Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
@alexvhj.bsky.social
Democratic pollster. Survey methods and data at GSG. PoliSci PhD. Also loves dogs, cats, soccer, d&d
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
NEW: "In a 2025 survey, we asked people in 25 nations to say – in their own words – what makes them proud of their country. In several ways, Americans’ answers stand out from those of people in other countries."
6 facts about national pride in the U.S.
Republicans and Democrats tend to highlight different sources of pride – a partisan divide that is not as pronounced in most other countries.
www.pewresearch.org
February 17, 2026 at 5:08 PM
NEW: "In a 2025 survey, we asked people in 25 nations to say – in their own words – what makes them proud of their country. In several ways, Americans’ answers stand out from those of people in other countries."
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
It is funny, as a pollster I tested how different endorsements increase support using conjoint for clients. It is interesting math of constituent size and lift.
But never thought of just making up ones 🤣
But never thought of just making up ones 🤣
Governor candidate caught making up key endorsements - Raw Story www.rawstory.com/mike-duggan/
Governor candidate caught making up key endorsements
An independent gubernatorial candidate in Michigan is walking back a post that appeared to fabricate endorsements from labor unions that he didn't actually receive.According to The Detroit News, the X...
www.rawstory.com
February 16, 2026 at 9:07 PM
It is funny, as a pollster I tested how different endorsements increase support using conjoint for clients. It is interesting math of constituent size and lift.
But never thought of just making up ones 🤣
But never thought of just making up ones 🤣
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
would read this novel tbh
“does anyone truly know their own heart” she whispered into the crosstabs
February 14, 2026 at 7:45 PM
would read this novel tbh
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
Back to the hockey!
US up 6-0 on Italy, showing no signs of slowing down.
US up 6-0 on Italy, showing no signs of slowing down.
February 13, 2026 at 10:07 PM
Back to the hockey!
US up 6-0 on Italy, showing no signs of slowing down.
US up 6-0 on Italy, showing no signs of slowing down.
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
Democratic pollster Impact Research is hiring a Survey Scientist: impactresearch.com/jobs-interns...
(Washington, DC or Montgomery, AL preferred; remote candidates considered)
(Washington, DC or Montgomery, AL preferred; remote candidates considered)
Careers - Impact Research
Look to Impact for political research jobs, internships, and career growth if you like challenges and solving problems together.
impactresearch.com
February 9, 2026 at 8:38 PM
Democratic pollster Impact Research is hiring a Survey Scientist: impactresearch.com/jobs-interns...
(Washington, DC or Montgomery, AL preferred; remote candidates considered)
(Washington, DC or Montgomery, AL preferred; remote candidates considered)
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
Revising the dataviz book is an opportunity to remind enthusiastic beginners of the bitter realities that lie ahead of them.
February 7, 2026 at 3:29 PM
Revising the dataviz book is an opportunity to remind enthusiastic beginners of the bitter realities that lie ahead of them.
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
80% of the political posts on this site are some variation of a combination of these two mutually exclusive tenets:
1. i would simply not be in the minority
2. i would simply not do anything necessary to achieving the majority
1. i would simply not be in the minority
2. i would simply not do anything necessary to achieving the majority
Saw someone say about Democrats that “I just don't accept "we don't have the votes" anymore. Get creative. Just do things. “
… I am not doing free PR for Dems but literally do people know what a minority is
… I am not doing free PR for Dems but literally do people know what a minority is
February 7, 2026 at 12:46 PM
80% of the political posts on this site are some variation of a combination of these two mutually exclusive tenets:
1. i would simply not be in the minority
2. i would simply not do anything necessary to achieving the majority
1. i would simply not be in the minority
2. i would simply not do anything necessary to achieving the majority
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
the Spectator accidentally recycled a subhed from a previous day’s article about Tehran
February 6, 2026 at 6:07 PM
the Spectator accidentally recycled a subhed from a previous day’s article about Tehran
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
Today seems like a nice day to re-up @leahchristiani.bsky.social 's excellent research on when white people approve of blatantly racist political messages. Not sure what made me think of it today, but anyway.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
When are Explicit Racial Appeals Accepted? Examining the Role of Racial Status Threat - Political Behavior
Evidence has emerged demonstrating that whites no longer reject negative, explicit racial appeals as they had in the past. This seeming reversal of the traditional logic of the powerlessness of explic...
link.springer.com
February 6, 2026 at 4:41 PM
Today seems like a nice day to re-up @leahchristiani.bsky.social 's excellent research on when white people approve of blatantly racist political messages. Not sure what made me think of it today, but anyway.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
NEW: Abigail Spanberger this afternoon ordered that all state agencies leave ICE's 287(g) program.
