Simon
@analytic.football
Stat nerdery, #lufc and miscellany
Football team ratings model: analytic.football
I chat about FPL @analyticf.pl
Football team ratings model: analytic.football
I chat about FPL @analyticf.pl
Pinned
Simon
@analytic.football
· Mar 21
Just pushed a reasonably large update to analytic.football - my team ratings model for the PL & Championship.
So what's new? 👇
So what's new? 👇
Reposted by Simon
Home Office inadvertently bans historical research about the Dunkirk evacuation.
I'd hate to be a boat owner after this passes.
Imagine all the information that could be be useful for your navigation but which would ALSO be potentially useful to those guiding small boats across the Channel.
Will the Shipping Forecast cease broadcasting? That, after all, makes crossings easier.
Imagine all the information that could be be useful for your navigation but which would ALSO be potentially useful to those guiding small boats across the Channel.
Will the Shipping Forecast cease broadcasting? That, after all, makes crossings easier.
December 3, 2025 at 9:54 AM
Home Office inadvertently bans historical research about the Dunkirk evacuation.
As you do fewer things at outlier level it gets harder to justify needing to carry a defensive deadweight
November 30, 2025 at 11:53 PM
As you do fewer things at outlier level it gets harder to justify needing to carry a defensive deadweight
Reposted by Simon
About to push some decent upgrades to the model at analytic.football
Big change is model now uses recent average errors to move future ratings - so less fluctuation in the ratings but still moving as quickly when it is consistently wrong
Result is less bouncy ratings (new ones on the left)
Big change is model now uses recent average errors to move future ratings - so less fluctuation in the ratings but still moving as quickly when it is consistently wrong
Result is less bouncy ratings (new ones on the left)
November 18, 2025 at 4:05 PM
About to push some decent upgrades to the model at analytic.football
Big change is model now uses recent average errors to move future ratings - so less fluctuation in the ratings but still moving as quickly when it is consistently wrong
Result is less bouncy ratings (new ones on the left)
Big change is model now uses recent average errors to move future ratings - so less fluctuation in the ratings but still moving as quickly when it is consistently wrong
Result is less bouncy ratings (new ones on the left)
Reposted by Simon
British and Australian chemists have discovered a powerful new antibiotic called pre-methylenomycin C lactone, hiding in a well-known soil bacterium. This molecule kills drug-resistant bacteria without triggering resistance. buff.ly/YlXaONo
#ShareGoodNewsToo
#ShareGoodNewsToo
Scientists find hidden antibiotic 100x stronger against deadly superbugs
A team of scientists discovered a hidden antibiotic 100 times stronger than existing drugs against deadly superbugs like MRSA. The molecule had been overlooked for decades in a familiar bacterium. It…
buff.ly
November 16, 2025 at 2:50 PM
British and Australian chemists have discovered a powerful new antibiotic called pre-methylenomycin C lactone, hiding in a well-known soil bacterium. This molecule kills drug-resistant bacteria without triggering resistance. buff.ly/YlXaONo
#ShareGoodNewsToo
#ShareGoodNewsToo
Reposted by Simon
Every time I see this I believe slightly more that this was the most important survey ever conducted.
November 16, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Every time I see this I believe slightly more that this was the most important survey ever conducted.
Reposted by Simon
Reposted by Simon
Yes, I think this is what the “it’s smart not to do income tax” stuff is missing. If you remove salary sacrifice on someone’s pension contributions you are increasing their income tax! If you freeze thresholds you are increasing their income tax!
Issue for Labour now isn't whether they break their manifesto pledge on tax. It is whether they do so in a way which is blatant, honest but sustainable - or whether they do so by a myriad of complex and likely insufficient means whilst arguing they are not.
Imho, one seems more toxic than the other
Imho, one seems more toxic than the other
November 14, 2025 at 10:16 AM
Yes, I think this is what the “it’s smart not to do income tax” stuff is missing. If you remove salary sacrifice on someone’s pension contributions you are increasing their income tax! If you freeze thresholds you are increasing their income tax!
Reposted by Simon
What is wrong with these people. They just spent two weeks rolling the pitch for a U-turn on a policy they didn’t even do yet?
November 13, 2025 at 10:50 PM
What is wrong with these people. They just spent two weeks rolling the pitch for a U-turn on a policy they didn’t even do yet?
Judging from Mandelson, Rayner, this means he should be in his last 48 hours in the job
November 13, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Judging from Mandelson, Rayner, this means he should be in his last 48 hours in the job
Reposted by Simon
Throw them all in jail, seize their fortunes, give us UBI and healthcare. I know I'm just fantasizing but it's weird how many people don't realize that THIS is what everyone on the left is thinking about, not protecting abusers who happen to be Democrats.
"This could take down Democrats, too."
I know. And I frankly wouldn't give even an itty bitty damn if it implicated every Democratic man in Congress, every Democratic hopeful for 2028 and every Democrat who has even thought about running for office.
Down with the sex predators, wherever they are.
I know. And I frankly wouldn't give even an itty bitty damn if it implicated every Democratic man in Congress, every Democratic hopeful for 2028 and every Democrat who has even thought about running for office.
Down with the sex predators, wherever they are.
November 13, 2025 at 1:48 AM
Throw them all in jail, seize their fortunes, give us UBI and healthcare. I know I'm just fantasizing but it's weird how many people don't realize that THIS is what everyone on the left is thinking about, not protecting abusers who happen to be Democrats.
Reposted by Simon
Emily Maitlis brags about her, Deb Cohen, and Hannah Barnes getting the Tavistock GIDS service shut down.
