Britain Elects
@britainelects.com
Britain's leading aggregator for polling, forecasts and election results. Run by @bwalker.uk. Est. 2013 with the late, great, Lily Jayne Summers.
How the most and least deprived parts of England and Wales voted in 2024, and would vote in an election today
Ben Walker | www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
Ben Walker | www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
October 31, 2025 at 11:29 AM
How the most and least deprived parts of England and Wales voted in 2024, and would vote in an election today
Ben Walker | www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
Ben Walker | www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
The polls, compared to two months ago:
Reform: 🔼 up 1pt
Labour: 🔽 down 2pts
Conservatives: 🔼 up 1pt
Lib Dems: ⏸️ no change
Greens: 🔼 up 3pts
Reform: 🔼 up 1pt
Labour: 🔽 down 2pts
Conservatives: 🔼 up 1pt
Lib Dems: ⏸️ no change
Greens: 🔼 up 3pts
October 26, 2025 at 3:02 PM
The polls, compared to two months ago:
Reform: 🔼 up 1pt
Labour: 🔽 down 2pts
Conservatives: 🔼 up 1pt
Lib Dems: ⏸️ no change
Greens: 🔼 up 3pts
Reform: 🔼 up 1pt
Labour: 🔽 down 2pts
Conservatives: 🔼 up 1pt
Lib Dems: ⏸️ no change
Greens: 🔼 up 3pts
Britain Elects poll tracker:
Labour (19%) now polling closer to the Greens (12%) than Reform (31%)
Labour (19%) now polling closer to the Greens (12%) than Reform (31%)
October 26, 2025 at 10:41 AM
Britain Elects poll tracker:
Labour (19%) now polling closer to the Greens (12%) than Reform (31%)
Labour (19%) now polling closer to the Greens (12%) than Reform (31%)
Britain Predicts | Gorton and Denton, how the seat would vote in an election today:
REF: 34% (+20)
LAB: 29% (-23)
GRN: 16% (+3)
LDEM: 8% (+4)
WPB: 7% (-3)
CON: 6% (-2)
Reform gain from Labour.
We have also modelled for a possibly Andy Burnham candidacy:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
REF: 34% (+20)
LAB: 29% (-23)
GRN: 16% (+3)
LDEM: 8% (+4)
WPB: 7% (-3)
CON: 6% (-2)
Reform gain from Labour.
We have also modelled for a possibly Andy Burnham candidacy:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
September 26, 2025 at 10:39 AM
Britain Predicts | Gorton and Denton, how the seat would vote in an election today:
REF: 34% (+20)
LAB: 29% (-23)
GRN: 16% (+3)
LDEM: 8% (+4)
WPB: 7% (-3)
CON: 6% (-2)
Reform gain from Labour.
We have also modelled for a possibly Andy Burnham candidacy:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
REF: 34% (+20)
LAB: 29% (-23)
GRN: 16% (+3)
LDEM: 8% (+4)
WPB: 7% (-3)
CON: 6% (-2)
Reform gain from Labour.
We have also modelled for a possibly Andy Burnham candidacy:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
Lib Dem conference this weekend:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
September 20, 2025 at 1:48 PM
Lib Dem conference this weekend:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...
Since last year, Nigel Farage's favourables among the under 50s has risen more than it has among the over 50s.
What's going on?
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
What's going on?
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
September 10, 2025 at 7:36 AM
Since last year, Nigel Farage's favourables among the under 50s has risen more than it has among the over 50s.
What's going on?
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
What's going on?
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
Three-way preference for Prime Minister:
Starmer (Lab): 33%
Farage (Ref): 30%
Badenoch (Con): 16%
via JL Partners Polls
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
Starmer (Lab): 33%
Farage (Ref): 30%
Badenoch (Con): 16%
via JL Partners Polls
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
September 9, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Three-way preference for Prime Minister:
Starmer (Lab): 33%
Farage (Ref): 30%
Badenoch (Con): 16%
via JL Partners Polls
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
Starmer (Lab): 33%
Farage (Ref): 30%
Badenoch (Con): 16%
via JL Partners Polls
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
At this point during their time in office [party] was Xpts ahead on the economy...
+19 | Conservative, 2019-24
+5 | Conservative 2010-15
+7 | Labour, 2005-10
+22 | Labour, 1997-01
-10 | Conservative, 1992-97
-1 | Labour today
Britain Elects Poll Tracker
britainelects.substack.com/p/who-do-you...
+19 | Conservative, 2019-24
+5 | Conservative 2010-15
+7 | Labour, 2005-10
+22 | Labour, 1997-01
-10 | Conservative, 1992-97
-1 | Labour today
Britain Elects Poll Tracker
britainelects.substack.com/p/who-do-you...
August 16, 2025 at 9:35 AM
At this point during their time in office [party] was Xpts ahead on the economy...
+19 | Conservative, 2019-24
+5 | Conservative 2010-15
+7 | Labour, 2005-10
+22 | Labour, 1997-01
-10 | Conservative, 1992-97
-1 | Labour today
Britain Elects Poll Tracker
britainelects.substack.com/p/who-do-you...
+19 | Conservative, 2019-24
+5 | Conservative 2010-15
+7 | Labour, 2005-10
+22 | Labour, 1997-01
-10 | Conservative, 1992-97
-1 | Labour today
Britain Elects Poll Tracker
britainelects.substack.com/p/who-do-you...
Our latest posts, free to read, on britainelects.com
August 6, 2025 at 7:13 AM
Our latest posts, free to read, on britainelects.com
How not to do polling
britainelects.substack.com/p/corbyn-vs-...
britainelects.substack.com/p/corbyn-vs-...
