Dr. Stephen Bieda III
@drwildcatwx.bsky.social
#Meteorologist (PhD) | AMS STAC Incoming Commissioner | AMS WAF Editor | Punster | Meme-specialist | Gamer | Parent | Drinker of much coffee.
9:52 AM EST, 12/5: So far, 1 inch of #snow has fallen in south #Bowie, #Maryland, helping kick off #meteorological #winter accumulations. #WinterWeather
December 5, 2025 at 2:54 PM
9:52 AM EST, 12/5: So far, 1 inch of #snow has fallen in south #Bowie, #Maryland, helping kick off #meteorological #winter accumulations. #WinterWeather
Another one for the 2025 (or 2020s) bingo card.
December 3, 2025 at 3:46 AM
Another one for the 2025 (or 2020s) bingo card.
3:27 PM EST, 12/1: The latest thinking from @nws.noaa.gov is that a significant early-#December #winterstorm will develop tonight. Heavy #snow is likely across the Northeast, with 5–10" likely (higher amounts possible). The southern/central #Appalachians may see #icing. #WinterWeather
December 1, 2025 at 8:27 PM
3:27 PM EST, 12/1: The latest thinking from @nws.noaa.gov is that a significant early-#December #winterstorm will develop tonight. Heavy #snow is likely across the Northeast, with 5–10" likely (higher amounts possible). The southern/central #Appalachians may see #icing. #WinterWeather
Forecast for turkeys on #Thanksgiving: #Foul Weather.
May your home feel warm, your heart peaceful, and your blessings overflow today. #HappyThanksgiving!
May your home feel warm, your heart peaceful, and your blessings overflow today. #HappyThanksgiving!
November 27, 2025 at 6:36 PM
Forecast for turkeys on #Thanksgiving: #Foul Weather.
May your home feel warm, your heart peaceful, and your blessings overflow today. #HappyThanksgiving!
May your home feel warm, your heart peaceful, and your blessings overflow today. #HappyThanksgiving!
The @nws.noaa.gov ventures into AI weather models, with data now available for those who wish to utilize and/or assess. Others are being explored (h/t @clarkevanswx.bsky.social) as well!
Three new AI weather models have hit the NOMADS Server 👀: Welcome AIGFS, AIGEFS, and HGEFS
November 25, 2025 at 12:47 PM
The @nws.noaa.gov ventures into AI weather models, with data now available for those who wish to utilize and/or assess. Others are being explored (h/t @clarkevanswx.bsky.social) as well!
There is a reason why most (unfortunately I can’t say all) #meteorologists don’t show extended range ensemble forecasts for a reason. Even if a disclaimer like “this is not a forecast” is given, the forecast is still being shown and could be misinterpreted as such. 😒
November 24, 2025 at 9:19 PM
There is a reason why most (unfortunately I can’t say all) #meteorologists don’t show extended range ensemble forecasts for a reason. Even if a disclaimer like “this is not a forecast” is given, the forecast is still being shown and could be misinterpreted as such. 😒
Reposted by Dr. Stephen Bieda III
Hurricane Melissa produced the fastest hurricane winds to be recorded by a dropsonde, verified by reviewing data at NSF NCAR! Hurricane Melissa’s 252 mph wind gust surpassed the previous record from Typhoon Megi over the Western Pacific in 2010, where a dropsonde measured wind gusts of 248 mph.
November 19, 2025 at 5:37 PM
Hurricane Melissa produced the fastest hurricane winds to be recorded by a dropsonde, verified by reviewing data at NSF NCAR! Hurricane Melissa’s 252 mph wind gust surpassed the previous record from Typhoon Megi over the Western Pacific in 2010, where a dropsonde measured wind gusts of 248 mph.
Reposted by Dr. Stephen Bieda III
A “lost” tornado from 2011 was surveyed and confirmed 14+ years later by NWS Birmingham. They wrote, “It is important to correct the record for both accuracy and credibility.”
More details here: www.facebook.com/share/p/17KG...
More details here: www.facebook.com/share/p/17KG...
