James Cameron
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jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron
@jjjcameron.bsky.social
6.2K followers 790 following 810 posts

Associate Prof of Modern North American History at the University of Oslo, Norway. Nuclear strategy and arms control.

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Norway is not a member state of the European Union (EU). It is associated with the Union through its membership in the European Economic Area (EEA), signed in 1992 and established in 1994. Norway was a founding member of the European Free Trade Association (EFTA) in 1960, which was originally set up as an alternative to the European Economic Community (EEC), the main predecessor of the EU. Norway had considered joining both the EEC and the European Union, but opted to decline following referendums in 1972 and 1994. According to the European Social Survey conducted in 2018, 73.6% of Norwegians would vote 'No' in a referendum to join the European Union. Norway shares land borders with two EU member states, namely Finland and Sweden, and maritime borders with a third, Denmark. .. more

Political science 50%
Economics 14%
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jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 10m
This is key. Europe's courting of Trump has bought only short-term benefits at the cost of any belief that EUR will stand up for Ukraine's and its own interests when the chips are down. Now here we are.
maxbergmann.bsky.social Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 20m
you seriously when you need them to. The White House official who remarked "we don't care what the Europeans think" reflects the Washington mood. Europe will get in line when we tell them to. So will the EU unfreeze frozen Russian assets to go to US firms? Get rid of sanctions, etc? 5/

Reposted by James Cameron

maxbergmann.bsky.social
Max Bergmann @maxbergmann.bsky.social · 20m
you seriously when you need them to. The White House official who remarked "we don't care what the Europeans think" reflects the Washington mood. Europe will get in line when we tell them to. So will the EU unfreeze frozen Russian assets to go to US firms? Get rid of sanctions, etc? 5/

Reposted by Robert Wolfe, James Cameron

ldfreedman.bsky.social
Lawrence Freedman @ldfreedman.bsky.social · 3h
The Witkoff-Dmitriev plan is even more amateurish than I imagined. It favours Russia although does contain elements that Russia will not like. Premature leaking means that it is no more than work in progress. Here is an annotated version (This is free). open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...?
The Witkoff-Dmitriev peace plan annotated
We now know a bit more about the process which led to the new peace plan and we now have a copy of its contents, to which I will turn soon.
open.substack.com

Reposted by James Cameron

woolaf @woolaf.bsky.social · 3h
I'd translate "resolve all security issues and create conditions for de-escalation" [presumably between NATO and Russia?] as NATO steps back from Russia's borders and the U.S. steps back from NATO so Russia can escalate....

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 7h
Point 4 of Trump's 28-point peace plan:

"A dialogue will be held between Russia and NATO, mediated by the United States, to resolve all security issues and create conditions for de-escalation..."

Mediated by the US! The US is a member of NATO (the last time I checked).
Read the full text of Trump’s 28-point Ukraine-Russia peace plan
Proposed deal would limit size of Ukrainian forces and calls on Kyiv to withdraw troops from eastern Donetsk
www.ft.com

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 1d
What's Europe's plan -- another joint transatlantic trip to Washington to try to talk Trump out of it and upping support to Ukraine to diminish the potential impact of the withdrawal of US aid/US leverage?

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 1d
"The draft plan wld require Ukraine to cede the remainder of the eastern Donbas region — including land currently under Kyiv control — & cut the size of its armed forces by half.

"... it also calls for Ukr to abandon key categories of weaponry & wld include the rollback of US military assistance"
christopherjm.ft.com Christopher Miller @christopherjm.ft.com · 1d
Story here with exclusive new details: The Trump admin and Russian officials have drawn up a sweeping new proposal to end Russia’s war in Ukraine that envisions major concessions from Kyiv and urged President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to accept it...

via @financialtimes.com
www.ft.com/content/2353...
US and Russian officials draft new peace plan for Ukraine
Sweeping 28-point proposal would include territorial concessions and rollback of American military assistance
www.ft.com

Reposted by James Cameron

christopherjm.ft.com
Christopher Miller @christopherjm.ft.com · 1d
Story here with exclusive new details: The Trump admin and Russian officials have drawn up a sweeping new proposal to end Russia’s war in Ukraine that envisions major concessions from Kyiv and urged President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to accept it...

