Guy Yeomans
@guyyeomans.bsky.social
Professional: Foresight & Horizon Scanning | Research: Resilience (CNI / Societal) & Comprehensive Security, Total Defence, National Preparedness | Emerging Risks & CM / EM | Military mobility | High North, GIUK-NGap & Arctic Futures | Personal: #OnXII
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How many hexagons are on the cover?
You know it isn't the future if there aren't hexagons.
You know it isn't the future if there aren't hexagons.
February 17, 2026 at 1:37 PM
I endorse this message...
Arctic security problem sets: previously constituted VC networks may need to consider the challenge of soveriegn re-orientation... #arcticfutures
Canada aiming to seriously increase defence spending and shift away from US manufacturers.
Very promising for NATO in the High North.
Very promising for NATO in the High North.
Ottawa’s shift away from US defence manufacturers aims to create 125,000 jobs
‘Buy Canadian’ strategy will raise military spending to 5 per cent of GDP and boost economy, new plan says
www.ft.com
February 15, 2026 at 3:16 PM
Arctic security problem sets: previously constituted VC networks may need to consider the challenge of soveriegn re-orientation... #arcticfutures
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... #atlanticbastion #highnorth news.sky.com/story/starme...
Starmer tells Munich Security Conference Britain will deploy warships to Arctic
World leaders are gathered in Germany, where Marco Rubio has said the US will "always be a child of Europe" - while criticising the UN's approach to Ukraine. Sir Keir Starmer says Europe is a "sleepin...
news.sky.com
February 14, 2026 at 10:25 AM
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... #atlanticbastion #highnorth news.sky.com/story/starme...
More #stack @warmatters.bsky.social @rbarretttaylor.bsky.social, with useful reference to 'elephants in the room'...
Tech sovereignty is an inherent right of democratic states, not a subscription model provided at the mercy of foreign entities.
Decisions about true value of sovereignty will determine whether countries retain meaningful autonomy or become clients of foreign imperialism.
www.ft.com/content/8fc2...
Decisions about true value of sovereignty will determine whether countries retain meaningful autonomy or become clients of foreign imperialism.
www.ft.com/content/8fc2...
Tech sovereignty should not be a subscription model
Concern about the loss of jurisdiction and agency to US companies is becoming more pressing for Europeans
www.ft.com
February 2, 2026 at 8:51 AM
More #stack @warmatters.bsky.social @rbarretttaylor.bsky.social, with useful reference to 'elephants in the room'...
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon...: "She [General Dame Sharon Nesmith] referenced the emerging Atlantic Bastion concept as part of a broader set of capabilities aimed at strengthening deterrence & responsiveness in the North Atlantic & Arctic approaches..." #atlanticbastion #highnorth
Ministers and senior military leaders have warned that rising Russian activity and growing Chinese interest in the Arctic and High North are driving renewed focus on UK and NATO security in the region.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/?p=66181
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/?p=66181
UK warns of rising Russian, Chinese activity in High North
Ministers and senior military leaders have warned that rising Russian activity and growing Chinese interest in the Arctic and High North are driving renewed focus on UK and NATO security in the region.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk
February 2, 2026 at 7:45 AM
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon...: "She [General Dame Sharon Nesmith] referenced the emerging Atlantic Bastion concept as part of a broader set of capabilities aimed at strengthening deterrence & responsiveness in the North Atlantic & Arctic approaches..." #atlanticbastion #highnorth
In great spirits&to the sound of music,Oleh Bibikov,Ihor Kukobko,their charitable food truck team prepare more than 10,000 hot meals each day for residents of Kyiv&Kyiv region-with plans to increase that number to 20,000
Working 18-19 hours a day,they have been going nonstop for nearly a month
Working 18-19 hours a day,they have been going nonstop for nearly a month
February 1, 2026 at 10:31 AM
I'm going to claim this one for an indirect #GIUK-NGap klaxon, as it's about the ongoing process of securing / ensuring deterrence in #highnorth Bastions, & potentially altering the strategic maritime landscape... #atlanticbastion
How #Russia Protects its Nuclear #Submarines - I had the pleasure to talk with Chris Carr of @secretsandspies.bsky.social about our #RussianSecrets investigation into Moscow‘s subsea surveillance system „Harmony“: open.spotify.com/episode/27EG... #military #NDRWDRSZ
S10 Ep29: How Russia Protects its Nuclear Submarines with Florian Flade
open.spotify.com
February 1, 2026 at 8:54 AM
I'm going to claim this one for an indirect #GIUK-NGap klaxon, as it's about the ongoing process of securing / ensuring deterrence in #highnorth Bastions, & potentially altering the strategic maritime landscape... #atlanticbastion
Phone-weapon / Weapon-phone @warmatters.bsky.social... #WISPA
February 1, 2026 at 7:35 AM
Phone-weapon / Weapon-phone @warmatters.bsky.social... #WISPA
Bastards have sharply intensified Starlink-enabled drone attacks on Ukrainian logistics. Over the past 24 hours, dozens of strikes have been recorded, including attacks on civilian buses.
