Conor McGovern
@conormcgovern.bsky.social
Baseball is live action Excel (laudatory). Had a humiliating career as a minor league hockey goalie. Dad. Former union boss. School meals scientist (on furlough) irl
Covering the AA Eastern League for the Dynasty Dugout (https://www.thedynastydugout.com/)
Covering the AA Eastern League for the Dynasty Dugout (https://www.thedynastydugout.com/)
This guy just landed on FanGraphs and Savant for the first time
New baseball operations president Paul DePodesta says the #Rockies have more analytical tools than people think. The goal is setting procedures to use it successfuly.
www.mlb.com/news/paul-de...
www.mlb.com/news/paul-de...
DePodesta already digging in on how to improve Rockies' reputation
LAS VEGAS -- The Rockies’ acknowledge being behind other clubs in the use of modern baseball information. But their reputation -- which practically says Old Hoss Radbourn had better analytics when he ...
www.mlb.com
November 13, 2025 at 3:30 AM
This guy just landed on FanGraphs and Savant for the first time
One fun fact about Delaware is Newark and the beach towns have aldermen in lieu of courts that serve as judge and jury on all misdemeanors, citations, and traffic violations in the town. The alderman is a volunteer position that requires no experience practicing law. They're total kangaroo courts
It's more like Connecticut sutured onto South Carolina
November 12, 2025 at 8:44 PM
One fun fact about Delaware is Newark and the beach towns have aldermen in lieu of courts that serve as judge and jury on all misdemeanors, citations, and traffic violations in the town. The alderman is a volunteer position that requires no experience practicing law. They're total kangaroo courts
Wrote an article explaining Predict+, a model that quantifies how easy or hard it is to predict what a pitcher will throw. The article includes links to a Tableau dashboard, the raw output data for the 2025 regular season for MLB and AAA, and the GitHub repo comcgovern36.substack.com/p/introducin...
Introducing Predict+
Measuring MLB and AAA pitcher unpredictability through machine learning analysis of pitch selection
comcgovern36.substack.com
November 12, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Wrote an article explaining Predict+, a model that quantifies how easy or hard it is to predict what a pitcher will throw. The article includes links to a Tableau dashboard, the raw output data for the 2025 regular season for MLB and AAA, and the GitHub repo comcgovern36.substack.com/p/introducin...
Made a dashboard with the 2025 Predict+ regular season data for MLB and AAA. You can plot it against a bunch of process and outcome stats as well. public.tableau.com/app/profile/...
public.tableau.com
November 10, 2025 at 7:28 PM
Made a dashboard with the 2025 Predict+ regular season data for MLB and AAA. You can plot it against a bunch of process and outcome stats as well. public.tableau.com/app/profile/...
Not sure anyone has mentioned this, but the CR also covers backpay for workers at any state agency or federal grantee who were furloughed because of the shutdown of their federal programs AND guarantees that in the event of another shutdown in FY 2026. That's huge
November 10, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Not sure anyone has mentioned this, but the CR also covers backpay for workers at any state agency or federal grantee who were furloughed because of the shutdown of their federal programs AND guarantees that in the event of another shutdown in FY 2026. That's huge
I don't understand this. They fought using the means available to them, which were meager. Further fighting meant pulling the "starve millions of kids" lever with no further odds of success.
The professional take-haver class is not covering itself in glory this morning
The professional take-haver class is not covering itself in glory this morning
seems to me that those democrats inclined not to fight perceive themselves as living through a somewhat ordinary cycle of presidential overreach and backlash and not something much more significant and dangerous
November 10, 2025 at 1:18 PM
I don't understand this. They fought using the means available to them, which were meager. Further fighting meant pulling the "starve millions of kids" lever with no further odds of success.