August 5, 2025 at 5:21 PM
How not to do polling
britainelects.substack.com/p/corbyn-vs-...
britainelects.substack.com/p/corbyn-vs-...
New polling: Corbyn bests Starmer among certain Reform voters. But not all.
Read here 👉 britainelects.substack.com/p/corbyn-vs-...
Read here 👉 britainelects.substack.com/p/corbyn-vs-...
August 5, 2025 at 4:10 PM
New polling: Corbyn bests Starmer among certain Reform voters. But not all.
Read here 👉 britainelects.substack.com/p/corbyn-vs-...
Read here 👉 britainelects.substack.com/p/corbyn-vs-...
NEW: We have been able to map support for Palestine by constituency
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
August 5, 2025 at 2:45 PM
NEW: We have been able to map support for Palestine by constituency
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
Corbyn vs. Starmer - who do voters prefer really?
👉 Now live on britainelects.com
👉 Now live on britainelects.com
August 5, 2025 at 10:09 AM
Corbyn vs. Starmer - who do voters prefer really?
👉 Now live on britainelects.com
👉 Now live on britainelects.com
Sunday reading: Starmer now polls worse in Wales than in England
britainelects.substack.com/p/death-spir...
britainelects.substack.com/p/death-spir...
August 3, 2025 at 8:42 AM
Sunday reading: Starmer now polls worse in Wales than in England
britainelects.substack.com/p/death-spir...
britainelects.substack.com/p/death-spir...
🏴 Our latest forecast: Reform and the Conservatives six seats short from a majority in the Senedd
👉 BRITAINELECTS.COM
👉 BRITAINELECTS.COM
August 2, 2025 at 12:53 PM
🏴 Our latest forecast: Reform and the Conservatives six seats short from a majority in the Senedd
👉 BRITAINELECTS.COM
👉 BRITAINELECTS.COM
🏴📊 New post:
britainelects.substack.com/p/death-spir...
britainelects.substack.com/p/death-spir...
August 2, 2025 at 8:44 AM
🏴📊 New post:
britainelects.substack.com/p/death-spir...
britainelects.substack.com/p/death-spir...
How Labour's collapse in competence on the economy compares to previous administrations...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
July 29, 2025 at 8:54 AM
How Labour's collapse in competence on the economy compares to previous administrations...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
On the proposed changes to welfare and PIP:
Support: 26%
Oppose: 40%
via @YouGov
Ben Walker's analysis:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
Support: 26%
Oppose: 40%
via @YouGov
Ben Walker's analysis:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
July 8, 2025 at 9:57 AM
On the proposed changes to welfare and PIP:
Support: 26%
Oppose: 40%
via @YouGov
Ben Walker's analysis:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
Support: 26%
Oppose: 40%
via @YouGov
Ben Walker's analysis:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
The polls, one year since the general election:
Reform: +14.1
Greens: +2.6
Lib Dems: +1.5
Conservatives: -6.7
Labour: -11.1
👉https://britainelects.substack.com/p/whos-ahead-in-the-polls
Reform: +14.1
Greens: +2.6
Lib Dems: +1.5
Conservatives: -6.7
Labour: -11.1
👉https://britainelects.substack.com/p/whos-ahead-in-the-polls
July 8, 2025 at 9:18 AM
The polls, one year since the general election:
Reform: +14.1
Greens: +2.6
Lib Dems: +1.5
Conservatives: -6.7
Labour: -11.1
👉https://britainelects.substack.com/p/whos-ahead-in-the-polls
Reform: +14.1
Greens: +2.6
Lib Dems: +1.5
Conservatives: -6.7
Labour: -11.1
👉https://britainelects.substack.com/p/whos-ahead-in-the-polls
July 5, 2025 at 8:17 AM
Would a Corbyn led party get 10%?
There are problems with hypothetical polling. You should take those seriously.
But another thing:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
There are problems with hypothetical polling. You should take those seriously.
But another thing:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
July 4, 2025 at 6:43 AM
Would a Corbyn led party get 10%?
There are problems with hypothetical polling. You should take those seriously.
But another thing:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
There are problems with hypothetical polling. You should take those seriously.
But another thing:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
How the Prime Minister's net favourables compare to previous premiers, one year into the top job:
-33 | Starmer
-27 | Sunak
-1 | Johnson
-2 | May
-6 | Cameron
-44 | Brown
+44 | Blair
+18 | Major
-8 | Thatcher
britainelects.substack.com/p/how-popula...
-33 | Starmer
-27 | Sunak
-1 | Johnson
-2 | May
-6 | Cameron
-44 | Brown
+44 | Blair
+18 | Major
-8 | Thatcher
britainelects.substack.com/p/how-popula...
July 3, 2025 at 2:17 PM
How the Prime Minister's net favourables compare to previous premiers, one year into the top job:
-33 | Starmer
-27 | Sunak
-1 | Johnson
-2 | May
-6 | Cameron
-44 | Brown
+44 | Blair
+18 | Major
-8 | Thatcher
britainelects.substack.com/p/how-popula...
-33 | Starmer
-27 | Sunak
-1 | Johnson
-2 | May
-6 | Cameron
-44 | Brown
+44 | Blair
+18 | Major
-8 | Thatcher
britainelects.substack.com/p/how-popula...
Rewind to 2003 and 1992. Public opinion to intervention in Bosnia and Iraq:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
June 24, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Rewind to 2003 and 1992. Public opinion to intervention in Bosnia and Iraq:
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
The public opinion summation:
"Britain wants no part in Israel’s war"
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
"Britain wants no part in Israel’s war"
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
June 24, 2025 at 11:26 AM
The public opinion summation:
"Britain wants no part in Israel’s war"
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
"Britain wants no part in Israel’s war"
www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...
