Britain Elects
@britainelects.com
Britain's leading aggregator for polling, forecasts and election results. Run by @bwalker.uk. Est. 2013 with the late, great, Lily Jayne Summers.
📊 Ref lead of 8pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 29% (-1)
LAB: 21% (+1)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-2)
GRN: 11% (+1)
via @Moreincommon_, 12 - 16 Dec
Chgs. w/ 08 Dec
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 29% (-1)
LAB: 21% (+1)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-2)
GRN: 11% (+1)
via @Moreincommon_, 12 - 16 Dec
Chgs. w/ 08 Dec
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
December 17, 2025 at 9:54 AM
📊 Ref lead of 8pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 29% (-1)
LAB: 21% (+1)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-2)
GRN: 11% (+1)
via @Moreincommon_, 12 - 16 Dec
Chgs. w/ 08 Dec
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 29% (-1)
LAB: 21% (+1)
CON: 20% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (-2)
GRN: 11% (+1)
via @Moreincommon_, 12 - 16 Dec
Chgs. w/ 08 Dec
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 28% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (+2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
via @YouGov, 14 - 15 Dec
Chgs. w/ 08 Dec
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 28% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (+2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
via @YouGov, 14 - 15 Dec
Chgs. w/ 08 Dec
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
December 16, 2025 at 10:53 AM
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 28% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (+2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
via @YouGov, 14 - 15 Dec
Chgs. w/ 08 Dec
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 28% (+1)
LAB: 18% (-1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 17% (+2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
via @YouGov, 14 - 15 Dec
Chgs. w/ 08 Dec
britainelects.com
Reposted by Britain Elects
A ward with an interesting electoral history. See andrewteale.me.uk/iwbs for the figures and Andrew's Previews (link in OP) for the commentary.
December 12, 2025 at 1:29 PM
A ward with an interesting electoral history. See andrewteale.me.uk/iwbs for the figures and Andrew's Previews (link in OP) for the commentary.
❗ Reform GAIN from Labour
Whitburn and Blackburn (West Lothian) council by-election result:
REF: 32.0% (+32.0)
SNP: 28.0% (-10.7)
LAB: 17.1% (-20.3)
IND: 13.2% (+13.2)
CON: 3.5% (-15.0)
LDEM: 2.8% (+0.4)
GRN: 2.7% (-0.3)
IND: 0.7% (+0.7)
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Whitburn and Blackburn (West Lothian) council by-election result:
REF: 32.0% (+32.0)
SNP: 28.0% (-10.7)
LAB: 17.1% (-20.3)
IND: 13.2% (+13.2)
CON: 3.5% (-15.0)
LDEM: 2.8% (+0.4)
GRN: 2.7% (-0.3)
IND: 0.7% (+0.7)
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 12:14 PM
❗ Reform GAIN from Labour
Whitburn and Blackburn (West Lothian) council by-election result:
REF: 32.0% (+32.0)
SNP: 28.0% (-10.7)
LAB: 17.1% (-20.3)
IND: 13.2% (+13.2)
CON: 3.5% (-15.0)
LDEM: 2.8% (+0.4)
GRN: 2.7% (-0.3)
IND: 0.7% (+0.7)
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Whitburn and Blackburn (West Lothian) council by-election result:
REF: 32.0% (+32.0)
SNP: 28.0% (-10.7)
LAB: 17.1% (-20.3)
IND: 13.2% (+13.2)
CON: 3.5% (-15.0)
LDEM: 2.8% (+0.4)
GRN: 2.7% (-0.3)
IND: 0.7% (+0.7)
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Fort William and Ardnamurchan (Highland) council by-election result, first prefs:
LDEM: 40.4% (+3.0)
SNP: 29.1% (-4.4)
REF: 9.6% (+9.6)
GRN: 9.4% (-0.2)
CON: 7.6% (-2.4)
LAB: 3.8% (+3.8)
No Ind (-9.3) as prev.
+/- 2022
Seat change: LDem GAIN from SNP
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
LDEM: 40.4% (+3.0)
SNP: 29.1% (-4.4)
REF: 9.6% (+9.6)
GRN: 9.4% (-0.2)
CON: 7.6% (-2.4)
LAB: 3.8% (+3.8)
No Ind (-9.3) as prev.
+/- 2022
Seat change: LDem GAIN from SNP
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Fort William and Ardnamurchan (Highland) council by-election result, first prefs:
LDEM: 40.4% (+3.0)
SNP: 29.1% (-4.4)
REF: 9.6% (+9.6)
GRN: 9.4% (-0.2)
CON: 7.6% (-2.4)
LAB: 3.8% (+3.8)
No Ind (-9.3) as prev.
