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britainelects.com
Britain Elects
@britainelects.com
27K followers 5 following 660 posts
Britain's leading aggregator for polling, forecasts and election results. Run by @bwalker.uk. Est. 2013 with the late, great, Lily Jayne Summers.
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britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 7pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 26% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-2)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 17% (+1)
LDEM: 14% (-)

via @YouGov, 02 Feb
Chgs. w/ 26 Jan
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
February 3, 2026 at 10:25 AM
britainelects.com
Has Labour been learning the lessons of the Reform ascendency? We have some findings from Ground Zero 👇

open.substack.com/pub/britaine...
February 3, 2026 at 9:48 AM
britainelects.com
Britain Elects poll tracker at the end of January

REF: 29%
LAB: 19%
CON: 19%
GRN: 14%
LDEM: 13%

> A less dramatic Reform drift than seen elsewhere
> Lab and Cons neck and neck for second

britainelects.com
January 31, 2026 at 1:40 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 11pts

REF: 31% (+2)
CON: 20% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-3)
LDEM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 12% (+1)

via @Survation, 29 Jan
Chgs. w/ 14 Jan
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 31, 2026 at 10:26 AM
britainelects.com
How Greater Manchester would vote in an election held today:

via Britain Predicts
January 25, 2026 at 11:42 AM
britainelects.com
✅ Conservative HOLD

Willaston and Thornton (Cheshire West and Chester) council by-election result:

CON: 53.8% (-7.1)
LAB: 17.2% (-9.3)
REF: 16.1% (+16.1)
LDEM: 7.1% (+2.4)
GRN: 5.8% (-2.2)

+/- 2023

Estimated turnout: ~45% (+1)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewspreviews.substack.com
January 22, 2026 at 11:49 PM
britainelects.com
Andrew Gwynne (Gorton and Denton) has now resigned as a Member of Parliament.
January 22, 2026 at 3:54 PM
britainelects.com
❗ Green GAIN from Reform

Tuesday's Horsley (Derbyshire) council by-election result:

GRN: 43.6% (+16.7)
REF: 35.5% (+0.6)
CON: 13.9% (-9.0)
LAB: 3.8% (-6.5)
ADV: 1.9% (+1.9)
LDEM: 1.4% (-2.0)

No Ind (-1.7) as prev.

+/- 2025

andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
January 22, 2026 at 7:13 AM
britainelects.com
❗ Reform GAIN from Labour

Tuesday's Codnor, Langley Mill and Aldercar (Amber Valley) council by-election result:

REF: 45.9% (+24.4)
LAB: 19.2% (-20.7)
ADV: 12.4% (+10.6)
CON: 10.0% (-15.3)
GRN: 5.9% (-5.5)
LDEM: 3.2% (+3.2)

+/- 2023

andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
January 22, 2026 at 7:11 AM
Reposted by Britain Elects
andrewteale.me.uk
It's by-election TUESDAY!
2 polls are taking place today: a RUK defence on Derbyshire CC, and a Lab defence elsewhere in Amber Valley district
All the salient points you need to know can be found in Andrew's Previews for @britainelects.com
andrewspreviews.substack.com/p/previewing...
Previewing the two Derbyshire by-elections of Tuesday 20th January 2026
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order"
andrewspreviews.substack.com
January 20, 2026 at 8:41 AM
Reposted by Britain Elects
ballotbox.scot
New Scottish Parliament poll, Norstat 13-16 Jan (vs 22-25 Sep):

List:
SNP ~ 29% (nc)
Lab ~ 17% (-1)
RUK ~ 16% (-2)
Con ~ 12% (-1)
Grn ~ 11% (+3)
LD ~ 9% (-1)
Alba ~ 4% (nc)