The professional take-haver class is not covering itself in glory this morning
The professional take-haver class is not covering itself in glory this morning
Well, since it looks like I'll only be out of work for one more week before it's back to the school meal research mines, I'll make sure to get my Predict+ public release up in the next couple days. Putting together a Tableau dashboard for the 2025 MLB and AAA data
November 10, 2025 at 1:56 AM
Well, since it looks like I'll only be out of work for one more week before it's back to the school meal research mines, I'll make sure to get my Predict+ public release up in the next couple days. Putting together a Tableau dashboard for the 2025 MLB and AAA data
Reposted by Conor McGovern
This is an important offseason for the Orioles
An A+ offseason makes them contenders again
A C offseason tilts them towards a rebuild
Here’s a rubric for grading the upcoming Orioles offseason
thedishwasher.blog/2025/11/07/o...
An A+ offseason makes them contenders again
A C offseason tilts them towards a rebuild
Here’s a rubric for grading the upcoming Orioles offseason
thedishwasher.blog/2025/11/07/o...
Orioles Offseason Rubric
Five months from now the offseason will be over and we’ll be able to grade Mike Elias’ offseason. When I was in school I really appreciated when a professor gave you a detailed rubric that outlined…
thedishwasher.blog
November 7, 2025 at 2:26 PM
This is an important offseason for the Orioles
An A+ offseason makes them contenders again
A C offseason tilts them towards a rebuild
Here’s a rubric for grading the upcoming Orioles offseason
thedishwasher.blog/2025/11/07/o...
An A+ offseason makes them contenders again
A C offseason tilts them towards a rebuild
Here’s a rubric for grading the upcoming Orioles offseason
thedishwasher.blog/2025/11/07/o...
Did the Rockies actually hire Paul DePodesta or did they accidentally hire Jonah Hill?
November 6, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Did the Rockies actually hire Paul DePodesta or did they accidentally hire Jonah Hill?
Spent all day trying to patch my R code to see if I could get AAA Statcast data to download and finally got it. Ran the Predict+ model for the 2025 regular season and, wouldn't you know it, Trey Gibson had the highest Predict+ (121) among pitchers with 500 or more pitches at the level.
November 6, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Spent all day trying to patch my R code to see if I could get AAA Statcast data to download and finally got it. Ran the Predict+ model for the 2025 regular season and, wouldn't you know it, Trey Gibson had the highest Predict+ (121) among pitchers with 500 or more pitches at the level.
RFK making like Ray Lewis at a Super Bowl party
holy shit -- one of Trump's toadies just passed out and the White House event is brought to an abrupt end
November 6, 2025 at 5:50 PM
RFK making like Ray Lewis at a Super Bowl party
Reposted by Conor McGovern
Orioles sending Kittredge to the Cubs on loan for 2 months in return for an extremely promising 17 year old is very entertaining to me
November 4, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Orioles sending Kittredge to the Cubs on loan for 2 months in return for an extremely promising 17 year old is very entertaining to me
Cool cool cool
Breaking news: The Trump administration is sending messages to federal staff suggesting only those who are working during the government shutdown will be paid when it ends, despite a 2019 law that guarantees pay to furloughed employees, too.
Administration hints furloughed workers may not be paid after shutdown
Agencies are sending messages indicating that workers who are on the job will be paid when the government reopens — with no mention of those on furlough, despite a 2019 law protecting their wages.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 4, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Cool cool cool
Mike Elias should be on the phone with Imanaga's agent right now
November 4, 2025 at 2:13 PM
Mike Elias should be on the phone with Imanaga's agent right now
Happy the Orioles brought back Enns and Garcia for the bullpen. I don't know about Cano or Akin. The latter is probably fine as a middle B-bullpen guy but don't you want to do better?
November 4, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Happy the Orioles brought back Enns and Garcia for the bullpen. I don't know about Cano or Akin. The latter is probably fine as a middle B-bullpen guy but don't you want to do better?
Last night's Predict+ scores. Yamamoto wasn't just masterful in guts and execution, his pitch selections also differed significantly from what he did in the regular season in comparable situations. Some of that may have just been exhaustion, but it made him even more difficult to face.