This means that the state police (and some other agencies) will no longer be empowered to detain and arrest people for ICE.
Big, big move by the governor within weeks of coming into office.
This means that the state police (and some other agencies) will no longer be empowered to detain and arrest people for ICE.
Big, big move by the governor within weeks of coming into office.
Virginia’s New Governor Ends ICE Program. Local Contracts Remain, For Now. - Bolts
Abigail Spanberger left the 287(g) program, which empowered state law enforcement to detain immigrants. Will Democrats also bar local police and sheriffs from the program?
boltsmag.org
February 4, 2026 at 10:36 PM
NEW: Abigail Spanberger this afternoon ordered that all state agencies leave ICE's 287(g) program.
This means that the state police (and some other agencies) will no longer be empowered to detain and arrest people for ICE.
Big, big move by the governor within weeks of coming into office.
This means that the state police (and some other agencies) will no longer be empowered to detain and arrest people for ICE.
Big, big move by the governor within weeks of coming into office.
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
I remember my father bringing this edition of the Post home with #DCU players holding the MLS Cup in front of supporters on the front page. I still have the MLS Cup gamer & photos cut up in a binder somewhere.
It was the start of my love for sports journalism. Today sucks. #SaveThePost
It was the start of my love for sports journalism. Today sucks. #SaveThePost
February 4, 2026 at 5:13 PM
I remember my father bringing this edition of the Post home with #DCU players holding the MLS Cup in front of supporters on the front page. I still have the MLS Cup gamer & photos cut up in a binder somewhere.
It was the start of my love for sports journalism. Today sucks. #SaveThePost
It was the start of my love for sports journalism. Today sucks. #SaveThePost
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
Crestfallen and f$&@ furious about the closure as we know it of @postsports.bsky.social by an indifferent, compromised owner and a failing publisher — a dept of Povich and Boswell, Wilbon and Kornheiser, Gildea and Sheinin, of poets, authors, Hall of Famers and Pulitzer finalists. A terrible day.
February 4, 2026 at 2:19 PM
Crestfallen and f$&@ furious about the closure as we know it of @postsports.bsky.social by an indifferent, compromised owner and a failing publisher — a dept of Povich and Boswell, Wilbon and Kornheiser, Gildea and Sheinin, of poets, authors, Hall of Famers and Pulitzer finalists. A terrible day.
I grew up reading the Washington Post and have continued to subscribe as an adult, in part because of the great sports, books, and international sections that are being wrecked today. It was one of the world’s great newspapers. This is a terrible choice they’re making.
February 4, 2026 at 2:55 PM
I grew up reading the Washington Post and have continued to subscribe as an adult, in part because of the great sports, books, and international sections that are being wrecked today. It was one of the world’s great newspapers. This is a terrible choice they’re making.
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
"I don't want to do this but I will get the job done if I must" is so perfectly Minnesotan
Person running for DFL vice chair of precinct 10-1 pledges to do a "C minus" job and attend "some meetings" but if literally anyone else is willing to do a C plus job, she would step aside.
February 4, 2026 at 4:09 AM
"I don't want to do this but I will get the job done if I must" is so perfectly Minnesotan
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
People who give prescriptive advice on how to win elections should at least be descriptively accurate about what people who are doing the actual work of trying to win elections are already doing.
I used to teach students that their literature reviews ought to try to characterize other arguments in ways that would be recognized by those authors. Most of the time on here, when I see someone describe what political strategists or consultants think, I don’t think it meets that bar.
November 16, 2025 at 3:37 PM
People who give prescriptive advice on how to win elections should at least be descriptively accurate about what people who are doing the actual work of trying to win elections are already doing.
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
🚨Navigator’s new website is live!
Redesigned to make our polling and message guidance clearer, more accessible, and easier to use.
Take a peek 👇
Redesigned to make our polling and message guidance clearer, more accessible, and easier to use.
Take a peek 👇
February 2, 2026 at 1:59 PM
🚨Navigator’s new website is live!
Redesigned to make our polling and message guidance clearer, more accessible, and easier to use.