+/- 2022
Seat change: LDem GAIN from SNP
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
LDEM: 40.4% (+3.0)
SNP: 29.1% (-4.4)
REF: 9.6% (+9.6)
GRN: 9.4% (-0.2)
CON: 7.6% (-2.4)
LAB: 3.8% (+3.8)
No Ind (-9.3) as prev.
+/- 2022
Seat change: LDem GAIN from SNP
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Conservative HOLD
Eaglescliffe West (Stockton-on-Tees) council by-election result:
CON: 60.9% (+4.4)
REF: 24.0% (+17.6)
GRN: 7.6% (-0.2)
LAB: 7.5% (-21.8)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~40% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Eaglescliffe West (Stockton-on-Tees) council by-election result:
CON: 60.9% (+4.4)
REF: 24.0% (+17.6)
GRN: 7.6% (-0.2)
LAB: 7.5% (-21.8)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~40% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 12:01 PM
✅ Conservative HOLD
Eaglescliffe West (Stockton-on-Tees) council by-election result:
CON: 60.9% (+4.4)
REF: 24.0% (+17.6)
GRN: 7.6% (-0.2)
LAB: 7.5% (-21.8)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~40% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Eaglescliffe West (Stockton-on-Tees) council by-election result:
CON: 60.9% (+4.4)
REF: 24.0% (+17.6)
GRN: 7.6% (-0.2)
LAB: 7.5% (-21.8)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~40% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
❗ Reform GAIN from Labour
Red Hall and Lingfield (Darlington) council by-election result:
REF: 38.4% (+38.4)
CON: 17.2% (-22.7)
LDEM: 17.2% (+17.2)
LAB: 16.6% (-37.2)
GRN: 9.7% (+3.5)
IND: 1.0% (+1.0)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~28% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Red Hall and Lingfield (Darlington) council by-election result:
REF: 38.4% (+38.4)
CON: 17.2% (-22.7)
LDEM: 17.2% (+17.2)
LAB: 16.6% (-37.2)
GRN: 9.7% (+3.5)
IND: 1.0% (+1.0)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~28% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 12:00 PM
❗ Reform GAIN from Labour
Red Hall and Lingfield (Darlington) council by-election result:
REF: 38.4% (+38.4)
CON: 17.2% (-22.7)
LDEM: 17.2% (+17.2)
LAB: 16.6% (-37.2)
GRN: 9.7% (+3.5)
IND: 1.0% (+1.0)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~28% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Red Hall and Lingfield (Darlington) council by-election result:
REF: 38.4% (+38.4)
CON: 17.2% (-22.7)
LDEM: 17.2% (+17.2)
LAB: 16.6% (-37.2)
GRN: 9.7% (+3.5)
IND: 1.0% (+1.0)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~28% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Plaid Cymru HOLD
Penyrheol (Caerphilly) council by-election result:
PC: 60.1% (+6.3)
REF: 26.5% (+26.5)
LAB: 7.2% (-24.4)
CON: 4.2% (-10.4)
LDEM: 2.0% (+2.0)
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Penyrheol (Caerphilly) council by-election result:
PC: 60.1% (+6.3)
REF: 26.5% (+26.5)
LAB: 7.2% (-24.4)
CON: 4.2% (-10.4)
LDEM: 2.0% (+2.0)
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 11:58 AM
✅ Plaid Cymru HOLD
Penyrheol (Caerphilly) council by-election result:
PC: 60.1% (+6.3)
REF: 26.5% (+26.5)
LAB: 7.2% (-24.4)
CON: 4.2% (-10.4)
LDEM: 2.0% (+2.0)
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Penyrheol (Caerphilly) council by-election result:
PC: 60.1% (+6.3)
REF: 26.5% (+26.5)
LAB: 7.2% (-24.4)
CON: 4.2% (-10.4)
LDEM: 2.0% (+2.0)
+/- 2022
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
❗ Liberal Democrat GAIN from Independent
Yesterday's Seaton (East Devon) council by-election result:
LDEM: 39.3% (+19.2)
REF: 28.1% (+28.1)
CON: 24.8% (-5.6)
IND: 7.8% (-28.8)
No Lab (-12.9) as prev.
+/- 2023
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Yesterday's Seaton (East Devon) council by-election result:
LDEM: 39.3% (+19.2)
REF: 28.1% (+28.1)
CON: 24.8% (-5.6)
IND: 7.8% (-28.8)
No Lab (-12.9) as prev.