Russian forces have focused their main efforts on targeting logistical facilities in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Russian forces have focused their main efforts on targeting logistical facilities in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
January 30, 2026 at 10:21 AM
Given your recent trip, one for you @jsargentr.bsky.social...
German company Circus SE will deliver CA-1 robotic kitchens to the 3rd Army Corps, part of a plan that could bring up to 25 systems to Ukraine.
The kitchens are fully autonomous and can handle everything from picking ingredients to cooking, serving, and cleaning.
www.kyivpost.com/post/68799
The kitchens are fully autonomous and can handle everything from picking ingredients to cooking, serving, and cleaning.
www.kyivpost.com/post/68799
German Company to Provide AI-Powered Robotic Kitchens to Ukrainian Troops
The kitchens are fully autonomous and can handle everything from picking ingredients to cooking, serving, and cleaning.
www.kyivpost.com
January 26, 2026 at 2:28 PM
Given your recent trip, one for you @jsargentr.bsky.social...
And, if you can get to visit in person, you can chill-out post-purchase at Bar Sotima! (given my travel schedule I was there mid-afternoon but it got busier later...) #helsinki #varusteleka
January 24, 2026 at 5:40 AM
And, if you can get to visit in person, you can chill-out post-purchase at Bar Sotima! (given my travel schedule I was there mid-afternoon but it got busier later...) #helsinki #varusteleka
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon...: And what might that situation mean for the proposed #atlanticbastion? #highnorth
Indeed. As I’ve asked before: what is our interest in letting the Americans know if a Russian sub is sneaking its way through the GIUK gap towards US East Coast if we can’t expect them to lift a finger for us ?
‘One naval source said: “This [anti-submarine warfare collaboration] avoids a Russian submarine being unlocated off the coast of America.”
But if the US attempted to take Greenland by force, the danger to the US could increase because greements to pass on vital intelligence might fall apart.’
6/
But if the US attempted to take Greenland by force, the danger to the US could increase because greements to pass on vital intelligence might fall apart.’
6/
January 23, 2026 at 7:20 PM
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon...: And what might that situation mean for the proposed #atlanticbastion? #highnorth
The repair-vs-destroy race in Ukraine.
Russia struck Kyiv's grid. Nearly 2,000 buildings lack heat at –15°C.
9 European countries mobilized within days: 50+ tons of generators and transformers delivered, three more shipments en route.
Russia struck Kyiv's grid. Nearly 2,000 buildings lack heat at –15°C.
9 European countries mobilized within days: 50+ tons of generators and transformers delivered, three more shipments en route.
European allies race aid to Ukraine as Kyiv freezes
Six countries delivered 50 tons of equipment in days; three more shipments en route.
euromaidanpress.com
January 23, 2026 at 2:47 PM
This looks like it will be useful research for #narviktheneast later in the year... #militarymobility #highnorthberedskapen
The Norwegian Defence Research Establishment has released an unclassified report on Norway's challenges in providing host nation support in the revised security landscape. Railway rolling stock numbers, rail yard capacity, unloading capacity at harbours, other stuff noted. www.ffi.no/publikasjone...
Vertslandsstøtte under press – en analyse av sivilsamfunnets evne til å støtte Forsvaret ved mottak av allierte landstyrker
Vi studerer vertslandsbehov og -kapasitet i et tenkt scenario der Norge skal motta allierte landstyrker som skal operere i Nord-Finland. Kan Forsvaret, ved bruk av sivil kapasitet i områdene, motta og...
www.ffi.no
January 23, 2026 at 10:03 AM
This looks like it will be useful research for #narviktheneast later in the year... #militarymobility #highnorthberedskapen
#36andcountdown: we're at 18. Halfway. So looked again at General Sir Roland Walker's originally reported comments. Might we now reframe the composition of the "axis of upheaval"? And what about those suggested dynamics of "sympathetic detonation"?
#36andcountdown... Time horizons & 'time needs' are integral components of foresight work. Thought I'd track a UK '3 years to war' preparedness framing, with end-state characteristics of "axis of upheaval", mutual singularity & sympathetic detonation. We're now at 32... news.sky.com/story/uk-mus...
UK must be ready for war in three years, head of British Army warns
In unusually blunt remarks for a serving officer, Chief of the General Staff Sir Roly Walker warned a convergence of threats could lead to an 'axis of upheaval' by 2027 to 2028.
news.sky.com
January 23, 2026 at 9:31 AM
#36andcountdown: we're at 18. Halfway. So looked again at General Sir Roland Walker's originally reported comments. Might we now reframe the composition of the "axis of upheaval"? And what about those suggested dynamics of "sympathetic detonation"?
Recommended reading... #Logpower & #societalresilience
Every piece about my time in Ukraine is about logistics and the incredible, dogged work of the @magicfoodarmy.bsky.social operation and crew as a microcosm to the Ukrainian effort generally.
Here is the table of contents for the Ukraine Adventure collection on Patreon. It is open access, and you should be tempted.
www.patreon.com/posts/ukrain...
www.patreon.com/posts/ukrain...