via @financialtimes.com
www.ft.com/content/2353...
US and Russian officials draft new peace plan for Ukraine
Sweeping 28-point proposal would include territorial concessions and rollback of American military assistance
www.ft.com

Reposted by James Cameron

pwnallthethings.bsky.social
Pwnallthethings @pwnallthethings.bsky.social · 2d
This is also a straightforward dynamic in Moscow. Negotiations are ~ free to engage with until an agreement is reached, and people inevitably read into them more than is there in a way they can shape. They will *always* engage in negotiations, even if privately under no expectation they are close

Reposted by James Cameron, David Darmofal

profsaunders.bsky.social
Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 3d
I wrote to Garber: I ask you to take immediate action to sever Harvard's ties to Larry Summers. His conduct violates every norm of decency and faculty conduct imaginable. And it is all there in black and white. For the sake of his students and mentees, past, present and future, please do not delay.

Reposted by James Cameron, David Darmofal

profsaunders.bsky.social
Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 3d
Have to say that my pride in Harvard's stance against the Trump administration will dissolve if they do not do what Elizabeth Warren says and stat. 👇
jbendery.bsky.social Jen Bendery @jbendery.bsky.social · 3d
Per CNN, Elizabeth Warren is calling on Harvard to cut ties with Larry Summers after Jeffrey Epstein's emails released last week by House Dems featured Summers making sexist comments + asking for Epstein’s romantic advice.

Reposted by Tim Bale, Peter Holmes, James Cameron , and 1 more

duncanweldon.bsky.social
Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 4d
I simply do not understand how the govt can simultaneously believe (1) they don’t have enough political capital to breach the manifesto on tax and (2) they have enough to political capital to pick an unwinnable fight with their own MPs on immigration.

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 4d
If the Parliamentary Labour Party doesn't rebel over this, then I'm not sure what the point of Labour is, really.
sundersays.bsky.social Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 4d
Ministers now appear to be confirming in broadcast interviews that they would audit and could confiscate assets (including jewellery) excepting wedding rings from the jewellery that they could confiscate.

Reposted by Lesley A. Hall, Mary Margaret McCabe, James Cameron

sundersays.bsky.social
Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 4d
Ministers now appear to be confirming in broadcast interviews that they would audit and could confiscate assets (including jewellery) excepting wedding rings from the jewellery that they could confiscate.

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 4d
A sufficient buildup to make it difficult for Trump to back down, but not enough to be sure of toppling Maduro, without any legal justification or the hint of a plan for the day after. What could go wrong?
jaylyall.bsky.social Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 4d
"This marks the largest U.S. military presence in the Caribbean in decades, with nearly 20% of the Navy’s deployed warships in the region"
Gerald R. Ford strike group enters Caribbean Sea
The Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group transited the Anegada Passage and entered the Caribbean Sea.
www.stripes.com

Reposted by James Cameron

jaylyall.bsky.social
Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 4d
"This marks the largest U.S. military presence in the Caribbean in decades, with nearly 20% of the Navy’s deployed warships in the region"
Gerald R. Ford strike group enters Caribbean Sea
The Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group transited the Anegada Passage and entered the Caribbean Sea.
www.stripes.com

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 5d
This story portrays an admin that effectively has no nuclear strategy to speak of, either on arms control or modernization.

With a deficit of top-level expertise on nuclear issues, the US is just moving forward under the momentum of existing modernization and toward New START expiry.
Last nuclear treaty between US and Russia nears expiration as Trump and Putin trade testing threats | CNN Politics
US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin have spent weeks trading threats to restart nuclear tests, an escalation kicked off by Putin’s boasts about tests of the Poseidon nuclear...
edition.cnn.com

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 5d
In addition to the strong humanitarian arguments against this policy, the amount of time Labour spends on immigration sends the signal that they have largely given up on winning the next election through improving basic conditions in the UK. Extremely depressing.

