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🗺️ Nowcast Model: electionmaps.uk/nowcast
🧮 Custom Nowcast: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/custom
🗳️ Council By-Election Results: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
📈 Voting Intention Dashboard: electionmaps.uk/polling/vi
RFM: 28% (-1)
CON: 22% (+2)
LAB: 21% (=)
LDM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-2)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 19-23 Dec.
Changes w/ 12-16 Dec.
RFM: 28% (-1)
CON: 22% (+2)
LAB: 21% (=)
LDM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-2)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 19-23 Dec.
Changes w/ 12-16 Dec.
RFM: 25% (-3)
LAB: 20% (+2)
CON: 19% (+2)
LDM: 15% (+1)
GRN: 15% (-2)
SNP: 3% (-1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 21-22 Dec.
Changes w/ 14-15 Dec.
RFM: 25% (-3)
LAB: 20% (+2)
CON: 19% (+2)
LDM: 15% (+1)
GRN: 15% (-2)
SNP: 3% (-1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 21-22 Dec.
Changes w/ 14-15 Dec.
1) LDM (82%)
2) GRN (67%)
3) RFM (60%)
4) CON (32%)
5) LAB (28%)
1) LDM (82%)
2) GRN (67%)
3) RFM (60%)
4) CON (32%)
5) LAB (28%)
Lowest: Whalebone (Barking & Dagenham) - 12.3%
Highest: West Chesterton (Cambridge) - 50.7%
Lowest: Whalebone (Barking & Dagenham) - 12.3%
Highest: West Chesterton (Cambridge) - 50.7%
1) LDM 106
2) RFM 104
3) CON 45
4) LAB 36
5) GRN 24
1) LDM 106
2) RFM 104
3) CON 45
4) LAB 36
5) GRN 24
🔶 LDM: 106 (+21), 20.2%
➡️ RFM: 104 (+94), 24.2%
🌳 CON: 45 (-24), 18.2%
🌹 LAB: 36 (-89), 16.3%
🌍 GRN: 24 (+6), 9.9%
⚫ Oth: 39 (-8), 11.3%
🔶 LDM: 106 (+21), 20.2%
➡️ RFM: 104 (+94), 24.2%
🌳 CON: 45 (-24), 18.2%
🌹 LAB: 36 (-89), 16.3%
🌍 GRN: 24 (+6), 9.9%
⚫ Oth: 39 (-8), 11.3%
RFM: 330 (+325), 28.2% (10 Maj.)
LAB: 82 (-329), 17.8%
LDM: 77 (+5), 13.7%
CON: 55 (-66), 19.5%
SNP: 46 (+37), 2.7%
GRN: 26 (+22), 13.8%
PLC: 6 (+2), 1.0%
Oth: 9 (+4), 3.4%
electionmaps.uk/nowcast
RFM: 330 (+325), 28.2% (10 Maj.)
LAB: 82 (-329), 17.8%
LDM: 77 (+5), 13.7%
CON: 55 (-66), 19.5%
SNP: 46 (+37), 2.7%
GRN: 26 (+22), 13.8%
PLC: 6 (+2), 1.0%
Oth: 9 (+4), 3.4%
electionmaps.uk/nowcast
RFM: 27% (+12)
CON: 21% (-3)
LAB: 18% (-17)
LDM: 15% (+3)
GRN: 13% (+6)
Via @veriangroup.com, 12-15 Dec.
Changes w/ GE2024.
RFM: 27% (+12)
CON: 21% (-3)
LAB: 18% (-17)
LDM: 15% (+3)
GRN: 13% (+6)
Via @veriangroup.com, 12-15 Dec.
Changes w/ GE2024.
RFM: 68 (+58)
LDM: 56 (+19)
CON: 21 (-23)
LAB: 14 (-44)
GRN: 14 (+2)
Ind: 9 (-6)
Local: 5 (-5)
SNP: 3 (-1)
PLC: 3 (=)
Explore: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
RFM: 68 (+58)
LDM: 56 (+19)
CON: 21 (-23)
LAB: 14 (-44)
GRN: 14 (+2)
Ind: 9 (-6)
Local: 5 (-5)
SNP: 3 (-1)
PLC: 3 (=)
Explore: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...
➡️ RFM: 49.2% (New)
🌍 GRN: 19.4% (New)
🌳 CON: 13.6% (-20.6)
🌹 LAB: 12.5% (-27.4)
🔶 LDM: 5.2% (-9.1)
No Ind (-11.4) as previous.
Reform GAIN from Conservative.
Changes w/ 2024.
➡️ RFM: 49.2% (New)
🌍 GRN: 19.4% (New)
🌳 CON: 13.6% (-20.6)
🌹 LAB: 12.5% (-27.4)
🔶 LDM: 5.2% (-9.1)
No Ind (-11.4) as previous.
Reform GAIN from Conservative.
Changes w/ 2024.
➡️ RFM: 31.7% (-4.2)
🙋 Ind: 25.3% (-4.1)
🔶 LDM: 23.0% (+14.6)
🌍 GRN: 13.4% (New)
🌳 CON: 5.7% (-11.2)
🌹 LAB: 0.7% (-7.8)
🙋 Ind: 0.2% (-0.8)
Reform HOLD.