+/- 2023
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 11:57 AM
❗ Liberal Democrat GAIN from Independent
Yesterday's Seaton (East Devon) council by-election result:
LDEM: 39.3% (+19.2)
REF: 28.1% (+28.1)
CON: 24.8% (-5.6)
IND: 7.8% (-28.8)
No Lab (-12.9) as prev.
+/- 2023
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Yesterday's Seaton (East Devon) council by-election result:
LDEM: 39.3% (+19.2)
REF: 28.1% (+28.1)
CON: 24.8% (-5.6)
IND: 7.8% (-28.8)
No Lab (-12.9) as prev.
+/- 2023
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
❗ Reform GAIN from Independent
Yesterday's Belmont (South Kesteven) council by-election result:
REF: 33.4% (+33.4)
CON: 33.1% (+1.5)
IND: 20.0% (-29.0)
GRN: 8.5% (+8.5)
LAB: 4.9% (-14.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~21% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Yesterday's Belmont (South Kesteven) council by-election result:
REF: 33.4% (+33.4)
CON: 33.1% (+1.5)
IND: 20.0% (-29.0)
GRN: 8.5% (+8.5)
LAB: 4.9% (-14.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~21% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 11:56 AM
❗ Reform GAIN from Independent
Yesterday's Belmont (South Kesteven) council by-election result:
REF: 33.4% (+33.4)
CON: 33.1% (+1.5)
IND: 20.0% (-29.0)
GRN: 8.5% (+8.5)
LAB: 4.9% (-14.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~21% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Yesterday's Belmont (South Kesteven) council by-election result:
REF: 33.4% (+33.4)
CON: 33.1% (+1.5)
IND: 20.0% (-29.0)
GRN: 8.5% (+8.5)
LAB: 4.9% (-14.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~21% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
❗ Reform GAIN from Conservative
Aveland (South Kesteven) council by-election result:
REF: 41.0% (+26.5)
CON: 39.5% (-19.0)
GRN: 16.2% (+16.2)
LAB: 3.2% (+3.2)
No LDem (-26.9) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~35% (-4)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Aveland (South Kesteven) council by-election result:
REF: 41.0% (+26.5)
CON: 39.5% (-19.0)
GRN: 16.2% (+16.2)
LAB: 3.2% (+3.2)
No LDem (-26.9) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~35% (-4)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 11:56 AM
❗ Reform GAIN from Conservative
Aveland (South Kesteven) council by-election result:
REF: 41.0% (+26.5)
CON: 39.5% (-19.0)
GRN: 16.2% (+16.2)
LAB: 3.2% (+3.2)
No LDem (-26.9) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~35% (-4)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Aveland (South Kesteven) council by-election result:
REF: 41.0% (+26.5)
CON: 39.5% (-19.0)
GRN: 16.2% (+16.2)
LAB: 3.2% (+3.2)
No LDem (-26.9) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~35% (-4)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Conservative HOLD
Yesterday's Armitage with Handsacre (Lichfield) council by-election result:
CON: 46.7% (-6.3)
REF: 31.9% (+31.9)
LAB: 9.4% (-23.5)
LDEM: 7.3% (-6.8)
GRN: 4.7% (+4.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~22% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Yesterday's Armitage with Handsacre (Lichfield) council by-election result:
CON: 46.7% (-6.3)
REF: 31.9% (+31.9)
LAB: 9.4% (-23.5)
LDEM: 7.3% (-6.8)
GRN: 4.7% (+4.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~22% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
December 12, 2025 at 11:55 AM
✅ Conservative HOLD
Yesterday's Armitage with Handsacre (Lichfield) council by-election result:
CON: 46.7% (-6.3)
REF: 31.9% (+31.9)
LAB: 9.4% (-23.5)
LDEM: 7.3% (-6.8)
GRN: 4.7% (+4.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~22% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Yesterday's Armitage with Handsacre (Lichfield) council by-election result:
CON: 46.7% (-6.3)
REF: 31.9% (+31.9)
LAB: 9.4% (-23.5)
LDEM: 7.3% (-6.8)
GRN: 4.7% (+4.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~22% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Scottish Holyrood voting intention (const):
SNP: 35% (+1)
REF: 18% (+4)
LAB: 16% (-7)
CON: 11% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (-)
GRN: 9% (-)
via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov - 03 Dec
Chgs. w/ Jun
britainelects.com
SNP: 35% (+1)
REF: 18% (+4)
LAB: 16% (-7)
CON: 11% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (-)
GRN: 9% (-)
via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov - 03 Dec
Chgs. w/ Jun
britainelects.com
December 10, 2025 at 12:21 PM
Scottish Holyrood voting intention (const):
SNP: 35% (+1)
REF: 18% (+4)
LAB: 16% (-7)
CON: 11% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (-)
