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Election Maps UK
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🗳️ Mapping UK Elections & Collating Polling Data

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🗺️ Nowcast Model: electionmaps.uk/nowcast
🧮 Custom Nowcast: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/custom
🗳️ Council By-Election Results: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
📈 Voting Intention Dashboard: electionmaps.uk/polling/vi
🚨 | Holyrood Nowcast:

🎗️ SNP: 58 (-6) - 34.6% | 27.8%
➡️ RFM: 22 (+22) - 18.8% | 19.0%
🌹 LAB: 17 (-5) - 16.3% | 16.8%
🌳 CON: 12 (-19) - 10.8% | 11.8%
🔶 LDM: 10 (+6) - 9.4% | 10.0%
🌍 GRN: 10 (+6) - 7.7% | 11.0%

Changes w/ 2021.
Explore: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/holy...
February 9, 2026 at 1:37 PM
Three council by-elections are taking place this week - one on Tuesday and two on Thursday.

🌹 Fishguard North East (Pembrokeshire)
🌳 Worth Valley (Bradford)
🌹 Fletton & Woodston (Peterborough)
February 9, 2026 at 12:17 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 31% (=)
LAB: 23% (+1)
CON: 16% (-1)
GRN: 13% (+2)
LDM: 10% (-3)

Via @opiniumresearch.bsky.social, 4-6 Feb.
Changes w/ 21-23 Jan.
February 8, 2026 at 12:06 PM
Scottish Westminster Voting Intention:

SNP: 28% (-3)
RFM: 23% (+2)
LAB: 20% (+3)
LDM: 12% (+1)
CON: 11% (=)
GRN: 6% (=)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 24 Jan - 3 Feb.
Changes w/ 21 Aug - 1 Sep.
February 7, 2026 at 12:14 AM
Holyrood Voting Intention:

Constituency:
SNP: 35% (-13)
RFM: 19% (New)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 11% (-11)
LDM: 10% (+3)
GRN: 5% (+4)

Regional:
SNP: 25% (-15)
RFM: 20% (+20)
LAB: 19% (+1)
LDM: 13% (+8)
CON: 12% (-12)
GRN: 9% (+1)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 24 Jan - 3 Feb.
Changes w/ 2021.
February 6, 2026 at 9:12 AM
Coleman St. (City of London) Aldermanic Election Result:

🙋 S. Saluga: 45.2%
🙋 L. Yueh: 31.4%
🙋 D. Wright: 13.1%
🙋 C. Hall: 6.7%
🙋 J. Wasu: 1.3%
🙋 J. May: 1.0%
🙋 D. Stringer-Lamarre: 0.6%
🙋 R. Thomas: 0.6%

Independent GAIN from Independent.
2019 Election Unopposed.
February 6, 2026 at 12:58 AM
Aggregate Result of the 202 Council By-Elections (for 205 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

RFM: 72 (+61)
LDM: 58 (+20)
CON: 23 (-24)
LAB: 16 (-46)
GRN: 15 (+2)
Ind: 9 (-6)
Local: 5 (-5)
SNP: 4 (-1)
PLC: 3 (-1)

Dashboard: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
February 6, 2026 at 12:44 AM
Ynys Gybi (Ynys Môn) Council By-Election Result:

➡️ RFM: 43.9% (New)
🌼 PLC: 25.0% (-3.7)
🌹 LAB: 12.5% (-11.3)
🌍 GRN: 8.6% (New)
🌳 CON: 8.2% (-13.1)
🙋 Ind: 1.9% (New)

No Ind (-26.3) as previous.

Reform GAIN from Plaid Cymru.
Changes w/ 2022.
February 6, 2026 at 12:37 AM
Clevedon South (North Somerset) Council By-Election Result:

🌹 LAB: 29.0% (-25.4)
➡️ RFM: 27.7% (New)
🌳 CON: 18.6% (-27.0)
🌍 GRN: 16.3% (New)
🔶 LDM: 8.3% (New)

Labour HOLD.
Changes w/ 2023.
February 6, 2026 at 12:21 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 31% (+2)
GRN: 18% (-1)
CON: 18% (+1)
LAB: 16% (-1)
LDM: 11% (=)
SNP: 2% (-1)

Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 4 Feb.
Changes w/ 28 Jan.
February 5, 2026 at 4:40 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 30% (-3)
CON: 22% (+3)
LAB: 17% (-2)
LDM: 14% (+3)
GRN: 14% (+2)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via Freshwater Strategy, 30 Jan - 1 Feb.
Changes w/ 9-11 Jan.
February 4, 2026 at 3:15 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 30% (+1)
LAB: 21% (-1)
CON: 20% (=)
LDM: 14% (+1)
GRN: 10% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 31 Jan - 2 Feb.
Changes w/ 23-25 Jan.
February 4, 2026 at 10:39 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 26% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-2)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 17% (+1)
LDM: 14% (=)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 1-2 Feb.
Changes w/ 25-26 Jan.
February 3, 2026 at 8:53 AM
Two council by-elections are taking place this week:

🌹 Labour Defence in Clevedon South (North Somerset)
🌼 Plaid Cymru Defence in Ynys Gybi (Ynys Môn)
February 2, 2026 at 11:41 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 30% (-3)
LAB: 22% (+4)
CON: 19% (+3)
GRN: 12% (-3)
LDM: 12% (=)

Via @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social, 22-27 Jan.
Changes w/ 30 Oct - 5 Nov.
February 1, 2026 at 12:34 PM
General Election Nowcast - 01/02/26:

RFM: 345 (+340), 29.5% (40 Maj.)
LAB: 94 (-317), 19.8%
LDM: 77 (+5), 12.4%
SNP: 44 (+35), 2.7%
CON: 39 (-82), 18.4%
GRN: 18 (+14), 12.6%
PLC: 8 (+4), 1.3%
Oth: 6 (+1), 3.2%

electionmaps.uk/nowcast
February 1, 2026 at 11:18 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 32% (+2)
LAB: 20% (-2)
CON: 17% (-3)
GRN: 13% (+1)
LDM: 11% (-1)
SNP: 3% (+1)

Via BMG Research, 28-29 Jan.
Changes w/ 26-27 Nov.
February 1, 2026 at 1:20 AM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 31% (+2)
CON: 20% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-3)
LDM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+1)

Via @survation.bsky.social, 28-29 Jan.
Changes w/ 10-14 Jan.
January 30, 2026 at 5:06 PM
Aggregate Result of the 200 Council By-Elections (for 203 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

RFM: 71 (+60)
LDM: 58 (+20)
CON: 23 (-24)
LAB: 15 (-46)
GRN: 15 (+2)
Ind: 9 (-6)
Local: 5 (-5)
SNP: 4 (-1)
PLC: 3 (=)

Dashboard: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
January 30, 2026 at 12:33 AM
Bearsden South (East Dunbartonshire) Council By-Election Result [1st Prefs]:

🔶 LDM: 38.1% (+14.9)
🎗️ SNP: 17.2% (-6.2)
➡️ RFM: 15.5% (New)
🌹 LAB: 14.2% (-1.9)
🌍 GRN: 8.1% (+0.9)
🌳 CON: 6.2% (-17.0)
🧑‍🧑‍🧒‍🧒 SFP: 0.8% (New)

No Inds (-4.7, -2.3) as prev.

Lib Dem 'Gain' from Con - Stage 5.
Changes w/ 2022.
January 30, 2026 at 12:25 AM
Holyrood Voting Intention:

Constituency:
SNP: 34% (+2)
RFM: 20% (+3)
LAB: 15% (-5)
CON: 10% (=)
LDM: 10% (=)
GRN: 9% (+1)

Regional:
SNP: 29% (=)
RFM: 20% (+2)
LAB: 15% (-6)
GRN: 12% (+2)
CON: 11% (+1)
LDM: 9% (-1)
ALBA: 1% (-2)

Via @yougov.co.uk, 8-14 Jan.
Changes w/ 13-19 Jun 2025.
January 29, 2026 at 5:25 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 29% (-3)
GRN: 19% (+2)
LAB: 17% (+3)
CON: 17% (-1)
LDM: 11% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 28 Jan.
Changes w/ 21 Jan.
January 29, 2026 at 4:27 PM
Gorton & Denton By-Election Voting Intention:

RFM: 36% (+22)
LAB: 33% (-18)
GRN: 21% (+8)
CON: 8% (=)
LDM: 3% (-1)

Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 26-27 Jan.
Changes w/ 2024.
January 28, 2026 at 5:49 PM
Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 29% (-2)
LAB: 22% (+2)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDM: 13% (=)
GRN: 10% (-1)
SNP: 3% (+1)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 23-25 Jan.
Changes w/ 16-19 Jan.
January 28, 2026 at 8:54 AM
This would result in a Parliament with 322 right-of-centre MPs and 320 left-of-centre MPs...
January 27, 2026 at 9:45 AM