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 5d
They could make it 100 years and Farage would just say it needs to be 120 years. When will they learn?
sundersays.bsky.social Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 5d
Shabana Mahmood tells Sunday Times it should take 20 years for somebody granted refugee status in UK to secure permanent status (ie, reapply 6 times) if came without permission.

Paper says Denmark has toughest settlement timeline (8 years) but UK govt wants longer

www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...
Shabana Mahmood: ‘Illegal migration is tearing Britain apart’
The home secretary is planning to introduce a 20-year wait for permanent stay to end a ‘golden ticket’ for asylum seekers
www.thetimes.com

Reposted by Nando Sigona, Tim Bale, Mary Margaret McCabe , and 2 more

sundersays.bsky.social
Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 5d
Shabana Mahmood tells Sunday Times it should take 20 years for somebody granted refugee status in UK to secure permanent status (ie, reapply 6 times) if came without permission.

Paper says Denmark has toughest settlement timeline (8 years) but UK govt wants longer

www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...
Shabana Mahmood: ‘Illegal migration is tearing Britain apart’
The home secretary is planning to introduce a 20-year wait for permanent stay to end a ‘golden ticket’ for asylum seekers
www.thetimes.com

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 5d
We're half a step away from countries just turning up at the White House with suitcases of non-sequential $100 bills.
anneapplebaum.bsky.social Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.bsky.social · 5d
To negotiate a trade deal with the President of the United States, the Swiss government arrived with a "special Rolex desktop clock" and "a 1-kilogram personalized gold bar"

www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...
How to lobby Trump with Swiss precision: gifts, gold and gab
How the Swiss broke a diplomatic logjam on tariffs by arriving with tributes fit for a king.
www.axios.com

Reposted by Stephen M. Walt, Brendan Nyhan, Jesse H. Kroll , and 11 more

anneapplebaum.bsky.social
Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.bsky.social · 5d
To negotiate a trade deal with the President of the United States, the Swiss government arrived with a "special Rolex desktop clock" and "a 1-kilogram personalized gold bar"

www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...
How to lobby Trump with Swiss precision: gifts, gold and gab
How the Swiss broke a diplomatic logjam on tariffs by arriving with tributes fit for a king.
www.axios.com

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 6d
I think the most likely scenario now is that Trump unleashes a barrage of illegal strikes against Venezuela, which changes the square root of nothing in terms of ousting Maduro.

Trump will then resist Rubio et al. in escalating further, because he knows it could end up with US boots on the ground.

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 6d
Friends don't help friends commit crimes.
atrupar.com Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 6d
Homan: "I don't think the UK is a friend to this country and friend of the president"

Reposted by Jan W. Mueller, Richard S.J. Tol, Michael D. Robinson , and 5 more

atrupar.com
Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 6d
Homan: "I don't think the UK is a friend to this country and friend of the president"

Reposted by James Cameron

robrakove.bsky.social
Rob Rakove @robrakove.bsky.social · 7d
One of the ships is even named for Stockdale.

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 7d
Hoping for some Tonkin Gulf-style action?
shipwreck75.bsky.social Shipwreck @shipwreck75.bsky.social · 7d
2 US Navy vessels, a destroyer and a cruiser, are currently sailing along the Venezuelan coastline in international waters after passing south of Curaçao.-SA Defense on X

Reposted by James Cameron

shipwreck75.bsky.social
Shipwreck @shipwreck75.bsky.social · 7d
2 US Navy vessels, a destroyer and a cruiser, are currently sailing along the Venezuelan coastline in international waters after passing south of Curaçao.-SA Defense on X

Reposted by Matthew Bunn, James Cameron

wellerstein.bsky.social
Alex Wellerstein @wellerstein.bsky.social · 8d
The new book... exists!!! Got my author copies in the mail today! Looks quite readable! Spelled my name right on the cover, even!!!

harpercollins.com/products/the-most-awful-responsibility-alex-wellerstein

jjjcameron.bsky.social
James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 9d
Same.
aaronhughellis.bsky.social Aaron H. Ellis @aaronhughellis.bsky.social · 9d
Empress Dowager Cixi was given a car by the Benz company, but it never went anywhere as she’d need a chauffeur and it’d an unthinkable breach of protocol to have anyone sit in front of her