Kevin Hanrahan
@kevinhanrahan71.bsky.social
Economist working for Teagasc - Ireland’s Agriculture and Food Development Authority.
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
"We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%." #Brexit
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
The Economic Impact of Brexit
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 10, 2025 at 5:42 PM
"We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%." #Brexit
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Nobody could have predicted this. www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Opinion: We cannot allocate money based on vibes. We need to bet on the technologies that can deliver what truly matters: lower emissions, writes Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis. on.ft.com/3IXXolY
October 20, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Opinion: We cannot allocate money based on vibes. We need to bet on the technologies that can deliver what truly matters: lower emissions, writes Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis. on.ft.com/3IXXolY
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
I am outraged that apparently jews are not welcome at football matches in Tel Aviv (am I doing this right?)
news.sky.com/story/tel-av...
news.sky.com/story/tel-av...
Tel Aviv football derby cancelled as 'violent riots' see nine arrested
Police said dozens of smoke grenades and pyrotechnic devices were thrown, injuring 12 civilians and three police officers.
news.sky.com
October 19, 2025 at 9:08 PM
I am outraged that apparently jews are not welcome at football matches in Tel Aviv (am I doing this right?)
news.sky.com/story/tel-av...
news.sky.com/story/tel-av...
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
And this, class, is why aiming at agricultural self-sufficiency rather than spreading risk across different countries through international trade is a *really stupid idea*.
October 9, 2025 at 4:04 PM
And this, class, is why aiming at agricultural self-sufficiency rather than spreading risk across different countries through international trade is a *really stupid idea*.
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Food prices have risen a lot more than other stuff since Covid...
My newsletter asks whether they are now a leading indicator of inflation
www.ft.com/content/de31...
My newsletter asks whether they are now a leading indicator of inflation
www.ft.com/content/de31...
October 7, 2025 at 11:51 AM
Food prices have risen a lot more than other stuff since Covid...
My newsletter asks whether they are now a leading indicator of inflation
www.ft.com/content/de31...
My newsletter asks whether they are now a leading indicator of inflation
www.ft.com/content/de31...
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
OK, let's take this seriously. I had an odd half an hour and via Apple Books had a quick look at the three claims I knew most about - two re the post-Brexit bilateral preferential trade agreements replicated from the EU versions and one about cheaper bananas. All are wrong or wildly implausible. 1/n
October 5, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
"Luke...on balance it's in my financial interest to reinstate being your father"
September 22, 2025 at 8:42 PM
"Luke...on balance it's in my financial interest to reinstate being your father"
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Step 1: Cut funding for food stamps
Step 2: Stop measuring hunger
Step 3: There's no evidence cuts to food stamps led to a rise in hunger
www.wsj.com/economy/trum...
Step 2: Stop measuring hunger
Step 3: There's no evidence cuts to food stamps led to a rise in hunger
www.wsj.com/economy/trum...
www.wsj.com
September 20, 2025 at 6:28 PM
Step 1: Cut funding for food stamps
Step 2: Stop measuring hunger
Step 3: There's no evidence cuts to food stamps led to a rise in hunger
www.wsj.com/economy/trum...
Step 2: Stop measuring hunger
Step 3: There's no evidence cuts to food stamps led to a rise in hunger
www.wsj.com/economy/trum...
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Vance in Charlie Kirk free speech update
From the new Private Eye, in shops now.
From the new Private Eye, in shops now.
September 18, 2025 at 8:23 PM
Vance in Charlie Kirk free speech update
From the new Private Eye, in shops now.
From the new Private Eye, in shops now.
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Giving a talk on energy modeling in Hollywood. “All models are wrong, but some are useful” hits different with locals.
September 17, 2025 at 4:11 PM
Giving a talk on energy modeling in Hollywood. “All models are wrong, but some are useful” hits different with locals.
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
“Perhaps the point of learning from the past is not so much to uncover a lost truth as to understand historical patterns that help us see through the lies of the present.”
If you haven’t read Lea Ypi’s @leaypi.bsky.social exceptional essay in @finantimes.com today, please do.
on.ft.com/480JlGc
If you haven’t read Lea Ypi’s @leaypi.bsky.social exceptional essay in @finantimes.com today, please do.
on.ft.com/480JlGc
Lea Ypi: How to think about surveillance
A picture of her grandmother posted on social media sent the author to the archives of Albania’s former security services — and raised difficult questions about who watches us today
on.ft.com
September 6, 2025 at 7:32 PM
“Perhaps the point of learning from the past is not so much to uncover a lost truth as to understand historical patterns that help us see through the lies of the present.”
If you haven’t read Lea Ypi’s @leaypi.bsky.social exceptional essay in @finantimes.com today, please do.
on.ft.com/480JlGc
If you haven’t read Lea Ypi’s @leaypi.bsky.social exceptional essay in @finantimes.com today, please do.
on.ft.com/480JlGc
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
In English.
My question. How secure is that security partnership really? Especially in the light of new pressures on European digital regulation?
My question. How secure is that security partnership really? Especially in the light of new pressures on European digital regulation?
August 27, 2025 at 6:27 AM
In English.
My question. How secure is that security partnership really? Especially in the light of new pressures on European digital regulation?
My question. How secure is that security partnership really? Especially in the light of new pressures on European digital regulation?
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Praises the authoritarian North Korean leader, criticizes the democratic South Korea. bsky.app/profile/atru...
Trump: "I have a very good relationship with Kim Jong Un. North Korea. I look forward to seeing him. I know him better than anybody almost, other than his sister. His sister knows him pretty well."