January 23, 2026 at 8:23 AM
Recommended reading... #Logpower & #societalresilience
Yes we did! The Hull High North Conference: unfortunately, a number of organisations failed to (fore)see the opportunity... #arcticfutures
To think me and @guyyeomans.bsky.social did a High North arctic security conference way back in 2011. Fifteen years ahead of the curve!
a teddy bear with the words `` when your ahead of the game '' on it .
ALT: a teddy bear with the words `` when your ahead of the game '' on it .
media.tenor.com
January 23, 2026 at 8:10 AM
Yes we did! The Hull High North Conference: unfortunately, a number of organisations failed to (fore)see the opportunity... #arcticfutures
Of interest @warmatters.bsky.social...
Today, Prof Antonio Calcara is at the Centre for Military Studies, University of Copenhagen, to discuss European security, tech and geopolitics. The seminar is moderated by Associate Professor Tobias Liebetrau.
More info
cms.polsci.ku.dk/events/cms-r... @acalcara.bsky.social @ucph.bsky.social
More info
cms.polsci.ku.dk/events/cms-r... @acalcara.bsky.social @ucph.bsky.social
January 21, 2026 at 9:46 AM
Of interest @warmatters.bsky.social...
Does anyone know if there's a mission-patch for "Operation Arctic Endurance"?
January 21, 2026 at 7:53 AM
Does anyone know if there's a mission-patch for "Operation Arctic Endurance"?
Greenland: "Denmark is ready to provide support to Greenland's emergency preparedness..." #civilprotection
Foremost to protect critical infrastructure and power generation.
LogPower defensive thinking for territorial security. 🔥
LogPower defensive thinking for territorial security. 🔥
Grønland og Danmark forstærker samarbejdet på beredskabsområdet. Blandt andet vil vi fra dansk side bistå med rådgivning om sikring af kritisk infrastruktur samt sende nødstrømsløsninger til Grønland.
Læs mere her: mssb.dk/nyheder/nyhe...
Læs mere her: mssb.dk/nyheder/nyhe...
January 18, 2026 at 1:59 PM
Greenland: "Denmark is ready to provide support to Greenland's emergency preparedness..." #civilprotection
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon...: "Russian submarine activity is nearing the highest levels since the Cold War,” Carns said, adding that developments in the Arctic directly affected UK security, particularly through activity in the GIUK gap..." #atlanticbastion #highnorth
Ministers have warned that Scottish independence would weaken UK and NATO security in the North Atlantic and Arctic, amid growing concern over Russian and Chinese activity in the High North.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/uk-warns-sco...
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/uk-warns-sco...
UK warns Scottish independence would weaken Arctic security
Ministers have warned that Scottish independence would weaken UK and NATO security in the North Atlantic and Arctic, amid growing concern over Russian and Chinese activity in the High North.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk
January 17, 2026 at 10:36 AM
I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon...: "Russian submarine activity is nearing the highest levels since the Cold War,” Carns said, adding that developments in the Arctic directly affected UK security, particularly through activity in the GIUK gap..." #atlanticbastion #highnorth
"You won’t see the sentinels. But they *are* watching..." @rajavartiolaitos.bsky.social 💪
Everyone visiting #Finland should really understand this: merely entering the border zone without a permit is a crime, and for all practical purposes *everyone* doing so *will* be caught - and prosecuted.
You won’t see the sentinels. But they *are* watching.
The unblinking eyes *do not blink.*
You won’t see the sentinels. But they *are* watching.
The unblinking eyes *do not blink.*
January 17, 2026 at 10:34 AM
"You won’t see the sentinels. But they *are* watching..." @rajavartiolaitos.bsky.social 💪
Possibly of interest @rbarretttaylor.bsky.social...
How does AI reshape military decision-making, international law, and global competition?
Don’t miss January’s ICAI Monthly Seminar with HCSS expert Sofia Romansky for fresh insights on AI, conflict, and security.
💻 Online | Great insights & networking: buff.ly/H3bT6gr
Don’t miss January’s ICAI Monthly Seminar with HCSS expert Sofia Romansky for fresh insights on AI, conflict, and security.
💻 Online | Great insights & networking: buff.ly/H3bT6gr
January 16, 2026 at 12:32 PM
Possibly of interest @rbarretttaylor.bsky.social...
Recent statements by the incoming 🇺🇸ambassador to Iceland that the US has ideas to annex it and make it the 52nd state (after Greenland) are prompting the government to make moves toward joining the EU.
Iceland is currently in the shadow-EU EEA, following EU law but with no say in creating it.
Iceland is currently in the shadow-EU EEA, following EU law but with no say in creating it.
Trump's moves spur Icelandic referendum on EU membership
With membership of the European Union favoured once again by the electorate, Iceland’s new government wants voters to decide by 2027 whether Reykjavik should resume the bid it abandoned ten years ago....
www.europeaninterest.eu
January 16, 2026 at 12:20 PM
January 14, 2026 at 1:51 PM