Justin Schultz
@justinschultzwx.bsky.social
NWS Lead Meteorologist. Husband, father (x2), film critic. My posts are my own. BS/MS Meteorology from Iowa State University. Go Cyclones! 🌪 Go Hawks! 🐤
Spectacular aurora tonight in eastern Iowa! This is probably the best aurora I have ever seen.
November 12, 2025 at 5:09 AM
Spectacular aurora tonight in eastern Iowa! This is probably the best aurora I have ever seen.
Today marks the 50th anniversary of the wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald on #LakeSuperior. If you haven't seen this, here is a phenomenal GIS Story Map of the Fitzgerald's final voyage, courtesy of my colleagues at the @nws.noaa.gov office in Marquette, MI.
arcg.is/aWzH0
arcg.is/aWzH0
Story Map Series
This story map was created with the Story Map Series application in ArcGIS Online.
arcg.is
November 10, 2025 at 9:00 PM
Today marks the 50th anniversary of the wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald on #LakeSuperior. If you haven't seen this, here is a phenomenal GIS Story Map of the Fitzgerald's final voyage, courtesy of my colleagues at the @nws.noaa.gov office in Marquette, MI.
arcg.is/aWzH0
arcg.is/aWzH0
Reposted by Justin Schultz
Have you winterized your home this season? Here are some tips you can use to prepare your home for the cold weather coming. Learn more at weather.gov/safety.
November 7, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Have you winterized your home this season? Here are some tips you can use to prepare your home for the cold weather coming. Learn more at weather.gov/safety.
This picture is giving off Pops from Regular Show vibes.
October 24, 2025 at 6:46 AM
This picture is giving off Pops from Regular Show vibes.
The annual winter outlook from @nws.noaa.gov just dropped!
NOAA’s National Weather Service Winter Outlook has been released.
This outlook shows the likely temperature and precipitation the U.S. could experience during meteorological winter (December 1, 2025 through February 28, 2026) and drought conditions through January 31, 2026.
This outlook shows the likely temperature and precipitation the U.S. could experience during meteorological winter (December 1, 2025 through February 28, 2026) and drought conditions through January 31, 2026.
October 16, 2025 at 4:50 PM
The annual winter outlook from @nws.noaa.gov just dropped!
The June 20, 2025 Enderlin, ND tornado was just upgraded to an EF-5 earlier this morning. This breaks the 12 year drought of EF-5 tornadoes in the US (last was the May 20, 2013 Moore, OK tornado).
www.weather.gov/media/fgf/En...
www.weather.gov/media/fgf/En...
www.weather.gov
October 6, 2025 at 5:03 PM
The June 20, 2025 Enderlin, ND tornado was just upgraded to an EF-5 earlier this morning. This breaks the 12 year drought of EF-5 tornadoes in the US (last was the May 20, 2013 Moore, OK tornado).
www.weather.gov/media/fgf/En...
www.weather.gov/media/fgf/En...
I saw this report on NBC Nightly News this evening. I used to have Aetna for my health insurance, and frankly, their actions in this story are not surprising. Glad I dropped them years ago.
www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...
www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...
Her spine surgery was denied. Doctors say it's all too common.
Insurance denied 18-year-old Nala White’s surgery for degenerative disc disease. After NBC News reached out, it was approved the next day.
www.nbcnews.com
August 20, 2025 at 10:59 PM
I saw this report on NBC Nightly News this evening. I used to have Aetna for my health insurance, and frankly, their actions in this story are not surprising. Glad I dropped them years ago.
www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...
www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...
Reposted by Justin Schultz
WTAF
(Reuters) - FEMA staff left baffled after the disaster agency's head said during a briefing that he hadn't been aware the US has a hurricane season. https://www.reuters.com/world/us/fema-staff-confused-after-head-said-he-was-unaware-us-hurricane-season-sources-2025-06-02/
Exclusive: FEMA staff confused after head said he was unaware of US hurricane season, sources say
Staff of the Federal Emergency Management Agency were left baffled on Monday after the head of the U.S. disaster agency said during a briefing that he had not been aware the country has a hurricane season, according to four sources familiar with the situation.
www.reuters.com
June 2, 2025 at 9:37 PM
WTAF
Reposted by Justin Schultz
National Weather Service hydrologist W. Scott Lincoln has put together a technical report on the Midwest dust event which brought dust storm conditions to Chicago earlier this month.
www.weather.gov/media/lot/ev...
www.weather.gov/media/lot/ev...
www.weather.gov
May 30, 2025 at 11:51 PM
National Weather Service hydrologist W. Scott Lincoln has put together a technical report on the Midwest dust event which brought dust storm conditions to Chicago earlier this month.
www.weather.gov/media/lot/ev...
www.weather.gov/media/lot/ev...
Reposted by Justin Schultz
Year to date (1/1-5/22), @nws.noaa.gov offices have issued 10,939 #SevereThunderstorm and #Tornado Warnings, slightly ahead of 2011. Of those, 2,126 (19.5%) were issued in the last week alone. I want to express thanks to my colleagues, #meteorologists, EMs, & first responders for their hard work!
May 22, 2025 at 11:34 AM
Year to date (1/1-5/22), @nws.noaa.gov offices have issued 10,939 #SevereThunderstorm and #Tornado Warnings, slightly ahead of 2011. Of those, 2,126 (19.5%) were issued in the last week alone. I want to express thanks to my colleagues, #meteorologists, EMs, & first responders for their hard work!
This is quite the video of a UAV flying inside a tornado. For a split second, you can actually see multiple suction vortices as it broke through the outer wall of the tornado.
The eye of the Arnett, OK tornado, captured by one of our UAVs as it collected scientific data on the environment within.