Changes w/ 2025.
➡️ RFM: 31.7% (-4.2)
🙋 Ind: 25.3% (-4.1)
🔶 LDM: 23.0% (+14.6)
🌍 GRN: 13.4% (New)
🌳 CON: 5.7% (-11.2)
🌹 LAB: 0.7% (-7.8)
🙋 Ind: 0.2% (-0.8)
Reform HOLD.
Changes w/ 2025.
➡️ RFM: 44.4% (+38.4)
🌳 CON: 22.6% (-17.2)
🌹 LAB: 21.9% (-22.7)
🌍 GRN: 6.0% (-3.5)
🔶 LDM: 3.4% (New)
🙋 Ind: 1.7% (New)
Reform GAIN from Labour.
Changes w/ 2023.
➡️ RFM: 44.4% (+38.4)
🌳 CON: 22.6% (-17.2)
🌹 LAB: 21.9% (-22.7)
🌍 GRN: 6.0% (-3.5)
🔶 LDM: 3.4% (New)
🙋 Ind: 1.7% (New)
Reform GAIN from Labour.
Changes w/ 2023.
🔶 LDM: 65.9% (+0.4)
➡️ RFM: 21.4% (New)
🌳 CON: 7.7% (-9.5)
🌹 LAB: 5.0% (-12.2)
Liberal Democrat HOLD.
Changes w/ 2023.
🔶 LDM: 65.9% (+0.4)
➡️ RFM: 21.4% (New)
🌳 CON: 7.7% (-9.5)
🌹 LAB: 5.0% (-12.2)
Liberal Democrat HOLD.
Changes w/ 2023.
🌳 CON: 34.7% (+3.3)
🌍 GRN: 26.9% (+4.8)
🔶 LDM: 20.2% (-7.0)
➡️ RFM: 14.7% (+0.1)
🌹 LAB: 3.2% (-0.1)
🔴 SDP: 0.3% (New)
No Ind (-0.7) or COM (-0.7) as previous.
Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat.
Changes w/ 2025.
🌳 CON: 34.7% (+3.3)
🌍 GRN: 26.9% (+4.8)
🔶 LDM: 20.2% (-7.0)
➡️ RFM: 14.7% (+0.1)
🌹 LAB: 3.2% (-0.1)
🔴 SDP: 0.3% (New)
No Ind (-0.7) or COM (-0.7) as previous.
Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat.
Changes w/ 2025.
RFM: 33% (+3)
CON: 18% (=)
GRN: 17% (-1)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 11% (-1)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 17 Dec.
Changes w/ 10 Dec.
RFM: 33% (+3)
CON: 18% (=)
GRN: 17% (-1)
LAB: 14% (=)
LDM: 11% (-1)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 17 Dec.
Changes w/ 10 Dec.
RFM: 30% (+1)
PLC: 19% (-4)
LAB: 15% (-3)
GRN: 14% (+7)
CON: 13% (+2)
LDM: 8% (-1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 28 Nov - 10 Dec.
Changes w/ 4-10 Sep.
RFM: 30% (+1)
PLC: 19% (-4)
LAB: 15% (-3)
GRN: 14% (+7)
CON: 13% (+2)
LDM: 8% (-1)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 28 Nov - 10 Dec.
Changes w/ 4-10 Sep.
RFM: 29% (-1)
LAB: 21% (+1)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDM: 12% (-2)
GRN: 11% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 12-16 Dec.
Changes w/ 4-8 Dec.
RFM: 29% (-1)
LAB: 21% (+1)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDM: 12% (-2)
GRN: 11% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 12-16 Dec.
Changes w/ 4-8 Dec.
PLC: 33% (+3)
RFM: 30% (+1)
LAB: 10% (-4)
CON: 10% (-1)
GRN: 9% (+3)
LDM: 6% (=)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 28 Nov - 10 Dec.
Changes w/ 4-10 Sep.
PLC: 33% (+3)
RFM: 30% (+1)
LAB: 10% (-4)
CON: 10% (-1)
GRN: 9% (+3)
LDM: 6% (=)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 28 Nov - 10 Dec.
Changes w/ 4-10 Sep.
RFM: 28% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (+2)
LDM: 14% (=)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 14-15 Dec .
Changes w/ 7-8 Dec.
RFM: 28% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (+2)
LDM: 14% (=)
Via @yougov.co.uk, 14-15 Dec .
Changes w/ 7-8 Dec.
This week's contests:
🌹 Greenlands (Blackpool)
➡️ St Columb Minor & Colan (Cornwall)
🔶 Market Harborough Logan (Harborough)
🔶 Broad Oak (South Ribble)
🌳 Pakefield (Suffolk)
This week's contests:
🌹 Greenlands (Blackpool)
➡️ St Columb Minor & Colan (Cornwall)
🔶 Market Harborough Logan (Harborough)
🔶 Broad Oak (South Ribble)
🌳 Pakefield (Suffolk)