Tony Addison
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tonysangle.bsky.social
Tony Addison
@tonysangle.bsky.social

Non-Resident Research Fellow & former Chief Economist UNU-WIDER Helsinki. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎFormer Professor of Economics, University of Copenhagen.๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐAlso Manchester & Warwick universities ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง
https://www.wider.unu.edu/expert/tony-addison-0 .. more

Economics 44%
Political science 23%

California โ€œโ€ฆ the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act, a one-time 5% levy on the assets of residents with a net worth of $1.1 billion or more, payable in annual installments of 1% over five years. Then all hell broke looseโ€.

Good idea? ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
How to Tax a Trillionaire
Itโ€™s time to move past the hysteria over wealth taxes and find a durable way forward.
www.bloomberg.com

Health & migration ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
nber.org NBER @nber.org ยท 1d
More immigration into the US raises the number of health care workers and saves the lives of older Americans, from David C. Grabowski, Jonathan Gruber, and Brian E. McGarry www.nber.org/papers/w34791
NBER @nber.org ยท 1d
More immigration into the US raises the number of health care workers and saves the lives of older Americans, from David C. Grabowski, Jonathan Gruber, and Brian E. McGarry www.nber.org/papers/w34791

The need to accelerate breakthroughs in materials science are discussed in our @unu-wider.bsky.social (open access) book โ€œResources Matter: ending poverty while protecting natureโ€ ๐Ÿ“– global.oup.com/academic/pro...
global.oup.com

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธAmerican science & technology could be central to the breakthroughs needed in large-scale energy storage & especially in new materials & fuels from sustainable & renewable resources to reduce our dependence on fossil fuels & mining. Instead, the administration tries to eliminate climate regs. ๐Ÿ™„๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โ€œTrump Allies Near โ€˜Total Victoryโ€™ in Wiping Out U.S. Climate Regulationโ€
๐Ÿ˜”๐ŸŒŽ
www.nytimes.com/2026/02/09/c...
Trump Allies Near โ€˜Total Victoryโ€™ in Wiping Out U.S. Climate Regulation
www.nytimes.com

Despite the full or partial reversal of some tariffs (iPhones, bananas etc) the effective tariff rate is still way above its Jan 25 level, with US consumers & businesses bearing much of the higher cost (ie the tax)
Graphic via @wsj.com

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บEuro area inflation might now fall below ECB forecast (annual inflation in Jan was 1.7% below 2% in Dec: Eurostat).

Increase in cheaper Chinese imports (redirected from US after Trump tariffs) + stronger euro (weaker dollar) + lower energy import costs

Rate cut ahead? ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿค”

So the effective US tariff rate is above 10%, which is 5x the Jan 25 rate, despite the exceptions.

โ€œโ€ฆ full or partial exceptions have since included bananas, coffee, cocoa, jet engines and rare-earth mineralsโ€. Plus Apple phones etc @wsj.com

โ€œThe President who promised to โ€œdrain the swampโ€ has flooded a new bog with lobbyists seeking tariff exceptions from the trade rep and Commerce Department. And be sure to bring your campaign checkbookโ€ @wsj.com editorial

Critical minerals and the need to find better replacements are discussed in our @unu-wider.bsky.social open access book ๐Ÿ‘‡
global.oup.com/academic/pro...
global.oup.com

US wants a critical minerals trade bloc to counter China

(Ultimately the world needs investment in pollution-free substitutes for rare earths)
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
US proposes critical minerals trade bloc aimed at countering China
U.S. Vice President JD Vance on Wednesday unveiled plans to marshal allies into a preferential trade bloc for critical minerals, proposing coordinated price floors as Washington escalates efforts to l...
www.reuters.com

โ€œFimbulwinter โ€” in Norse legend, the catastrophic winter that precedes Ragnarok, the end of all thingsโ€.
open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
Crypto sell off. Paul Krugman
Is This Cryptoโ€™s Fimbulwinter?
Political power may not be enough to save the crypto cult
open.substack.com