November 2, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Last night's Predict+ scores. Yamamoto wasn't just masterful in guts and execution, his pitch selections also differed significantly from what he did in the regular season in comparable situations. Some of that may have just been exhaustion, but it made him even more difficult to face.
Reposted by Conor McGovern
Did not expect one of the best paragraphs I’d read about baseball would come from an Irish newspaper
www.irishexaminer.com/sport-column...
www.irishexaminer.com/sport-column...
November 2, 2025 at 2:22 PM
Did not expect one of the best paragraphs I’d read about baseball would come from an Irish newspaper
www.irishexaminer.com/sport-column...
www.irishexaminer.com/sport-column...
Reposted by Conor McGovern
My congratulations to all Baseball Perverts. It was their "super bowl" last night and it seems they all had a very bad time (in their culture that's how you have a good time)
November 2, 2025 at 3:23 PM
My congratulations to all Baseball Perverts. It was their "super bowl" last night and it seems they all had a very bad time (in their culture that's how you have a good time)
Predict+ scores from Game 5. Seranthony Dominguez and Trey Yesavage led the way as the most difficult to predict, with Blake Treinen being the most predictable based on his pitch selections in 2025.
October 31, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Predict+ scores from Game 5. Seranthony Dominguez and Trey Yesavage led the way as the most difficult to predict, with Blake Treinen being the most predictable based on his pitch selections in 2025.
Reposted by Conor McGovern
Federal employee ethics training is like “you are technically allowed to get a birthday card for your co-worker but why risk it?”
Patel's girlfriend performed at Penn State last weekend. A government jet arrived at State College Regional Airport, according to its FAA registration, with an address listing the FBI HQ. The plane then flew to Nashville, where his girlfriend lives.
All on the taxpayer’s dime.
trib.al/TBvPo7A
All on the taxpayer’s dime.
trib.al/TBvPo7A
October 30, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Federal employee ethics training is like “you are technically allowed to get a birthday card for your co-worker but why risk it?”
I think I had a single game like this in hockey at that age where I had like a 40 save shutout but it was in a league that was the equivalent of early season High-A
October 30, 2025 at 2:17 AM
I think I had a single game like this in hockey at that age where I had like a 40 save shutout but it was in a league that was the equivalent of early season High-A
Reposted by Conor McGovern
Teoscar playing the best right field defense in history by sort of lazily loping at a slow pace towards balls in play in order to bait the Jays into going for an extra base. That's Gold Glove stuff right there
October 28, 2025 at 3:57 AM
Teoscar playing the best right field defense in history by sort of lazily loping at a slow pace towards balls in play in order to bait the Jays into going for an extra base. That's Gold Glove stuff right there
Predict+ scores for pitchers who played for the Orioles in 2025. Predict+ is a measure of how much actual pitch selection differs in a given situation from what the model predicts based on the pitcher's data, so Garcia and Bradish often fooled the model while it often guessed right for Felix or Cano
October 29, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Predict+ scores for pitchers who played for the Orioles in 2025. Predict+ is a measure of how much actual pitch selection differs in a given situation from what the model predicts based on the pitcher's data, so Garcia and Bradish often fooled the model while it often guessed right for Felix or Cano
Predict+ from last night's game. Varland had the most surprising pitch selection, and Banda was the most predictable.
October 29, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Predict+ from last night's game. Varland had the most surprising pitch selection, and Banda was the most predictable.
That's right. 16th highest wOBA in September
mayo is good and I don’t care who knows I think that
it is also just simply totally inaccurate that only white midwestern americans like mayo
far as i can tell from traveling internationally a lot - the whole world, it loves mayonnaise.
far as i can tell from traveling internationally a lot - the whole world, it loves mayonnaise.
October 29, 2025 at 1:08 AM
That's right. 16th highest wOBA in September