Take a peek 👇
Redesigned to make our polling and message guidance clearer, more accessible, and easier to use.
Take a peek 👇
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
The better LLMs get, the more data scientists are going to find out the truth.
February 1, 2026 at 4:17 PM
The better LLMs get, the more data scientists are going to find out the truth.
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
*Normal Democrat who has won multiple local races goes on to another big win as a normal Democrat* This just goes to show, normal Democrats suck
Right now they're banking on the former. I'm serious. That's the strategy unless we cause hell. It's primary season. The people are enraged and we have the numbers. You have to bend the establishment to your will.
February 1, 2026 at 6:45 AM
*Normal Democrat who has won multiple local races goes on to another big win as a normal Democrat* This just goes to show, normal Democrats suck
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
Hundreds of people spelled out the distress signal "SOS" on Bde Maka Ska in Minneapolis on Friday, Jan. 30.
📷️ Provided by Jeff Schad
📷️ Provided by Jeff Schad
January 31, 2026 at 6:10 PM
Hundreds of people spelled out the distress signal "SOS" on Bde Maka Ska in Minneapolis on Friday, Jan. 30.
📷️ Provided by Jeff Schad
📷️ Provided by Jeff Schad
One thing I think we should consider more is how caring about politics and being a reliable voter are correlated but distinct traits. There are habitual voters who don’t want to discuss politics, and people who care about politics but struggle to follow through and vote.
Characteristically thoughtful discussion of a known snag of survey research -- people who care a lot about politics are more likely to take political polls -- and what we might be able to do to address that
(As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)
(As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)
Hello super friends.
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
January 31, 2026 at 1:27 AM
One thing I think we should consider more is how caring about politics and being a reliable voter are correlated but distinct traits. There are habitual voters who don’t want to discuss politics, and people who care about politics but struggle to follow through and vote.
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
Hello super friends.
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
Talking Politics With People Who Don't Want to, with Kabir Khanna of CBS News
Podcast Episode · Cross Tabs · 01/29/2026 · 53m
podcasts.apple.com
January 30, 2026 at 1:12 AM
Hello super friends.
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
Characteristically thoughtful discussion of a known snag of survey research -- people who care a lot about politics are more likely to take political polls -- and what we might be able to do to address that
(As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)
(As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)
Hello super friends.
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
Talking Politics With People Who Don't Want to, with Kabir Khanna of CBS News
Podcast Episode · Cross Tabs · 01/29/2026 · 53m
podcasts.apple.com
January 30, 2026 at 8:15 PM
Characteristically thoughtful discussion of a known snag of survey research -- people who care a lot about politics are more likely to take political polls -- and what we might be able to do to address that
(As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)
(As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)
This is a great conversation, both an overview of some of the challenges in political polling and a description of some of the research on the cutting edge
Hello super friends.
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
Talking Politics With People Who Don't Want to, with Kabir Khanna of CBS News
Podcast Episode · Cross Tabs · 01/29/2026 · 53m
podcasts.apple.com
January 31, 2026 at 1:21 AM
This is a great conversation, both an overview of some of the challenges in political polling and a description of some of the research on the cutting edge
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
this is an eminently losing battle that I will also continue to whole-heartedly fight
A hill I will die on: message-testing polls are a legitimate way to figure out angles that resonate with voters. This kind of survey is not a "push poll."
A "push poll" isn't even a poll--they are not collecting or analyzing data, just spreading negative messages to a very wide audience.
A "push poll" isn't even a poll--they are not collecting or analyzing data, just spreading negative messages to a very wide audience.
The survey in the field this week appears designed to identify Rob Sand’s weaknesses and the strongest arguments a competitor could make before the June 2 Democratic primary.
www.bleedingheartland.com/2026/01/30/s...
www.bleedingheartland.com/2026/01/30/s...
January 30, 2026 at 10:54 PM
this is an eminently losing battle that I will also continue to whole-heartedly fight
Reposted by Alex Von Hagen-Jamar
I used to teach students that their literature reviews ought to try to characterize other arguments in ways that would be recognized by those authors. Most of the time on here, when I see someone describe what political strategists or consultants think, I don’t think it meets that bar.
November 2, 2025 at 9:43 PM
I used to teach students that their literature reviews ought to try to characterize other arguments in ways that would be recognized by those authors. Most of the time on here, when I see someone describe what political strategists or consultants think, I don’t think it meets that bar.