Ariel Edwards-Levy
@aedwardslevy.bsky.social
Polling editor at CNN, keeping (cross)tabs on public opinion and the news. I like puns.
Pinned
How do you read a poll? CNN polling editor Ariel Edwards-Levy walks you through it yourfirstbyline.substack.com/p/how-to-rea...
How to Read a Poll
CNN polling editor Ariel Edwards-Levy walks you through everything you need to know.
yourfirstbyline.substack.com
Excited to share some tips for writing about polls for anyone coming in cold to the subject!
(Pictured: a thing on which pollsters are probably not calling you these days).
(Pictured: a thing on which pollsters are probably not calling you these days).
so they don't like pancakes????
February 9, 2026 at 3:54 AM
so they don't like pancakes????
my mistake, I retract the Post
February 9, 2026 at 3:15 AM
my mistake, I retract the Post
who called it the Puppy Bowl and not the World Pup
February 8, 2026 at 11:27 PM
who called it the Puppy Bowl and not the World Pup
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
You’ve spent the past 2 weeks, microlearning for a party.
You’re ready to bring up the Great Gatsby.
As you take a sip from your wine, Roberta, says:
“Oh like an East Egg vs West Egg school?”
Your night is ruined.
You’ve gained a new nemesis and vow to microlearn even harder.
You’re ready to bring up the Great Gatsby.
As you take a sip from your wine, Roberta, says:
“Oh like an East Egg vs West Egg school?”
Your night is ruined.
You’ve gained a new nemesis and vow to microlearn even harder.
Ad on New York Times app. Do we think Times readers think of themselves as uninteresting? And looking for “microlearning,” whatever that means?
February 8, 2026 at 6:54 PM
You’ve spent the past 2 weeks, microlearning for a party.
You’re ready to bring up the Great Gatsby.
As you take a sip from your wine, Roberta, says:
“Oh like an East Egg vs West Egg school?”
Your night is ruined.
You’ve gained a new nemesis and vow to microlearn even harder.
You’re ready to bring up the Great Gatsby.
As you take a sip from your wine, Roberta, says:
“Oh like an East Egg vs West Egg school?”
Your night is ruined.
You’ve gained a new nemesis and vow to microlearn even harder.
will take any excuse to point out that the bear on the California flag looks like you asked it for a favor just when it was leaving the office
February 8, 2026 at 6:49 PM
will take any excuse to point out that the bear on the California flag looks like you asked it for a favor just when it was leaving the office
dc
please be alert for a piccolo
please be alert for a piccolo
February 7, 2026 at 7:35 PM
dc
please be alert for a piccolo
please be alert for a piccolo
if we send the weather to college, maybe then it won't feel like zero degrees
February 7, 2026 at 4:08 PM
if we send the weather to college, maybe then it won't feel like zero degrees
in retrospect I'm not entirely sure this hasn't happened and it would explain some of the MRP panels I've sat through
I'd watch a muppet show movie where the muppets infiltrate an academic conference.
February 7, 2026 at 3:11 PM
in retrospect I'm not entirely sure this hasn't happened and it would explain some of the MRP panels I've sat through
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
Reviewer 1: "While we appreciate the attempt to control for altitude in the survey, we are concerned that asking respondents 'How high are you?' may have involved ambiguous wording."
February 6, 2026 at 11:35 PM
Reviewer 1: "While we appreciate the attempt to control for altitude in the survey, we are concerned that asking respondents 'How high are you?' may have involved ambiguous wording."
preemptively and defensively clutching my millennial-Canadian-indie-rock listening numbers
introducing Starcounter: a tabulator for Bluesky clickbait
February 6, 2026 at 6:37 PM
preemptively and defensively clutching my millennial-Canadian-indie-rock listening numbers
fun data for someone out there!
I am nerding out on these Public Opinion Index for Industry reports. The public opinion questions will be added to iPoll, but there's so much here: studies of specific companies, surveys of workers in particular industries. The right academic could have a field day. So DM me if you're interested
February 6, 2026 at 6:25 PM
fun data for someone out there!
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
We put together a great new resource of all of our polling on health information and public trust.
We will be updating it OFTEN and it can be your go-to source for our latest polling on these topics. Bookmark it!
We will be updating it OFTEN and it can be your go-to source for our latest polling on these topics. Bookmark it!
KFF’s new interactive polling dashboard draws on more than a dozen surveys to show trends in trust in health information, attitudes toward vaccines, and use of news, social media, and AI for health-related information.
Explore the dashboard: https://on.kff.org/HITdashboard
Explore the dashboard: https://on.kff.org/HITdashboard
KFF Polling on Health Information and Trust | KFF
Drawing on KFF's poll findings, this interactive dashboard tracks the public’s trusted sources for health information, attitudes toward vaccines, and use of news, social media, and AI for health-relat...
bit.ly
February 6, 2026 at 5:56 PM
We put together a great new resource of all of our polling on health information and public trust.