Constituency:
SNP ~ 35% (+1)
Lab ~ 19% (+2)
RUK ~ 17% (-3)
Con ~ 11% (+1)
LD ~ 9% (-2)
Grn ~ 7% (nc)
January 17, 2026 at 10:40 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 5pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 24% (-)
LAB: 19% (-)
CON: 18% (-2)
GRN: 17% (+3)
LDEM: 14% (-2)

via @YouGov, 18 - 19 Jan
Chgs. w/ 12 Jan
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 20, 2026 at 10:28 AM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 8pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 29% (-5)
LAB: 21% (-1)
CON: 19% (+2)
LDEM: 11% (-)
GRN: 11% (+3)

via @Survation, 10 - 14 Jan
Chgs. w/ 25 Sep
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 17, 2026 at 3:59 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 8pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 28% (-1)
CON: 20% (+2)
LAB: 19% (-)
LDEM: 15% (-1)
GRN: 13% (+1)

via @TechneUK, 14 - 15 Jan
Chgs. w/ 23 Oct
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 17, 2026 at 2:50 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 9pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 28% (-4)
CON: 19% (+1)
GRN: 18% (+1)
LAB: 15% (-)
LDEM: 12% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 14 Jan
Chgs. w/ 08 Jan
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 17, 2026 at 11:49 AM
britainelects.com
✅ Labour HOLD

Heworth (York) council by-election result:

LAB: 36.7% (-27.3)
REF: 20.1% (+20.1)
GRN: 19.8% (+4.5)
LDEM: 17.7% (+10.2)
CON: 4.0% (-9.1)
IND: 1.6% (+1.6)

+/- 2023

andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
January 16, 2026 at 12:48 AM
britainelects.com
❗ Reform GAIN from Liberal Democrat

Bridgemary (Gosport) council by-election result:

REF: 42.5% (+42.5)
LDEM: 40.5% (-8.0)
CON: 14.6% (-23.7)
LAB: 2.5% (-10.8)

+/- 2024

andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
January 16, 2026 at 12:43 AM
britainelects.com
Conservative MPs, former or current, who have defected to Reform since the General Election, and how their seats would vote today
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
January 15, 2026 at 5:53 PM
Reposted by Britain Elects
andrewteale.me.uk
It's by-election Thursday!
- 2 polls today, defences 1 Lab 1 LD
If you like explosives and/or chocolate, or fancy a tour of some unheralded parts of England, then this week's edition of Andrew's Previews is for you:
Previewing the Gosport and York local by-elections of 15th January 2026
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order"
open.substack.com
January 15, 2026 at 7:06 AM
britainelects.com
Robert Jenrick MP (Newark) has been suspended from the Conservative Party by party leader Kemi Badenoch x.com/KemiBadenoch...
x.com
January 15, 2026 at 11:09 AM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 4pts

Westminster voting intention

REF: 24% (-2)
CON: 20% (+1)
LAB: 19% (+2)
LDEM: 16% (-)
GRN: 14% (-1)

via @YouGov, 11 - 12 Jan
Chgs. w/ 04 Jan
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.substack.com
January 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 14pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 32% (+1)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 17% (-)
> LAB: 15% (-)
LDEM: 12% (-)

via @FindoutnowUK, 07 - 08 Jan
Chgs. w/ 31 Dec
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 8, 2026 at 5:32 PM
britainelects.com
Best party on the economy (Con vs. Lab only):

Neither/Unsure: 57% (-1)
Conservative: 23% (+1)
Labour: 20% (-1)

+/- with before the Budget.
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
It's official: Labour is now in third place
The party is no longer the default anti-Farage choice
www.newstatesman.com
January 7, 2026 at 11:45 PM
britainelects.com
The @bwalker.uk view | Your Party's voters have gone to another party.

So what next?
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
Your Party's future lies with Muslim voters
The nascent left-wing party could be the next RESPECT
www.newstatesman.com
January 7, 2026 at 7:46 PM
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 8pts
Westminster voting intention

REF: 31% (+3)
CON: 23% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-2)
LDEM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 10% (+1)

via @Moreincommon_, 02 - 05 Jan
Chgs. w/ 23 Dec
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
January 7, 2026 at 4:45 PM