dec.
Changes w/ 4-10 Sep.
December 17, 2025 at 8:21 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 28% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (+2)
LDM: 14% (=)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 14-15 Dec .
Changes w/ 7-8 Dec.
December 16, 2025 at 10:17 AM
For the final time this year, it's the council by-election preview!

This week's contests:

🌹 Greenlands (Blackpool)
➡️ St Columb Minor & Colan (Cornwall)
🔶 Market Harborough Logan (Harborough)
🔶 Broad Oak (South Ribble)
🌳 Pakefield (Suffolk)
December 15, 2025 at 12:29 PM