GRN: 9% (-)
via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov - 03 Dec
Chgs. w/ Jun
britainelects.com
SNP: 35% (+1)
REF: 18% (+4)
LAB: 16% (-7)
CON: 11% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (-)
GRN: 9% (-)
via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov - 03 Dec
Chgs. w/ Jun
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 9pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 21% (-)
LAB: 20% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (+1)
GRN: 10% (-1)
via @Moreincommon_, 04 - 08 Dec
Chgs. w/ 01 Dec
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 21% (-)
LAB: 20% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (+1)
GRN: 10% (-1)
via @Moreincommon_, 04 - 08 Dec
Chgs. w/ 01 Dec
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
December 10, 2025 at 12:15 PM
📊 Ref lead of 9pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 21% (-)
LAB: 20% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (+1)
GRN: 10% (-1)
via @Moreincommon_, 04 - 08 Dec
Chgs. w/ 01 Dec
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 21% (-)
LAB: 20% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (+1)
GRN: 10% (-1)
via @Moreincommon_, 04 - 08 Dec
Chgs. w/ 01 Dec
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 11pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 31% (-)
CON: 20% (+2)
GRN: 18% (+1)
LAB: 14% (-1)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
via @FindoutnowUK, 03 Dec
Chgs. w/ 26 Nov
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 31% (-)
CON: 20% (+2)
GRN: 18% (+1)
LAB: 14% (-1)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
via @FindoutnowUK, 03 Dec
Chgs. w/ 26 Nov
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
December 4, 2025 at 4:54 PM
📊 Ref lead of 11pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 31% (-)
CON: 20% (+2)
GRN: 18% (+1)
LAB: 14% (-1)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
via @FindoutnowUK, 03 Dec
Chgs. w/ 26 Nov
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 31% (-)
CON: 20% (+2)
GRN: 18% (+1)
LAB: 14% (-1)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
via @FindoutnowUK, 03 Dec
Chgs. w/ 26 Nov
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 7pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 26% (+1)
CON: 19% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-)
GRN: 16% (-)
LDEM: 14% (-1)
via @YouGov, 01 Dec
Chgs. w/ 24 Nov
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 26% (+1)
CON: 19% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-)
GRN: 16% (-)
LDEM: 14% (-1)
via @YouGov, 01 Dec
Chgs. w/ 24 Nov
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
December 2, 2025 at 11:22 AM
📊 Ref lead of 7pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 26% (+1)
CON: 19% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-)
GRN: 16% (-)
LDEM: 14% (-1)
via @YouGov, 01 Dec
Chgs. w/ 24 Nov
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 26% (+1)
CON: 19% (+1)
LAB: 19% (-)
GRN: 16% (-)
LDEM: 14% (-1)
via @YouGov, 01 Dec
Chgs. w/ 24 Nov
britainelects.com
❗ Reform GAIN from Conservative
Thursday's Hunstanton (King's Lynn and West Norfolk) council by-election result:
REF: 29.2% (+29.2)
LDEM: 25.6% (+25.6)
IND: 18.2% (-18.1)
CON: 17.8% (-22.2)
IND: 6.1% (+6.1)
LAB: 3.2% (-20.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~34% (-7)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Thursday's Hunstanton (King's Lynn and West Norfolk) council by-election result:
REF: 29.2% (+29.2)
LDEM: 25.6% (+25.6)
IND: 18.2% (-18.1)
CON: 17.8% (-22.2)
IND: 6.1% (+6.1)
LAB: 3.2% (-20.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~34% (-7)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 29, 2025 at 3:43 PM
❗ Reform GAIN from Conservative
Thursday's Hunstanton (King's Lynn and West Norfolk) council by-election result:
REF: 29.2% (+29.2)
LDEM: 25.6% (+25.6)
IND: 18.2% (-18.1)
CON: 17.8% (-22.2)
IND: 6.1% (+6.1)
LAB: 3.2% (-20.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~34% (-7)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Thursday's Hunstanton (King's Lynn and West Norfolk) council by-election result:
REF: 29.2% (+29.2)
LDEM: 25.6% (+25.6)
IND: 18.2% (-18.1)
CON: 17.8% (-22.2)
IND: 6.1% (+6.1)
LAB: 3.2% (-20.5)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~34% (-7)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Liberal Democrat HOLD
Thursday's Barnoldswick (Pendle) council by-election result:
LDEM: 59.8% (+1.5)
REF: 26.2% (+26.2)
CON: 10.1% (-11.7)
LAB: 3.9% (-11.1)
No Grn (-4.9) as prev.