November 19, 2025 at 11:57 PM
A “lost” tornado from 2011 was surveyed and confirmed 14+ years later by NWS Birmingham. They wrote, “It is important to correct the record for both accuracy and credibility.”
More details here: www.facebook.com/share/p/17KG...
More details here: www.facebook.com/share/p/17KG...
4:50 PM EST, 11/11: An X5.1-class #solarflare has resulted in the @nws.noaa.gov issuing a G4 geomagnetic storm watch for Nov 12. A strong CME is Earth-directed, bringing possible tech impacts, and #auroras visible much farther south than usual tonight and/or tomorrow night. #Aurora #SpaceWeather
November 11, 2025 at 9:50 PM
4:50 PM EST, 11/11: An X5.1-class #solarflare has resulted in the @nws.noaa.gov issuing a G4 geomagnetic storm watch for Nov 12. A strong CME is Earth-directed, bringing possible tech impacts, and #auroras visible much farther south than usual tonight and/or tomorrow night. #Aurora #SpaceWeather
Today we honor those who served, are serving, and those beginning their journey at basic training. We also recognize the families who stand behind them, and we remember those who made the ultimate sacrifice. Thank you to our Veterans for your service! 🫡 #VeteransDay2025
November 11, 2025 at 6:03 PM
Today we honor those who served, are serving, and those beginning their journey at basic training. We also recognize the families who stand behind them, and we remember those who made the ultimate sacrifice. Thank you to our Veterans for your service! 🫡 #VeteransDay2025
Day 40 of the shutdown, that’s 2 missed paychecks and part of a third. Federal employees (including my colleagues at the National Weather Service) continue working without knowing when they’ll be paid, or are furloughed. If you know someone affected, please check in on them. #GovernmentShutdown2025
November 9, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Day 40 of the shutdown, that’s 2 missed paychecks and part of a third. Federal employees (including my colleagues at the National Weather Service) continue working without knowing when they’ll be paid, or are furloughed. If you know someone affected, please check in on them. #GovernmentShutdown2025
8:27 AM EDT, 11/7: First hint of #WinterWeather in the forecast for the #MidAtlantic region (#WashingtonDC, #Baltimore, and surrounding suburbs). #WinterIsComing #Snow
November 7, 2025 at 1:27 PM
8:27 AM EDT, 11/7: First hint of #WinterWeather in the forecast for the #MidAtlantic region (#WashingtonDC, #Baltimore, and surrounding suburbs). #WinterIsComing #Snow
Reposted by Dr. Stephen Bieda III
Out of all the stats that will be in history books from Melissa, this is the most astounding to me.
GLM data was recording a peak flash rate of 700 strikes per minute — nearly 12 per second — as it made landfall on Jamaica. That’s rewriting our understanding flash density in tropical cyclones.
GLM data was recording a peak flash rate of 700 strikes per minute — nearly 12 per second — as it made landfall on Jamaica. That’s rewriting our understanding flash density in tropical cyclones.
November 6, 2025 at 11:47 PM
Out of all the stats that will be in history books from Melissa, this is the most astounding to me.
GLM data was recording a peak flash rate of 700 strikes per minute — nearly 12 per second — as it made landfall on Jamaica. That’s rewriting our understanding flash density in tropical cyclones.
GLM data was recording a peak flash rate of 700 strikes per minute — nearly 12 per second — as it made landfall on Jamaica. That’s rewriting our understanding flash density in tropical cyclones.
PSA: This time of day this week won’t be the same time of day next week. #DaylightSavingTime
November 1, 2025 at 7:32 PM
PSA: This time of day this week won’t be the same time of day next week. #DaylightSavingTime
Reposted by Dr. Stephen Bieda III
Thanks to some vigilant friends out there, I have a nearly-complete 87-hour radar loop of #Melissa 's approach to #Jamaica. The loop abruptly ends when the radar is lost (either loss of communication with it or loss of the actual structure).
bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/
bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/
October 29, 2025 at 12:03 PM
Thanks to some vigilant friends out there, I have a nearly-complete 87-hour radar loop of #Melissa 's approach to #Jamaica. The loop abruptly ends when the radar is lost (either loss of communication with it or loss of the actual structure).
bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/
bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/
Reposted by Dr. Stephen Bieda III
The Copernicus Sentinel-2 polar-orbiting satellite made an extremely fortuitous pass over Hurricane Melissa right before it made landfall in Jamaica to provide these stunning images of one of the most powerful Atlantic hurricanes in history
October 28, 2025 at 10:04 PM
The Copernicus Sentinel-2 polar-orbiting satellite made an extremely fortuitous pass over Hurricane Melissa right before it made landfall in Jamaica to provide these stunning images of one of the most powerful Atlantic hurricanes in history
Reposted by Dr. Stephen Bieda III
Hurricane Melissa, now a Category 4 storm with an occluded eye, has crossed to the other side of Jamaica after making landfall a few hours ago.
October 28, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Hurricane Melissa, now a Category 4 storm with an occluded eye, has crossed to the other side of Jamaica after making landfall a few hours ago.
Reposted by Dr. Stephen Bieda III
Atlantic Hurricane Melissa Intermediate Advisory Number 29a issued at Tue, 28 Oct 2025 17:53:37 +0000
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA CROSSING WESTERN JAMAICA... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ON THE ISLAND...
Additional Details Here.
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA CROSSING WESTERN JAMAICA... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ON THE ISLAND...
Additional Details Here.
October 28, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Atlantic Hurricane Melissa Intermediate Advisory Number 29a issued at Tue, 28 Oct 2025 17:53:37 +0000
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA CROSSING WESTERN JAMAICA... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ON THE ISLAND...
Additional Details Here.
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA CROSSING WESTERN JAMAICA... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ON THE ISLAND...
Additional Details Here.
Reposted by Dr. Stephen Bieda III
#Melissa makes landfall in southwestern Jamaica near New Hope as a powerful category 5 hurricane. For the latest updates visit hurricanes.gov
October 28, 2025 at 5:06 PM
#Melissa makes landfall in southwestern Jamaica near New Hope as a powerful category 5 hurricane. For the latest updates visit hurricanes.gov
12:24 PM EDT, 10/28: Infrared satellite imagery as #HurricaneMelissa skirts the Jamaican shore. The large feeder outer band, and symmetry of the core of the storm, is a classic example of a strong tropical cyclone.
October 28, 2025 at 4:25 PM
12:24 PM EDT, 10/28: Infrared satellite imagery as #HurricaneMelissa skirts the Jamaican shore. The large feeder outer band, and symmetry of the core of the storm, is a classic example of a strong tropical cyclone.
The @nhc-atlc.nws-bot.us position update from 12 PM EDT indicates landfall is imminent for #Jamaica, with safety information that people should be in their safe room. Treasure Beach, Jamaica is currently experiencing extreme winds from #HurricaneMelissa.
www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...
www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...
October 28, 2025 at 4:08 PM
The @nhc-atlc.nws-bot.us position update from 12 PM EDT indicates landfall is imminent for #Jamaica, with safety information that people should be in their safe room. Treasure Beach, Jamaica is currently experiencing extreme winds from #HurricaneMelissa.
www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...
www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...
Reposted by Dr. Stephen Bieda III
Atlantic Hurricane Melissa Advisory Number 29...corrected (corrected) issued at Tue, 28 Oct 2025 14:59:04 +0000
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN JAMAICA... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ON THE IS...
Additional Details Here.
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN JAMAICA... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ON THE IS...
Additional Details Here.
October 28, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Atlantic Hurricane Melissa Advisory Number 29...corrected (corrected) issued at Tue, 28 Oct 2025 14:59:04 +0000
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN JAMAICA... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ON THE IS...
Additional Details Here.
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 MELISSA ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN JAMAICA... ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING, AND STORM SURGE OCCURRING ON THE IS...
Additional Details Here.
10:25 AM EDT, 10/28: #HurricaneMelissa dropsonde finds surface winds of 198 MPH in southern eyewall.
October 28, 2025 at 2:26 PM
10:25 AM EDT, 10/28: #HurricaneMelissa dropsonde finds surface winds of 198 MPH in southern eyewall.