Ariel Edwards-Levy
@aedwardslevy.bsky.social
Polling editor at CNN, keeping (cross)tabs on public opinion and the news. I like puns.
Pinned
How do you read a poll? CNN polling editor Ariel Edwards-Levy walks you through it yourfirstbyline.substack.com/p/how-to-rea...
How to Read a Poll
CNN polling editor Ariel Edwards-Levy walks you through everything you need to know.
yourfirstbyline.substack.com
Excited to share some tips for writing about polls for anyone coming in cold to the subject!
(Pictured: a thing on which pollsters are probably not calling you these days).
(Pictured: a thing on which pollsters are probably not calling you these days).
wanna see a ~200-word wiki entry that somehow manages to cover Yiddish, contract bridge, chess, Go, Schafkopf, Omar Sharif, lapwings, NIST, 1930 cinema and Jane Jacobs' theory of urban safety
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kibitzer
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kibitzer
Kibitzer - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
December 26, 2025 at 12:02 AM
wanna see a ~200-word wiki entry that somehow manages to cover Yiddish, contract bridge, chess, Go, Schafkopf, Omar Sharif, lapwings, NIST, 1930 cinema and Jane Jacobs' theory of urban safety
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kibitzer
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kibitzer
tiny tim, who did NOT die, but did get real into crypto
December 25, 2025 at 7:16 PM
tiny tim, who did NOT die, but did get real into crypto
this is why having broader measures of public opinion is important, actually
December 25, 2025 at 6:17 PM
this is why having broader measures of public opinion is important, actually
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
At its best, survey research can be a way to talk to a lot of ordinary people who might not otherwise have the chance or inclination to share.
I love this
@amyokruk.bsky.social
interactive highlighting what some of those interviewed said - check it out: www.cnn.com/2025/12/24/p...
I love this
@amyokruk.bsky.social
interactive highlighting what some of those interviewed said - check it out: www.cnn.com/2025/12/24/p...
December 24, 2025 at 2:56 PM
At its best, survey research can be a way to talk to a lot of ordinary people who might not otherwise have the chance or inclination to share.
I love this
@amyokruk.bsky.social
interactive highlighting what some of those interviewed said - check it out: www.cnn.com/2025/12/24/p...
I love this
@amyokruk.bsky.social
interactive highlighting what some of those interviewed said - check it out: www.cnn.com/2025/12/24/p...
testing the theory that if nothing is open and nobody's online perhaps I will get some work done
December 25, 2025 at 4:09 PM
testing the theory that if nothing is open and nobody's online perhaps I will get some work done
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
Merry Christmas to all celebrating starting tonight. (Everyone else, meet you at the movies and Chinese food)
December 24, 2025 at 10:44 PM
Merry Christmas to all celebrating starting tonight. (Everyone else, meet you at the movies and Chinese food)
do you think you could affectively polarize people into defending dominick the christmas donkey
December 24, 2025 at 9:38 PM
do you think you could affectively polarize people into defending dominick the christmas donkey
explaining thermostatic shift in the behavior of Ebenezer Scrooge using the Tiny Tim For A Change model
in this paper I will
in this paper I will
December 24, 2025 at 8:36 PM
explaining thermostatic shift in the behavior of Ebenezer Scrooge using the Tiny Tim For A Change model
in this paper I will
in this paper I will
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
I wonder how much of the "affordability crisis" is really about this particular stat.
It wasn't that long ago that you could go to the supermarket and get a week of groceries for $100.
$100 groceries are like $4/gallon gas -- a psychological line that you are asked to confront constantly.
It wasn't that long ago that you could go to the supermarket and get a week of groceries for $100.
$100 groceries are like $4/gallon gas -- a psychological line that you are asked to confront constantly.
December 24, 2025 at 3:01 PM
I wonder how much of the "affordability crisis" is really about this particular stat.
It wasn't that long ago that you could go to the supermarket and get a week of groceries for $100.
$100 groceries are like $4/gallon gas -- a psychological line that you are asked to confront constantly.
It wasn't that long ago that you could go to the supermarket and get a week of groceries for $100.
$100 groceries are like $4/gallon gas -- a psychological line that you are asked to confront constantly.
Most Americans don’t have faith that their political leaders care what they have to say. So, we asked them what messages they'd have for Trump and Democratic leaders if they did have the chance to speak their mind.
New polling here: www.cnn.com/2025/12/24/p...
New polling here: www.cnn.com/2025/12/24/p...
What Americans would tell Donald Trump or Democratic leaders if they could | CNN Politics
Most Americans don’t have faith that their political leaders care what they have to say. But if they had the chance to tell Washington something, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds, they’d say ple...
www.cnn.com
December 24, 2025 at 2:50 PM
Most Americans don’t have faith that their political leaders care what they have to say. So, we asked them what messages they'd have for Trump and Democratic leaders if they did have the chance to speak their mind.
New polling here: www.cnn.com/2025/12/24/p...
New polling here: www.cnn.com/2025/12/24/p...