+/- 2024
Estimated turnout: ~26% (-1)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Thursday's Barnoldswick (Pendle) council by-election result:
LDEM: 59.8% (+1.5)
REF: 26.2% (+26.2)
CON: 10.1% (-11.7)
LAB: 3.9% (-11.1)
No Grn (-4.9) as prev.
+/- 2024
Estimated turnout: ~26% (-1)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 29, 2025 at 3:41 PM
✅ Liberal Democrat HOLD
Thursday's Barnoldswick (Pendle) council by-election result:
LDEM: 59.8% (+1.5)
REF: 26.2% (+26.2)
CON: 10.1% (-11.7)
LAB: 3.9% (-11.1)
No Grn (-4.9) as prev.
+/- 2024
Estimated turnout: ~26% (-1)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Thursday's Barnoldswick (Pendle) council by-election result:
LDEM: 59.8% (+1.5)
REF: 26.2% (+26.2)
CON: 10.1% (-11.7)
LAB: 3.9% (-11.1)
No Grn (-4.9) as prev.
+/- 2024
Estimated turnout: ~26% (-1)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
❗ Reform GAIN from Labour
Thursday's Hetton (Sunderland) council by-election result:
REF: 45.2% (+45.2)
IND: 25.6% (-10.7)
LAB: 22.7% (-22.4)
LDEM: 4.2% (-2.0)
CON: 2.3% (-10.2)
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~29% (-)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Thursday's Hetton (Sunderland) council by-election result:
REF: 45.2% (+45.2)
IND: 25.6% (-10.7)
LAB: 22.7% (-22.4)
LDEM: 4.2% (-2.0)
CON: 2.3% (-10.2)
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~29% (-)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 29, 2025 at 3:41 PM
❗ Reform GAIN from Labour
Thursday's Hetton (Sunderland) council by-election result:
REF: 45.2% (+45.2)
IND: 25.6% (-10.7)
LAB: 22.7% (-22.4)
LDEM: 4.2% (-2.0)
CON: 2.3% (-10.2)
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~29% (-)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Thursday's Hetton (Sunderland) council by-election result:
REF: 45.2% (+45.2)
IND: 25.6% (-10.7)
LAB: 22.7% (-22.4)
LDEM: 4.2% (-2.0)
CON: 2.3% (-10.2)
+/- 2022
Estimated turnout: ~29% (-)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
📊 Ref lead of 6pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 25% (-2)
LAB: 19% (-)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 16% (-1)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
via @YouGov, 30 Dec
Chgs. w/ 17 Nov
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 25% (-2)
LAB: 19% (-)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 16% (-1)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
via @YouGov, 30 Dec
Chgs. w/ 17 Nov
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 25, 2025 at 2:28 PM
📊 Ref lead of 6pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 25% (-2)
LAB: 19% (-)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 16% (-1)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
via @YouGov, 30 Dec
Chgs. w/ 17 Nov
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 25% (-2)
LAB: 19% (-)
CON: 18% (+1)
GRN: 16% (-1)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
via @YouGov, 30 Dec
Chgs. w/ 17 Nov
britainelects.com
❗ Conservative GAIN from Green
Hale (Trafford) council by-election result:
CON: 46.5% (+9.7)
GRN: 38.1% (-9.6)
REF: 8.1% (+8.1)
LAB: 4.2% (-7.6)
LDEM: 3.1% (-0.6)
+/- 2024
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Hale (Trafford) council by-election result:
CON: 46.5% (+9.7)
GRN: 38.1% (-9.6)
REF: 8.1% (+8.1)
LAB: 4.2% (-7.6)
LDEM: 3.1% (-0.6)
+/- 2024
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 21, 2025 at 7:15 AM
❗ Conservative GAIN from Green
Hale (Trafford) council by-election result:
CON: 46.5% (+9.7)
GRN: 38.1% (-9.6)
REF: 8.1% (+8.1)
LAB: 4.2% (-7.6)
LDEM: 3.1% (-0.6)
+/- 2024
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Hale (Trafford) council by-election result:
CON: 46.5% (+9.7)
GRN: 38.1% (-9.6)
REF: 8.1% (+8.1)
LAB: 4.2% (-7.6)
LDEM: 3.1% (-0.6)
+/- 2024
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
❗ Green GAIN from Labour
Macclesfield Central (Cheshire East) council by-election result:
GRN: 41.8% (+19.7)
LAB: 28.6% (-25.7)
REF: 15.8% (+15.8)
CON: 9.1% (-4.5)
EQU: 2.5% (+2.5)