May 19, 2025 at 6:18 PM
This is quite the video of a UAV flying inside a tornado. For a split second, you can actually see multiple suction vortices as it broke through the outer wall of the tornado.
This is something. Watch the background just SHIFT during this earthquake!
I am speechless...
>> First fault movement ever filmed. M7.9 surface rupture filmed near Thazi, Myanmar
m.youtube.com/watch?v=77ub...
>> First fault movement ever filmed. M7.9 surface rupture filmed near Thazi, Myanmar
m.youtube.com/watch?v=77ub...
First fault movement ever filmed. M7.9 surface rupture filmed near Thazi, Myanmar
YouTube video by 2025 Sagaing Earthquake Archive
m.youtube.com
May 12, 2025 at 4:02 PM
This is something. Watch the background just SHIFT during this earthquake!
Today, I said goodbye to two of my NWS Quad Cities colleagues as they head off to retirement, along with three others in my office over the past few months. This video by Cole Vaughn is an excellent tribute to those leaving NOAA. Thank you all for your service to America! 🫡 🇺🇲
What a wonderful video from Cole Vaughn in tribute to all of the many NOAA staff leaving federal service this week. To all of my colleagues, thank you for your service, and I hope you are as proud of NOAA and our work as I am.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Si-R...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Si-R...
Dear NOAA: Thank You
YouTube video by Cole Vaughn
www.youtube.com
April 30, 2025 at 9:49 PM
Today, I said goodbye to two of my NWS Quad Cities colleagues as they head off to retirement, along with three others in my office over the past few months. This video by Cole Vaughn is an excellent tribute to those leaving NOAA. Thank you all for your service to America! 🫡 🇺🇲
Reposted by Justin Schultz
An accounting of the frequency of a given watch probability value within Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Convective Discussions that contain such a probability.
April 16, 2025 at 10:53 PM
An accounting of the frequency of a given watch probability value within Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Convective Discussions that contain such a probability.
My heart goes out to my colleagues in the southern Mississippi River region. I did a brief forecaster exchange with WFO Memphis a few years ago, and they were such great hosts to me. Seeing them go through a historic weather event like this is just heartbreaking. @nws.noaa.gov
April 4, 2025 at 8:56 PM
My heart goes out to my colleagues in the southern Mississippi River region. I did a brief forecaster exchange with WFO Memphis a few years ago, and they were such great hosts to me. Seeing them go through a historic weather event like this is just heartbreaking. @nws.noaa.gov
Oof, that is a lot of rainfall coming for the mid-Mississippi River Valley. 15+" possible over the next few days! Classic training convection signal with copious amounts of Gulf moisture into a baroclinic zone. 😬
April 1, 2025 at 12:58 PM
Oof, that is a lot of rainfall coming for the mid-Mississippi River Valley. 15+" possible over the next few days! Classic training convection signal with copious amounts of Gulf moisture into a baroclinic zone. 😬
Interesting analysis here. No wonder the FV3 is always so damn aggressive with CI.
The biases of the HRRR, NAM3k, and FV3 in boundary layer mixing, in one gif:
(This is for Tuesday afternoon on the Oklahoma dryline)
(This is for Tuesday afternoon on the Oklahoma dryline)
March 31, 2025 at 11:26 PM
Interesting analysis here. No wonder the FV3 is always so damn aggressive with CI.
Reposted by Justin Schultz
Today marks the 100th anniversary of the #TriStateTornado* of 1925, which took 695 lives. NWS Paducah, KY assembled this web page about the tornado and the advances in meteorological science that it inspired:
www.weather.gov/pah/1925torn...
*likely tornadoes, plural, see below
www.weather.gov/pah/1925torn...
*likely tornadoes, plural, see below
1925 Tri-State Tornado
www.weather.gov
March 18, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Today marks the 100th anniversary of the #TriStateTornado* of 1925, which took 695 lives. NWS Paducah, KY assembled this web page about the tornado and the advances in meteorological science that it inspired:
www.weather.gov/pah/1925torn...
*likely tornadoes, plural, see below
www.weather.gov/pah/1925torn...
*likely tornadoes, plural, see below
Reposted by Justin Schultz
Some early, subjective verification for the Level 4 - Moderate risk severe weather outbreak across the Mississippi Valley. Storm reports will continue to come in over the next day or two.
March 15, 2025 at 1:53 PM
Some early, subjective verification for the Level 4 - Moderate risk severe weather outbreak across the Mississippi Valley. Storm reports will continue to come in over the next day or two.
An excellent video by ABC New's Ginger Zee about the importance of the National Weather Service. youtu.be/qPrJgJorKMU?...
Here’s how National Weather Service layoffs could impact your forecast
YouTube video by ABC News
youtu.be
March 7, 2025 at 7:27 PM
An excellent video by ABC New's Ginger Zee about the importance of the National Weather Service. youtu.be/qPrJgJorKMU?...
Reposted by Justin Schultz
So for the first time in Warn-on-Forecast history, THREE simultaneous domains are being run in realtime to capture different weather regimes (fire, severe, and winter). Time to push the limits on what can be done with this cloud-based system!
Forecasts: cbwofs.nssl.noaa.gov/Forecast
Forecasts: cbwofs.nssl.noaa.gov/Forecast
March 4, 2025 at 5:24 PM
So for the first time in Warn-on-Forecast history, THREE simultaneous domains are being run in realtime to capture different weather regimes (fire, severe, and winter). Time to push the limits on what can be done with this cloud-based system!
Forecasts: cbwofs.nssl.noaa.gov/Forecast
Forecasts: cbwofs.nssl.noaa.gov/Forecast