August 25, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Praises the authoritarian North Korean leader, criticizes the democratic South Korea. bsky.app/profile/atru...
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
1/4 Putin wants you to forget this anniversary. You shouldn’t.
In 1939, the Soviet Union signed a pact with nazi Germany. Yes—it sided with Hitler.
They didn’t just agree to peace. They agreed to carve up Europe
In 1939, the Soviet Union signed a pact with nazi Germany. Yes—it sided with Hitler.
They didn’t just agree to peace. They agreed to carve up Europe
August 23, 2025 at 11:16 AM
1/4 Putin wants you to forget this anniversary. You shouldn’t.
In 1939, the Soviet Union signed a pact with nazi Germany. Yes—it sided with Hitler.
They didn’t just agree to peace. They agreed to carve up Europe
In 1939, the Soviet Union signed a pact with nazi Germany. Yes—it sided with Hitler.
They didn’t just agree to peace. They agreed to carve up Europe
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
I Badly Want a Map to the Likely Consequences of the AI-Infrastructure Construction Boom
& I do not have one. I do have scattered observations on how it might work out for the tech industry. How it is affecting the overall business cycle—that is another…
braddelong.substack.com/p/i-badly-wa...
& I do not have one. I do have scattered observations on how it might work out for the tech industry. How it is affecting the overall business cycle—that is another…
braddelong.substack.com/p/i-badly-wa...
I Badly Want a Map to the Likely Consequences of the AI-Infrastructure Construction Boom
& I do not have one. I do have scattered observations on how it might work out for the tech industry. How it is affecting the overall business cycle—that is another equally complicated topic that...
braddelong.substack.com
August 19, 2025 at 2:12 PM
I Badly Want a Map to the Likely Consequences of the AI-Infrastructure Construction Boom
& I do not have one. I do have scattered observations on how it might work out for the tech industry. How it is affecting the overall business cycle—that is another…
braddelong.substack.com/p/i-badly-wa...
& I do not have one. I do have scattered observations on how it might work out for the tech industry. How it is affecting the overall business cycle—that is another…
braddelong.substack.com/p/i-badly-wa...
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Brad de Long: "the AI boom is the main prop of the current expansion. Remove data‑center spending, the GPU scramble, armies of prompt engineers, and the venture surge for anything labeled “AI,” and the economy is perilously close to stall speed”.
braddelong.substack.com/p/i-badly-wa...
braddelong.substack.com/p/i-badly-wa...
I Badly Want a Map to the Likely Consequences of the AI-Infrastructure Construction Boom
& I do not have one. I do have scattered observations on how it might work out for the tech industry. How it is affecting the overall business cycle—that is another equally complicated topic that...
braddelong.substack.com
August 19, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Brad de Long: "the AI boom is the main prop of the current expansion. Remove data‑center spending, the GPU scramble, armies of prompt engineers, and the venture surge for anything labeled “AI,” and the economy is perilously close to stall speed”.
braddelong.substack.com/p/i-badly-wa...
braddelong.substack.com/p/i-badly-wa...
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Like everyone just speculation but having a bunch of people around you may deter a bully
European leaders dropping everything, last minute, to rally behind Zelensky in Washington is one of the Continent’s finest political moments this century.
August 18, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Like everyone just speculation but having a bunch of people around you may deter a bully
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Posted sans comment …
August 8, 2025 at 11:33 AM
Posted sans comment …
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
BREAKING: One of the most important and prominent reporters on the ground in Gaza has been Anas Al Sharif.
He - and several other Al Jazeera journalists - have just been assassinated by Israelis forces whilst in their press tent in central Gaza.
Speechless.
He - and several other Al Jazeera journalists - have just been assassinated by Israelis forces whilst in their press tent in central Gaza.
Speechless.
August 10, 2025 at 8:50 PM
BREAKING: One of the most important and prominent reporters on the ground in Gaza has been Anas Al Sharif.
He - and several other Al Jazeera journalists - have just been assassinated by Israelis forces whilst in their press tent in central Gaza.
Speechless.
He - and several other Al Jazeera journalists - have just been assassinated by Israelis forces whilst in their press tent in central Gaza.
Speechless.
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
President Trump said that a deal between #Ukraine and Russia can involve
"Swapping of territories to the betterment of both"
What does that mean?
"Swapping of territories to the betterment of both"
What does that mean?
August 8, 2025 at 8:33 PM
President Trump said that a deal between #Ukraine and Russia can involve
"Swapping of territories to the betterment of both"
What does that mean?
"Swapping of territories to the betterment of both"
What does that mean?
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
"We will work towards [ending the war] in the days and weeks to come" doesn't sound as if sanctions on Russia are coming in 48 hours. This is obviously a huge shock and was in no way predictable.
August 6, 2025 at 6:30 PM
"We will work towards [ending the war] in the days and weeks to come" doesn't sound as if sanctions on Russia are coming in 48 hours. This is obviously a huge shock and was in no way predictable.
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
REPORTER: Why did you fire the head of the bureau of labor statistics?
TRUMP: Because I thought her numbers were wrong
TRUMP: Because I thought her numbers were wrong
August 1, 2025 at 9:12 PM
REPORTER: Why did you fire the head of the bureau of labor statistics?
TRUMP: Because I thought her numbers were wrong
TRUMP: Because I thought her numbers were wrong
Reposted by Kevin Hanrahan
Motherfucking wind farms…
July 30, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Motherfucking wind farms…