LDEM: 2.2% (-7.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~25% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Macclesfield Central (Cheshire East) council by-election result:
GRN: 41.8% (+19.7)
LAB: 28.6% (-25.7)
REF: 15.8% (+15.8)
CON: 9.1% (-4.5)
EQU: 2.5% (+2.5)
LDEM: 2.2% (-7.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~25% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 21, 2025 at 7:01 AM
❗ Green GAIN from Labour
Macclesfield Central (Cheshire East) council by-election result:
GRN: 41.8% (+19.7)
LAB: 28.6% (-25.7)
REF: 15.8% (+15.8)
CON: 9.1% (-4.5)
EQU: 2.5% (+2.5)
LDEM: 2.2% (-7.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~25% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Macclesfield Central (Cheshire East) council by-election result:
GRN: 41.8% (+19.7)
LAB: 28.6% (-25.7)
REF: 15.8% (+15.8)
CON: 9.1% (-4.5)
EQU: 2.5% (+2.5)
LDEM: 2.2% (-7.7)
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~25% (-10)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
✅ Labour HOLD
South Bank (Redcar and Cleveland) council by-election result:
LAB: 47.4% (-17.8)
REF: 44.3% (+44.3)
CON: 8.2% (-4.3)
No Ind (-22.2) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
South Bank (Redcar and Cleveland) council by-election result:
LAB: 47.4% (-17.8)
REF: 44.3% (+44.3)
CON: 8.2% (-4.3)
No Ind (-22.2) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
Andrew’s Previews | Andrew Teale | Substack
"All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order". Click to read Andrew’s Previews, by Andrew Teale, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
andrewteale.me.uk
November 20, 2025 at 11:34 PM
✅ Labour HOLD
South Bank (Redcar and Cleveland) council by-election result:
LAB: 47.4% (-17.8)
REF: 44.3% (+44.3)
CON: 8.2% (-4.3)
No Ind (-22.2) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
South Bank (Redcar and Cleveland) council by-election result:
LAB: 47.4% (-17.8)
REF: 44.3% (+44.3)
CON: 8.2% (-4.3)
No Ind (-22.2) as prev.
+/- 2023
Estimated turnout: ~23% (-3)
andrewteale.me.uk/previews
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 20% (-1)
LAB: 20% (-2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
GRN: 11% (+3)
via @Moreincommon_, 14 - 17 Nov
Chgs. w/ 19 May
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 20% (-1)
LAB: 20% (-2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
GRN: 11% (+3)
via @Moreincommon_, 14 - 17 Nov
Chgs. w/ 19 May
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 19, 2025 at 11:21 AM
📊 Ref lead of 10pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 20% (-1)
LAB: 20% (-2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
GRN: 11% (+3)
via @Moreincommon_, 14 - 17 Nov
Chgs. w/ 19 May
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 30% (-)
CON: 20% (-1)
LAB: 20% (-2)
LDEM: 14% (-)
GRN: 11% (+3)
via @Moreincommon_, 14 - 17 Nov
Chgs. w/ 19 May
britainelects.com
📊 Ref lead of 15pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (-1)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 16% (+2)
GRN: 15% (+3)
LDEM: 12% (-)
via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 05 Nov
Chgs. w/ 17 Sep
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (-1)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 16% (+2)
GRN: 15% (+3)
LDEM: 12% (-)
via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 05 Nov
Chgs. w/ 17 Sep
britainelects.com
Britain Elects | Substack
Cutting through the noise with Ben Walker. Click to read Britain Elects, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.
britainelects.com
November 17, 2025 at 10:21 PM
📊 Ref lead of 15pts
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (-1)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 16% (+2)
GRN: 15% (+3)
LDEM: 12% (-)
via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 05 Nov
Chgs. w/ 17 Sep
britainelects.com
Westminster voting intention
REF: 33% (-1)
LAB: 18% (-4)
CON: 16% (+2)
GRN: 15% (+3)
LDEM: 12% (-)
via @IpsosUK, 30 Oct - 05 Nov
Chgs. w/ 17 Sep
britainelects.com