We will be updating it OFTEN and it can be your go-to source for our latest polling on these topics. Bookmark it!
We will be updating it OFTEN and it can be your go-to source for our latest polling on these topics. Bookmark it!
also do I need to adjust for altitude if I make this in McGrath, Alaska
The comments: This survey was great, I ran one myself! But instead of a probability sample I did a non-probability panel, and instead of weighting by education I weighted by recalled vote, and I pushed undecideds and included partisan leaners.
February 6, 2026 at 4:51 PM
also do I need to adjust for altitude if I make this in McGrath, Alaska
as my grandmother elmo once said to me
Please enjoy 750 words about how my grandmother taught me the importance of proper sampling techniques before we get to the crosstabs.
February 6, 2026 at 3:35 PM
as my grandmother elmo once said to me
the Cook Report should do recipe reviews in off-years
February 6, 2026 at 3:26 PM
the Cook Report should do recipe reviews in off-years
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
This is flawless and I feel like Marc Chagall would love it
We put on an all-Yiddish community production of fiddler on the roof in Philadelphia and cast member and local artist Sofie Rose Seymour created the most amazing show poster that ever was
February 6, 2026 at 2:37 PM
This is flawless and I feel like Marc Chagall would love it
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
Striking chart from new @pewresearch.org analysis for Black History Month: In a little over two decades, the percentage of Black Americans with a bachelor's degree has just about doubled. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
February 6, 2026 at 2:31 PM
Striking chart from new @pewresearch.org analysis for Black History Month: In a little over two decades, the percentage of Black Americans with a bachelor's degree has just about doubled. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
he seems like a perfectly fine bunny to me
February 6, 2026 at 2:15 PM
he seems like a perfectly fine bunny to me
the "personal life" section in Lindsey Vonn's wikipedia page really takes a turn (complimentary)
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindsey...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindsey...
![In 2005, as the winner of the downhill at Val d'Isère, Vonn was offered a pregnant Tarine cow, a locally popular dairy breed. As most skiers do not want to keep livestock, she was offered the option to sell the animal immediately back to the organizers for EUR 5,000. However, Vonn decided to keep it, as she knew a farmer in Austria who would be willing to take care of the cow, whom she named "Olympe".[119] In 2009, she won a goat, which she gave to a different farmer in Austria.[119] In 2014, she won a calf in Val d'Isère, which she kept as well.[60] As of 2014, she owned a small herd of cows on the farm.[119]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:prpvntklgieefdnv234z5gae/bafkreiaqzk47ycpp5j53a22s25objk3q2rd2lpz6cxnhsw7tkngl63ryqi@jpeg)
February 5, 2026 at 9:43 PM
the "personal life" section in Lindsey Vonn's wikipedia page really takes a turn (complimentary)
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindsey...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindsey...
pin this thread while I walk away
If you want to destroy my sweater (a 🧵) 1/
February 5, 2026 at 5:55 PM
pin this thread while I walk away
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
I would also settle for the ability to hibernate like a bear. There are options here. We can talk. I'm not unreasonable.
February 5, 2026 at 2:59 PM
I would also settle for the ability to hibernate like a bear. There are options here. We can talk. I'm not unreasonable.
honestly not a bad informal heuristic for vetting polls
Normal scientific polling doesn’t have decimal-point precision and a pollster reporting their numbers with decimals is a warning sign that they either don’t understand this, or do and are trying to trick you into thinking their data is more precise than it is.
According to a survey by Swiftly (a retail technology company), 67.6% of shoppers (approximately 68%) said they were struggling to pay grocery bills because of inflation and rising food prices. The survey was widely reported by USA Today, Fortune, and other outlets in December 2025.
February 5, 2026 at 2:55 PM
honestly not a bad informal heuristic for vetting polls
more things should be named in this manner en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metro_C...
![The original name of the station was "12th and G", but WMATA planner William Herman argued it should be renamed, given the importance of the station and the fact that several entrances would be on other streets. Jackson Graham, the WMATA general manager at the time, agreed, and gave Herman twenty seconds to come up with a better name. Herman responded with the first words that came to mind: "Metro Center".[2]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:prpvntklgieefdnv234z5gae/bafkreigrcmnxpr3edvlekxw6d3ozhaxvr4qctgje4ffoy4tkrc2dnbfuam@jpeg)
February 5, 2026 at 2:12 AM
more things should be named in this manner en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metro_C...
hashtag throwback Wednesday
February 5, 2026 at 1:30 AM
hashtag throwback Wednesday
Reposted by Ariel Edwards-Levy
Desperately trying to think of a Sliders Georg joke but failing.
February 5, 2026 at 12:11 AM
Desperately trying to think of a Sliders Georg joke but failing.