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
he's buying a list/he's checking it twice/he's cursing the states/where he has to impute the data on who's naughty or nice
December 23, 2024 at 3:33 PM
he's buying a list/he's checking it twice/he's cursing the states/where he has to impute the data on who's naughty or nice
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
is pretending Santa Claus lives at the North Pole affective polarization
September 9, 2024 at 8:20 PM
is pretending Santa Claus lives at the North Pole affective polarization
save them for the best of jill hiiiiiiives
December 24, 2025 at 3:45 AM
save them for the best of jill hiiiiiiives
generally speaking, I think it is Good to have some framework to try to independently, empirically assess and report on how a nation's populace feels about its leaders, policies and society (and things unrelated to politics!) but what do I know
I think reporting on polling should be banned.
December 23, 2025 at 6:13 PM
generally speaking, I think it is Good to have some framework to try to independently, empirically assess and report on how a nation's populace feels about its leaders, policies and society (and things unrelated to politics!) but what do I know
it is my guiding professional belief that survey data is not an inedible garnish for news stories
this is not a subtweet, I've just been watching a lot of Top Chef
this is not a subtweet, I've just been watching a lot of Top Chef
December 23, 2025 at 6:07 PM
it is my guiding professional belief that survey data is not an inedible garnish for news stories
this is not a subtweet, I've just been watching a lot of Top Chef
this is not a subtweet, I've just been watching a lot of Top Chef
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
Redaction culture has gone too far
December 23, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Redaction culture has gone too far
legitimate lol
December 22, 2025 at 8:41 PM
legitimate lol
I know many Jews have complicated feelings about Christmas but I will say that I absolutely love a holiday in which everything around me is festive and yet there are zero societal explanations placed on me personally to do *anything* and also there's possibly dim sum
December 22, 2025 at 6:45 PM
I know many Jews have complicated feelings about Christmas but I will say that I absolutely love a holiday in which everything around me is festive and yet there are zero societal explanations placed on me personally to do *anything* and also there's possibly dim sum
"descriptive statements are frequently confused for prescriptive arguments"
"what do you MEAN it's totally fine to treat descriptive statements like prescriptive arguments???? you are a terrible person"
"what do you MEAN it's totally fine to treat descriptive statements like prescriptive arguments???? you are a terrible person"
December 22, 2025 at 5:33 PM
"descriptive statements are frequently confused for prescriptive arguments"
"what do you MEAN it's totally fine to treat descriptive statements like prescriptive arguments???? you are a terrible person"
"what do you MEAN it's totally fine to treat descriptive statements like prescriptive arguments???? you are a terrible person"
on a year-end evaluation, perhaps:
-drew heightened attention and audience interest to distinctive journalism by making powerful use of cursed monkey's paw
-drew heightened attention and audience interest to distinctive journalism by making powerful use of cursed monkey's paw
December 22, 2025 at 3:24 PM
on a year-end evaluation, perhaps:
-drew heightened attention and audience interest to distinctive journalism by making powerful use of cursed monkey's paw
-drew heightened attention and audience interest to distinctive journalism by making powerful use of cursed monkey's paw
Pew's big mode effect study a while back had the same finding -- for all that people like to talk about social desirability findings when it comes to more political topics, where it really seems most evident is questions like this:
People who take phone surveys report that their wellbeing is significantly higher than those who are surveyed online.
What do you think drives this result?
What do you think drives this result?
December 22, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Pew's big mode effect study a while back had the same finding -- for all that people like to talk about social desirability findings when it comes to more political topics, where it really seems most evident is questions like this:
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
In other news: it's the winter solstice, so every day from here on out will get longer and brighter for us here in the northern hemisphere!
So. You know. We've got that going for us at least.
So. You know. We've got that going for us at least.
December 22, 2025 at 4:47 AM
In other news: it's the winter solstice, so every day from here on out will get longer and brighter for us here in the northern hemisphere!
So. You know. We've got that going for us at least.
So. You know. We've got that going for us at least.
the sole thing about this that is not dispiriting is that the blowback is so public and immediate
December 22, 2025 at 3:24 AM
the sole thing about this that is not dispiriting is that the blowback is so public and immediate
was no one going to mention to me the existence of gomez's hamburger
Gomez's Hamburger: A Sun-Like Star Near the End of Its Life - NASA Science
Hold the pickles; hold the lettuce. Space is serving up giant hamburgers. NASA's Hubble Space Telescope has snapped a photograph of a strange object that bears an uncanny resemblance to a hamburger. T...
science.nasa.gov
December 22, 2025 at 12:52 AM
was no one going to mention to me the existence of gomez's hamburger
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
It's the first day of winter! Southern California, how're we feeling? 🧥🧤
🎨 Jeanne Kéfer, 1885, Fernand Khnopff. Getty Museum
🎨 Jeanne Kéfer, 1885, Fernand Khnopff. Getty Museum
December 21, 2025 at 6:00 PM
It's the first day of winter! Southern California, how're we feeling? 🧥🧤
🎨 Jeanne Kéfer, 1885, Fernand Khnopff. Getty Museum
🎨 Jeanne Kéfer, 1885, Fernand Khnopff. Getty Museum