โ€Finland enjoyed Europe's third-cheapest electricity prices in 2025, with negligible production from traditional fossil fuel sources. Approximately 28% of domestic electricity production came from wind powerโ€ (YLE). Nuclear provides 40% Hydro 16% yle.fi/a/74-20205942
Renewables surpass nuclear as Finland's biggest power source
Wind and hydropower together exceeded nuclear in Finlandโ€™s electricity palette last year, with solar also on the rise.
yle.fi
๐Ÿ“ข #CallForPapers - Conference on New Challenges in Monetary Economics
๐Ÿ“†28-29 August |๐Ÿ“@econunimannheim.bsky.social
Deadline: 31 March
Organised by: @klaus-adam.bsky.social & Matthias Meier
cepr.org/events/confe...
#EconSky #EconConf

Reposted by Tony Addison

โ€Indian rupee fell to a new low on foreign outflows from the nationโ€™s equities, as a delay in a trade deal with the US dents investor sentiment.

The currency fell 0.3% to 91.2275 per dollar on Wednesday, breaching its previous record low set in December.โ€
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Indian Rupee Declines to Set Fresh Record Low as Capital Outflows Persist
The Indian rupee fell to a new low on foreign outflows from the nationโ€™s equities, as a delay in a trade deal with the US dents investor sentiment.
www.bloomberg.com
BREAKING: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will attend the Supreme Court's hearing on Trump's attempted firing of Fed governor Lisa Cook, an unusual show of support by the central bank chair.
AP Source: Fed Chair Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook case
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will attend the Supreme Courtโ€™s oral arguments Wednesday in a case involving the attempted firing of Fed governor Lisa Cook, an unusual show of support by the central bank chair.
bit.ly

Hot air rises above Swiss alps ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ

Large sales of US assets by European Investors would push up the euro (what other capital market could absorb the flow? EMs?) adding to European export woes? ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง

Reposted by Tony Addison

#China
Children born in 2025 7.9 mio, children born in 2015 16.6 mio. Have there been similar collapses in peace time?

apnews.com/article/chin...
China's population falls again as births drop to lowest rate since 1949 communist revolution
China's population continues to shrink. Government statistics released on Monday revealed the population fell for the fourth straight year to 1.4 billion.
apnews.com

Reposted by Tony Addison

How to speak Davosian โ€” for beginners ft.trib.al/ACcvvX5 | opinion
How to speak Davosian โ€” for beginners
The phrases you might hear at this yearโ€™s World Economic Forumโ€‰.โ€‰.โ€‰.โ€‰and what they really mean
ft.trib.al
Deutsche Bank here with the good stuff.
Game on.

Surely โ€˜any old copperโ€™ these days?

Reposted by Iikka Korhonen

โ€œStudies estimate that Brexit-related NTBs increased U.K.โ€“EU trade costs by approximately 2โ€“12 percent in tariff-equivalent terms, with the largest increases observed for food productsโ€ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‘‡ www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...
Lessons from Brexit on the Effects of Trade Disintegration
The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.
www.federalreserve.gov

Brexit lessons. Raising barriers to trade (NTBs in UK case, tariffs in US) ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‘‡ www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...
Lessons from Brexit on the Effects of Trade Disintegration
The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.
www.federalreserve.gov

Oil curse? ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ชVenezuela is discussed in our (open access) book โ€˜Resources Matter: ending poverty while protecting natureโ€™ (๐ŸŒด๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ) @unu-wider.bsky.social global.oup.com/academic/pro...
global.oup.com

Kvikk Lunsj v Kit Kat ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ดhttps://www.bbc.com/travel/article/20250909-kvikk-lunsj-the-controversial-sweet-that-fuels-norwegians
The controversial sweet that fuels Norwegians
Known as 'the trip chocolate', Kvikk Lunsj has fuelled outdoor adventures for generations. So, what makes this chocolate so controversial?
www.bbc.com

Classical piano music calms dogs! ๐Ÿ•https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20251121-does-music-make-animals-calmer
Does music make animals calmer?
You can find many different music playlists for dogs and cats online. Do they actually help animals relax?
www.bbc.com

Reposted by Tony Addison

How can the world tackle poverty and climate change together?

As the world gathers for #COP30, our latest blog revisits a conversation with @opkuusela.bsky.social and @tonysangle.bsky.social on how innovation, policy and research can drive a just green transition.

Read the blog ๐Ÿ‘‰ go.unu.edu/VbbP2