What she doesn't talk about is how Newsnight journalists manufactured outrage and concocted "scandals" based on unethical journalism - which they were called out for, but tried to hide...
🔥🧵
What she doesn't talk about is how Newsnight journalists manufactured outrage and concocted "scandals" based on unethical journalism - which they were called out for, but tried to hide...
🔥🧵
Emily Maitlis admitting she worked at the bbc to try and get healthcare for trans people shut down
November 11, 2025 at 3:38 PM
Emily Maitlis brags about her, Deb Cohen, and Hannah Barnes getting the Tavistock GIDS service shut down.
What she doesn't talk about is how Newsnight journalists manufactured outrage and concocted "scandals" based on unethical journalism - which they were called out for, but tried to hide...
🔥🧵
What she doesn't talk about is how Newsnight journalists manufactured outrage and concocted "scandals" based on unethical journalism - which they were called out for, but tried to hide...
🔥🧵
The memo complaining bout doctoring the speech to make it more incendiary was...also doctoring the speech but for the opposite effect? Hmmmmmmmm
Left: Donald Trump’s Jan 6th quote, as presented in the dossier that brought down two BBC bosses
Right: What Donald Trump actually said.
Full story in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social: www.thenewworld.co.uk/james-ball-e...
Right: What Donald Trump actually said.
Full story in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social: www.thenewworld.co.uk/james-ball-e...
November 12, 2025 at 4:29 PM
The memo complaining bout doctoring the speech to make it more incendiary was...also doctoring the speech but for the opposite effect? Hmmmmmmmm
Folks what are we doing here this is completely meaningless
November 12, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Folks what are we doing here this is completely meaningless
Reposted by Simon
NEW
The letter the BBC could send back to Trump
A proposal for a reply to his $1bn claim
By me. Enjoy.
emptycity.substack.com/p/the-letter...
The letter the BBC could send back to Trump
A proposal for a reply to his $1bn claim
By me. Enjoy.
emptycity.substack.com/p/the-letter...
The letter the BBC could send back to Trump
A proposal for a reply to his $1bn claim
emptycity.substack.com
November 12, 2025 at 12:00 PM
NEW
The letter the BBC could send back to Trump
A proposal for a reply to his $1bn claim
By me. Enjoy.
emptycity.substack.com/p/the-letter...
The letter the BBC could send back to Trump
A proposal for a reply to his $1bn claim
By me. Enjoy.
emptycity.substack.com/p/the-letter...
The edit was bad journalism, but ultimately the thing that it is purported to have "misled" the viewer into believing is substantially true. Trump DID explicitly encourage the riots. Maddening that it seems to have been forgotten.
Two top brass resigning over this? Jfc, we're fucked
Two top brass resigning over this? Jfc, we're fucked
November 9, 2025 at 8:41 PM
The edit was bad journalism, but ultimately the thing that it is purported to have "misled" the viewer into believing is substantially true. Trump DID explicitly encourage the riots. Maddening that it seems to have been forgotten.
Two top brass resigning over this? Jfc, we're fucked
Two top brass resigning over this? Jfc, we're fucked
Reposted by Simon
It’s not at all clear to me how the BBC can do any kind of serious journalism if its top two bosses can be forced to quit over such an obviously confected scandal. There is no substantive error here. How can the BBC report on Trump, or Farage, or anyone else, in these circumstances?
November 9, 2025 at 7:30 PM
It’s not at all clear to me how the BBC can do any kind of serious journalism if its top two bosses can be forced to quit over such an obviously confected scandal. There is no substantive error here. How can the BBC report on Trump, or Farage, or anyone else, in these circumstances?
Reposted by Simon
Losing both the director-general and the very obvious heir apparent as the result of such an orchestrated attack is truly existential stuff for the BBC.
It’s also a *massive* challenge for Lisa Nandy, who has so far failed to impress anyone as culture secretary.
It’s also a *massive* challenge for Lisa Nandy, who has so far failed to impress anyone as culture secretary.
November 9, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Losing both the director-general and the very obvious heir apparent as the result of such an orchestrated attack is truly existential stuff for the BBC.
It’s also a *massive* challenge for Lisa Nandy, who has so far failed to impress anyone as culture secretary.
It’s also a *massive* challenge for Lisa Nandy, who has so far failed to impress anyone as culture secretary.
Reposted by Simon
Putting dead balls into the box is free money
November 8, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Putting dead balls into the box is free money
Reposted by Simon
Now that everybody is caught up on long throws it's time to start talking about Dyche Zone free kicks
November 8, 2025 at 6:29 PM
Now that everybody is caught up on long throws it's time to start talking about Dyche Zone free kicks
Reposted by Simon
Violent crime peaked in 1995 according to the Crime Survey for England and Wales..
November 3, 2025 at 12:01 PM
Violent crime peaked in 1995 according to the Crime Survey for England and Wales..
Reposted by Simon
Terrible headline on a good article. It’s the world’s taste for MEAT that’s fuelling Amazon destruction. The soya is cattle feed.
How the world’s taste for soya is eating Brazil’s Amazon
Cultivation of the crop has made a few wealthy but at a huge cost to untouched forest as it spreads across vast areas of former wilderness
www.theguardian.com
September 29, 2025 at 12:34 PM
Terrible headline on a good article. It’s the world’s taste for MEAT that’s fuelling Amazon destruction. The soya is cattle feed.
Pure number salad
Excl: Labour would take a two-point lead over Reform with Andy Burnham as leader, new More In Common polling shows. www.newstatesman.com/politics/lab...
September 25, 2025 at 10:39 AM
Pure number salad